michael s. kerr, phd school of nursing, university of western ontario and scientist, workplace...
TRANSCRIPT
Michael S. Kerr, PhD
School of Nursing, University of Western Ontario
and
Scientist, Workplace Studies Area,Institute for Work & Health
Toronto, Ontario
N318b Winter 2002 Nursing Statistics
Nur 318b 2002 Lecture 1: page 2
School ofNursing
Institute for Work & Health
IntroductionBackground:MSc and PhD in epidemiology
Research interests include:- occupational epidemiology- work stress- biomarkers- health services research
What is the “Institute for Work & Health”?
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School ofNursing
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Today’s Class(es) Overview of the course Why take a statistics course?
- a quick look at some real data<< 10 min break >>
First lecture:Levels of measurement, hypotheses and types of variables
Group work: hypotheses and levels of measurement
Followed by small groups from 12-2 PM
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Course FacultyProfessorProfessor:: Mickey Kerr Mickey Kerr
OfficeOffice: H28: H28 PhonePhone: 661-2111 Ext. 86580: 661-2111 Ext. 86580Office HoursOffice Hours: : Wednesdays 1030-1200, 1300-1400Wednesdays 1030-1200, 1300-1400or by appointmentor by appointmente-mail ([email protected]) or phone my officee-mail ([email protected]) or phone my office
Teaching AssistantsTeaching Assistants:: Kristen Lethbridge, Heidi Siu Kristen Lethbridge, Heidi Siu OfficesOffices: H035, H021: H035, H021
Office HoursOffice Hours: : Tuesdays after class 1400-1600 (KL) Tuesdays after class 1400-1600 (KL) Mondays 1500-1700 (HS)Mondays 1500-1700 (HS)
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Text:Text:
Munro, B. H. (2001). Munro, B. H. (2001). Statistical methods Statistical methods for health care researchfor health care research. .
(4th Ed). Philadelphia: Lippincott. 2001(4th Ed). Philadelphia: Lippincott. 2001
Course syllabus:Course syllabus:
- available from UWO Bookstore (#M4476)- available from UWO Bookstore (#M4476)
- contains lecture outlines, required - contains lecture outlines, required readings and questions for weekly readings and questions for weekly assignmentsassignments
Course Supplies
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Course Description
1.1. an introduction to basic statisticsan introduction to basic statistics2.2. goal is for students to develop an goal is for students to develop an
understanding of statistical concepts understanding of statistical concepts and findings in and findings in researchresearch articles. articles.
3.3. builds upon Nursing 319a course - builds upon Nursing 319a course - ResearchResearch Methodology Methodology
4.4. develop critical analysis skills to enable develop critical analysis skills to enable integration of integration of researchresearch into practice into practice
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i) Lectures
Large Class:Large Class:Tuesdays: 2 hours from 1000 - 1200 Tuesdays: 2 hours from 1000 - 1200 in in MS 341MS 341
Content:Content:1. discussion to clarify what was read in text 1. discussion to clarify what was read in text and prepared for classand prepared for class2. review of data analyzed using the "test of 2. review of data analyzed using the "test of the week"the week"3. direction for small working group (i.e. the 3. direction for small working group (i.e. the weekly assignment) and next classweekly assignment) and next class
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ii) Small groupsTime and Locations:Time and Locations: Tuesdays following class: 2 hours from 1200-1400 Tuesdays following class: 2 hours from 1200-1400 in rooms H018, H19, and H9, (MS016, MS017), MS018, in rooms H018, H19, and H9, (MS016, MS017), MS018, MS022, MS023, MS027, MS028, MS029. MS022, MS023, MS027, MS028, MS029. - course faculty available for consultationcourse faculty available for consultation- focus is on collaborative learning activities such as:focus is on collaborative learning activities such as:1. weekly critique of results sections of specific studies 1. weekly critique of results sections of specific studies highlighting the "test of the week"highlighting the "test of the week"2. time with your group to work on 2. time with your group to work on group assignmentsgroup assignments. . Group MembershipGroup Membership:: Self-selected groups of approximately 7-9 studentsSelf-selected groups of approximately 7-9 students
Don’t take these sessions for granted as they are important opportunities to test knowledge – they will help with the exam !
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At the beginning of each week select:At the beginning of each week select:1. 1. Group leaderGroup leader - who is responsible for facilitating discussion - who is responsible for facilitating discussion and decision making, andand decision making, and2. 2. RecorderRecorder - who is responsible for writing answers to the - who is responsible for writing answers to the learning activity and ensuring all participating students sign the learning activity and ensuring all participating students sign the cover page; and,cover page; and,3. 3. An observerAn observer - who is responsible for noting involvement of - who is responsible for noting involvement of group members and encouraging those who are not group members and encouraging those who are not participating to do so. participating to do so. Rotate who has each of the three roles each week over the Rotate who has each of the three roles each week over the course so that each group members assumes all of the rolescourse so that each group members assumes all of the roles
Please don’t take these sessions for granted as they are important opportunities to test knowledge – they will help with the exam !
