minda corporation3 investment rationale established in 1985, minda corporation is a diversified...
TRANSCRIPT
2
Getting future ready…
Auto Ancillary
Price performance
Target Price:
CMPPotential Upside
MARKET DATA
No. of Shares
Market Cap
Free Float
Avg. daily vol (6mth)
52-w High / Low
Bloomberg
Promoter holding
FII / DII
29 Nov 2017 Company Report
BUYRs. 246
: Rs. 193: 27%
: 20.9 Cr.
: Rs. 4034 Cr.
: 27%
: 318500 shares
: 211/86
: MNDA:IN
: 70.2%
: 1.3%
Minda Corporation Ltd
Shareholding patternFinancial Summary (Consolidated)
Source: Company, Axis Securities CMP as on Nov 28, 2017
Y/EMarch
Sales(Rs Cr)
PAT (Rs Cr)
EPS (Rs)
Change (%)
P/E (x) RoE (%)RoCE(%)
EV/EBITDA DPS (Rs)
FY15 1933 90 4.3 16.1 - 21.6 21.8 - 0.4
FY16 2416 107 5.2 19.5 - 21.3 22.1 - 0.5
FY17 2931 96 4.6 (10.5) - 16.2 18.4 - 0.2
FY18E 3517 143 6.9 48.9 28.1 20.4 25.7 12.6 0.2
FY19E 4220 204 9.8 42.9 19.6 23.4 29.4 9.3 0.2
Sep-17 Q-o-Q Chg
Promoters 70.21 0.00
FPIs 1.29 1.59
MFs / UTI 5.54 (2.55)
Banks / FIs 0.25 0.02
Others 19.67 0.93
Rohit Chawla - Manager - Research | [email protected] | (+91 22 4267 1741)
50
150
250
Nov-16 Feb-17 May-17 Aug-17 Nov-17
Sensex Minda Corp
Note: The consolidated revenues and profits includes that of standalone company, subsidiaries and JVs.
3
Investment Rationale
Established in 1985, Minda Corporation is a diversified auto-ancillary company with product portfolio encompassing from
Safety Security and Restraint systems, Driver Information and Telematics Systems, interior systems for Auto OEMs across the
Globe. It caters to all key segments of PV, CV, 2/3W, Tractors, Off road vehicles as well as aftermarkets with 34
manufacturing facilities including 28 in India and 3 each in Europe and South-East Asia.
We expect revenues and earnings to grow at 20% and 46% CAGR respectively over FY17-19E driven by:
Green-field expansion at Mexico and Die Casting plant at Pune aid growth.
Turnaround in Furukawa JV, company taking steps to improve profitability.
Spark Minda Technical Centre to help company upgrade to value added system supplier and tap future opportunities.
Strong focus on increasing exports & optimizing employee costs to maintain sustainable double digit EBITDA margins.
We initiate coverage with BUY rating with a target price of Rs. 246 i.e. ~27% upside (implies 25x FY19E)
Minda Corp derived 39% of its revenues from Safety and Security systems like door handles, locksets, starter motor, etc.;
47% from Driver Information and Telematics System like wiring harness, sensors, instrument clusters, etc and 14% from
Interior systems like tooling, ash tray, cup holder, etc in FY17. In terms of end market, 31% of revenues was contributed by
2/3 wheelers, 36% from PVs, 23% from CVs and 10% from aftermarket. In FY17. 82% of the revenues come from the
domestic market and remaining from Europe and South-East Asia.
Diversified revenue streams – product and end-market wise
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
4
Investment Rationale
Minda Corp commenced commercial operations in Die Casting plant at Pune in Q2FY18. The existing capacity is 4,600
MTPA and target capacity for FY20 would be 9,000 MTPA. Expected peak turnover is Rs 200 Cr p.a. by FY20.
Company’s green-field expansion plant in Mexico would be manufacturing plastic interior components and will cater to the
American market. Expected annual sales is Rs 175 Cr by FY20.
Greenfield expansion at Mexico and Die Casting plant at Pune to aid revenue growth
The acquisition in April 2016 has helped Minda Corp to gain exposure in Commercial vehicle, Agriculture Machinery,
Stationary Engine, Construction Equipment. Leveraging the clientele of Panalfa Autoelectrik would result in growth in CV
portfolio. Also, Minda KTSN JV with SBHAP, China would cater to CV OEMs.
