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TRANSCRIPT
May 2012
May 2012
A Major Shift in the Political Landscape Graphs for the report on the April 2012 National Survey
May 2012
Methodology
National Survey
– April 5 – 20, 2012
– 2,000 national face-to-face interviews: 500 interviews in
each of the following regions: Baghdad, South, West, and
Kurdistan—national results weighted representatively
– Margin of error +/- 2.2 percent on full sample, +/- 4.4
percent on regional samples; +/- 2.9 on total Non-
Kurdistan sample
– The Kurdistan region sample reflects updated population
estimates increasing Dohuk to 24 percent of the region
Page 1
May 2012
A significant positive shift in the country mood
45
41 41 37
48
44
50 50 50
44
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 2
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
U.S. Withdrawal
May 2012
Only Kurdistan sees a drop in right direction
48 50
65
35
26
44
35 32
58 64
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West Kurdistan
Right Wrong
Page 3
∆ from
Oct ’11 +11 -6 +1 +5 +23 -20 +19 -10 -21 +24
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
May 2012
Perceptions of an improving economy help positive mood
46
34 33
52
38
55 49
34
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Strong Weak
Page 4
Would you say Iraq’s economy right now is strong or weak?
U.S. Withdrawal
May 2012
Positive mood brings significant jump in Maliki job approval
40 40 39
34
53 54 54 53 58
44
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Approve Disapprove
Page 5
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Nouri al-Maliki is doing as prime minister?
U.S. Withdrawal
May 2012
53 57
83
30
10 17
99
75 72
44 39
16
64
87 80
1 23
28
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West K'stan INAvoters
Da'wavoters
Sadrvoters
ISCIvoters
Approve Disapprove
∆ approve
Oct. ’11 +19 +12 +34 +11 +1 +11 +7 +32 +14
Maliki job approval up across regions and voter groups
Page 6
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Nouri al-Maliki is doing as prime minister?
May 2012
Significant jump in Maliki favorable ratings
41
34 34 31
45 47 47
51 49
41
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Apr-12
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 7
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100”
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50”
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
U.S. Withdrawal
May 2012
45 54
73
21 3
66
14 5
41 35
17
58
78
23
67 76
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West K'stan Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
% Favorable % UnfavorableΔ favorable
Oct ’11 +14 +13 +28 +4 -1 +20 +12 -3
Maliki favorability dramatically improves among base
Page 8
May 2012
Maliki has strongest rating of non-Kurd pols | Non-K’stan
52 48 33 32 31
24 13 17 18 17
35 33 48 48
57 50 53 59
72 73
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Maliki Sadr Jaafari Hakim Allawi Nujaifi Amiri Mahdi Hashemi Mutlaq
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100”
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50”
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable. (NON-KURDISTAN ONLY)
Page 9
Δ favorable
Oct ’11 +17 +7 +7 +8 -2 +6 N/A -5* +2 -1
* Last asked in November 2010
May 2012
Maliki’s favorability rises above Sadr’s | non-K’stan only
45
35 39
35
52
43
46
40 41 48
0
20
40
60
Nov-10 Mar-11 Jul-11 Nov-11 Apr-12
Maliki - % Favorable Sadr - % Favorable
Page 10
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100”
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50”
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable.
U.S. Withdrawal
May 2012
Maliki improves across all issues; outperforms Da’wa vote
22
22
27
29
30
32
32
34
37
39
49
10
10
2
7
5
4
6
3
5
3
3
23
19
2
17
12
15
16
5
14
12
8
26
28
47
26
34
24
31
38
23
25
16
19
21
22
21
19
25
15
20
21
21
24
0 20 40 60 80 100
Helping the poor
Cares about people like you
Acting like a dictator
Can unite Iraq
Can bring political stability
Creating jobs
Fights corruption
More interested in power than helping
Can end sectarianism
Improving basic services
Improving security
Maliki Hakim Sadr All/none/other/DK/ref Allawi
Page 11
For each one please tell me which political leader the phrase best describes: Nouri al-Maliki; Ayad Allawi; Ammar al-Hakim; or Muqtada al-Sadr? (NON-KURDISTAN ONLY)
∆ Maliki
Jul ’11
+22
+20
+11
N/A
+15
+13
+14
+5
N/A
+8
+9
∆ Allawi
Jul ’11
-6
-6
-8
N/A
-10
-5
-6
-7
N/A
-6
-4
Da’wa non-K’stan vote: 26% INA non-K’stan vote: 14%
May 2012
27
14
64
0
20
40
60
80
Total non-Kurdistan Shia Non-Kurd Sunni
Maliki
Page 12
For each one please tell me which political leader the phrase best describes: Nouri al-Maliki; Ayad Allawi; Ammar al-Hakim; or Muqtada al-Sadr? (NON-KURDISTAN ONLY)
―Acting like a dictator‖
Maliki “acting like a dictator” | non-Kurdistan
May 2012
Iraqis looking for a strong leader, despite drawbacks
74 73 80 82
45
77 83
48
14 16 13 8
28
15 7 23
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West K'stan Shia Non-KurdSunni
KurdPage 13
Statement 1: It is more important
to have a strong leader to keep
Iraq stable, even if that means
giving up some freedoms.
