mie 754 - class #3 manufacturing & engineering economics concerns and questionsconcerns and...

20
MIE 754 - Class #3 MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Economics Concerns and Questions Concerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous Class Quick Recap of Previous Class Today’s Focus: Today’s Focus: Chap 2 - Computations Involving Chap 2 - Computations Involving Interest Interest (continued) (continued) Hmwk #2 Due next class: Hmwk #2 Due next class: Chap 1 - Probs: 1, 6, 11, 12, Chap 1 - Probs: 1, 6, 11, 12, 13 13

Upload: colin-cross

Post on 12-Jan-2016

212 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

MIE 754 - Class #3 MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Manufacturing & Engineering

EconomicsEconomics

•Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions•Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous Class•Today’s Focus:Today’s Focus:

–Chap 2 - Computations Involving Chap 2 - Computations Involving Interest Interest (continued) (continued)

•Hmwk #2 Due next class:Hmwk #2 Due next class:–Chap 1 - Probs: 1, 6, 11, 12, 13Chap 1 - Probs: 1, 6, 11, 12, 13

Page 2: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Concerns and Questions?Concerns and Questions?

Page 3: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous Class

TerminologyTerminology EquivalenceEquivalence Time Value of MoneyTime Value of Money Simple and Compound InterestSimple and Compound Interest Present and Future ValuesPresent and Future Values

Page 4: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Cash Flow DiagramsCash Flow Diagrams

F occurs n periods after PF occurs n periods after P

What if you know F and want to find P?What if you know F and want to find P?

F=P(1+i)F=P(1+i)nn P=?P=?

Page 5: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Example of moving money through Example of moving money through time:time:

Suppose I=6%, F=1191.00, and n=3Suppose I=6%, F=1191.00, and n=3

How much is this equivalent to now?How much is this equivalent to now?

Additional examplesAdditional examples

Page 6: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Cashflow Series: Cashflow Series: UniformUniform

P occurs one time period before the P occurs one time period before the 1st uniform cashflow (A)1st uniform cashflow (A)

F occurs at the same time as the last F occurs at the same time as the last uniform cashflow (A)uniform cashflow (A)

(P/A i,n), (A/P i,n), (F/A i,n), (A/F i,n)(P/A i,n), (A/P i,n), (F/A i,n), (A/F i,n) Be consistent in time units for i and nBe consistent in time units for i and n n is ALWAYS = # of A’s of uniform n is ALWAYS = # of A’s of uniform

cashflow seriescashflow series

Page 7: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Cashflow Series: Cashflow Series: UniformUniform

P

F

A A A A A A A A

Page 8: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Lotto ExampleLotto Example

If you win $5,000,000 in the Virginia If you win $5,000,000 in the Virginia lottery, how much will you be paid lottery, how much will you be paid each year? How much money must each year? How much money must the lottery commission have on hand the lottery commission have on hand at the time of the award? Assume at the time of the award? Assume interest = 3% per year and that there interest = 3% per year and that there are 20 payments.are 20 payments.

Page 9: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Several Additional In-Class Several Additional In-Class ExamplesExamples

Page 10: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Cashflow Series: Cashflow Series: GradientGradient

Cash flows change by a constant Cash flows change by a constant amount each time periodamount each time period

Easiest if align with a uniform seriesEasiest if align with a uniform series Then follow guidelines for uniform Then follow guidelines for uniform

seriesseries We’ll only be concerned with two We’ll only be concerned with two

factors (P/G i,n) and (A/G i,n)factors (P/G i,n) and (A/G i,n)

Page 11: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Cashflow Series: Cashflow Series: GradientGradient

4 Types of Gradient4 Types of Gradient• positive and increasingpositive and increasing• positive and decreasingpositive and decreasing• negative and increasingnegative and increasing• negative and decreasingnegative and decreasing

Several ExamplesSeveral Examples

Page 12: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Cashflow Series: Cashflow Series: Special ConsiderationsSpecial Considerations

Deferred CashflowsDeferred Cashflows• In-class examplesIn-class examples

Changing Interest Over Study PeriodChanging Interest Over Study Period• In-class examplesIn-class examples

Page 13: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Nominal and Effective Interest RatesNominal and Effective Interest Rates

r% compounded ‘x’-lyr% compounded ‘x’-ly i = r/m interest per compounding i = r/m interest per compounding

period, where r= nominal rate and period, where r= nominal rate and m= # of compounding periods m= # of compounding periods

12% compounded quarterly is12% compounded quarterly is 3% every quarter (every 3 months)3% every quarter (every 3 months)

12% compounded semi-annually 12% compounded semi-annually means?means?

Page 14: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

ExampleExample

You deposit $500 into a savings You deposit $500 into a savings account earning 6% compounded account earning 6% compounded semiannually. How much money is semiannually. How much money is in the account after 4 years?in the account after 4 years?

Page 15: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Effective Interest RateEffective Interest Rate

i i effeff = (1 + r/M) = (1 + r/M)mm - 1 - 1

where where M = number of interest periods per M = number of interest periods per

yearyear r = nominal interest rater = nominal interest rate m = number of interest periods of m = number of interest periods of

concernconcern

Page 16: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

ExamplesExamples

Given Nominal Effective/year

Effective/period

18%compoundedannually18%compoundedsemiannually18%compoundedquarterly18%compoundedmonthly

Page 17: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

More ExamplesMore Examples

What is the effective 1/2 year (semi-What is the effective 1/2 year (semi-annual) interest rate for 12% annual) interest rate for 12% compounded quarterly?compounded quarterly?

Page 18: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

More ExamplesMore Examples

A variety of cashflow diagram types and A variety of cashflow diagram types and effective interesteffective interest

In-class examples for:In-class examples for:• UniformUniform• GradientGradient• Single Single

Page 19: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Where does the iWhere does the ieffeff formula come formula come

from?from?

Page 20: MIE 754 - Class #3 Manufacturing & Engineering Economics Concerns and QuestionsConcerns and Questions Quick Recap of Previous ClassQuick Recap of Previous

Economic EffectivenessEconomic Effectiveness

Present Worth - equivalent worth of Present Worth - equivalent worth of entire cash flow at t= 0entire cash flow at t= 0

Annual Worth - equivalent uniform Annual Worth - equivalent uniform annual seriesannual series

Future Worth - equivalent worth at Future Worth - equivalent worth at t=nt=n

Rate of Return (Chap 4)Rate of Return (Chap 4) Benefit-Cost Ratio (Chap 7)Benefit-Cost Ratio (Chap 7)