may2016 investor presentation - amazon s3 · c$7.10 basic shares outstanding 242.0mm market...
TRANSCRIPT
May 2016 Investor PresentationScott Perry - Chief Executive Officer
TSX: CGwww.centerragold.com
Caution Regarding Forward-Looking Information
2May 2016
Information contained in this presentation which are not statements of historical facts, and the documents incorporated by reference herein, may be “forward-looking information” for the purposes of Canadian securitieslaws. Such forward-looking information involves risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results, performance, prospects and opportunities to differ materially from those expressed or implied by suchforward looking information. The words “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “contemplate”, “plan”, “intends”, “continue”, “budget”, “estimate”, “may”, “will”, “schedule”, “understand” and similar expressions identify forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements relate to, among other things: timing of receiving a positive environmental expertise of the Kumtor 2016 Special Mine Plan and the possibility of KGC being requiredto cease mining operations at Kumtor effective July 1, 2016 if such environmental expertise is not provided by SAEPF; plans to begin the development of the Öksüt Project in the second quarter of 2016 and timing for firstgold production; the Company’s expectations regarding the release of, and related timing of, low grade and high grade ore from cut-back 17 at the Kumtor Project; OMAS’ plans to use the Öksüt Facility to fund asubstantial portion of the development and construction of the Öksüt gold mine; the expected timing for the completion of the feasibility study for the Greenstone Gold Property and the filing of a NI 43-101 compliancetechnical report; the Company’s expectations regarding additional infill, exploration, geo-technical and hydrological drilling in 2016 at the Gatsuurt Project; the Company’s expectations regarding negotiating a definitivedevelopment agreement with the Mongolian Government on the Gatsuurt Project and obtaining all necessary approvals and permits for the development of the Gatsuurt Project; statements found under the heading, “2016Outlook”, including forecast 2016 production and unit cost estimates, the Company’s plans to introduce a hedging program and supply chain management option to source lower fuel costs at the Kumtor Project, theCompany’s plans in 2016 for exploration expenditures, capital expenditures at its properties, corporate administrative and community investment expenditures, and DD&A expenses for 2016.Forward-looking information is necessarily based upon a number of estimates and assumptions that, while considered reasonable by Centerra, are inherently subject to significant political, business, economic andcompetitive uncertainties and contingencies. Known and unknown factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in the forward looking information. Factors that could cause actual results orevents to differ materially from current expectations include, among other things: (A) strategic, legal, planning and other risks, including: political risks associated with the Company’s operations in the Kyrgyz Republic,Mongolia and Turkey; resource nationalism including the management of external stakeholder expectations; the impact of changes in, or to the more aggressive enforcement of, laws, regulations and government practicesin the jurisdictions in which the Company operates including any unjustified civil or criminal action against the Company, its affiliates or its current or former employees; the impact of any actions taken by the KyrgyzRepublic Government and Parliament relating to the Kumtor Project Agreements which are inconsistent with the rights of Centerra and KGC under the Kumtor Project Agreements; any impact on the purported cancellationof Kumtor’s land use rights at the Kumtor Project pursuant to a court claim commenced by the Kyrgyz Republic General Prosecutor’s Office; the risks related to other outstanding litigation affecting the Company’soperations in the Kyrgyz Republic and elsewhere; the impact of the delay by relevant government agencies to provide required approvals, expertises and permits, including the delay currently being experienced at theKumtor Project over the Kumtor 2016 Special Mine Plan and ecological passport and the Company’s ability to resolve outstanding questions and concerns raised by SAEPF in connection with its issuance of its environmentalexpertise of the 2016 Special Mine Plan; the terms pursuant to which the Mongolian Government will participate in, or to take a special royalty rate in, the Gatsuurt Project; the impact of changes to, the increasedenforcement of, environmental laws and regulations relating to the Company’s operations; the impact of any sanctions imposed by Canada, the United States or other jurisdictions against various Russian individuals andentities; the ability of the Company to negotiate a successful development agreement for the Gatsuurt Project; potential defects of title in the Company’s properties that are not known as of the date hereof; the inability ofthe Company and its subsidiaries to enforce their legal rights in certain circumstances; the presence of a significant shareholder that is a state-owned company of the Kyrgyz Republic; risks related to anti-corruptionlegislation; risks related to the concentration of assets in Central Asia; Centerra’s future