metals and mining fund investor presentation
TRANSCRIPT
Metals and Mining Fund
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
3rd quarter, 2021
0201 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
W ELCOME
The fund will purchase physical gold bullion with investor’s subscription proceeds at prevailing market prices.
The fund may also “contribute” certified physical gold at prevailing market prices to subscribe for units in the fund.
The fund will then seek up to 60% loan value against the physical bullion for proceeds to implement The Strategy in Dragon Dynamic Metals and Mining Fund (a regulated Bermuda fund).
DISCLAIMER OPPORTUNITY
COMBINING SECURITY WITH LEVERAGE IN THE COMMODITIES BULL MARKET
SWITZERLANDThe domicile of the Fund is Bermuda. The Representative of the Fund in Switzerland is OpenFunds Investment Services AG, with its registered office at Seefeldstrasse 35, CH-8008 Zurich, Tel +41 44 500 31 08, www.open-funds.ch. The Paying Agent in Switzerland is Società Bancaria Ticinese SA, Piazza Collegiata 3, 6501 Bellinzona, Tel. +41 91 821 51 21, Fax. + 41 91 825 66 18, www.bancaria.ch. The distribution of Shares of the Fund in Switzerland must be made exclusively to Qualified Investors. The place of performance and jurisdiction for the Shares of the Fund distributed in Switzerland is at the registered office of the Representative. Publications to Swiss investors in respect of the Shares of the Fund are effected from the Representative.
USAThis presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to sell any of the securities in the United States. The securities have not been and will not be registered under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "U.S. Securities Act") or any state securities laws and may not be offered or sold within the United States or to U.S. Persons unless registered under the U.S. Securities Act and applicable state securities laws or an exemption from such registration is available.
UKThis presentation is being made only to and is directed only at: Persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the "Order"); or high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as "relevant persons").
CANADAThis presentation contains "forward looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation. Forward looking information includes without limitation, statements regarding the proposed use of the proceeds of the financing, the receipt of all necessary approvals, demand and market outlook for metals, future metal prices and treatment and refining charges, the size and quality of investee companies’ mineral resources, progress in development of investee companies’ mineral properties, their future production and sales volumes, their capital and mine production costs, the financial results of the company and the investee companies, the future financial or operating performance of the company and investee companies, the prospective mineralization of the investee companies’ properties, and the availability and likelihood of future acquisitions and dispositions. Generally, forward looking information can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "plans", "expects" or "does not expect", "is expected", "budget", "scheduled", "estimates", "forecasts", "intends", "anticipates" or "does not anticipate", or "believes", or variations of such words and phrases or state that certain actions, events or results "may", "could", "would", "might" or "will be taken", "occur" or "be achieved". Forward-looking information is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the company and its investee companies to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information, including but not limited to: general business, economic, competitive, geopolitical and social uncertainties; the actual results of current exploration activities; acquisition risks; and other risks of the mining industry. Although the company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking information, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimated or intended. There can be no assurance that such information will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward looking information. The company does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.
0403 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
DR AGON
DY N A MIC
A DV IS ORS S . A .
Email: [email protected]: +1-617-922-1117
J. A. MICHIE
President of Dragon Dynamic Advisors S.A.
INVESTMENT ADVISORS
J. A. Michie is an international businessman with extensive experience in asset management, metals and mining investments. His family operated a successful gold mine in Canada in the 1980’s.
Over many decades he has developed excellent contacts in the precious metals, junior resource development and mining spaces.
He has assembled a very successful
group of industry experts who he will utilize to gain valuable insights into investment decisions for the fund. The strategy is driven on a re-emphasis on value investing.
There will be three major focuses in the fund: world class precious metal producers, well researched early stage mining projects, and global leaders in emerging battery metals companies.
WORLD CLASS PRECIOUS METALS PRODUCERS
WELL-RESEARCHED EARLY STAGE MINING PROJECTS
GLOBAL LEADERS IN EMERGING BATTERY METALS COMPANIES
0605 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
FUND
S T R AT EGY:
SEEK
OPP OR T UNI T YOPPORTUNITY & LEVERAGE WEIGHTED RISK
AND RETURN
Investing in private and public junior to mid-tier mining company M&A targets and strategic short and long term positions in North America markets.
Taking advantage of the opportunities that exist in the metals exploration and mining sector in precious metals, copper and other battery related metals.
