Upload File

micozzi the governor's backyard. a seat-vote model of electoral reform for sub national multi...

  • Home
  • Documents
  • Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races
26
The Governor’ s Backyard: A Seat-V ote Model of  Electoral Reform for Subnational Multiparty Races Ernesto Calvo University of Houston Juan Pablo Micozzi Rice University Evaluating the fairness of electoral reforms is a critical requirement for electoral accountability in any democracy. There is, however, no research measuring the expected seat benefit for incumbent reformers in newly democratized countries. Much of this delay is due to the technical difficulties of generalizing previous seat-vote models to multiparty races, a problem that has limited both subna- tional and cross-national comparisons of electoral regime change. Using a multilevel Bayesian model we solve this analytical problem and produce comparable estimates of parti san bias and majoritarian  bias across the Argentine provinces. Our model estimates the effect of reforms across many electoral regimes and can be applied to comparative analyse s of electoral reforms within and across countries. In the particular case of Arge ntina, we show large seat premiums for incumbent parties initiating elec- toral reforms. In the last 20 years Latin America has undergone remarkable political changes not just to consolidate the rule of law but to change it as well. Electoral reforms have been implemented in most countries of the region, affecting how citizens vote and how politicians get elected. Major electoral reforms led to the elimina- tion of the Electoral College in Argentina; the introduction of mixed-member electoral rules in Bolivia, Mexico, and Venezuela; the use of preferential vote in Brazil and Colombia; and the elimination of apparentment rules in Uruguay, to mention some of the most commonly cited examples. As was also the case in Eastern Europe (Benoit 2004; Elster, Offe, and Preuss 1998), the last 20 years constitute the most dynamic period of electoral regime change in Latin America since the introduction of proportional representation (PR) in the early twentieth century. Within each country, subnational electoral reforms were also frequent and had far reaching distributive effects. The seat benefits obtained by incumbent reformers, however, remain mostly an exercise in political speculation. In this  paper, we analyze the seat-vote properties of multiple electoral reforms in 24 THE JOURNAL OF POLITICS, V ol. 67, No. 4, November 2 005, Pp. 1050–1074  © 2005 Southern Political Science Association

Upload: jimena-sanchez

Post on 10-Apr-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

Report

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 1/25

Page 2: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 2/25

Page 3: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 3/25

Page 4: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 4/25

Page 5: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 5/25

Page 6: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 6/25

Page 7: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 7/25

Page 8: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 8/25

Page 9: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 9/25

Page 10: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 10/25

Page 11: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 11/25

Page 12: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 12/25

Page 13: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 13/25

Page 14: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 14/25

Page 15: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 15/25

Page 16: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 16/25

Page 17: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 17/25

Page 18: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 18/25

Page 19: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 19/25

Page 20: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 20/25

Page 21: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 21/25

http://calvo.polsci.uh.edu/
Page 22: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 22/25

Page 23: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 23/25

Page 24: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 24/25

http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs
Page 25: Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

8/8/2019 Micozzi the Governor's Backyard. a Seat-Vote Model of Electoral Reform for Sub National Multi Party Races

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/micozzi-the-governors-backyard-a-seat-vote-model-of-electoral-reform 25/25


AZ Governor's DUI

L’analisi finanziaria Sebastiano Di Diego -Fabrizio Micozzi 1 · 2018. 10. 14. · 26/02/2010 1 L’analisi finanziaria Sebastiano Di Diego -Fabrizio Micozzi 1 L’analisi dei flussi

Backyard Landscape Design - Backyard Landscaping Ideas

CORSO SALES MANAGEMENT MICOZZI: COSA DICONO GLI ALLIEVI

Governor's Recommended Budget for 2006budget.alabama.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/BudDoc2016.pdf · 2020. 6. 23. · Title: Governor's Recommended Budget for 2006 Subject: Governor's

GOVERNOR'S EXECUTIVE BUDGET

Backyard Bliss by Backyard Getaway

Governor's Budget Update

July Governor's Newsletter

FOR GOVERNOR'S REVIEW

Governor's Island Proposal

Governor's Budget Summary

VALUTAZIONE CORSO WIND MICOZZI

Dae2013 - Francesco Paolo Micozzi

Governor's newsletter février 2011

Governor's Place Catalog

FEBRUARY GOVERNOR'S BUDGET FEBRUARY 2021 GOVERNOR'S …

FOR LEASE Governor’s Pointe...Property Highlights 4605 Governor's Pointe 4660 Governor's Pointe 4680 Governor's Pointe 4705 Governor's Pointe overnor’s ointe For more information,

CNMI GOVERNOR'S REMARKS

GOVERNOR'S BUDGET PLAN

GABRIELE MICOZZI CURRICULUM

Governor's Desk

Governor's newsletter mars 2011

Micozzi genova def.odp

Gujarat Governor's Letter

A Governor's Transformation

VALUTAZIONE LEZIONI MICOZZI MASTER MARKETING LUISS BUSINESS SCHOOL

 · 2017. 4. 11. · backyard hero cgø . backyard hero cgø . backyard hero cgø

Governor's gambit issue #2

Governor's Budget Proposal

Federal Register Notice - The White House · Emergency Game and Governor's ... Governor's Health Services Historical Commission Housing.... ... Environmental Governor's Office

static.comune.subiaco.rm.itstatic.comune.subiaco.rm.it/uploads/pubblicazione-n_945... · 2020. 7. 21. · micozzi francesca micozzi mariantonŒtta micozzi nazzarena moretti diletta

May Governor's Newsletter

Governor's newsletter november 2011

Governor's Visit Presentation