Statement 2: It is more important
to ensure social and political
freedoms in Iraq, even if that means
some instability.
I want you to tell me which statement comes closer to your point of view.
May 2012
Significant increase in Da’wa support
22 20
21
14 12
22
16 18
16
22
8 9 10
10 10
6 5
7 6
4
6 8 8
13 11
0
10
20
30
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Iraqi National Accord Islamic Da'wa Party Sadr Trend ISCI Und/DK/Ref
Page 14
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
U.S. Withdrawal
May 2012
22
12 10
5 4
2
13 11
30
12 12
6 6
2 0
10
0
10
20
30
Da'wa INA Sadr IFND ISCI NRT (No vote) (Und/ref)
First bar = Total Second bar = Likely voters
Page 15
Da’wa’s growth even stronger among likely voters Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
Δ likely voters
Oct ’11 +8 -1 -1 -2 -2 -- -- --
May 2012
Da’wa separates from other parties in South, Baghdad
27
38
9
16
6
23
13 15
5
9
5 1 2 1
16
0
10
20
30
40
Baghdad South West
Islamic Da'wa Party Iraqi National Accord Sadr Trend ISCI IFND
Page 16
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today.
Δ Oct. ’11 +4 -4 -- +1 -1 +15 -3 -3 -3 +1 -- -- +2 -1 -1
May 2012
Negative mood of country intensifies in Kurdistan
50
67
52 47
26
37
25
37 40
64
0
20
40
60
80
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 17
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? (KURDISTAN ONLY)
May 2012
Getting better or worse in Iraq | Kurdistan only Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. (KURDISTAN ONLY)
Page 18
79
79
63
61
60
47
43
38
15
7
15
17
27
26
28
28
48
56
80
89
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Corruption
Job opportunities
Political instability
Distribution of oil revenues
Sectarianism
Development of the oil industry
Housing
Security
Electricity supply
Water supply
Worse Better∆ better
Oct. ’11
+12
+18
+4
-15
n/a
-6
n/a
-16
+5
-4
May 2012
Yet majority still sees Kurdistan heading in right direction
85
72 74 78
65
9
21 22 15
30
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 19
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Kurdistan are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? (KURDISTAN ONLY)
May 2012
Favorability of Kurdish parties improves | Kurdistan only
59 55
39 30 26
24 22 33 37 31
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
KDP PUK Goran KIU KOMAL
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 20
Δ favorable
Oct ’11 +10 +8 +18 +8 +13
May 2012
Kurdish leaders remain popular in Kurdistan
66 65 64
41
16 18 21 31
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Talabani Massoud Barzani Nechirvan Barzani Mustafa
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100”
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50”
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable. (KURDISTAN ONLY)
Page 21
Δ favorable
Oct ’11 +17 +4 n/a +15
May 2012
Kurdistan vote stable, with PUK drop | Kurdistan vote**
37
41 44
42
18
27 28
21
14 12
9
12
4 2
4 5
15
9
14 12
0
10
20
30
40
50
Feb-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Feb-12 Apr-12
KDP PUK Goran Movement KIU Und/DK/Ref
Page 22
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today. (KURDISTAN ONLY)
**Vote totals reflect updated population distribution data
May 2012
Kurdistan divided by governorate
84
48
12 1 9
44
0 13 19
0
20
40
60
80
100
Dohuk Erbil Sulaymaniyah
KDP PUK Goran
Page 23
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today. (KURDISTAN ONLY)
24% 35% 41%
Δ from
Oct ’11 +4 -5 -- -9 -14 +12 +4 +5 +10
May 2012
5
6
8
10
17
23
27
42
55
0 20 40 60
Sectarianism
Political instability
Education
Infrastructure development
High prices
Corruption
Security
Basic services like electricity and water
Jobs and unemployment
Jobs and services continue to be top concerns
Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 24
∆ Oct. ’11
-4
+7
--
-7
+7
+1
-1
-2
--
May 2012
9
54
6
58
19
10
71
62
47
19
29
47
28
31
31
51
0 20 40 60 80
Security
Corruption
Basic services
Jobs and unemployment