Frequent access to direct investments into exploration properties or private companies prior to public listing provides leverage to projects of merit.
Expertise to conduct due diligence in-house and to take a private company or project public if warranted.
Lower Risk High Risk
Focus on companies with strong technical merits, cash flow and proven management teams. Look for opportunities to acquire at compelling valuations.
Identify companies with assets that are
growing or advancing, allowing for future re-rating leading to significant returns.
Leverage opportunity and technical skill
sets to identify and position the fund into earlier stage assets that have potential to grow
and fundamentally shift current market
perception of assets.
0807 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
MANAGEMENT STRATEGY
Investment maximum of 20% of Fund NAV in a single company.
Rebalancing the portfolio should see any single investment grow to +60% of NAV.
Maintain a cash position of minimum 10% NAV.
Investments in private companies will include a bonus payment for the the fund for a delayed liquidity event.
Jurisdiction risk will be evaluated against geological potential and anticipated returns.
1009 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
A DV ISED BY INDUSTRY EXPERTS
Complementary skill sets that span the globe and cover the spectrum of metals. A strong mix of technical, financial and corporate skills underpin the Dragon Dynamic team’s expertise.
DR. ANDREW RAMCHARANPhD, P.Eng, FAusIMM
LEO HATHAWAYP.Geo
Chief Geologist, Lumina Group
1211 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
NORTHERNPERU COPPER
GLOBALCOPPER
LUMINACOPPER CORP
REGALITOCOPPER
LUMINAROYALTY CORP.
LUMINAROYALTY CORP.
Galeno–9.5Blbs CuPashpap–1.4Blbs CuSold Jan 2008 $455M
Relincho–9.9BlbsSold Aug 2008 $425M
TacaTaca–2.2BlbsSold Aug 2014 $470M
Regalito–7.2Blbs CuSold May 2006 $137M
Sold Sep 2011 $66M
Hushamu–1.4Blbs CuCasino –4.7Blbs CuSold Dec 2006 $28M
LUMINA COPPEREXPERIENCE
In early 2004 Mr. Hathaway joined Lumina Copper as VP Exploration during the Company’s project acquisition phase. He managed key technical aspects of acquisitions, exploration and development
Lumina Copper was “star-burst” into four daughter companies in 2006.
All four companies were acquired between 2006 and 2010 leaving one remaining project, TacaTaca.
A private company combining royalties on 4 of the projects was sold in 2011 to Franco-Nevada.
TacaTacawas acquired by First Quantum in 2014.
LEO HATHAWAYP.GeoProject Evaluation Expert
Leo’s passion is wealth creation in the exploration and mining industry and has been involved in creating more than $2B in value.
Leo initiated and continues to direct a private copper exploration company in Poland that raised $100M privately and also recognized the value in Odin Mining, of which he participated in acquiring 80% of for $5M. The re-named company, Lumina Gold (And SpinCo Luminex), is now valued at more than $220M combined.
Leo was a partner and advisor to Lumina Capital LP, a 5-year private fund initiated with $30M and liquidated for $240M. Amongst the investments made were Ventana Gold in Colombia, where 3.5M ounces of gold were recovered and sold for $1.54B.
At Lumina he spent 11 years managing technical aspects of the Lumina Copper and daughter companies, five major transactions totaling $1.6B
Management and evaluation experience combine for a deep understanding of the ingredients for a successful mining investment at all scales..
Mr. Hathaway is a highly respected geologist who graduated from Plymouth University with a BSc. (Hons) in Geology and an MSc. in Mineral Exploration from the Royal School of Mines, Imperial College, London. He obtained a P. Geo from the Association of Professional Geoscientists of Ontario and is a partner of the Lumina Group.
Prior to his involvement with the Lumina group of companies, he spent 10 years working for Inmet Mining, where he worked on the Antamina feasibility study in Peru, was involved in global evaluations and managed exploration programs in Latin America, Europe and Australia. Mr. Hathaway spent 8 years living in Latin America and is fluent in Spanish.
He has managed and evaluated a wide range of projects in various commodities in over 50 countries at all stages: grassroots, advanced, developed, and production.
1413 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
PROJECT EVALUATIONEXPERT
Dr. Andrew J. Ramcharan (PhD, P.Eng, FAusIMM) has extensive knowledge, experience and contacts in the mining industry. His experiences include due diligence in over 300 projects globally and a wide range of commodities. A graduate of both the Colorado School of Mines and Harvard Continuing Education Business School, Dr. Ramcharan brings a unique skillset to the table from a technical and a financial standpoint. He will provide invaluable insight for the Investment Manager.