Minda KTSN JV and Acquisition of Panalfa Autoelectrik to help diversify
Minda Furukawa (51% JV) posted loss in FY17; company has taken remedial steps to improve profitability and RoCE by
lowering import content and reducing royalty on many products. Minda Stoneridge (51% JV): Use of sensors will increase
dramatically (70-80 sensors vs. 20-30 currently), as OEMs increase focus on active safety norms. Minda VAST (JV 50%)
gives the company access to electronic steering column lock, door modules, latches and hinges, etc which will help in
adding substantial revenue going forward.
Turnaround in JV’s
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
5
Investment Rationale
Minda Corp would also focus on new technologies in legacy products such as PEPS, electronic clusters, 2-wheelers
electronic locks, bracket less door handles and low cost immobilizers. In non-legacy product business, it would address
Incremental demand of electronics and advanced products like EFI/EMS System, ABS, EGT/EGRT sensors, ISG, ADAS,
connected cars, soot sensors etc
Geared to tap potential growth opportunities
Minda Corp has set up ’Spark Minda Technology Centre’ in Pune to increase engineering capabilities, quality & efficiency.
It will enable the company to expand in automotive systems areas other than legacy products. Currently, various products
are under development in Electronics/ Mechatronics and going forward focus will be on autonomous, connected & electric
vehicles e.g. IoT, telematics, electric vehicle solutions etc. EI labs acquisition would help the group to expand into
Connected Mobility market and Internet of Things solutions for Automotive and other applications.
Smart Minda technology center set up and acquisition of EI labs – focus on changing technology
A strong focus on increasing export business will help in improving the margins of the company which have been hovering
near mid-to-high single digits. Through various other initiatives like employee cost optimization and margin improvement
plans in key businesses, the company aims to attain sustainable double digit EBITDA margins by FY18.
Focus on increasing exports and reduce costs
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
6
Auto industry – way forward
10%1% 4%
2%
3%
80%
31%
11%
19%
5%
9%
25%
Cars
M&HCV
UV(Incl Vans)
LCV
Tractors
2Ws
In the passenger vehicle (PV) segment, ‘value growth’ has been
much better than ‘volume growth’. In FY16/17, overall volumes
grew by 7%/9%, whereas value increased by around
10%/13% respectively.
Going forward, PV segment is expected to grow at high single
digits due to 7th pay commission payout, better rabi output, low
penetration rate of 28 cars per 1,000 people.
Commercial Vehicle (CV) segment is also expected to grow at
high single digits due to increased infrastructure thrust,
implementation of fleet modernisation programmes and higher
demand from consumption-driven sectors.
FY17 revenue breakupFY17 volume breakup
Source: SIAM, Crisil Research
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Long term prospects remain healthy
2012-17 2017-22
OEM 4.0% 10-12%
Replacement 7.0% 8-10%
Exports 5.0% 10-12%
Growth expected across vehicle segments
2012-17 2017-22
2 wheelers 6% 11%
PVs 3% 13%
CVs -3% 8%
Tractors 1% 7%
7
Government driven regulatory push
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Minda Corporation with its major focus on R&D and innovation is well placed to capitalize on the upcoming opportunities in the automobile industry
Electric Vehicles BS 6 emission norms Safety norms becoming mandatory
Government’s push for 100%electric vehicles by 2030augurs well for batterymanufacturers.
Structural change in theGlobal as well as IndianAutomotive industry.
Govt’s mandate to roll out BS-VI compliant vehicles fromApril 1’18 in Delhi and byApril’20 otherwise wouldbring about a lot of changesin auto and petroleum sectors.
Carmakers mandated to fit inair bags, anti-lock brakingsystem, high speed alertmechanism, reverse parkingassist and seat belt reminderin all cars produced after July,2019 to curb fatalities.
