meeting the challenge of change
DESCRIPTION
Presented to Campus Technology 2012, Boston, MA.TRANSCRIPT
Meeting the challenge of change: Historical models of transformation and lessons
for higher education
George Siemens, PhDJuly 18, 2012
Campus TechnologyBoston, MA
“…incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one…the perennial gale of creative destruction”
(Schumpeter, 1942)
Perez, 2010
Technical Economic
Cloud/SaaS Reduced state support
Social media Increased tuition costs
Mobiles Globalization
Multi-media (better bandwidth)
Internationalization
End-user control Commercialization
Online learning For-profit growth
Constant connectivity Greater competition
Metal workers: cylinders
SteamWheelsMotion
Transportation need
Viability
Scientific progress
Entrepreneurship
Regime transition thesis..(Freeman, Perez, 1988)
Education systems track the architecture of information of an era
To understand what tomorrow’s education system will look like, we have to understand the architecture of information today:how is it createdhow is it sharedhow is it iterated
how is it controlled?
Our education system faces information that is:
OpenAccessibleDistributedScalableSocialNetworkedSelf-organizedAdaptiveGlobalMultimedia-based
Understanding the attributes of your core products
The infrastructure and supporting system needed for developing and shipping CDs and records is very different from what is needed for digital music
Legacy
Contexts can change quickly,
the physical instantiation of ideas take longer to change
Why do we wear pants? What was the cost of not adopting pants?
Turchin, 2012
Where are the hats??
Why? Who
Robert Krulwich/NPR
Electrification of America
A network & ecosystem model of change
“a thousand threads that lead from the locomotive to the very beginning of the modern world”
Rosen, 2010
The power of an ecosystem
October, 2001
Courtesy of Apple
April, 2003
October, 2005
TV shows, music videos(September, 2006, full length movies)
January, 2007
Courtesy of Apple
Network theory of change
The integration of services provides the value for end users
What does this mean to education?
Fragmentation of integrated whole
When systems are distributed, alternative modes of integration are needed
Stasser-Titus (1985)
Challenge then is to create a new integrated whole
Creating integrated ecosystems:Content,Delivery,Assessment
(The integrator rules)
Tightly integrated systems are difficult to sustain
Complexity and specialized requires greater openness
Look at today’s MOOCs as stage one in the formation of an ecosystem
New economic value points in education
Jill: university student
Courtesy: Carol Yeager, CMC11
Paul: employed, upgrading
Julianne
Self-regulated, motivated learner
http://dilbert.com/strips/comic/2012-05-19/
gsiemens @gmailTwitterSkypeFBWherever
www.elearnspace.org
www.connectivism.ca
www.learninganalytics.net