He has previously assisted directly in putting 4 major mines in production while at Dynatec and IAMGOLD, and has been involved in two takeovers worth $800M and $1B. Furthermore, he has helped to facilitate the sale process of two major projects with a combined value of over $400M.
DR. ANDREW J .RAMCHARANPhD, P.Eng, FAusIMM
Industry Expert
A strong mix of technical, financial and corporate skills underpin Dragon Dynamic’s expertise
Dr. Ramcharan’s objectives and goals are value creation in the mining industry, in which he has been instrumental in creating more than $4B in value
At IAMGOLD he managed all technical aspects of the Company’s M&A Strategy and IAMGOLD’s valuation grew to over $4B.
Dr. Ramcharan is a highlyregarded and respected Bay StreetExecutive, with a strong educationalbackground and a well-connectednetwork in the mining industryglobally.
He is a member of the Professional Engineers of Ontario, in addition to being a Fellow of both the Australian Institute of Mining and Metallurgy (FAusIMM) and the South African Institution of Mining and Metallurgy (FSAIMM)
Dr. Ramcharan has a deep understanding of the necessary components of a successful mining investment project at all scalable levels, due in part to his experience in management and project evaluation.
He has previously worked in Colorado at Resource Capital Funds generating project evaluations for investment strategies, and with SRK Consulting preparing numerous NI43-101 reports for multiple commodities and financial analysis.
Dr. Ramcharan has evaluated projects at all stages: grassroots, advanced, development and production across a wide range of commodities and in over 60 countries.
Most recently, Dr. Ramcharan’s achievements include a Senior Management position at ROSCAN Gold (ROS), where he was instrumental in increasing their market valuation from $15M to over $180M over the course of just 12 months. He spearheaded a fundraising campaign at ROSCAN which raised $35M, in addition to offering technical and financial assessments of ROSCAN’s gold project on site in Mali.
Prior to joining ROSCAN, Dr. Ramcharan held a Senior Management position at IAMGOLD and Sprott, where he assessed investments and was directly responsible for facilitating and deploying $500M in investments. He has also lectured extensively at the University of Toronto on the topics of Mineral Resource and Reserve Estimation.
1615 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
INVESTMENT TERMS
Minimal Participation Amount
CHF 100'000(extra participations as of CHF 50'000)
No Redemption Charge After 2 Years
Up to 15% before that
Subscription/Redemption
QUARTERLY
Management Fee
2% of total AUM
Performance Fee & Hurdle Rate Structure
20% if above 6% hurdle rate
High Watermark
PERPETUAL
FUND SERVICE PROVIDERS
Legal Counsel
Conyers Dill & Pearman.www.conyers.com
Administrator
Centaur Fund Services (Bermuda) Limited
www.centaurfs.com
NAV Calculation Agent
Centaur Fund Services (Bermuda) Limited
www.centaurfs.com
Bullion purchase, storage and Lombard loans
Banque Heritage Ltdwww.heritage.ch
Company Secretary
Conyers Corporate Serviceswww.conyers.com
Escrow Bank
Escrow & Custody:Northern Trust
www.northerntrust.com
Registrar and Transfer Agent
Centaur Fund Services (Bermuda) Limited
www.centaurfs.com
Securities custody
Canaccord Genuity Group Incwww.canaccordgenuity.com
Swiss Legal Representative
OpenFundsInvestment Services AG
www.open-funds.ch
Auditors
Richey May & Co. LLPwww.richeymay.com
Metals and Mining Fund
APPENDIXInvestment Opportunity Analysis
www.dragondynamicfp.com
2019 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
A DV ISED BY THE CASE FOR GOLD
Gold has become an undervalued resource due to short-term competition for investment. S&P stocks, marijuana stocks and cryptocurrency have become popular alternatives.
Global geopolitical instability and the reality of international trade and currency wars will have a positive effect on the gold price.
Major mining companies will have an increased appetite for merger and acquisition of smaller companies with quality assets. Additional increased real and option value of gold exploration and development assets, both public and private.
Medium to high grade gold assets in low to medium risk jurisdictions with low technical risk will be ideal prospects and preferentially acquired by the fund.