exploration and development activities not being successful; Centerra not being able to replace mineral reserves; difficulties withCenterra’s joint venture partners; and aboriginal claims and consultative issues relating to the Company’s 50% interest in the Greenstone Gold Property; potential risks related to kidnapping or acts of terrorism; (B) risksrelating to financial matters, including: sensitivity of the Company’s business to the volatility of gold prices, the imprecision of the Company’s mineral reserves and resources estimates and the assumptions they rely on, theaccuracy of the Company’s production and cost estimates, the impact of restrictive covenants in the Company’s revolving credit facility which may, among other things, restrict the Company from pursuing certain businessactivities, the Company’s ability to obtain future financing, the impact of global financial conditions, the impact of currency fluctuations, the effect of market conditions on the Company’s short-term investments, theCompany’s ability to make payments including any payments of principal and interest on the Company’s debt facilities depends on the cash flow of its subsidiaries; and (C) risks related to operational matters andgeotechnical issues, including: movement of the Davidov Glacier and the waste and ice movement at the Kumtor Project and the Company’s continued ability to successfully manage such matters, including the continuedperformance of the buttress; the occurrence of further ground movements at the Kumtor Project and mechanical availability; the success of the Company’s future exploration and development activities, including thefinancial and political risks inherent in carrying out exploration activities; inherent risks associated with the use of sodium cyanide in the mining operations; the adequacy of the Company’s insurance to mitigate operationalrisks; mechanical breakdowns; the Company’s ability to obtain the necessary permits and authorizations to (among other things) raise the tailings dam at the Kumtor Project to the required height; the Company’s ability toreplace its mineral reserves; the occurrence of any labour unrest or disturbance and the ability of the Company to successfully re-negotiate collective agreements when required; the risk that Centerra’s workforce may beexposed to widespread epidemic; seismic activity in the vicinity of the Company’s operations; long lead times required for equipment and supplies given the remote location of some of the Company’s operating properties;reliance on a limited number of suppliers for certain consumables, equipment and components; illegal mining on the Company’s Mongolian properties; the Company’s ability to accurately predict decommissioning andreclamation costs; the Company’s ability to attract and retain qualified personnel; competition for mineral acquisition opportunities; and risks associated with the conduct of joint ventures/partnerships, including theGreenstone Gold Partnership; the Company’s ability to manage its projects effectively and to mitigate the potential lack of availability of contractors, budget and timing overruns and project resources. See section titled“Risk Factors” above and in the Company’s most recently filed Annual Information Form available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.Furthermore, market price fluctuations in gold, as well as increased capital or production costs or reduced recovery rates may render mineral reserves containing lower grades of mineralization uneconomic and mayultimately result in a restatement of reserves. The extent to which resources may ultimately be reclassified as proven or probable reserves is dependent upon the demonstration of their profitable recovery. Economic andtechnological factors which may change over time always influence the evaluation of reserves or resources. Centerra has not adjusted mineral resource figures in consideration of these risks and, therefore, Centerra cangive no assurances that any mineral resource estimate will ultimately be reclassified as proven and probable reserves. There can be no assurances that forward-looking information and statements will prove to beaccurate, as many factors and future events, both known and unknown could cause actual results, performance or achievements to vary or differ materially, from the results, performance or achievements that are or maybe expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements contained herein or incorporated by reference. Accordingly, all such factors should be considered carefully when making decisions with respect to Centerra, andprospective investors should not place undue reliance on forward looking information. Forward-looking information is as of May 4, 2016. Centerra assumes no obligation to update or revise forward looking information toreflect changes in assumptions, changes in circumstances or any other events affecting such forward-looking information, except as required by applicable law. Except as otherwise noted herein, Gordon Reid, ProfessionalEngineer and Centerra’s Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, has reviewed and approved the scientific and technical information contained in this presentation. Mr. Reid is a Qualified Person within the meaning of NI43-101. For more information, please refer to the Company’s 2015 AIF and the technical reports referenced therein, which are available on SEDAR. All figures are in United States dollars unless otherwise stated.