Suggested Format for Small Working GroupsSuggested Format for Small Working Groups
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The final paper is due by 1600 Thursday, April 11, 2002. The final paper is due by 1600 Thursday, April 11, 2002. Note, extensions will Note, extensions will NOTNOT be granted on the date the be granted on the date the final paper is due. final paper is due. A Request for Extension Form must be A Request for Extension Form must be completed and will be kept on the student’s academic completed and will be kept on the student’s academic record. 5% will be deducted from the paper for every day it record. 5% will be deducted from the paper for every day it is late. Also, please remember that unless an idea or is late. Also, please remember that unless an idea or thought is originally yours, credit must be given to the thought is originally yours, credit must be given to the author. author.
For weekly assignments, please include a title page with: For weekly assignments, please include a title page with:
1) your group name; 2) the names of all group members 1) your group name; 2) the names of all group members printed; 3) signatures of all group members present for the printed; 3) signatures of all group members present for the group work that day; 4) the date; and 5) topic of the group work that day; 4) the date; and 5) topic of the assignment. assignment. For group assignments, only those present For group assignments, only those present and signing cover sheet will get a mark.and signing cover sheet will get a mark.
Review the conditions applicable to Review the conditions applicable to ALLALL written assignments: written assignments:
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iii) Exams
Mid-term ExamMid-term Exam:: March 12, 2002 during class time (25%)March 12, 2002 during class time (25%)This 2.5-hour, open-book exam will take place during class time in This 2.5-hour, open-book exam will take place during class time in Rooms DS3008 and another TBA. The format will include multiple Rooms DS3008 and another TBA. The format will include multiple choice and short answer questions. You may bring texts and notes choice and short answer questions. You may bring texts and notes to the exam for your use. to the exam for your use.
Final Examination:Final Examination: Date: April 17th Place: TBA (30%) Date: April 17th Place: TBA (30%) This 3-hour, open-book exam will take place as determined by final This 3-hour, open-book exam will take place as determined by final exam timetable. Exam format is multiple choice and short answer. exam timetable. Exam format is multiple choice and short answer. You may bring texts and notes to the exam for your use. You may bring texts and notes to the exam for your use.
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iv) Research paperDue: Thursday April 11, 2002 by 1600 hrs.Due: Thursday April 11, 2002 by 1600 hrs.Members of the small working groups are to form subgroups of Members of the small working groups are to form subgroups of two to four students per subgroup. The purpose of the 10 page two to four students per subgroup. The purpose of the 10 page paper is to critique the results and interpretation of results paper is to critique the results and interpretation of results reported in one (1) research article. The research articles are in reported in one (1) research article. The research articles are in the course syllabus. Chose the course syllabus. Chose one (1) of eitherone (1) of either:: A)A) Hayman, L. L., Meininger, J. C., Coates, P. M., & Gallagher, Hayman, L. L., Meininger, J. C., Coates, P. M., & Gallagher, P. R. (1995). Nongenetic influences of obesity on risk factors for P. R. (1995). Nongenetic influences of obesity on risk factors for cardiovascular disease during two phase of development. cardiovascular disease during two phase of development. Nursing ResearchNursing Research, , 4444, 277-283., 277-283.ORORB)B) Gross, D., Rocissano, L., and Roncoli, M. (1989). Maternal Gross, D., Rocissano, L., and Roncoli, M. (1989). Maternal confidence during Toddlerhood: Comparing preterm and fullterm confidence during Toddlerhood: Comparing preterm and fullterm groups. groups. Research in Nursing and HealthResearch in Nursing and Health, , 1212(1) 1-9(1) 1-9
Please review the details on p5 of syllabus
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v) Research practice research experience and follow-up paper may be chosen in research experience and follow-up paper may be chosen in
lieu of the final statistics paper. lieu of the final statistics paper. please review please review eligibility criteriaeligibility criteria in the syllabus (p 6) in the syllabus (p 6) includes 25 hours of work on a faculty research projectincludes 25 hours of work on a faculty research project multi-faceted evaluation includes a short experiential paper multi-faceted evaluation includes a short experiential paper
students to be randomly selected for the experience via students to be randomly selected for the experience via sign-up sheet posted on the N318 bulletin board sign-up sheet posted on the N318 bulletin board priorprior to the to the class on class on January 22, 2002January 22, 2002. .
