modeling
DESCRIPTION
QUOTRANSCRIPT
RESERVOIR / RIVER MODELS
APC’s Hydro Energy BudgetEnergy and Capacity Analyses
COE’s HEC-5 Reservoir System AnalysisSeasonally Reservoir Elevation - Flow Analysis
COE’s HEC-RAS River Analysis SystemRiver Routings - Single Event River ElevationsFlood Analysis - Flow Parameters
RESERVOIR / RIVER MODELSApplications
APC’s Hydro Energy BudgetAPC Coosa Projects – Energy Budget Run
COE’s HEC-5 Reservoir System AnalysisACT Basinwide Analysis
COE’s HEC-RAS River Analysis SystemWeiss Bypass Channel - Logan to Lay Flood Routing
Coosa Basin: 1939-1993 Flow Dataset
Developed for the ACT-ACF Comprehensive Study
55 Years – Covers at least three hydrologic cycles
Developed by Mobile District COE in the mid 1990’s
Reviewed by State Agencies in AL, GA, FL along with Federal agenciesand Stakeholders (3 year process)
Warrior Basin: 1940-99 Flow Dataset
Developed by Alabama Power Company
60 Years – Covers at least three hydrologic cycles
Based on USGS records and Plant operational data
Provided to Mobile District COE for Section 22 Study in 1990’s
FLOW DATA
COE’s HEC-5 MODEL
• Developed by US Army Corps of Engineers – Hydrologic Engineering Center in Davis, CA
• First version issued in 1973
• Two modes of application:• Single Event• “Period of record” routings
• Will capture various reservoir operations• Reservoir Systems• Flood Control• Hydro Power Operations• Water Supply• Water Quality Analyses
• Utilized in Alabama-Coosa-Tallapoosa (ACT) RiverBasin Compact
Other Toolswill address
COE’s HEC-5 MODEL
INPUTS:
• Up to 40 Reservoirs
• Up to 80 Control Points
• Up to 35 Power Plants
• Up to 40 Diversions
• 7 Hydrologic Routing Methods
• Hourly or Daily Time Step
• Linked to HEC-DSS (Data Storage Systems)• Inputs ( i.e., flow data)• Results
COE’s HEC-5 MODEL
DELIVERABLES:
• Model Reservoir Systems
• Evaluate Rule Curve Changes (Not Flood Aspects)
• Evaluate Water Supply Operations
• Evaluate Minimum Flows (Seasonal Reservoir Elevations)
ACT MODEL
140 SMITH DAM 150 INLAND
110SELDEN
110 OLIVER
120 HOLT
130 BANKHEAD
WARRIOR MODEL
LOGAN MARTIN ELEVATIONAvg. Summer Elevation Avg. Annual Elevation
ACT2030R Logan 464.75 462.92HISTORICAL Logan 464.27 462.37Difference 0.48 0.55
Logan Martin Average Elevation
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
Janu
ary
Februa
ry
March
April
May
June Ju
ly
Augus
tSep
tembe
r
Octobe
r
Novem
ber
Decem
ber
ACT2030R Logan HISTORICAL Logan
Logan Martin Elevation
455
457
459
461
463
465
467
469
Jan-39 Jan-49 Jan-59 Jan-69 Jan-79 Jan-89Elevation (feet)
HISTORICAL Logan ACT2030R Logan Martin
HEC -5MODELINGRESULTS
Average Minimum 5-Percent 10-Percent 25-Percent 75-Percent 90-Percent 95-Percent22,917 1,756 4,985 5,999 8,362 27,313 54,667 72,12423,602 255 5,000 6,210 9,000 28,600 53,707 72,500-686 1,501 -15 -211 -638 -1,287 960 -376
MONTGOMERY FLOW
Difference
ACT2030RHISTORICAL
Montgomery Average Daily Flow (cfs)
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Jan-39 Jan-49 Jan-59 Jan-69 Jan-79 Jan-89
HISTORICAL Montgomery ACT2030R Montgomery
Montgomery Flow Duration CurveAverage Daily Flow (cfs)
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Percent Exceedence
HISTORICAL Montgomery ACT2030R Montgomery
HEC -5MODELINGRESULTS
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
• Developed by US Army Corps of Engineers – Hydrologic Engineering Center in Davis, CA
• Hydraulic Analysis Package (since 1998)
• Based on HEC-2 Model (1960’s)