Built for Success
Internationally Diversified Gold Producer
Up to 530kozpa at AISC1 of up to $877 per ounce
Significant operational cash flow profile
Internally funded, late-stage development pipeline
Projects drive 100% increase in gold production by 2020
Net Cash Position of US$426MM2
Trading at a discount to peers
Quarterly Dividend Distributions (2.3% Yield4)
Positive Retained Earnings of US$739MM2
Centerra: Built For Success
Kumtor Five Year Gold Production Profile
Profitably Growing to 1Moz’s Per Annum
3
0
1,000
Kumtor Oksut Gatsuurt Greenstone Total
Oun
ces
(000
’s)
May 2016
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
grad
e g/
t
Oun
ces
Centerra: Capital Markets Profile
Strong Balance Sheet (US$)
Cash$542MM
(as of Mar. 31, 2016)
Stable Share Count
Share Price(as of May 2, 2016)
C$7.10
Basic Shares Outstanding 242.0MM
Market Capitalization C$1,718MM
Cash on Hand2 US$502MM
Debt2 US$76MM
Enterprise Value US$943MM
Capital Structure (CG:TSX)
4May 2016
Internally Funded Business (US$)
Debt$76MM
Cash$502MM
216.2 216.3 216.3 226.7 235.5 236.1 236.4 236.4 236.4 237.9 242.0
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016
mill
ions
562
158 76
73
29 542
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2014 Cash KumtorCashflow
GreenstoneAcquisition
Other(Projects,G&A, etc)
ShareholderDividends
2015 Cash
US$
Mill
ions
22
Top Ten Shareholders3
32.0% Kyrgyzaltyn JSC
9.4% Paulson & Co
6.5% Van Eck Associates
6.0% Capital Group
4.0% BlackRock Investment Management (UK)
2.3% Dimensional Fund Advisors
1.8% Newton Investment Management Ltd.
1.8% USAA Investment Management Company
1.4% Gabelli Funds
1.3% Franklin Advisers Inc.
Centerra: Capital Markets Profile
Diversified Portfolio (Consensus NAV)
Shareholder Base
5May 2016
Net Cash, 24%
Kumtor, 42%
Oksut, 13%
Gatsuurt, 12%
Greenstone, 9%
Retail, 24%
Institutional, 44%
Kyrgyzaltyn JSC, 32%
Centerra: Internationally Diversified Portfolio
6May 2016
Operating Cash Flows $334 MM
Cash Flows Invested $244 MM
Operating Cash Flows $376 MM
Cash Flows Invested $282 MM
170U/G miners
240U/G miners
240U/G miners
Centerra:Robust Financial Margins in all Cycles
YE target of 4,000tpd
2014 Free Cash Flow Profile (US$)
2015 Free Cash Flow Profile (US$)
7
Cash Reserves2 Profile (US$)
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q12016
Gol
d Pr
ice
(US$
/oz)
US$
Mill
ions
Cumulative Dividends Cash Balance Gold Price
May 2016
Retained Earnings Profile (US$)
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q12016
Gol
d Pr
ice
(US$
/oz)
US$
Mill
ions
Retained Earnings Cumulative Dividends Gold Price
Centerra: Shareholder Value Creation
Financial Discipline Equals Peer Leading Dividend Distributions
Historical cumulative dividend payments of US$248 million
Peer leading dividend
Quarterly dividend distribution of C$0.04 cents per share
Annual Dividend Declared (US$MM’s) Dividend Yield4
8May 2016
Source: Scotiabank GBM
$14
$99
$28$36 $34
$29
$8
0
25
50
75
100
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1 2016
2.3%
1.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.7% 0.7% 0.7%0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
0.1%
CG CEE GFI ACA RRS AEM YRI ABX G AGI NEM ELD
507,500 520,000
536,921
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
550,000
Original Revised Actual
Increased Gold Production Guidance - Mid-Points, Actual
Centerra: Operational Execution
2015 GUIDANCE: GROWING PRODUCTION AND DECLINING COSTS
2015 production and costs exceed revised guidance, production increased: 3%; costs declined: 5%;
› Underpins strong financial performance
2015 Company-Wide Operational Guidance Highlights
9Gold Production and cost guidance includes 15,000 oz from secondary leaching and mill clean out from Boroo which is in care and maintenanceMay 2016
915
852
814
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Original Revised Actual
Reduced All-In Sustaining Cost Per Ounce Guidance (US$/oz) -Mid Points, Actual
170U/G miners
207U/G miners
240U/G miners
240U/G miners
Kumtor:World Class Open Pit Gold Mine
2015 2016E
Gold Production (koz) 521 480-530
Adjusted Operating Costs ($/oz) (1) $326 $426-$471
All-In Sustaining Costs ($/oz) (1) $731 $817-$902
Growth Capital ($MM)(1) $14 $26
Projected Asset Life (years) +10
Reserves (Moz) (5) 5.6
Au Grade (g/t) 2.5
Resources M&I (Moz) (5) 2.6
Au Grade (g/t) 2.7
World Class Cornerstone Asset