8
Group Operating Structure
Minda Corporation
Minda SaiMinda
Automotive
MindaManagement
Services
MindaFurukawa
Electric (51%)
MindaAutoelekrik Ltd
Minda KTSNPlastic Germany
Minda KTSNPlastic Poland
Minda KTSNPlastic Czech
Minda KTSNPlastic Solution
Mexico
Minda Stoneridge(51%)
Minda VAST Access System (50%)
EL Labs India Pvt Ltd
AlmightyInternational PTE,
Singapore
Minda VietnamPT Minda
Automotive Indonesia
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Source: Company, JV % specified in parenthesis
9
Segment 1: Safety, Security and Restraint System
Companies Product Portfolio% of Sales
(FY17 )Key customers
No. of plants
Minda Corp (Stand-alone)
22.9
Bajaj Auto
TVS
Ashok Leyland
YamahaHMSI
10
Minda Vast Acess Systems
7.4
NissanM&MTata MotorsMaruti
2
PT MindaIndonesia
4.0
YamahaSuzukiKawasakiPiaggio
1
MindaVietnam
1
MindaAutoelectrik
2.7
EscortsMagnetonITLTAFECNH
1
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
10
About companies in Segment 1
Companies Description Outlook
Minda Corporation(Standalone)
Minda Corporation has set up its third die castingplant to set up future demand from customers.
It has also set up Spark Minda Technical centre(SMIT) to develop various products inElectronics/Mechatronics area.
Developing products which meet the changingemission regulations i.e. BS VI
Entry into new vehicle segments mainly construction& agriculture vehicles.
Minda VAST 50% JV, One of the global market leaders in the
security /access systems.
Innovations to offer typical Indian solutions to the endusers on affordable cost as conventional mechanicalbased security systems would be replaced withelectronics additions
ASEAN Business Established local manufacturing facilities in
Indonesia and Vietnam
Exploring an entry strategy into 4 wheeler market Focusing on Wiring Harness business with major 2
Wheeler OEMs Exploring entry into new market of Thailand for
wiring harness.
Minda Autoelectrik One of the few companies to introduce Offset gear
reduction in Tractor segment in India.
First to introduce offset gear reduction in 1 KW isscheduled in FY2017-18
Entry into new segments viz., Stationary Engines andCV Segment
Focus on reducing high raw material cost
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
11
Segment 2: Driver, Information and Telematics System
Companies Product Portfolio% of Sales
(FY17)Key customers
No. of plants
Minda SAI 18.7
M&MHMSITVSAshok LeylandHero Moto Corp
9
MindaFurukawa 14.9
Maruti SuzukiRenault-NissanHonda
4
MindaStoneridgeInstruments
9.2
HMSIAshok LeylandBajaj AutoM&M
2
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
12
Segment 3 : Interior System
Companies Product Portfolio% of Sales
(FY17)Key customers
No. of plants
Minda KTSN(Germany)
12.3
VW Group (Audi &
Porsche Group) BMW Daimler
4
Minda KTSN(Poland)
Minda KTSN(Czech Republic)
Minda KTSN(Mexico)
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
13
About companies in Segment 2 and Segment 3
Companies Description Outlook
Minda SAI
Engaged in manufacturing of automotivecomponents such as Instrument Clusters, DashboardClocks, Fuel Level Sensors, Dashboard Assemblies,Speed Sensors and Temperature Sensors.
As the pressure on wiring harness will be more dueto regulatory changes and customer needs, focus willbe on automobile networking, wireless sensors etcfrom architectural point of view and alternateconductors for cables from component point of view
Minda Furukawa
51:49 joint venture between Minda Corporation andFurukawa of Japan. The Company develops andproduces the entire range of wiring harness forJapanese four wheelers customers and componentsrelated to wiring harness
Lowering import content and reducing royalty onmany products
Focus on products surrounding Airbag/ABSMandate/Euro VI Norms/IoT/Connected Cars
Minda Stoneridge
51:49 joint venture between Minda SAI Ltd andStoneridge Inc, USA a leading manufacturer ofElectronics instruments
Address shift from mechanical to electronicsexpected in 2W after BS VI gets introduced in 2020as well as increasing use if sensors
Minda KTSN
Minda KTSN is focused on interior plastic productswhich are relatively lighter in weight and takes lesserspace in vehicles.
Focus on North America, China and Indianautomotive markets for its plastic interior products.
Tap global market which is a big opportunity for thecompany
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
As of Q2FY18, the company has booked orders worth lifetime value of Rs. 1200 Cr across all 3 segments (Rs. 600 Cr in Safety, Security and Restraint system, Rs. 360 Cr in Driver information and Telematics system and Rs. 240 Cr in Interior system).