Baghdad West South K'stan
Jobs a concern across all regions, services in South Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 25
May 2012
Perception of jobs and electricity remain extremely weak Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. (NON-KURDISTAN ONLY)
Page 26
89
77
76
68
70
65
62
44
50
42
42
10
16
18
19
21
25
31
37
44
47
56
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Job opportunities
Electricity supply
Corruption
Distribution of oil revenues
Political instability
Interfence of countries in Iraq's internal affairs
Housing
Development of the oil industry
Water supply
Sectarianism
Security
Worse Better
* Last asked in November 2010
∆ better
Oct. ’11
+19
+9
-8*
n/a
-8
+13
-1
n/a
+6
-4
+1
May 2012
25 24
6
23
80
69 64
92
68
15 0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West Kurdistan
Better Worse
Page 27
∆ Oct’11 -1 -- -22 +18 -- -1 +9 -11 +18 -18
Electricity supply varies by region; worst in South Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. (ELECTRICITY SUPPLY)
May 2012
48
60
26 30
44
32
66 59
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Right Wrong
Page 28
∆ Oct’11 +11 -6 +16 -12 +15 -9 -18 +24
Sunnis most pessimistic about country direction Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction?
May 2012
47
11
56
11
18
54
57
23
22
31
47
48
0 20 40 60
Corruption
Basic services
Jobs and unemployment
Security
Non-Kurd Sunni Shia Kurd
Security and jobs concerns dominate among Sunnis Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 29
∆ Sunni
Oct. ’11
+3
-13
+14
-17
May 2012
Majority of Sunnis (and Kurds) see sectarianism worsening
27
36 36 36
47 52
71
58
28
36
56 61
0
20
40
60
80
Feb-11 Apr-11 Jun-11 Aug-11 Oct-11 Dec-11 Feb-12 Apr-12
Shia worse Non-Kurd Sunni worse Kurd worse
Page 30
Please tell me if you think sectarianism is getting better or worse in Iraq. (WORSE ONLY)
May 2012
A Sunni majority now see Iraq as a divided country
35
23
58 53 56
68
38
26
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Page 31
Statement 1: Iraq is mostly a
divided country.
Statement 2: Iraq is mostly a unified
country.
I want you to tell me which statement comes closer to your point of view.
∆ Mar’11 +12 -2 +6 +1 +29 -15 +10 --
May 2012
Worries about Maliki power grab among Sunnis and Kurds
46
36
69
58
32
41
17 12 14 14
7
23
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Too much power Just the right amount Not enough
Page 32
Do you believe that al-Maliki has too much power, just the right amount, or not enough power?
∆ too much
Mar. ’11 +10 +5 +6 +43
May 2012
Sunnis see Maliki as power-grabbing; lay blame
51
68
30
9
35
46
14 24
37
22
61 66
46 37
68
54
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd Total Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
Page 33
Statement 1: As
prime minister,
Nouri al-Maliki's
priority has been
to maintain order
and security.
Statement 2: As
prime minister,
Nouri al-Maliki's
priority has been
to consolidate his
power.
I want you to tell me which statement comes closer to your point of view.
Statement 1:
Members of
parliament are
more to blame for
the current
political crisis.
Statement 2:
Prime Minister al-
Maliki is more to
blame for the
current political
crisis.
May 2012
26
53
14
59
74
47
86
41
0
20
40
60
80
100
Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Shia Non-Kurd Sunni
Maliki Others/all/none/DK
Sunnis see Maliki interested in power, acting like dictator
Page 34
For each one please tell me which political leader the phrase best describes: Nouri al-Maliki;
Ayad Allawi; Ammar al-Hakim; or Muqtada al-Sadr? (NON-KURDSITAN ONLY)
More interested in preserving his
own power than helping the
people
Acting like a dictator
May 2012
58
79
15
39
29
14
64
40
29
14
69
37
59
76
23
39
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd Total Shia Non-KurdSunni
Kurd
Approve Disapprove
Page 35
Hashemi case divisive; contributes to Sunni concern For each one, please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of that event.
