m&g income allocation fund webcast december 2014 jonathan willcocks, managing director - global...
TRANSCRIPT
M&G Income Allocation Fund Webcast
December 2014
Jonathan Willcocks, Managing Director - Global Head of Retail Sales
2
Fund factsM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 30 November 2014.*ISIN is for euro accumulation A share class
Launch: November 2013
Fund manager: Steven Andrew, since launch
Deputy manager: Juan Nevado
Fund size: €508 million
Sector: Morningstar EUR Moderate Allocation Global Sector Average
ISIN: GB00BBCR3283*
3
Performance since launchM&G Income Allocation Fund
Total return* and capital-only performance
Source: Morningstar Inc., 28 November 2014. Euro A class shares, price to price. Total return: accumulation shares, net income reinvested. Capital-only: income shares, capital-only, income distributed and not reinvested. Both series are rebased to 100 as at 7 November 2013.
Nov-1
3
Dec-1
3
Jan-
14
Feb-1
4
Mar
-14
Apr-1
4
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-14
Nov-1
496
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
Total return Capital-only
Ind
ex,
re
ba
sed
to 1
00
+13.3%
+9.6%
*The combination of income and growth of capital
4
Steven AndrewBiography
• Steven joined M&G in 2005 as a member of the Portfolio Strategy & Risk team, before moving to the Multi Asset team, where he helped to formulate asset allocation strategies for M&G’s multi-asset fund range
• In November 2010, he was appointed manager of the M&G Episode Income Fund. Three years later, he became manager of the M&G Income Allocation Fund upon its launch
• Prior to joining M&G, Steven worked at F&C Asset Management, Merrill Lynch and the Bank of England
• He graduated from the University of London in 1997 with a degree in financial economics
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Steven Andrew, Fund Manager
December 2014
6
Agenda
Global market perspectives
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Fund proposition
Investment philosophy & fund positioning
7
Valuation signals are clearEquities, still attractive
Source: Datastream, 27 November 2014. Equity proxy is S&P 500
-3%
-1%
1%
3%
5%
7%
9%
11%
Equity
10-year US Treasury
Cash
US prospective real yields
8
The factsBusiness confidence is improving
Source: Bloomberg, 30 November 2014
UK
US
EuropeChina
Purchasing managers’ indices
Dec-0
630
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
Ind
ex
9
The factsInflation remains low
Source: Datastream, 15 October 2014
Dec-0
6
May
-07
Sep-0
7
Feb-0
8
Jul-0
8
Nov-0
8
Apr-0
9
Sep-0
9
Feb-1
0
Jun-
10
Nov-1
0
Apr-1
1
Aug-1
1
Jan-
12
Jun-
12
Oct-12
Mar
-13
Aug-1
3
Jan-
14
May
-14
Oct-14
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
USUKEurope
China
Inflation – Consumer Prices Index
10
The factsPolicy makers are still accommodative
Source: Bloomberg, 28 November 2014
Base rates at all time lows
Base rates still at all time lows
Jan-
07
Apr-0
7
Jul-0
7
Oct-07
Jan-
08
Apr-0
8
Jul-0
8
Oct-08
Jan-
09
Apr-0
9
Jul-0
9
Oct-09
Jan-
10
Apr-1
0
Jul-1
0
Oct-10
Jan-
11
Apr-1
1
Jul-1
1
Oct-11
Jan-
12
Apr-1
2
Jul-1
2
Oct-12
Jan-
13
Apr-1
3
Jul-1
3
Oct-13
Jan-
14
Apr-1
4
Jul-1
4
Oct-14
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
UK US Europe
11
Why multi-asset for incomeTraditional sources of income
Source: Datastream, Bloomberg, M&G, 31 October 2014
Risks of seeking income from a single asset class are low returns and high volatility
Asset class yields
1999
1999
2000
2000
2001
2001
2002
2003
2003
2004
2004
2005
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011
2012
2013
2013
2014
2014
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
European corporate bonds German 10-year bundsMSCI World Index (dividend yield) Cash (euribor)
12
Why multi-asset for incomeCombining the benefits of different sources of income
Risk of capital volatility and loss
Static coupon
Potential for regularly accruing income
Bonds
−−+
Risk of capital volatility and loss
Dividend uncertainty and calendar effects
Potential for growing distributions
Equity
−−+
Asset allocation aims to mitigate volatility and
offer potential to generate capital return+
Potential for regularly accruing income+Potential for growing distributions+Multi-
asset
13
Agenda
Global market perspectives
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Fund proposition
Investment philosophy & fund positioning
