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Research Findings on SCHIP Funding Alternatives
National Poll of Seniors
July, 2007
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 2
MethodologyMethodology
Survey of Seniors: A survey of likely 2008 voters age 65 and over. Survey conducted July 26th – July 30th.
Sample Size: 603Margin of Error: ±4.0%
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 3
OutlineOutline
MEDICARE ADVANTAGE
CIGARETTE TAX
POLITICAL CONTEXT
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 4
OutlineOutline
MEDICARE ADVANTAGE
CIGARETTE TAX
POLITICAL CONTEXT
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 5
61 16
0 20 40 60 80
Medicare remains the third rail of politics. Medicare remains the third rail of politics.
Favor
Oppose
9
77
Strongly Moderately
Question:
One proposal currently in front of Congress would cut funding to Medicare to pay for the increase in funding for children’s health insurance.
Do you favor or oppose cutting Medicare to fund children’s health insurance?
Do you feel that way strongly or moderately?
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 6
47 16
0 20 40 60
Nearly two-thirds of all seniors would be less likely to vote for their congressman if he or she voted to cut funding for Medicare.
Nearly two-thirds of all seniors would be less likely to vote for their congressman if he or she voted to cut funding for Medicare.
More Likely
Less Likely
8
63
Much Somewhat
Question:
If your congressman voted to cut funding to Medicare to pay for fifty billion dollars in funding for children’s health insurance, would you be more or less likely to vote for him or her in 2008?
Is that much (MORE/LESS) likely or somewhat (MORE/LESS) likely?
No DiffNo Diff 5
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 7
OutlineOutline
MEDICARE ADVANTAGE
CIGARETTE TAX
POLITICAL CONTEXT
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 8
53
7
40Heard of Medicare Advantage
Unsure/refuse
Have not heard of Medicare Advantage
Only 40 percent of seniors have heard of Medicare Advantage, while 53 percent have not heard of the program.
Only 40 percent of seniors have heard of Medicare Advantage, while 53 percent have not heard of the program.
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 9
Seniors heard a balanced description of Medicare Advantage.Seniors heard a balanced description of Medicare Advantage.
Question: The part of Medicare that some people have proposed cutting is Medicare Advantage, a part of Medicare that is administered by private health insurance companies.
Medicare Advantage plans often have lower out-of-pocket costs for seniors. Medicare Advantage plans cover more services than traditional Medicare, often including vision, dental, and hearing benefits, as well as prescription drug coverage and better preventative care.
Medicare Advantage costs the federal government 12 percent more than traditional Medicare, meaning all of the other Medicare recipients pay about $2 more per month to cover these costs. Medicare Advantage is administered by private health insurance companies, leading to bigger profits for health insurance companies.
Do you favor or oppose cutting Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health insurance programs?
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 10
49 12
4 10
0 20 40 60 80
After hearing a balanced description, seniors opposed cutting Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health insurance. After hearing a balanced description, seniors opposed cutting Medicare Advantage to fund children’s health insurance.
14
61
Medicare Advantage EnrolleesMedicare Advantage Enrollees
28 12
1613
0 20 40 60 80
29
40
Non MA EnrolleesNon MA Enrollees
Favor
Oppose
Strongly Moderately
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 11
39 18
8 12
0 20 40 60
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
More Likely
Less Likely
20
57
No DiffNo Diff 5
24 14
12 14
0 20 40 60
26
38
8
Medicare Advantage EnrolleesMedicare Advantage Enrollees Non MA EnrolleesNon MA EnrolleesMuch Somewhat
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 12
SubgroupsSubgroups
• Union Members:
– Twenty-nine (29) percent of seniors identify as either current or former union members.
• AARP Members:
– Fifty-seven (57) percent of seniors say they are members of AARP.
• Low Income Voters:
– Twenty-seven (27) percent of seniors say their household income is less than $25,000 per year.
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 13
27 15
11 13
0 20 40 60
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, union members say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, union members say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
More Likely
Less Likely
24
42
No DiffNo Diff 8
29 15
12 11
0 20 40 60
23
44
7
All SeniorsAll Seniors Union MembersUnion Members
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 14
27 15
11 13
0 20 40 60
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, AARPmembers say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, AARPmembers say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
More Likely
Less Likely
24
42
No DiffNo Diff 8
28 16
9 15
0 20 40 60
24
44
8
All SeniorsAll Seniors AARP MembersAARP Members
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 15
27 15
11 13
0 20 40 60
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, low income seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
After hearing a balanced description of Medicare Advantage, low income seniors say they would be less likely to support a member of Congress who voted to cut Medicare Advantage in order to fund children’s health insurance.
More Likely
Less Likely
24
42
No DiffNo Diff 8
29 13
13 13
0 20 40 60
26
42
2
All SeniorsAll Seniors Income of Less than $25,000Income of Less than $25,000
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 16
OutlineOutline
MEDICARE ADVANTAGE
CIGARETTE TAX
POLITICAL CONTEXT
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 17
16
66
3
10
0 20 40 60 80
Over three-quarters of all seniors favor increasing the cigarette tax to fund children’s health insurance.Over three-quarters of all seniors favor increasing the cigarette tax to fund children’s health insurance.
Favor
Oppose
76
19
Strongly Moderately
Question:
Another proposal currently in front of Congress would raise the tax on cigarettes to pay for the increase in funding for children’s health insurance.
Do you favor or oppose raising the tax on cigarettes to fund children’s health insurance programs?
Do you feel that way strongly or moderately?
The Feldman Group, Inc. The Feldman Group, Inc. –– July 2007July 2007Slide 18
63 11
0 20 40 60 80
In order to fund SCHIP, nearly three-quarters of seniors would prefer raising the cigarette tax instead of cutting Medicare Advantage.
In order to fund SCHIP, nearly three-quarters of seniors would prefer raising the cigarette tax instead of cutting Medicare Advantage.
Increase Cig Tax
Cut Med Adv
74
5
Strongly Moderately
Question:
In order to fund children’s health insurance programs, would you rather your congressman voted to: (ROTATE)
Increase the cigarette tax by sixty-one cents to one dollar per pack
OR
Cut funding to Medicare Advantage?
Do you feel that way strongly or moderately?
NeitherNeither 12