Kurdish leaders allowing Vice President
Tareq al-Hashemi to stay in Kurdistan
Filing charges against Vice President
Tareq al-Hashemi
May 2012
45
58
21 26
41
29
61 56
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Better Worse
Page 36
Most Sunnis see judicial independence worsening Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq.
Independence of Iraq’s judges and courts
May 2012
Sunnis skeptical about Iraq’s democratic credentials
45
59
12
32
45
33
75
49
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Page 37
Statement 1: Iraq today is a real
democracy.
Statement 2: Iraq today is not a real
democracy.
I want you to tell me which statement comes closer to your point of view.
∆ Oct ’11 +2 -1 +13 -10 -4 +6 -41 +28
May 2012
Sunnis strongly feel Allawi does not have enough power
11 13 4 10
28
36
13 20
42
30
73
49
0
20
40
60
80
Total Shia Non-Kurd Sunni Kurd
Too much power Just the right amount Not enough
Page 38
Do you believe that Ayad Allawi has too much power, just the right amount, or not enough?
∆ not enough
Mar. ’11 +1 -9 +7 +32
May 2012
Maliki’s favorability jumps among “Disaffected Shia”
62 55 43 37
18 15 1 1 18
32 41 45
54 74
88 89
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Sadr Maliki Jaafari Hakim Nujaifi Allawi Hashemi Mutlaq
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100”
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50”
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable. (DISAFFECTED SHIA ONLY)
Page 39
Δ favorable
Oct ’11 +1 +14 -17 +6 +9 -1 -32 -6
May 2012
8 14
12
6 7
40
25
29
20
29
15 15 18
22
17
7 5
11
4 7
7 9 9
15 15
0
10
20
30
40
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Iraqi National Accord Islamic Da'wa Party Sadr Trend ISCI Und/DK/Ref
Page 40
Place a mark next to the political party you would vote for, if the elections were held today. (DISAFFECTED SHIA ONLY)
U.S. Withdrawal
Maliki support jumps, Sadr drops among “disaffected Shia”
May 2012
Maliki improves on key issues | “Disaffected Shia”
23
28
36
50
59
12
6
5
3
3
32
36
25
20
16
27
20
27
16
14
6
10
7
11
8
0 20 40 60 80 100
Cares about people like you
Helping the poor
Creating jobs
Improving basic services
Improving security
Maliki Hakim Sadr All/none/other/DK/ref Allawi
Page 41
For each one please tell me which political leader the phrase best describes: Nouri al-Maliki; Ayad Allawi; Ammar al-Hakim; or Muqtada al-Sadr? (DISAFFECTED SHIA ONLY)
∆ Maliki
Jul ’11
+23
+17
+15
+9
+5
∆ Sadr
Jul ’11
-4
+4
+5
+13
+8
May 2012
68
46
76 80
58
21
34
21
12 16
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West Kurdistan
Approve Disapprove
Page 42
Openness to opposition group with alternative proposals Please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of that event.
A group of political parties declaring themselves as opposition within the
Council of Representatives and proposing policy alternatives different from
those set forth by the government
May 2012
Opposition actions | looking for watchdogs, alternatives
55
57
57
61
62
63
63
63
63
69
81
82
86
85
87
85
85
86
88
89
0 20 40 60 80 100
Much more favorable Somewhat more favorable
Page 43
Imagine that certain members of the CoR made an announcement declaring that they are forming an opposition group within the Council of Representatives. For each action, please tell me how it would make you feel towards this group -- would it make you feel much more favorable, somewhat more favorable, just a little more favorable, or no more favorable?
Closely monitor the govt's actions and make public missteps, bad policies, or corrupt practices.
Propose alternative policies for creating jobs, providing basic services, and fighting corruption.
Hold a monthly question and answer session with government ministers to hold them accountable.
To create more jobs, propose a 5-point economic plan that shows specific steps the gov’t needs to take.
Weekly media briefings to discuss what the government did and what were its successes and failures.
Conduct a listening tour to hear concerns and then present those concerns & solutions to the government.
A series of public meetings to listen to people’s concerns and provide the gov’t with policy alternatives.
Organize a group to monitor gov’t actions and make public missteps, bad policies, or corrupt practices.
To end pol. divisions, propose a 5-point reconciliation plan that shows steps the gov’t needs to take.
Hold a series of public debates between government opposition leaders so citizens hear opposing views.