14
Proposition: income and capital growth
• Designed to use the flexibility of multi-asset investing to generate:
*4% is a gross target yield and represents the fund’s total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the current share price before tax. Please note that this is not guaranteed and may be revised in the future. The ongoing charge is taken from investments held in the fund’s portfolio and not from the income these investments produce. **This is approximately half the volatility of equities over the long term
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Uses a similar investment approach as a current UK fund with a 3-year track record
Income yield* of 4% pa distributed monthly
Capital growth of 2% to 4% pa over the long term
And volatility between 4% and 10% pa over the long term**
15
Diversified sources of income
Source: M&G, 10 November 2014. *Expected income for the next 12 months
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Asset class Contribution to distribution* Average yield
Equity 1.9% 3.7%
Corporate bonds 0.4% 4.5%
Mainstream government bonds 0.4% 2.6%
Non-mainstream government bonds 1.4% 5.9%
Total 4.1% 4.2%
16
Asset allocation to navigate a volatile environmentPast performance of a UK-based fund with a similar investment approach
This UK-based fund is not available to European investors. European investors can invest in the EUR share class of the M&G Income Allocation Fund. Both funds are managed by Steven Andrew. The UK fund may invest in physical property, while the European version, being UCITS, may not. The UK-based fund has a minimum exposure of 70% to GBP, while the European version has a minimum exposure of 70% to EUR. These are internal guidelines and are subject to change. The past performance of the UK-based fund has been included purely to illustrate the fund manager's investment approach for an existing fund. The provision of this information should not be taken as a recommendation or advice regarding the UK-based fund. Please note the differences between the UK- based fund and the M&G Income Allocation Fund. The UK-based fund is not registered for sale or distribution outside of the UK.
Performance since launch of different asset classes
Source: Datastream, 28 November 2014. Sterling A income class shares. Rebased at 11 November 2010. Global equities as represented by the FTSE All World
UK-based fund
Global equities
10-year Treasury
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Nov-1
0
Feb-1
1
Jun-
11
Sep-1
1
Jan-
12
Apr-1
2
Jul-1
2
Nov-1
2
Feb-1
3
Jun-
13
Sep-1
3
Dec-1
3
Apr-1
4
Jul-1
4
Nov-1
480
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
To
tal r
etu
rn (
reb
ase
d to
10
0)
17
Delivering a growing income streamPast performance of a UK-based fund with a similar investment approach
This UK-based fund is not available to European investors. European investors can invest in the EUR share class of the M&G Income Allocation Fund. Both funds are managed by Steven Andrew. The UK fund may invest in physical property, while the European version, being UCITS, may not. The UK-based fund has a minimum exposure of 70% to GBP, while the European version has a minimum exposure of 70% to EUR. These are internal guidelines and are subject to change. The past performance of the UK-based fund has been included purely to illustrate the fund manager's investment approach for an existing fund. The provision of this information should not be taken as a recommendation or advice regarding the UK-based fund. Please note the differences between the UK-based fund and the M&G Income Allocation Fund. The UK-based fund is not registered for sale or distribution outside of the UK.
Source: M&G, Bloomberg, 21 November 2014, sterling A income class shares, price to price.*12 November 2010.Gross yield is the total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the current share price before UK tax. **4% is a gross target yield and represents the fund’s total distribution over 12 months as a percentage of the current share price before tax. Please note that this is not guaranteed and may be revised in the future. The ongoing charge is taken from investments held in the fund’s portfolio and not from the income these investments produce. ***Capital gain calculated as the performance of the income share class as of 31 October 2014.