14
Aftermarkets segment of Minda Corporation
Companies Product Portfolio % of Sales
MindaAutomotive Solutions
8% of Total Revenues
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
The Minda Automotive Solutions Limited (MASL) is the Group's specialist auto component distribution and servicingCompany with a countrywide distribution network of about 350 dealers covering the 2w & 4w business segments.MASL is also in the process of spreading its wings outside India to address the growing global replacement market for its
range of products.
15
Revenue classification
FY17 Revenue break -up
Minda Corp is a diversified player, key segmentsbeing Safety Security & Restraint system, DriverInformation & Telematics system, Interior systems
It also a low client concentration risk with Maruticontributing highest to the extent of 10-11% .
Source: Company, Axis Securities
22.9%
18.7%
14.9%
12.3%
9.2%
7.8%
7.4%4.0%2.7%
Minda Corp
Minda SAI
Minda Furukawa
Minda KTSN
Minda Stoneridge
Minda Automotive
Minda VAST
ASEAN
Minda Autoelektrik
38.6%
47.5%
14.0%Safety, security andRestraint system
Driver Information andTelematics system
Interior Systems
FY17 Revenue segment wise FY17 Revenue end market wise FY17 Revenue location wise
PVs and 2/3 wheelers constitute 65-70% withMinda Corp supplying to major OEM’s
Minda Corp’s revenue contribution fromCommercial and Off-Highway vehicles hasincreased from 18% in FY15 to 23% in FY17.
Minda Corp mainly has domestic presence;India revenues have increased from 71% inFY15 to 82% in FY17.
Greenfield expansion at Mexico and Punewill boost export sales.
31%
23%
36%
10% 2/3 wheelers
Commercial & OffHighway vehiclesPassenger vehicles
After Market
82%
14%4% India
Europe
South-EastAsia
Minda Corp standalone contributed23% of the revenues, rest was spreadacross JVs and subsidiaries in all thethree products segments
With a dedicated management, thecompany has revenue and marginimprovement plans for everysubsidiary and JV, thus we expectrobust growth growing forward
The company has done manygreenfield expansions andacquisitions in last 2 years, which willreflect in numbers in the coming years
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
16
Triggers: Green-field expansion to boost growth
DIE CASTING PLANT AT PUNE
Minda Corp. has set up its third die casting plant atPune which is expected to increase its productioncapacity from 4,600 to 9,600 MTPA by FY20E.The plant will be exclusively used for aluminium
gravity & low pressure die casting with machining. It will also have separate machine shop with focus
on precision parts such as Compressor Housing.The plant has been built with a capital investment of
Rs.100 Cr, most of which is already done andexpected annual sales of Rs 200 Cr by 2019-20.Total order booked is Rs 160 Cr per annum.The plant has commenced operations in Q2FY18.
MINDA KTSN: PLANT AT MEXICO
In Mexico, Minda KTSN has inaugurated the newplant for plastic interiors with a capital investmentof Rs. 100 Cr and expected annual sales from ofRs. 175 Cr by FY20.The company has received orders for
manufacturing of parts which include Glove box,St. Column, End Cap, Hang on parts and others.Current order book stands at Euro 2.5 Cr p.a.The plant commenced commercial production in
Q1 FY18
These two plants would start contributing from Q2FY18; giving an additional fillip to the revenues of the company.
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
17
Triggers: Strategic tie-ups to increase new offerings
MINDA KTSN JV WITH SBHAP, CHINA
Minda Corp subsidiary Minda KTSN has set up a50:50 joint venture with SBHAP, China (a BAIC groupsubsidiary) in August 2016 for products like Plastic oilpans and cylinder head, along with other plasticunder-bonnet/interior parts.
The target customers would be CV OEMs such asDaimler, Foton etc having manufacturing plants inChina
The construction is expected to be completed inFY2017-18
ACQUISITION OF PANALFA AUTOELECTRIK
In April 2016, MCL acquired Panalfa Autoelektrik(Haryana) which is now renamed as MindaAutoelektrik Ltd.
It primarily manufactures reduction gear, startermotors and alternators and caters to CommercialVehicles, Agriculture Machinery, ConstructionEquipment and Automotive market globally.
Key customers of Panalfa Autoelektrik (PAL) includeEicher, Escorts, Greaves, HMT, Magneton,NewHolland, Polaris, Sonalika and TAFE.