Kumtor Five Year Gold Production Profile
Reserve Replacement Profile
YE target of 4,000tpd
+18 years of uninterrupted profitable production
Over 10M ounces produced since 1997
5.6M ounces remaining in open pit reserves
Low cost, long life production
High-grade underground opportunity
Strong stable platform to grow Centerra
10May 2016
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
3.00
3.50
4.00
4.50
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
grad
e g/
t
Oun
ces
(12,000)
(10,000)
(8,000)
(6,000)
(4,000)
(2,000)
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Au
Oun
ces
(000
's)
Kumtor Reserves
Kumtor Ounces Mined
170U/G miners
207U/G miners
240U/G miners
240U/G miners
Kumtor:Continuous Improvement Opportunities
YE target of 4,000tpd
Work force optimization
Mill availability up to 96.5%
Mill throughput up to 18,000 tpd
Blending: Gold recovery up to 80%
‘Hot shift’ changes in mining operations
Increase truck tray size to improve fill factor
Two haul trucks parked in 2016
One shovel to be parked in Q4-2016
Processing of carbon gold fines
2015/16 Business Process Opportunities
11May 2016
Gold Sector Cost Curve (US$)
Source: Credit Suisse
170U/G miners
207U/G miners
240U/G miners
240U/G miners
Kumtor: Over 18 Years Uninterrupted Operations
YE target of 4,000tpd
Successful Parliamentary elections Oct.2015
New Government formed (continuity)
Largest employer
Largest taxpayer
Paid >US$1 Billion to budget and social fund
Spend >US$80MMpa in local procurement
Kyrgyz: Long-term shareholder since IPO
Kyrgyz Republic: Kumtor
12May 2016
Cash Reserves2 Profile (US$)
0
400
800
1,200
1,600
2,000
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q12016
Gol
d Pr
ice
(US$
/oz)
US$
Mill
ions
Cumulative Dividends Cash Balance Gold Price
Öksüt: Fully Funded High Margin Gold Production
Mine Type Open Pit, Heap Leach
Avg. LOM Annual Production 110koz Au
Avg. LOM AISC1 (US$/oz) $490
Reserve Mine Life 8 years
Development Capex (US$MM) $221
Reserves6 (Moz) at $1,250 gold 1.2
Au grade (g/t) 1.40
Life of Mine Strip Ratio (w:o) 2:1
First Gold Pour Q3-2017
IRR (after tax) 43%
NPV(8%) - after tax >$240MM
2015 Feasibility Highlights
EIA approval received in November 2015
Construction expected in mid-2016
2 stage crushing, stack at 11,000 tpd
Life of mine recovery of 77%
Significant exploration upside
Bought back Stratex and Teck royalties
$150MM low-cost +5-year financing in-place
Near-Term Gold Production
0.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.50
0
50
100
150
200
250
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Proc
ess
Gra
de (
g/to
nne)
Gol
d Pr
oduc
tion
(000
's)
Catalyst Schedule
13
Öksüt Gold Project
May 2016
Gatsuurt: Gold Development Project
2015 Highlights
Boroo mill on care & maintenance awaiting Gatsuurt approval
Gatsuurt declared strategic January 2015
3% royalty (versus 34% ownership) approved by government
Investment development agreement negotiations commenced
Potential production 12-18 months after approval
Reserves8 of 1.6M contained ounces @ 2.9 g/tonne
Strip ratio of 6:1 and process recoveries in excess of 76%
Significant exploration upside
In-Place 5ktpd Processing Facility (Boroo)Boroo’s Historical Cumulative Net Cash Generation (US$MM)
(100)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 201414May 2016
Greenstone: One of Canada’s Largest Undeveloped Open Pit Gold Mines
Cornerstone Canadian Development Project
50:50 development partnership with Premier Gold
Open pit resources7 (100%) in excess of 4M oz @ 1.47 g/t
Historic gold production of 4.12M oz (~1934-1970)
Large land package covers 337km2, good infrastructure
Significant exploration and underground resource potential
Bankable feasibility study expected mid-year 2016
Ontario: Top Tier Mining Jurisdiction
Greenstone GoldProperty
Greenstone Development Project
Location: Ontario, Canada
Geraldton
Beardmore
JellicoeBrookbank
HardrockViper
11
Beardmore – Geraldton Greenstone Belt +110 km
Brookbank Deposit
Hardrock Deposit
15May 2016
Greenstone: Greenstone Gold Property Resources
500mOblique Longitudinal View to North
* As reported in Premier Gold Mines’ NI 43-101 Technical Report and Mineral Resource Estimate Update for the Hardrock Deposit, Issue Date: August 22, 2014, Effective Date: July 4, 2014 and in Centerra and Premier’s NI 43-101 on the Trans-Canada Property, Issue Date: February 5, 2015, Effective Date: March 20, 2015.