May 2012
66
53
79
71
41
20 27
15 17
29
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West Kurdistan
More likely Less likely
Page 44
Opposition actions would likely increase support Assuming an opposition group did some of the things you just heard, would you be more likely or less likely to vote for members of this group in the next election?
May 2012
Significant shift in Kurdistan’s perception of Iraq’s direction
50
67
52 47
26
37
25
37 40
64
0
20
40
60
80
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 45
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Iraq are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? (KURDISTAN ONLY)
May 2012
Kurdistan now has doubts about Iraqi democracy
45 44
69
20
30
45 48
26
65
52
0
20
40
60
80
Total Baghdad South West Kurdistan
Page 46
Statement 1: Iraq today is a real
democracy.
Statement 2: Iraq today is not a real
democracy.
I want you to tell me which statement comes closer to your point of view.
∆ Oct. ’11 +2 -1 +4 -1 +18 -13 -5 +2 -38 +27
May 2012
Majority still see Kurdistan heading in right direction
85
72 74 78
65
9
21 22 15
30
0
20
40
60
80
100
Nov-10 Feb-11 May-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Apr-12
Right direction Wrong direction
Page 47
Generally speaking, do you think that things in Kurdistan are going in the right direction, or do you feel things are going in the wrong direction? (KURDISTAN ONLY)
May 2012
Kurdistan most supportive of more autonomous regions
27
11 17
39
58 67
82 82
59
19
0
20
40
60
80
100
Total Baghdad South West Kurdistan
Approve Disapprove
Page 48
Please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of that event.
Leaders from Anbar, Diyala, and Salahaddin asking for the establishment of an autonomous region for their governorate
May 2012
6
9
54
58
71
19
10
62
29
47
19
47
31
28
31
51
0 20 40 60 80
Basic services
Security
Corruption
Jobs and unemployment
Baghdad West South Kurdistan
Jobs and corruption concerns dominate in Kurdistan Please tell me which TWO of these are the most important for the government to address.
Page 49
May 2012
Corruption and jobs continues to worsen in Kurdistan Please tell me if you think this issue is getting better or worse in Iraq. (KURDISTAN ONLY)
Page 50
79
79
63
61
60
47
43
38
15
7
15
17
27
26
28
28
48
56
80
89
-100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Corruption
Job opportunities
Political instability
Distribution of oil revenues
Sectarianism
Development of the oil industry
Housing
Security
Electricity supply
Water supply
Worse Better∆ better
Oct. ’11
+12
+18
+4
-15
n/a
-6
n/a
-16
+5
-4
May 2012
36
38
31
33
26
34
35
33
40
39
43
1
3
1
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
1
21
19
23
30
52
32
26
38
29
32
25
12
9
23
11
4
14
18
12
7
6
12
30
31
22
24
16
19
20
17
24
20
19
0 20 40 60 80 100
Helping the poor
Improving basic services
Fights corruption
Ending sectarianism
Uniting Iraq
Cares about people like you
Bringing independence to Kurdistan
Can bring political stability
Creating jobs
Improving security
Making Kurdistan stronger
N. Barzani* Maliki All/none/other/DK/ref Mustafa Salih
Barzani/KDP strong on jobs, weak on corruption
Page 51
For each one please tell me which political leader the phrase best describes: Nouri al-Maliki; Nechirvan Barzani*; Barham Salih; or Nawshirwan Mustafa? (KURDISTAN ONLY)
* Before April 2012, asked Massoud Barzani; April 2012 onward, asked Nechirvan Barzani
PUK Kurdistan vote: 21% KDP Kurdistan vote: 42%
May 2012
Kurdish leaders ratings improve | Kurdistan only
66 65 64
41
16 18 21 31
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Talabani M. Barzani N. Barzani N. Mustafa
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Now, I’d like to rate your feelings toward some people, things, and organizations, with “100”
meaning a VERY FAVORABLE feeling; “0” meaning a VERY UNFAVORABLE feeling; and “50”
meaning not particularly favorable or unfavorable. (KURDISTAN ONLY)
Page 52
Δ favorable
Oct ’11 +17 +4 n/a +15
May 2012
Favorability of Kurdish parties also improves | K’stan only
59 55 39
30 26
24 22 33 37 31
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
KDP PUK Goran KIU KOMAL
% Favorable % Unfavorable
Page 53
Δ favorable
Oct ’11 +10 +8 +18 +8 +13