metacash cash flow analysis, includes quick look exploration-style production prediction and cash...

15
META/CASH A Knowledge Based System For Formation Evalua Spectrum 2000 Mindware, Rocky Mountain House, AB, T4T 2A2 1-403-84 c. E.R. Crain, P.Eng. META/CASH HEADER DATA CLIENT NAME Spectrum 2000 Mindware Ltd ANALYST POOL/AREA Sample Alberta DATE WELL/PROJECT My Well ZONES WELL LOCATION 01-02-03-04W5 COMPUTATION Cash Flow Summary TESTED DOS FILE NAME 4METACSH <- 8 Char Only UNITS Alt>Edit>GoTo = Hel META/CASH ANALYSIS PARAMETERS Perf # Top Depth Bottom Depth Shots/meter 1.00 2152.00 meters 2154.00 meters 13.00 2.00 2160.00 meters 2162.00 meters 13.00 3.00 meters meters 4.00 meters meters 5.00 meters meters AS ON/OFF MID DEPTH PHIavg PERMavg 0.00 2153.00 meters 0.15 frac 42.80 0=Oil,1=Gas Fnter this data from the META/LOG META/CASH Raw Data comes from prior analysis of logs, core, or DST data with META/LOG, META/CORE, or META/DST Spreadsheets. All Costs have a depth dependent default. Use real costs if known. Set cost mul at 2.5 for 2002-2003. Cost formulae are based on 1985 USA averages.

Upload: leo-a-garcia

Post on 16-Apr-2017

220 views

Category:

Documents


4 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

META/CASH A Knowledge Based System For Formation Evaluation Spectrum 2000 Mindware, Rocky Mountain House, AB, T4T 2A2 1-403-845-2527

c. E.R. Crain, P.Eng. META/CASH HEADER DATA

CLIENT NAME Spectrum 2000 Mindware Ltd ANALYST

POOL/AREA Sample Alberta DATE

WELL/PROJECT My Well ZONES

WELL LOCATION 01-02-03-04W5

COMPUTATION Cash Flow Summary TESTED

DOS FILE NAME 4METACSH <- 8 Char Only UNITS

Alt>Edit>GoTo = Help META/CASH ANALYSIS PARAMETERS

Perf # Top Depth Bottom Depth Shots/meter

1.00 2152.00 meters 2154.00 meters 13.00

2.00 2160.00 meters 2162.00 meters 13.00

3.00 meters meters

4.00 meters meters

5.00 meters meters

GAS ON/OFF MID DEPTH PHIavg PERMavg

0.00 2153.00 meters 0.15 frac 42.80

0=Oil,1=Gas Fnter this data from the META/LOG "ESP" Spreadsheet

META/CASH Raw Data comes from prior analysis of logs, core, or DST data with

META/LOG, META/CORE, or META/DST Spreadsheets.

All Costs have a depth dependent default. Use real costs if known. Set cost multiplier

at 2.5 for 2002-2003. Cost formulae are based on 1985 USA averages.

Page 2: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

META/CASH RAW DATA and DECLINE ANALYSIS

11-36-72-8W6SUMMARY OF COMPUTED RESULTS

Compute with-----------------v Initl Deliverability Recoverable Reserves

Log Analysis 1 22 m3/d

Core Analysis 0 30 m3/d

DST Analysis (Horner) 0 12 m3/d

Max Rate Limit (Alta) 0 16 m3/d

Actual Prod - Year 1 0 18 m3/d

User Defined 0 26 m3/d

COST MULTIPLIER 2.50 Plains=2.5 Foothills=5 NWT=7 Arctic/Offshore=12

# OF WELLS/POOL 1 2005-2006 Estimated Multipliers

INITIAL DELIVERABILITY RECOVERABLE RESERVES

22 m3/d 54 000 m3

INITIAL FLOW RATE CONSTANT RATE RESERVES

22 m3/d 0 000 m3

ECONOMIC LIMIT DECLINE RATE RESERVES

2 m3/d 54 000 m3

INSTANTANEOUS DECLINE RATE ANNUAL DECLINE RATE

-0.14 frac -0.13 frac

ANNUAL PRICE ESCALATION ANNUAL EXPENSE ESCALATION

0.08 frac 0.05 frac

LIFTING COST OPERATING COST

151.89 $/m3 10432 $/month

ROYALTY RATE or SCHEDULE OVERRIDE ROYALTY

1.00 frac <-- 0.xx = Fixed 0.00 frac

1 = Alberta

2 = Sask PROD START DATE

3 = BC 2014

CDN EXCH RATE

Useful Conversions: bbl * 0.159 = m3

Page 3: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow
Page 4: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

META/LOG CONSTANTS A Knowledge Based System For Formation Evaluation Spectrum 2000 Mindware, Rocky Mountain House, AB, T4T 2A2 1-403-845-2527 METRIC CONVR VSHMAX