Indicated Resource Model BlocksInferred Resource Model Blocks
Hardrock Deposit*
In-Pit Resources at 0.50 g/t Au cutoff gradeIndicated: 83.87 Mt @ 1.47 g/t Au for 3.97 MozInferred: 10.23 Mt @ 1.53 g/t Au for 0.50 Moz
Underground Resources at 3.00 g/t Au cutoff gradeIndicated: 5.17 Mt @ 5.40 g/t Au for 0.90 Moz Inferred: 12.92 Mt @ 5.40 g/t Au for 2.24 Moz
Brookbank Deposit*
Open Pit Resources at 0.50 g/t Au cutoff gradeIndicated: 2.64 Mt @ 2.01 g/t Au for 171,000 ozInferred: 0.17 Mt @ 2.38 g/t Au for 13,000 oz
Underground Resources at 2.80 g/t Au cutoff gradeIndicated: 1.85 Mt @ 7.21 g/t Au for 429,000 oz Inferred: 0.40 Mt @ 4.02 g/t Au for 53,000 oz
Hardrock Deposit
16May 2016
Centerra: Development Projects Highlights
17
Öksüt (Turkey)
April 2016: Alacer Received Forestry Permit
Öksüt Land Use Permits in PM Office for Approval
US$150MM Financing Facility In-Place
Construction Ready
Manpower Recruitment Underway
Construction Contracts Indicate Cost Savings
Gatsuurt (Mongolia)
Parliament Approved Ownership Level
Negotiating Investment Development Agreement
Infill and Geo-technical Drilling Underway
Exploration and Hydrogeology Drilling Planned
Working With Officials Regarding Alluvial Miners
Updating Technical and Economic Studies
Greenstone (Canada)
Feasibility Study Expected Mid-Year
SNC Feasibility Audit
First Nations Negotiations In-Process
Environmental Application Preparations
Strategic Exploration Program Preparations
May 2016
Centerra: Investment Opportunity
Enterprise Value/2016E Production (US$/oz) Enterprise Value/2016E CFPS
Net Debt per Share (US$) Cash per Share (US$)
18May 2016
Source: Scotiabank GBM
$1.8
3
$1.8
2
$1.7
7
$1.5
1
$0.9
6
$0.5
0
$0.4
4
$0.1
6
$0.1
4
($0.
02)
($0.
08)
($0.
15)
($0.
23)
($0.
42)
($0.
48)
($1.
22)
($1.
92)
($2.
27)
K
BVN
DG
C
GFI
NG
D
SSRI
BTO
AGI
OG
C
ELD
IMG
DPM AC
A
TAH
O
SMF
ASR
CG
GO
LD
$2.9
3
$2.2
9
$2.2
3
$1.6
8
$1.2
2
$1.1
2
$0.8
6
$0.7
5
$0.7
3
$0.7
2
$0.7
1
$0.7
0
$0.6
7
$0.5
8
$0.5
7
$0.2
6
$0.1
8
$0.0
9
SSRI
GO
LD CG IMG
ASR
AGI
ELD
DG
C K
GFI
BVN
TAH
O
SMF
ACA
NG
D
DPM
OG
C
BTO
17.7
x
16.2
x
12.1
x
12.0
x
11.7
x
11.4
x
10.9
x
10.3
x
10.1
x
9.7x
8.8x
6.7x
6.2x
5.7x
5.6x
5.6x
3.0x
2.9x
GO
LD
TAH
O
DG
C
BTO
SSRI
AGI
NG
D
SMF
BVN
ELD K
ACA
OG
C
GFI
IMG
ASR
CG
DPM
$8,3
85
$7,6
81
$7,4
60
$5,7
08
$5,4
76
$5,2
01
$5,1
71
$5,0
28
$4,7
05
$3,3
20
$3,2
75
$2,6
82
$2,6
01
$2,5
14
$1,7
89
$1,7
27
$1,2
58
GO
LD
NG
D
DG
C
ELD
SMF
OG
C
BVN
AGI
BTO
ASR K
SSRI
ACA
GFI
IMG CG
DPM
Centerra: Built For Success
Kumtor: World Class Open Pit Gold Mine
Öksüt: High Margin Open Pit Heap Leach Gold Mine
Gatsuurt: Large Scale Open Pit Gold Mine
World class cornerstone asset underpinning Company’s growing production portfolio
Long lived, lower cost quartile asset generating significant positive cash flow
Fully funded, late-stage gold development project
Near-term high margin gold production
Investment agreement negotiations underway
Surface processing infrastructure in-place (gold production 12-18 months after approval)
Greenstone: Large Scale Open Pit Gold Mine
One of Canada’s largest undeveloped open pit gold mines
Feasibility and mine permitting work underway
19May 2016
Centerra: Footnotes
20
(1) Adjusted operating costs, all-in sustaining costs (AISC), all-in costs and all-in costs - including taxes as well as sustaining capital, growth capital, average realized gold price per ounce and cost of sales per ounce sold are non-GAAP measures and are discussed under “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s MD&A filed on SEDAR.