We expect the company to further leverage theclientele of PAL leading to healthy growth in CVportfolio.
Acquisitions and JVs will help in enhancing the product portfolio as well asentering in different segment, thus enabling diversification
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
18
Triggers: Getting future ready – Key opportunities
Smart Minda Technical Centre (SMIT), Pune
SMIT would be instrumental in moving MCL up in the valuechain from component supplier to value added system suppliersin terms of products and solutions It would help build up the products for the automotive
mechatronics engineering use.
Potential growth opportunities
EFI/EMS Systems, ABS andCBS, EGT/EGRT Sensors,ISG, ADAS, connected cars,PM Sensors / Soot, BodyControl Modules etc
PEPS, Electronic Clusters, 2-Wheeler electronic locks,Bracketless Door Handles & LowCost Immobilizer
New Vehicle Segment (eg.Off-road vehicles) andEmerging Future Segments(egelectric vehicles). SteeringRoll Connector (SRC) salesexpected to increase with airbags becoming mandatory innear future
Strong focus on increasingexport business and expandingoverseas operations, resulting inincrease in margins. Totalexports expected to reach Rs500 Cr by FY20.
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Acquisition of EI labs
EI Labs bagged prestigious business under Govt. of India EESL – to source 10,000 electric vehicles.We believe with Minda Corp well placed on technological front, it s future ready with upcoming disruptions
The company acquired EI Labs India Pvt Ltd in Aug’17 The acquisition will help the company expand in Connected
mobility market and Internet of Things solutions for automotiveand other applications.
19
Strong Financial Outlook
Return ratios
Source: Company, Axis Securities Ltd.
Consolidated Revenues Margins trend
(Rs.
Cr.
)
Gross Block and Asset Turnover Trends
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Revenues and margins togrow led by greenfieldexpansions, increasedfocus on exports and costreduction, turnaround inFurukawa, strong orderbook, and addition ofnew customers, productsand geographies.
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Gross Block Fixed Asset Turnover
Return ratios to improvewith company’s increasedfocus on marginimprovements. Thecompany’s fixed assetturnover has improvedover the years and weexpect similar trend tocontinue going forward.
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
RoE RoCE
7.9%9.4% 9.2%
6.8%
9.3%10%
4.8% 4.6% 4.4%3.3%
4.1%4.8%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
EBITDA(%) NPM (%)0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
20
Valuation Charts
Source: Company, Axis Securities
12mth fwd P/E (x)
Valuation
We estimate Minda Corp to post revenues at a CAGR of20% and profits at 46% over FY17-FY19E
Minda Corporation is well positioned in the industry owingto high entry barriers and being a diversified player in autoancillary industry, strong brand name, sticky clientele,acquisitions and JVs contributing to top-line as well asbottom-line, strong management, and thus deserves premiumvaluations.
We value Minda Corp. at 25x FY19E given the growthprospects to arrive at a target price of Rs 246 (27% upside)
One year Fwd P/E band
Key Risks and Concerns
Company has operations in many countries and is prone tothe currency fluctuations due to exports-imports transactions.
Unexpected uncertainties and volatilities in Europe andASEAN may have an adverse impact on profitability.
Minda Corp. manufactures different auto components thatneed continuous technological upgradation.
The Company purchases raw materials for variousmanufacturing processes which are prone to price fluctuationin global markets..
