mergers & acquisitions lec 1 27th jan

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    Mergers & Acquisitions

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    THE CHANGE FORCES

    The increased pace of M&A activity in

    recent years has reflected powerfulchange forces in the world economy.

    Ten change forces are identified

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    Ten change forces are identified:

    The forms, sources, and intensity of

    competition have expanded.

    New industries have emerged.

    While regulations have increased in

    some areas, deregulation has takenplace in other industries.

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    Ten change forces are identified:

    Favorable economic and financial

    environments have persisted from 1982

    to 1990 and from 1992 to mid-2000.

    Within a general environment of strong

    economic growth, problems have

    developed in individual economies and

    industries.

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    Overriding all are technological changes,

    which include personal computers,

    computer services, software, servers, and

    the many advances in information

    systems, including the Internet.

    Improvements in communication and

    transportation have created a globaleconomy. Nations have adoptedinternational agreements such as theGeneral Agreement on Tariffs and Trade(GATT) that have resulted in freer trade.

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    Operating Efficiency

    The next set of factors relates to efficiency

    of operations. Economies of scale spread

    the large fixed cost of investing in

    machinery or computer systems over a

    larger number of units.

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    Economies of Scope

    Economies of scope refer to cost reductions from

    operations in related activities.

    In the information industry, these wouldrepresent economies of activities in personal

    computer (PC) hardware, PC software, server

    hardware, server software, the Internet, and

    other related activities.

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    Combining Complementary

    Activities

    Another efficiency gain is achieved by

    combining complementary activities, for

    example, combining a company strong in

    research with one strong in marketing.

    Mergers to catch up technologically are

    illustrated by the series of acquisitions by

    AT&T.

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    Restructuring Organization

    Another major force stimulating M&A and

    restructuring activities comprises changes in

    industry organization.

    An example is the shift in the computer industry

    from vertically integrated firms to a horizontal

    chain of independent activities.

    Dell Computers, for example, has been very successful concentratingon PC sales with only limited activities in the many other segments ofthe value chain of the information industry.

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    The economic and financial environments

    have also been favorable for deal making.

    Strong economic growth, rising stock

    prices, and relatively low interest rates

    have favored internal growth as well as a

    range of M&A activities.

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    Individual entrepreneurship has

    responded to opportunities and, in turn,

    created further dynamism in industrial

    activities.

    Examples are Bill Gates at Microsoft, AndrewGrove at Intel, Jack Welch at General Electric,

    John Chambers at Cisco Systems, and BernieEbbers at MCI WorldCom, among the many.

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    CONSEQUENCES OF THE CHANGEFORCES

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    MERGER MOVEMENTS

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    MERGER MOVEMENTS

    The foregoing describes M&A activities beginning in1993,the fifth major merger movementthe era of strategicmegamergers.

    This M&A activity exists worldwide, not just in the U.S.

    economy. The forces in Europe have been similar to thefactors in the earlier merger movements in the United

    States. The four previous merger movements in theUnited States can be briefly summarized:

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    First Merger Movement1893 to 1904

    The merger movement at the turn of the century was associated

    with the completion of the transcontinental railroad system.

    It created the first common market. Europe is experiencing

    similar forces from its effort at integration.

    In relation to the gross domestic product (GDP), this merger

    movement in the United States has thus far been of greater

    magnitude than any others, so the merger forces in Europe

    are very strong. In the United States, major horizontal mergerstook place in steel, oil, telephone, and the basic manufacturing

    industries at the time.

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    Second Merger Movement1920s

    This period was characterized by an

    increase in vertical mergers.. Vertical

    mergers enabled manufacturers to

    control distribution channels more

    effectively.

    These were associated with the development of the radio, which made

    national advertising possible, and the automobile, which permitted more

    effective geographic sales and distribution organizations.

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    Third Merger Movement1960s

    The conglomerate mergers of the 1960srepresented in part an adjustment to the

    slowdown in defense expenditures. In every

    sample of conglomerates, at least one-halfof the companies were aerospace or natural

    resourcedepleting companies (oil,forest).

    Also at this time, industries like the food industries, hoping to avoid

    their growth being tied down to population growth, diversified.

    Much of the diversification at this time was ill advised as companies

    moved away from their core competencies.

    Also influencing this was the idea that a good manager, with the new

    planning literature, could manage anything.

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    Fourth Merger Movement1980s

    Financial innovations, junk bonds, made all firmsvulnerable to a takeover bid.

    Any company that was not performing up to itspotential could be taken over. Chemical Bank andDisney were both almost taken over.

    So the availability of high-risk financing stronglypropelled the 1980s and there was somedismantling of the diversification of the 1960s.

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    Each of the merger movements in the United States was

    driven by a different set of economic and development forces.

    But these movements did not occur randomly. A distinct group

    of change factors propelled each movement. In the fifth mergermovement described above, more than 50 percent of the M&A

    activity in a given year has been accounted for by five or six

    industries. However, the identity of the industries has varied at

    different time periods.

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    The industry characteristics related to

    strong M&A pressures can be summarized

    as follows:

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    1. Telecommunications. Technological

    change and deregulation in the United

    States and abroad (particularly Europe)

    have stimulated efforts to develop a global

    presence.

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    1. Telecommunications. Technological

    change and deregulation in the United

    States and abroad (particularly Europe)

    have stimulated efforts to develop a global

    presence.

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    2. Media (movies, records, magazines,

    newpapers). Technological changes have

    impacted the relationship between the

    content and delivery segments.

    There is potential overlap in the content of different media outlets. It is anattractive and glamorous industry (attracted Japanese investorsbeginning in late 1980s).

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    3. Financial (investment banks, commercial

    banks, insurance companies).

    Globalization of industries and firms

    requires financial services firms to go

    global to serve their clients.

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    5.Autos, oil and gas, industrial machinery.

    All face unique difficulties that give

    advantages to size, stimulating M&As to

    achieve critical mass. Autos face globalexcess capacity. Oil faces the uncertainty

    of price and supply instability due to

    actions of the OPEC cartel.

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    7. Food, retailing. It is hampered by slow

    growth. Food consumption will only grow

    at the rate of population growth.

    Expanding internationally offersopportunities to grow in new markets.

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    8. Natural resources, timber. Both face

    exhausting sources of supply. Problems

    exist in matching raw material supplies

    with manufacturing capacity.

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