(2) As of March 31, 2016. Net Cash Position includes cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, net of external debt. Cash, Cash on Hand and Cash Reserves include cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments.
(3) According to Thomson Reuters as of April 15, 2016.(4) As of May 2, 2016 according to Thomson Reuters, Scotiabank GBM.(5) The mineral reserves at Kumtor have been estimated based on a gold price of $1,200 per ounce, as at December 31, 2015. The open pit
reserves and resources at Kumtor are estimated based on a cut-off grade of 0.85 grams of gold per tonne for the Central Pit and 1.0 grams of gold per tonne for the Southwest and Sarytor deposits. Open Pit resources at Kumtor are constrained by a pit shell developed using a gold price of $1,450 per ounce. Mineral resources are in addition to reserves. Mineral resources do not have demonstrated economic viability. Further information including key assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate mineral resources and reserves, as well as legal, political, environmental and other risks are described in Centerra’s 2014 Annual Information Form dated March 31, 2015 filed on SEDAR.
(6) The mineral reserves at Öksüt have been estimated based on a gold price of $1,200 per ounce, as at December 31, 2015. The open pit reserves are estimated on a cut-off grade of 0.3 grams of gold per tonne. Further information including key assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate mineral resources and reserves, as well as legal, political, environmental and other risks are described in the Technical Report on the Öksüt Gold Project dated September 3, 2015, Effective Date: June 30, 2015 filed on SEDAR.
(7) As reported in Centerra Gold Inc. and Premier Gold Mines NI 43-101 Technical Report on the Trans-Canada Property, Issue Date: March 20, 2015, Effective Date: February 5, 2015 filed on SEDAR.
(8) The mineral reserves at Gatsuurt have been estimated based on a gold price of $1,200 per ounce, as at December 31, 2015. The open pit reserves are estimated using a 1.4 grams of gold per tonne cut-off grade. Further information including key assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate mineral resources and reserves, as well as legal, political, environmental and other risks are described in Centerra’s 2015 Annual Information Form dated March 31, 2016 filed on SEDAR.
May 2016
May 2016Appendix
Q1 Corporate Update
22
Safety – Kumtor Fatality
Strong Gold Production of 86,444 Ounces at Kumtor
Competitive All-In Sustaining Cost1 of US$1,015 Per Ounce, US$916 Per Ounce at Kumtor
Kumtor Q1 gold sales delayed (cash flow impact of approximately US$35 Million)
Net Earnings of US$18.1 Million ($0.08 Cents Per Share, basic)
Cash Flow From Operations of US$9.4 Million ($0.04 Cents Per Share, basic)
Peer Leading Net Cash2 Position of US$426 Million
US$150 Million Project Financing Facility Established For Öksüt
Investment Development Agreement Negotiations In-Progress On Gatsuurt
Corporate Office Restructuring – Manpower Reduction of Approx. 20%
1. All-in sustaining costs per ounce sold is a non-GAAP measure and is discussed under “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s MD&A dated May 3, 2016.2. Includes cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, net of external debt.
Analyst Coverage
BMO Capital Markets
BofA, Merrill Lynch
Canaccord Genuity
Cormark Securities
GMP Securities L.P.
RBC Capital Markets
Scotiabank
TD Securities Inc.
TSO & Associates
Centerra: Capital Markets Profile
Diversified Portfolio (Consensus NAV)
Shareholder Base
23May 2016
Net Cash, 24%
Kumtor, 42%
Oksut, 13%
Gatsuurt, 12%
Greenstone, 9%
Retail, 24%
Institutional, 44%
Kyrgyzaltyn JSC, 32%
Industry Experience Background
20 years• Appointed Chief Executive Officer in November, 2015
• Former Chief Executive Officer at AuRico Gold
25 years • Appointed President in November, 2015
• Joined Centerra in 2004
30 years• Appointed Chief Operating Officer in January, 2013
• Joined Centerra in 2004
18 years• Appointed Chief Financial Officer in April, 2016
• Joined Centerra in 2013
SCOTT PERRYChief Executive Officer
FRANK HERBERTPresident
GORDON REIDChief Operating Officer
Centerra: Senior Management
DARREN MILLMANChief Financial Officer
24May 2016
Board of Directors Background
STEPHEN A. LANG Chairman Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, June 2008
BRUCE V. WALTER Vice Chair Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, May 2008
SCOTT G. PERRY Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, January 2016
RICHARD W. CONNOR Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, June 2012
RAPHAEL A. GIRARD Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, August 2010
EDUARD KUBATOV Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, March 2016
MICHAEL S. PARRETT Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, May 2014
SHERYL K. PRESSLER Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, May 2008
TERRY V. ROGERS Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, February 2003
BEKTUR SAGYNOV Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, March 2016
KYLYCHBEK SHAKIROV Director Appointed Director of Centerra’s Board, July 2013
Centerra: Directors
25May 2016
Centerra: 2016 Guidance
26
2016 Gold Production2016 All-in Sustaining
Costs1
(ounces) (per ounce sold)
Kumtor Mine 480,000 – 530,000 $817 – $902
Centerra 480,000 – 530,000 $877-$968
Projects 2016 Growth Capital1 2016 Sustaining Capital1
(millions) (millions)