Nov-1
0
Jan-
11
Mar
-11
May
-11
Jul-1
1
Sep-1
1
Nov-1
1
Jan-
12
Mar
-12
May
-12
Jul-1
2
Sep-1
2
Nov-1
2
Jan-
13
Mar
-13
May
-13
Jul-1
3
Sep-1
3
Nov-1
3
Jan-
14
Mar
-14
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Sep-1
4
Nov-1
485
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
NA
V p
er
sha
re
2011 In-come
£41.96
2012 In-come£45.37
2013 In-come£47.85
*Gross income distribution per £1,000 invested
This is gross of the 10% dividend tax charged to UK investors
Capital performance and income distributions since launch*
+20%
Targeted Delivered
Average income yield** (annual) 4% 4.1%
Annualised capital gain*** 2-4% 4.3%
Annualised volatility 4-10% 6.1%
18
Agenda
Global market perspectives
M&G Income Allocation Fund
Fund proposition
Investment philosophy & fund positioning
19
Building blocks of our investment strategyM&G Multi Asset team
A robust, repeatable approach
Strategic assessment
Assets prices
Fundamental analysis
Tactical assessment
Investors’ behaviour
Market volatility
Portfolio construction
Correlation analysis
Fund’s objectives
20
Current portfolioM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 30 November 2014. *This is mainly diversified securities such as real estate, convertible bonds and preferred shares
Allocation ranges NeutralityEquity 10-50% 30%Fixed income 40-80% 60%Other 0-20% 10%Currency Min. 70% in EUR
Neutrality Current allocationRange
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
Global equity Global fixed interest
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Other*
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
21
Fund positioningM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 30 November 2014
Equity exposure, 48.2%
UK United States Europe Asia ex Japan Canada Japan Emerging markets
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
15%
18%
15.0%
13.7%
8.7%
4.7%
2.7%1.8% 1.6%
September2014
Portfolio
MSCI AC World
Average forward P/E
12.2X 15.3X
22
Market volatilitySmall ‘episodes’ provided an opportunity to add to equities
FTSE 100 and S&P 500 Indices (rebased to 100)
Jan-
14
Jan-
14
Jan-
14
Feb-1
4
Feb-1
4
Mar
-14
Mar
-14
Mar
-14
Apr-1
4
Apr-1
4
May
-14
May
-14
May
-14
Jun-
14
Jun-
14
Jun-
14
Jul-1
4
Jul-1
4
Aug-1
4
Aug-1
4
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-14
Oct-14
Oct-14
Nov-1
4
Nov-1
485
90
95
100
105
110
115
Source: Datastream, 27 November 2014
Increase in equity exposure
FTSE 100
S&P 500
Added to both UK and US equity exposure
Added to UK equity
Opened German equity position
US equity ‘housekeeping’
Dax 30
Ind
ice
s re
ba
sed
, 3
1 D
ece
mb
er
20
13
Added to German equity
position
23
Fund positioningM&G Income Allocation Fund
Source: M&G, 30 November 2014.*Fixed income exposure excludes cash
Fixed income exposure, 46.8*%
US
30-
yrs
Ger
man
y 30
-yrs
UK
30-
yrs
Sou
th A
frica
22-
yrs
New
Zea
land
10-
yrs
Bra
zil 5
-yrs
Mex
ico
25-y
rsP
hilip
pine
s 10
-yrs
Col
ombi
a 10
-yrs
A
ustra
lia 1
0-yr
s
Chi
le 5
-yrs
US
cor
pora
te b
onds
UK
cor
pora
te b
onds
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
5.1%4.6%
3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 2.1%
6.5%6.0%
Government bonds Credit
24
Long dated gilts and TreasuriesNow less attractive, after the ‘Tapering episode’ unwound
May
-14
Jul-1
4
Aug-1
4
Sep-1
4
Oct-14
Nov-1
42.65%
2.75%
2.85%
2.95%
3.05%
3.15%
3.25%
3.35%
3.45%
3.55%
Yie
ld
Source: Datastream, 27 November 2014
Mainstream long dated government bonds reduced in 2014
30Y Treasury
30Y gilt
Reduced UK gilts
Reduced US Treasury
Reduced US Treasury
UK and US 30-year government bond yields
Reduced UK gilts and US Treasury
25
Summary
Income yield objective is defined as gross yield which is the total distribution over 12 months, before tax, as a percentage of the share price
• Overweight equities. Exposure to companies that pay a growing dividend
• Underweight fixed income
• Overweight in USD, underweight in EUR
• A solution for investors seeking a growing income
• Seeks to generate a growing income stream of 4% pa and capital growth of 2% to 4% pa