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
0
50
100
150
200
250
Apr-14
Jun-
14
Aug
-14
Oct
-14
Dec
-14
Feb-1
5
Apr-15
Jun-
15
Aug
-15
Oct
-15
Dec
-15
Feb-1
6
Apr-16
Jun-
16
Aug
-16
Oct
-16
Dec
-16
Feb-1
7
Apr-17
Jun-
17
Aug
-17
Oct
-17
Close Price 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Apr-1
3
Jul-1
3
Oct
-13
Jan-
14
Apr-1
4
Jul-1
4
Oct
-14
Jan-
15
Apr-1
5
Jul-1
5
Oct
-15
Jan-
16
Apr-1
6
Jul-1
6
Oct
-16
Jan-
17
Apr-1
7
Jul-1
7
Oct
-17
PE Mean +1 STDDEV -1 STDDEV
21
Financials (Consolidated)
YE March FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
Net sales 1,933 2,416 2,931 3,517 4,220
Other operating income 37 30 32 368 45
Total income 1,971 2,446 2,962 3,554 4,265
Cost of goods sold 1,712 2,130 2,650 3,096 3,681
Contribution (%) 11.4% 11.8% 9.6% 12.0% 12.8%
Advt/Sales/Distrn O/H 76.6 92.1 113.7 131.3 157.6
Operating Profit 182 223 198 327 427
Other income 23 17 46 25 425
PBIDT 204 241 244 352 452
Depreciation 60 74 85 93 99
Interest & Fin Chg. 36 33 41 46 48
E/o income / (Expense) 2 14 (18) 0 0
Pre-tax profit 111 147 100 213 305
Tax provision 27 37 33 70 100
(-) Minority Interests (1) 3 (29) 0 0
Associates 4 0 0 0 0
Adjusted PAT 88 97 108 143 204
Reported PAT 89.5 107.3 96 143 204
YE March FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
Total assets 963 1,126 1,277 1,436 1,661
Net Block 570.8 718.7 763.2 775.0 746.1
CWIP 15.3 13.1 82.3 45.0 30.0
Investments 28.9 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2
Wkg. cap. (excl cash) 304 300 370 483 577
Cash / Bank balance 44.1 88.2 57.0 127.9 303
Misc. Assets 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Capital employed 963 1,126 1,277 1,436 1,661
Equity capital 41.5 41.6 41.6 41.6 41.6
Reserves 406 507 590 728 927
Pref. Share Capital 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2 19.2
Minority Interests 24.1 63.7 35.0 35.0 35.0
Borrowings 466 483 581 601 626
Def tax Liabilities 5.7 11.3 10.7 11.5 12.0
Profit & Loss (Rs Cr) Balance Sheet (Rs Cr)
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Source: Company, Axis SecuritiesNote: The consolidated revenues and profits includes that of standalone company, subsidiaries and JVs.
22
Financials (Consolidated)
YE March FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
Sources 54 338 173 252 324
Cash profit 180 218 193 282 351
(-) Dividends 10 13 5 5 5
Retained earnings 170 205 188 277 346
Issue of equity 21.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Change in Oth. Reserves 1.9 45.5 (37.2) 0.0 0.0
Borrowings (44) 14 96 20 25
Others (95) 73 (74) (45) (47)
Applications 54 338 173 252 324
Capital expenditure 50.3 324.8 170.0 67.7 55.0
Investments 4.4 (23.7) 5.0 0.0 0.0
Net current assets 15.8 (10.1) 58.3 113.4 93.6
Change in cash (16.6) 46.9 (60.6) 70.8 175.2
YE March FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E
Sales growth 21.3 25.0 21.3 20.0 20.0
OPM 9.2 9.1 6.7 9.2 10.0
Oper. profit growth 44.6 22.9 (11.3) 65.3 30.3
COGS / Net sales 88.6 88.2 90.4 88.0 87.2
Overheads/Net sales 4.0 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.7
Depreciation / G. block 5.8 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.1
Effective interest rate 21.0 8.5 7.6 7.4 8.1
Net wkg.cap / Net sales 0.14 0.12 0.10 0.11 0.12
Net sales / Gr block (x) 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.6
RoCE 21.8 22.1 18.4 25.7 29.4
Debt / equity (x) 0.95 0.81 0.85 0.73 0.61
Effective tax rate 24.5 25.0 32.9 32.9 32.9
RoE 21.6 21.3 16.2 20.4 23.4
Payout ratio (Div/NP) 11.3 11.7 5.2 3.5 2.5
EPS (Rs.) 4.32 5.16 4.62 6.88 9.83
EPS Growth 16.1 19.5 (10.5) 48.9 42.9
CEPS (Rs.) 7.2 8.7 8.7 11.4 14.6
DPS (Rs.) 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2
Cash Flow (Rs Cr) Ratio Analysis (%)
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
Source: Company, Axis SecuritiesNote: The consolidated revenues and profits includes that of standalone company, subsidiaries and JVs.