appropriate forms will be provided to participating students appropriate forms will be provided to participating students at the end of the third class at the end of the third class (January 23, 2002)(January 23, 2002). .
students expected to contact the appropriate faculty students expected to contact the appropriate faculty member by member by Friday January 25, 2002Friday January 25, 2002 to set up practicum to set up practicum
Please note date changes w.r.t. syllabus
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Course Evaluation SummaryAssignmentAssignment Date DueDate Due Percent of Percent of
Full GradeFull Grade
Completed in Small GroupsCompleted in Small Groups Weekly group assignmentsWeekly group assignments Each Tuesday Each Tuesday
after groupsafter groups 15%15%
Completed in Sub-GroupsCompleted in Sub-Groups
(2 -4 members of work groups) (2 -4 members of work groups) Research PaperResearch Paper (no practicum) (no practicum)
OROR
Research Practice Experience and Research Practice Experience and PaperPaper (completed individually) (completed individually)
Thursday, April Thursday, April 11, 200211, 2002
Winter term Winter term
Paper - Thursday, Paper - Thursday, April 11, 2002April 11, 2002
30%30%
research research andand paper combinedpaper combined
30%30%
Completed IndividuallyCompleted IndividuallyMid term Exam (2.5 hrs)Mid term Exam (2.5 hrs)
Final Exam (3 hrs)Final Exam (3 hrs)
March 12/02 in March 12/02 in class, open bookclass, open book
April 17, 2-5 PM April 17, 2-5 PM Place TBAPlace TBA
25%25%
30%30%
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Why Do Nurses Need a Statistics Course?
1.1. statistics provide scientific foundation in a statistics provide scientific foundation in a constantly evolving constantly evolving professionalprofessional practice practice
2.2. shift to evidence-based practice means more shift to evidence-based practice means more nurses will need to research in practice nurses will need to research in practice
3.3. need to understand why and how certain need to understand why and how certain statistics are generated to critically appraise statistics are generated to critically appraise what researchers present to youwhat researchers present to you
4.4. course will equip you with a solid statistical course will equip you with a solid statistical foundation that will in turn help you cope with foundation that will in turn help you cope with the data “mountain” the data “mountain”
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What is the health status of acute care hospital RN’s?
Presented to CFNU Board of Directors in early 2001
A “Real-World” Example for the Use of Statistics in Nursing
While viewing slides, think of issues you might like to discuss in more detail – i.e. are these data convincing or not?
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Ontario Nurse Survey
About 15,000 nurses sent surveys (via CNO) About 58% response (N=8,141) Targeted to medical/surgical wards All acute care hospitals in Ontario (up to 100
nurses sampled) Included Siegrist’s ERI scale and MSK pain items
Mailed survey of registered nurses in acute care, non-specialty hospitals in Ontario (part of a 5-country study)
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Siegrist’s Effort-Reward Imbalance (ERI) Model
efforts
demandspressures
responsibilities
rewards
salarysupportrespect
e.g. prospective German cohort study found ERI a key factor for IHD rates in blue collar workers
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Burnout
• almost 4 in 10 report high burnout (EE sub-scale)• may be “internalizing” work stress?
38.1
20.4
13.2
0
10
20
30
40
EmotionalExhaustion
PersonalAccomplishment
Depersonalization
Percent
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Back / Neck Pain in Last Week
30.825.3
43.9
0
10
20
30
40
50
Pain status
None/Low
Moderate
High
Percent
Back and/or neck pain frequency in past week
• 1 in 4 nurses have pain most or all of the time
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Percent
• poor work environment a driver of burnout?
(Note: Percentages do not add to 100% since they are not cumulative.)
Are Burnout and ERI Scores Related?
13.2
31.7
65.7
010203040506070
None
Moderate
High
Burnout status
% ERI present in each pain group
None Mod High
% with ERI
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29.1
40.3
55.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
% ERI present in each pain group
None/Low
Moderate
High
MSK pain status
Percent
• poor work environment a driver of pain?
(Note: Percentages do not add to 100% since they are not cumulative.)
Are MSK Pain and ERI Scores Related?
None Mod High
% with ERI
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Main Conclusions Nurses report high rates of back/neck pain and
burnout (emotional exhaustion only, not personal accomplishment or depersonalization)
The workplace psychosocial environment is strongly associated with the health of the nurses (physical demands also important though!)
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How easy was it to follow the presentation of these data? Any questions?
The main aim of the course is to make this type of thing easier for you to understand and even be able to present on your own !!
Data Summary
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10 minute break !