• A top-down approach that provides a regular, growing and diversified income stream
Philosophy
Positioning
26
27
The value of stockmarket investments will fluctuate, which will cause fund prices to fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the original amount invested. For Investment Professionals only. Not for onward distribution. No other persons should rely on any information contained within. For Switzerland: Distribution of this document in or from Switzerland is not permissible with the exception of the distribution to Qualified Investors according to the Swiss Collective Investment Schemes Act, the Swiss Collective Investment Schemes Ordinance and the respective Circular issued by the Swiss supervisory authority ("Qualified Investors"). Supplied for the use by the initial recipient (provided it is a Qualified Investor) only. In Spain the M&G Investment Funds are registered for public distribution under Art. 15 of Act 35/2003 on Collective Investment Schemes as follows: M&G Investment Funds (1) reg. no 390, M&G Investment Funds (2) reg. no 601, M&G Investment Funds (3) reg. no 391, M&G Investment Funds (5) reg. no 972, M&G Investment Funds (7) reg. no 541, M&G Investment Funds (8) reg. no 1100, M&G Investment Funds (9) reg. no 930, M&G Investment Funds (14) reg. no 1243, M&G Global Dividend Fund reg. no 713, M&G Dynamic Allocation Fund reg. no 843, M&G Global Macro Bond Fund reg. no 1056 and M&G Optimal Income Fund reg. no 522. The collective investment schemes referred to in this document (the "Schemes") are open-ended investment companies with variable capital, incorporated in England and Wales. In the Netherlands, all funds referred to, are registered with the Dutch regulator, the AFM. This information is not an offer or solicitation of an offer for the purchase of investment shares in one of the Funds referred to herein. Purchases of a Fund should be based on the current Prospectus. The Instrument of Incorporation, Prospectus, Key Investor Information Document, annual or interim Investment Report and Financial Statements, are available free of charge, in paper form, from the ACD: M&G Securities Limited, Laurence Pountney Hill, London, EC4R 0HH, GB, or one of the following: M&G International Investments Limited, German branch, mainBuilding, Taunusanlage 19, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, the German paying agent J.P. Morgan AG, Junghofstraße 14, D-60311 Frankfurt am Main, the Austrian paying agent, Raiffeisen Bank International A.G., Am Stadtpark 9, A-1030 Wien, the Luxembourg paying agent, J.P. Morgan Bank Luxembourg S.A., European Bank & Business Center, 6 c route de Treves, 2633 Senningerberg, Luxembourg, the Danish paying agent, Nordea Bank Danmark A/S Issuer Services, Securities Services, Hermes Hus, Helgeshøj Allé 33, Postbox 850, DK-0900, Copenhagen C, Denmark, Allfunds Bank, Calle Estafeta, No 6 Complejo Plaza de la Fuente, La Moraleja, 28109, Alcobendas, Madrid, M&G International Investments Limited, the French branch, or from the French centralising agent of the Fund: RBC Dexia Investors Services Bank France. For Switzerland: Please refer to M&G International Investments Ltd., mainBuilding, Taunusanlage 19, 60325 Frankfurt am Main, or, for Sweden, from the paying agent, Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (publ), Sergels Torg 2, 106 40 Stockholm, Sweden. For Italy, they can also be obtained on the website: www.mandgitalia.it. Before subscribing you should read the Prospectus, which includes investment risks relating to these funds. This financial promotion is published by M&G International Investments Ltd. Registered Office: Laurence Pountney Hill, London EC4R 0HH, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the UK. Registered in England, No. 4134655. It also has a branch located in France, 6 rue Lamennais, Paris 75008, registered on the Trade Register of Paris, No 499 832 400 and is also registered with the CNMV in Spain. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. Performance stats are quoted gross of Italian tax on capital gains.