GOLD MINERS BULLISHPERCENT INDEX
Due to ever increasing government deficits caused in part by the COVID-19 crisis, previous and recently enacted fiscal policies the demand for physical gold is increasing dramatically. Bank of America recently forecasted the price of gold bullion to rise above USD $2000 per ounce in 2021.
2221 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
TIME FROM DISCOVERY TO PRODUCTION INCREASING
US PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN MINING EXPLORATION
FIXED INVESTMENT IN MINING EXPLORATION SHAFTS & WELLS IN USD BILLIONS
DECLINING METAL SUPPLY
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis
19
58
19
60
19
63
19
65
19
68
19
70
19
73
19
75
19
78
19
80
19
83
19
85
19
88
19
90
19
93
19
95
19
98
20
00
20
03
20
05
20
08
20
10
20
13
20
15
20
18
20
20
500
0
100
200
300
400
Peak of the commodities boom
Declining metal supply
Increased Risks of Production : Social Environmental Financial Political Technical
30
15
5
0
Average # of Years from Discovery to Production
20
10
25 Today
19
85
20
17
*
19
86
19
87
19
88
19
89
19
90
19
91
19
92
19
93
19
94
19
95
19
96
19
97
19
98
19
99
20
00
20
01
20
02
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
11
20
12
20
13
20
14
*
20
15
*
20
16
*
20
19
*
20
18
*
2423 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
MANY TRENDS INDICATE A BULL MARKET FOR GOLD
Source: Murenbeeld& Co., LBMA, WSJ, Bloomberg, World Bank, McKinsey Global Institute
Source: SNL Metals Economics Group;GoldcorpSource: Concensusestimates, Includes CPM Group, GFMS and Metals Focus
THE AMOUNT OF NEGATIVE YIELDING DEBT CONTINUES TO RISE, CONSEQUENTLY THE PRICE REMAINS STRONG.
G OL D SUPPLY: PRODUCTION DECLINE INDICATED BY DECLINING DISCOVERIESPEAK GOLD PRODUCTION IN 2015?
150
125
100
75
50
25
01990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
$0
$1,200
$2,400
$3,600
$4,800
$6,000
$7,200
3-y
ea
r ru
nn
ing
avg
Au
dis
co
vere
d (
mo
z)
Gra
ssro
ots
+ 7
5%
of
late
-sta
ge
exp
lora
tio
n
bu
dg
ets
(U
S$
M)
Peak Discovery(1)
An
nu
al P
rod
uc
tio
n (
mo
z)
100
95
90
85
80
75
702003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024
Peak Production(2)
23
150
125
100
75
50
25
01990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011
$0
$1,200
$2,400
$3,600
$4,800
$6,000
$7,200
3-y
ea
r ru
nn
ing
avg
Au
dis
co
vere
d (
mo
z)
Gra
ssro
ots
+ 7
5%
of
late
-sta
ge
exp
lora
tio
n
bu
dg
ets
(U
S$
M)
Peak Discovery(1)
An
nu
al P
rod
uc
tio
n (
mo
z)
100
95
90
85
80
75
702003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024
Peak Production(2)
23
2625 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
G OL D SUPPLY: G OL D SUPPLY:
DROP IN
E X PLOR AT ION
E X PENDI T URE S
DISCOVERY OF LARGE SCALE DEPOSITS HAVE BECOME INCREASINGLY MORE DIFFICULT FOR JUNIOR GOLD COMPANIES IN RECENT YEARS.
APPROXIMATELY 60% OF MINES HAVE BEEN MINING ABOVE THEIR RESERVE GRADE, ACCELERATING RATES OF DEPLETION.