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Lecture 1: Measurement Scales,
Types of Variables and
Hypotheses
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N318bStatistics
N319aResearchMethods
The Research Process
Identify the Problem
Develop a study protocol
Collect the data
Draw inferences
Analyze the data
(For Quantitative Studies)
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Some Background Terms
Descriptive statistics: – for summarizing or describing a sample Inferential statistics: – for making inferences (conclusions) or to generalize from a sample to a population
Sample – part of a population and what you will use in almost all studiesPopulation – all members of a particular group of interest
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for research, focus is on inferential statistics
WHY? reliability and validity of inference depends on
quality of sample good statistics can’t save a bad study !
Statistics is largely about quantifying the probability of error when making a generalization
from a study sample to a population
A Few Key Points
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Measurement ScalesNominal data: – distinct, unordered, qualitativee.g. gender, race, others?Ordinal data: – ordered, distinct, qualitative categories e.g. health status, SES, others?Interval data:– ordered, quantitative categories,known intervalse.g. can be continuous (e.g. F temp) or discrete (e.g. parity), others?Ratio data:– most precise metric due to useful zero valuee.g. BP, weight, height, others?
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Scale Mutually exclusive categories
Categories have order
Standard unit of measure
Useful zero point on scale
Nominal X
Ordinal X X
Interval X X X
Ratio X X X X
Summarizing the Scales
(N.O.I.R)
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Some Caveats on Scales
Nominal data analysis can be more limited (e.g. counts or frequencies only)
Ordinal “should”have same limitation but often treated like a continuous scale
Interval and Ratio data often “collapsed” to an ordinal or even nominal scale
(threshold value?)
(loss of information, restricts analysis)
Why?
What is the main problem with doing this?
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Types of Variables
Independent: (exposure)– typically the variable(s) manipulated, controlled (or at least recorded) by the researchere.g. dietary interventions, others?Dependent: (outcome)– typically the main variable of interest being measured by the researchere.g. weight loss, others?
Study conducted comparing effect of two dietary interventions on weight loss in obese children
Scenario
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Types of Hypotheses - 1
Null hypothesis (H0): - proposes no difference or relationship between variables of interest (basis for statistical inference)e.g. There is no difference in weight loss between the two dietary intervention groups.Research hypothesis (Hr): - opposite of the null hypothesis (i.e. states that there is a relationship between variables)- also called alternative hypothesis or Ha
e.g. There is a difference in weight loss between the two dietary intervention groups
Two sides of the same coin !
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Types of Hypotheses - 2
Directional hypothesis: - proposes a specific direction for effecte.g. Intervention A will reduce weight more effectively than Intervention BNon-directional hypothesis: - no specific direction but an effect is predicted e.g. Intervention A and B will differ in their ability to induce weight loss
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Types of Hypotheses - 3
Causal hypothesis: - implies that a stated variable is responsible for any observed effect- e.g. Intervention A will induce greater weight loss in obese children than Intervention BAssociative hypothesis: - proposes no specific direction for effecte.g. Dietary intervention may lead to weight loss in obese children
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Types of Hypotheses - 4
Simple hypothesis: - typically involves a cause-effect relationship only between dependent and independent variables- e.g. Intervention A will induce weight loss in obese children Complex hypothesis: - typically involves more complicated causal pathway between multiple variables - e.g. Intervention A will induce weight loss in obese children who have a family history of obesity
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Summarizing Hypotheses Null or Research? Directional or Non-directional? Causal or Associative? Simple or Complex?
The 4 categories are not mutually exclusive – i.e. hypotheses can be categorized using all 4 levels
e.g. Dietary intervention A will induce more weight loss than dietary intervention B in obese children
Research Directional Causal Simple
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Next Week - Lecture 2: Measures of Central
Tendency and VariabilityFor next week’s class please review:1. Page 12 in syllabus2. Textbook Chapter 1, pages 8-233. Textbook Chapter 2, pages 29-444. Syllabus papers:
i) Arathuzik (1994) ii) Hayman et al. (1995)
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Workshop Rooms:
H018, H19 and H9
(MS016, MS017)*, MS018, MS022MS023, MS027, MS028, and MS029
Please go to one of these rooms with your group from last term or join one
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Frequency of Illness Absence in Past 90 Days
Percent
• almost half missed at least one shift due to illness
28
11.6
53.6
6.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Days absent
None1 day2 days>= 3 days
Illness absence in past 90 days
0 1 2 >= 3
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Are MSK Pain and General Health Scores Related?
• MSK pain a driver for overall health scores?
26.538.5
81.5
14.6
57
0
20
40
60
80
100
Health Category
Excellent Very good Good Fair Poor
General health group
(Note: Percentages do not add to 100% since they are not cumulative.)
Percent
% with HIGH pain level
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Overview of the Course1. Course Faculty2. Course Supplies3. Course Description4. Ends-in-View (objectives)5. Process – lectures, work groups,
exams, research paper and research practice
6. Course Evaluation7. Course Content