Kumtor Mine $26 $84
Öksüt Project $157 -
Greenstone Property $12 -
Corporate and other - $1
Consolidated Total $184 $85
1 Non-GAAP measure, see discussion under “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s MD&A filed on SEDAR.
2 Greenstone growth capital excludes $4.5 million representing capitalized expenditures related to the Greenstone Property.
May 2016
1 Non-GAAP measure discussed under “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s MD&A dated May 3, 2016.2 Other costs include $14-$16 of Boroo costs for maintaining the mill on care and maintenance and ongoing closure costs, net of gold sales, and global exploration expenses, business development expenses and other costs not related to current operations.3 Excludes Öksüt, Gatsuurt and Greenstone development projects.4 Includes revenue-based tax that reflects actual realized gold price of $1,186 per ounce sold for January – March period and a revised forecast gold price assumption of $1,200 per ounce sold for April – December period.
Operating costs $400-442 $400-442Changes in inventories (8)-(9) (8)–(9)Operating costs $392-433 $392-433Adjusted operating costs(1) $426-471 $426-471Capitalized stripping costs - cash 230-254 230-254Capital expenditures (sustaining)(1) 158-174 161-177Accretion expense (reclamation) 3 4Corporate general & admin costs - 56-62All-in sustaining costs(1) $817-902 $877-968Capital expenditures (growth) (1) 49-54 49-54Other costs(2) - 39-44All-in costs (excluding development projects)(1,3) $866-956 $965-1,066Revenue-based tax(4) 168 168All-in costs excluding development projectsincluding taxes(1,3,4) $1,034-1,124 $1,133-1,234
Centerra: 2016 Guidance All-in Costs per ounce sold1
Kumtor Centerra($ per ounce sold)
27May 2016
1 Appreciation of currency against the U.S. dollar will result in higher costs and lower cash flow and earnings, depreciation of currency against the U.S. dollar results in decreased costs and increased cash flow and earnings
2 All-in sustaining costs per ounce sold (“AISC”) is a non-GAAP measure discussed under “Non-GAAP Measures” in the Company’s MD&A dated May 3, 2016.
Centerra: 2016 Guidance Sensitivities - Q1
28
ChangeImpact on Impact on($ millions) ($ per ounce sold)
Costs Revenues Cash flow Earnings AISC(2)
Gold Price $50/oz 2.9 – 3.3 20.9 - 23.4 18.0 - 20.2 18.0 - 20.2 6.0 - 6.2Diesel Fuel 10% 1.7 - 4.2 1.1 3.2 - 3.5Kyrgyz som(1) 1 som 0.7 - 1.1 0.7 1.3 - 1.5Canadian dollar(1) 10 cents 2.1 - 2.1 2.1 4.0 - 4.4
Material Assumptions and RisksMaterial assumptions or factors used to forecast production and costs for the remaining nine months of 2016 include the following:• a gold price of $1,200 per ounce (from $1,125 per ounce in the previous guidance),• exchange rates (unchanged):
• $1USD:$1.34 CAD• $1USD:65.0 Kyrgyz som• $1USD:0.95 Euro
• diesel fuel price assumption (unchanged): $0.55/litre at Kumtor
May 2016
Centerra Gold Inc. 2015 Year‐End Gold Reserve and Resource Summary (as of December 31, 2015)
Centerra: Reserves & Resources
29
Gold Mineral Reserves (1) (11) (12)
(tonnes and ounces in thousands)
Proven Probable Total Proven and Probable
Property (3) Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Kumtor (5) 8,832 1.4 402 60,406 2.7 5,240 69,239 2.5 5,641Gatsuurt (7) - - - 17,129 2.9 1,603 17,129 2.9 1,603Öksüt(10) - - - 26,137 1.4 1,161 26,137 1.4 1,161Total 8,832 1.4 402 103,672 2.4 8,004 112,505 2.3 8,405
Gold Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources(2) (11) (12)
(tonnes and ounces in thousands)Measured Indicated Total Measured and Indicated
Property (3) Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Kumtor Open Pit (4) (5) 19,450 2.9 1,787 10,151 2.4 777 29,602 2.7 2,564Boroo (6) 452 2.2 32 4,464 1.5 210 4,916 1.5 242Gatsuurt (7) - - - 5,098 2.4 398 5,098 2.4 398Ulaan Bulag (8) - - - 1,555 1.5 73 1,555 1.5 73ATO (9) 9,663 1.5 465 8,920 1.1 306 18,583 1.3 771Öksüt(10) 2,100 0.7 45 4,698 0.7 111 6,798 0.7 156Total 31,665 2.3 2,329 34,886 1.7 1,875 66,552 2.0 4,204