RESERVES BY MAJOR GOLD COMPANIES HAS DECLINED 26% SINCE 2012 AND ARE NOW BELOW 2007 LEVELS
PRODUCTION DECLINE INDICATED BY DECLINING DISCOVERIES
HIGH GRADING OF DEPOSITS IS DEPLETING GOLD RESERVES
Source: SNL Metals Economics Group; GoldcorpSource: Concensus estimates, Includes CPM Group, GFMS and Metals Focus
Gold discovered, 1970-2017, million ounces Au
24
Moderate (0.1-1 Moz) Major (1-6 Moz) Giant (>6 Moz)
Source: SNL Metals Economics Group; GoldcorpSource: Concensus estimates, Includes CPM Group, GFMS and Metals Focus
Gold discovered, 1970-2017, million ounces Au
24
Moderate (0.1-1 Moz) Major (1-6 Moz) Giant (>6 Moz)
Source: SNL Metals Economics Group;GoldcorpSource: Concensusestimates, Includes CPM Group, GFMS and Metals Focus
Mill head grade 2016, percent
Mill head grade > Reserve gradeMill head grade < Reserve gradeMill head grade = Reserve grade
79
0
83
0
84
9 89
8 95
9
96
7
86
0
81
8
76
6
74
4
71
3
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Reserves by major companies, 2007-17, million ounces Au
26%
25
Mill head grade 2016, percent
Mill head grade > Reserve gradeMill head grade < Reserve gradeMill head grade = Reserve grade
79
0
83
0
84
9 89
8 95
9
96
7
86
0
81
8
76
6
74
4
71
3
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Reserves by major companies, 2007-17, million ounces Au
26%
25
2827 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
THE CASE FOR SILVER SILVER SUPPLY
Silver usually trades at a ratio of 60:1with gold
In bullish markets that gap can close to 40:1
Silver market set to close gap fast and leveraged silver companies are in short supply.
26
01/01/2016 01/07/2016 01/01/2017 01/07/2017 01/01/2018 01/01/2018 01/01/2019
79
0,8 8
23
,7 86
8 89
3
88
7,4
85
6,9
86
7
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
MMiinnee pprroodduuccttiioonn aannnnuuaallllyy ((oozz ssiillvveerr))
Production shows modest to flat growth through 2019 and beyond as exploration shortfall impacts future supply
27
3029 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
SILVER DEMAND THE CASE FOR COPPER
DEMAND FOR SILVER IS ONLY INCREASING AS AN INVESTMENT TOOL AND THROUGH COMMERCIAL APPLICATIONS FOR SILVER
WHEN THE US DOLLAR TURNS
28
28
Demand for silver coins soaring in last two years in pace with growing demand in solar and automotive
29
3231 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
COPPER SUPPLY
PRODUCTION AND GRADE DECLINE
NON-OECD DEMAND GROWTH FORECAST AT
+3.6% PER ANNUAL TO 2032
INCLUDES CHINESE DEMAND GROWTH
+2.6% O.A.TO 2030 AND BEYOND
INTENSITY OF COPPER USE IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN CHINA
Underground copper gradeOpen pit copper grade
Underground copper productionOpen pit copper production
Copper production from Open Pit and Underground mines
Pro
du
cti
on
(Mt)
Ave
rag
e g
rad
e (
Cu
%)
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
02000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
COPPER
DEM A ND:DRIVEN BY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
CCooppppeerr iinntteennssiittyy eexxppeecctteedd ttoo iinnccrreeaassee iinn CChhiinnaa 22
kg/capita
40
30
20
10
0
0 20 40 60
GDP per Capita, US$’000 2010 PPP1
US, 1960-2010 Japan, 1960-2010 Germany, 1960-2010
Korea, 1971-2010 China, 1980-2015 India, 1980-2015
31
3433 3r d q uar te r, 2021M E TA L S A N D M I N I N G F U N D
Metals and Mining Fund
SHARES IN PRECIOUS METALS COMPANIES ARE POISED TO MOVE HIGHER
U.S. SMALL CAPS RELATIVE TO LARGE CAPS SINCE (1925)
32
The shares in precious metal companies are poised to move higher.
500
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
De
c-2
5
De
c-3
0
De
c-3
5
De
c-4
0
De
c-4
5
De
c-5
0
De
c-5
5
De
c-6
0
De
c-6
5
De
c-7
0
De
c-7
5
De
c-8
0
De
c-8
5
De
c-9
0
De
c-9
5
De
c-0
0
De
c-0
5
De
c-1
0
De
c-1
5
De
c-2
0
Norma lized: Dec- 1925=10 0Sha ded a rea is U.S. Recession
Uptrend: Sma ll ca ps outperformDown Trend: La rge ca ps outperform
Performance based on Ibboston SC TR index from 1925 to 1978 & Russell 200 (TR) thereafter.Source: Scotiabank GBM Portfolio Strategy, Morningstar, Shiller
CONTACT
Metals and Mining Fund
CONTACT: J. A.MichieTELEPHONE: +1-617-922-1117EMAIL: [email protected]