• Two modes of application:• Steady State
• Unsteady State
• Will capture various riverine conditions• Bridges
• Dams – Weirs - Culverts• ‘Ineffective Flow Areas’ – Obstructions in Channel
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
INPUTS:
• Single or Network of River Channels
• Single Event Flows (either Steady or Unsteady State)
• Cross Sectional Definitions
• Channel Roughness Definitions
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
DELIVERABLES:
•River Elevations (Depth)
• Flow Parameters DeterminationVelocities
Wetted Perimeter
• Timing of Flow Wave (Flood)
Arrival
Peaks
Duration
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800555
560
565
570
575
580
585
590
595
NW GA Coosa Bas in Plan: Plan 05
Station (ft)
Elev
atio
n (ft
)Legend
EG Max WS
WS Max WS
Ground
Bank Sta
.1 .04 .1
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
0 20000 40000 60000 80000 100000120000140000 160000180000520
530
540
550
560
570
580
NW GA Coosa Basin Plan: Plan 05
Main Channel Dis tance (ft)
Elev
atio
n (ft
)
Legend
EG Max WS
WS Max WS
Crit Max WS
Ground
ROME-AL
COE’s HEC-RAS MODEL
60 65 70 75
495
500
505
510
515
Weiss Bypass Channel with 2002 XSects Plan: 1) 100-1000 2) 3U + 100S Geom: Weiss to H Neely Henry w/ 2002 XSects
Main Channel Distance (mi)
Elev
atio
n (ft
)
Legend
100 CFS
200 CFS
300 CFS
400 CFS
500 CFS
1000 CFS
3 Units + 100 Spill
Ground
WEISS PH
WEISSSPILLWAY
TERRAPINCREEK
PRELIMINARY
APC’s HYDRO ENERGY BUDGET MODEL
The Hydro Energy Budget Model is an analytical model for the determination of powerproduction and its value by simulating actual reservoir operation. Parameters includeturbine discharge ratings and efficiencies, generator efficiencies, head loss, andoperating guidelines.
• Developed by APC (Reservoir Management) in 1984
• VMS FORTRAN Model
• Used for:• Reservoir Siting Studies• Impacts of Rule Curve Changes or Minimum Flows• Unit Upgrades• Yates and Thurlow Relicensing Process in the early 1990’s• Impacts due to Water Withdrawals
• Recognized by FERC (18 CFR 11.10)
APC’s HYDRO ENERGY BUDGET MODEL
INPUTS:
• Daily Inflow from USGS records, or Historical APC records, or various simulated records (i.e., ACT-ACF database)
• Hourly System Lambdas use to calculate most economic use of inflows
• Rule Curve, Surcharge, or Zone Control Methodologies
• Flood Control Operations
• Minimum Releases
• Optimize to minimize weekend releases
• Model downstream constraints
APC’s HYDRO ENERGY BUDGET MODEL
DELIVERABLES:
• Peak and Off Peak Accounting
• Daily outputs as well as monthly totals
• Hourly information if desired
• Evaluation of Various Scenarios
APC’s HYDRO ENERGY BUDGET MODEL
Average Monthly Energy MWh
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
Average Monthly Turbine & Spill
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
Annual Energy (MWhrs)
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1940
1942
1944
1946
1948
1950
1952
1954
1956
1958
1960
1962
1964
1966
1968
1970
1972
1974
1976
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
APC’s HYDRO ENERGY BUDGET MODEL
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
XXX
MODEL APPLICATIONfor RESERVOIR / RIVERINE SYSTEMS
HEC-5 RESERVOIR SYSTEM ANALYSIS• Seasonal Reservoir Elevation Impacts
• Flow (duration) Impacts
HEC-RAS RIVER ANALYSIS SYSTEM• Single Event River Elevations
• Flood Analysis
• River Flow Parameters
APC HYDRO ENERGY BUDGET• Energy Impacts
• Monetary Impacts