Gold Inferred Mineral Resources(2) (11) (12) (13)
(tonnes and ounces in thousands)
Property (3) Tonnes Grade(g/t)
Contained Gold (oz)
Kumtor Open Pit (4) (5) 3,894 1.2 148Kumtor Stockwork Underground (5) 931 11.6 348Kumtor SB Zone UG (6) 3,806 10.7 1,315Boroo (6) 7,323 1.0 235Gatsuurt (7) 5,475 2.5 440Ulaan Bulag (8) 315 1.3 13ATO (9) 386 0.6 8Öksüt (10) 2,380 0.8 65Total 24,511 3.3 2,573
See footnotes page 30May 2016
Centerra: Reserves & Resources
30
Footnotes for Reserve and Resource Table as of December 31, 2015:
(1) The mineral reserves have been estimated based on a gold price of $1,200 per ounce.(2) Mineral resources are in addition to reserves. Mineral resources do not have demonstrated economic viability.(3) Centerra’s equity interests as of this news release are: Kumtor 100%, Gatsuurt 100%, Boroo 100%, Ulaan Bulag 100%, ATO 100%, and Öksüt 100%.(4) Open pit resources at Kumtor are constrained by a pit shell developed using a gold price of $1,450 per ounce.(5) The open pit reserves and resources at Kumtor are estimated based on a cut-off grade of 0.85 grams of gold per tonne for the Central Pit and 1.0
grams of gold per tonne for the Southwest and Sarytor deposits. Underground resources occur below the open pit resources shell and are estimated based on a cut-off grade of 6.0 grams of gold per tonne. Further information concerning the Kumtor deposit, including key assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate mineral resources and reserves, as well as, political, environmental and other risks are described in Centerra’s most recently filed Annual Information Form and the Technical Report on the Kumtor Project, dated March 20, 2015 each of which has been filed on SEDAR.
(6) The open pit resources at Boroo are estimated as all material below the pit above a 0.5 grams of gold per tonne cut-off grade.(7) The open pit reserves and resources at Gatsuurt are estimated using a 1.4 grams of gold per tonne cut-off grade. Resources are estimated as all
material below the reserve pit above the 1.4 grams per tonne cutoff grade. Further information concerning the Gatsuurt deposit, including key assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate mineral resources and reserves, as well as, political, environmental and other risks are described in Centerra’s most recently filed Annual Information Form and the Technical Report on the Gatsuurt Project, dated May 9, 2006 each of which has been filed on SEDAR.
(8) The open pit resources at Ulaan Bulag are estimated on a cut-off grade of 0.8, 0.9 or 1.0 grams of gold per tonne depending on ore type and process method.
(9) The ATO open pit resources are estimated based on a Net Smelter Return (NSR) cut-off grade of $6.50 NSR per tonne for oxide mineralization and $25.50 NSR per tonne for sulphide mineralization
(10) The open pit reserves at Öksüt are estimated based on a 0.3 grams of gold per tonne cut-off grade. Open pit resources are constrained by a pit shell developed using a gold price of $1,450 per ounce and are estimated based on a 0.2 grams of gold per tonne cut-off grade. Further information concerning the Öksüt deposit, including key assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate mineral resources and reserves, as well as, political, environmental and other risks are described in Centerra’s most recently filed Annual Information Form and the Technical Report on the ÖksütProject, dated September 3, 2015 each of which has been filed on SEDAR.
(11) A conversion factor of 31.10348 grams per ounce of gold is used in the reserve and resource estimates. (12) Numbers may not add up due to rounding.(13) Inferred mineral resources have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence and as to whether they can be mined economically. It cannot be
assumed that all or part of the inferred resources will ever be converted to a higher category.
May 2016
Öksüt: Site Layout
May 2016 31
TSX: CGwww.centerragold.com