15Dec2005 Used English Metric frac

1.00 0.00 1.00

E. R. Crain, P.Eng. 21.50 6.70 21.50 0.40

41782.70 3914 1.80 1.00 1.80 0.00

MyZone1 32.00 0.00 32.00 0.40

MyZone3 3.28 1.00 3.28 0.0

OIL 0.30 1.00 0.30 41.00

M (MorE) 2650.00 2.65 2650

2710.00 2.71 2710

1.00 0.16 1.00 DON'T MESS WITH THESE NUMBERS

1.00 0.03 1.00

Shots/meter Treats 1000.00 1.00 1000

Acid Wash 2149.00 162.60 2149

Cem Sqz 2.15 162.60 2.15

273.00 460 273

0.00 0.01 0.00

1.31 1424 1.31

feet 1.51 1637 1.51

us/ft 101.35 14.65 101.4

psi 175.87 4.53 175.9

Net Pay Mcf/d meters feet meters

md 3.80 meters gm/cc us/m us/ft us/m

Fnter this data from the META/LOG "ESP" Spreadsheet inches KPa psi KPa

'F m3/d bbl/d m3/d

English Kg/m3 gm/cc Kg/m3

md-ft mm inches mm

mcf 'C 'F 'C

$/mcf Metric English Metric

bbl/psi md-m md-ft md-m

META/CASH Raw Data comes from prior analysis of logs, core, or DST data with MMcf m3 bbl m3

Mcf/d $/m3 $/bbl $/m3

cu.ft. m3/KPa bbl/psi m3/KPa

All Costs have a depth dependent default. Use real costs if known. Set cost multiplier Gas 1000bbl 1000bbl 1000bbl

10^6m3 bbl/d bbl/d bbl/d

m3 bbl m3

Oil Oil Oil

Page 5: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

10^3m3 10^3m3 10^3m3

__________________________________________________________

META/CASH RAW DATA and DECLINE ANALYSIS

End Prod- Income

Initl Deliverability Recoverable Reserves Year Of uction After

54 000 m3 # Year m3 Royalty

39 000 m3 *1000 --------------- $ x 1000 ---------------

54 000 m3 2013

54 000 m3 1 2014 7 2094

54 000 m3 2 2015 6 2014

54 000 m3 3 2016 5 1939

4 2017 5 1870

Plains=2.5 Foothills=5 NWT=7 Arctic/Offshore=12 5 2018 4 1806

6 2019 4 1747

7 2020 3 1694

ECONOMIC LIFE 8 2021 3 1645

17.74 years 9 2022 3 1601

10 2023 2 1564

CONSTANT LIFE 11 2024 2 1543

0.00 years 12 2025 2 1514

13 2026 2 1479

DECLINE LIFE 14 2027 1 1440

17.74 years 15 2028 1 1397

16 2029 1 1352

MONTHLY RATE 17 2030 1 1306

-0.01 frac 18 2031 1 1258

19 2032 1 1211

DISCOUNT RATE 20 2033 0 0

0.15 frac

CASH FLOW RESULTS: DRILL, COMPL & TIEIN

1643 $x1000 Total Production at Economic Limit

Present Value of Production

WORKING INTEREST Capital Costs

1.00 frac Net Present Value Of Well

Net Present Value - Working Interest Share $

PRODUCT PRICE CDN Well Pays Out After

60.00 433.96 $/m3 Internal Rate Of Return

1.15 Discount Rate (Mid Year Discounting)

mcf * 28.3 = m3

Page 6: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow
Page 7: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

META/LOG CONSTANTS

PHIMIN SWMAX PRMmin

frac frac md

0.00 1.00 0.00

0.00 0.50 0.00

0.00 0.30 0.00

to 99999 Depthcut

Start line#

DON'T MESS WITH THESE NUMBERS

Page 8: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

META/CASH FINAL RESULTS *

* Costs Net Discounted Prod

Fixed Lifting Incone Annual Cum'l

--------------- $ x 1000 ---------------

-1643 -1643 1643

128 1101 864 806 -837 1643 7076

135 1019 860 697 -140 1643 6236

141 943 855 603 463 1643 5495

148 872 849 520 983 1643 4842

156 807 843 449 1432 1643 4267

164 747 837 388 1820 1643 3760

172 691 831 335 2155 1643 3314

180 639 825 289 2444 1643 2920

190 592 820 250 2694 1643 2573

199 548 818 217 2911 1643 2268

209 507 827 191 3102 1643 1998

219 469 826 166 3267 1643 1761

230 434 815 142 3409 1643 1552

242 401 796 121 3530 1643 1367

254 371 772 102 3632 1643 1205

267 344 742 85 3717 1643 1062

280 318 708 71 3787 1643 936

294 294 670 58 3845 1643 825

309 272 630 47 3893 1643 727

0 0 0 0 0 1643 640

54 000 m3

$ 5536 000

$ 1643 000

$ 3893 000

3893 000

0 Years

IRR Seed 1.00 0.35 fractional

0.15 fractional

Page 9: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow
Page 10: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow
Page 11: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

INTERMEDIATE RESULTS

Econ ROYALTIES COSTS

Limit ALTA SASK BC Gross Fixed Lift

Test

7076 0 0 0 2094 128 1101

6236 0 0 0 2014 135 1019

5495 0 0 0 1939 141 943

4842 0 0 0 1870 148 872

4267 0 0 0 1806 156 807

3760 0 0 0 1747 164 747

3314 0 0 0 1694 172 691

2920 0 0 0 1645 180 639

2573 0 0 0 1601 190 592

2268 0 0 0 1564 199 548

1998 0 0 0 1543 209 507

1761 0 0 0 1514 219 469

1552 0 0 0 1479 230 434

1367 0 0 0 1440 242 401

1205 0 0 0 1397 254 371

1062 0 0 0 1352 267 344

936 0 0 0 1306 280 318

825 0 0 0 1258 294 294

727 0 0 0 1211 309 272

0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0.00

0 0 0 #VALUE!

Page 12: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow
Page 13: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow
Page 14: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow

*

*

Payout

TRUE

TRUE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

FALSE

Page 15: METACASH Cash Flow Analysis, Includes Quick Look Exploration-style Production Prediction and Cash Flow