23
Disclaimer
Disclosures:
The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the Regulations, is engaged in the business ofproviding Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. ASL is a subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed publiccompany and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital,Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the Association of Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) fordistribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, Rohit Chawla – Manager, Research, MBA (Finance), author/s and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accuratelyreflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We (Research Analyst) also certify that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specificrecommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates mayhave beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Since associates of ASL areengaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in thisreport. I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-monthperiod.
Any holding in stock – No
5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject company.
6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report, ASL or any of its associates may have:
i. Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research report and / or;ii. Managed or co-managed public offering of the securities from the subject company of this research report and / or;iii. Received compensation for products or services other than investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services from the subject company of this research report;
ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other third-party in connection with this report.
Term& Conditions:
This report has been prepared by ASL and is meant for sole use by the recipient and not for circulation. The report and information contained herein is strictly confidential and may not be altered inany way, transmitted to, copied or distributed, in part or in whole, to any other person or to the media or reproduced in any form, without prior written consent of ASL. The report is based on thefacts, figures and information that are considered true, correct, reliable and accurate. The intent of this report is not recommendatory in nature. The information is obtained from publicly availablemedia or other sources believed to be reliable. Such information has not been independently verified and no guaranty, representation of warranty, express or implied, is made as to its accuracy,completeness or correctness. All such information and opinions are subject to change without notice. The report is prepared solely for informational purpose and does not constitute an offer documentor solicitation of offer to buy or sell or subscribe for securities or other financial instruments for the clients. Though disseminated to all the customers simultaneously, not all customers may receive thisreport at the same time. ASL will not treat recipients as customers by virtue of their receiving this report.
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017
24
Disclaimer
Disclaimer:
Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to the recipient’s specific circumstances.The securities and strategies discussed and opinions expressed, if any, in this report may not be suitable for all investors, who must make their own investment decisions, based on their owninvestment objectives, financial positions and needs of specific recipient.
This report may not be taken in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment by any recipient. Each recipient of this report should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive atan independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this report (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult its own advisors to determine the meritsand risks of such an investment. Certain transactions, including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities involve substantial risk and are notsuitable for all investors. ASL, its directors, analysts or employees do not take any responsibility, financial or otherwise, of the losses or the damages sustained due to the investments made or anyaction taken on basis of this report, including but not restricted to, fluctuation in the prices of shares and bonds, changes in the currency rates, diminution in the NAVs, reduction in the dividend orincome, etc. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advice necessarily a guide to future performance. Investors are advised to see Risk Disclosure Documentto understand the risks associated before investing in the securities markets. Actual results may differ materially from those set forth in projections. Forward-looking statements are not predictions andmay be subject to change without notice.
ASL and its affiliated companies, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have long or short position(s) in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b)be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities or earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) discussed herein oract as an advisor or investment banker, lender/borrower to such company(ies) or may have any other potential conflict of interests with respect to any recommendation and other related informationand opinions. Each of these entities functions as a separate, distinct and independent of each other. The recipient should take this into account before interpreting this document.
ASL and / or its affiliates do and seek to do business including investment banking with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, the recipients of this report should be aware that ASLmay have a potential conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of this report. Compensation of Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking orbrokerage service transactions. ASL may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Neither this report nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United State (to U.S. Persons), Canada, or Japan or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States or Canada ordistributed or redistributed in Japan or to any resident thereof. If this report is inadvertently sent or has reached any individual in such country, especially, USA, the same may be ignored and broughtto the attention of the sender. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or otherjurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject ASL to any registration or licensing requirement within suchjurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain category of investors.
The Disclosures of Interest Statement incorporated in this document is provided solely to enhance the transparency and should not be treated as endorsement of the views expressed in the report. TheCompany reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this document as may be required from time to time without any prior notice. The views expressed are those of the analyst(s)and the Company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed therein.Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
Axis Securities Limited, Corporate office: Unit No. 2, Phoenix Market City, 15, LBS Road, Near Kamani Junction, Kurla (west), Mumbai-400070, Tel No. – 18002100808/022-61480808, Regd. off.- Axis House, 8th Floor, Wadia International Centre, Pandurang Budhkar Marg, Worli, Mumbai – 400 025. Compliance Officer: Anand Shaha, Email: [email protected], Tel No: 022-42671582. SEBI-Portfolio Manager Reg. No. INP000000654
Company Report
Minda Corporation
Sector: Auto Ancillary
29 Nov 2017