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Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal K Garg and Suhas P Wani Resilient Dryland Systems, ICRISAT, Patancheru 16 Nov, 2013

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Page 1: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions

on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services

Kaushal K Gargand

Suhas P Wani

Resilient Dryland Systems, ICRISAT, Patancheru16 Nov, 2013

Page 2: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Presentation outlines

• Present and future water availability

• Challenges and opportunities

• Need for Agricultural water management interventions

Showing case-studies

• Kothapally watershed, Andhra Pradesh, Southern India

– Modeling brief

– AWM Impacts

•• GarhkundarGarhkundar watershed, Bundelkhand region, Central Indiawatershed, Bundelkhand region, Central India

–– AWM ImpactsAWM Impacts

• Up-scaling scenario: Osman Sagar catchment

• Conclusions

Page 3: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Annual precipitation on Earth surface = 110,305 Km3 (90,000-120,000 Km3)Total runoff returning back to Ocean = 38,230 Km3 (34.7 %)

Expected ET from Earth surface = 72,075 Km3 (65.3 %)Total ET reported (in current figure) = 71,300 Km3

Global water balance

Source: Rockstrom et al., 1999

Page 4: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Type of water resourcesType of water resources

•• Blue water resource: Blue water resource: Water available in Water available in rivers, groundwater rivers, groundwater aquifers and reservoirsaquifers and reservoirs

•• Green water resource: Green water resource: Water stored as soil Water stored as soil moisture moisture

Page 5: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Green water is dominating in global food production compared to blue water

8501 Km3 Yr-1 8258 Km3 Yr-1

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Crop Land Grazing land

Blu

e w

ater

(BW

)or G

reen

Wat

er (G

W)

Rainfed Land: GW Irrigated land: GW Irrigated Land: BW

Source: Rost et al., 2008; Rockstrom et al., 1999

6700 Km3 Yr-1 8250 Km3 Yr-1

Page 6: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Food demand in 2050 will be doubled than the current requirements

Page 7: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Fresh water requirement in 2050 also will be doubled but…

From where the additional fresh water will comeor any alternate source/solutions?

Page 8: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Option-1: Expanding the agricultural land !

Crop and pasture lands have already crossed its thresholds limits

0

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Exp

ansi

on in

agr

icul

tura

l and

gra

ss la

nd (M

ha)

Crop Land Pasture Land Irrigated crop land

Page 9: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

1. Climate change2. Ocean acidification3. Ozone depletion 4. N cycle5. P Cycle6. Fresh water use7. Land use8. Biodiversity loss9. Aerosol loading10. Chemical pollution

Page 10: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Option-2: Opportunities to expand water resources availability in crop lands !

Example India case

Source: CWC, Government of India

Page 11: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Groundwater use status in India

Details Values

Total Agricultural Land 142 Million ha

Rainfed area ~ 60%

Irrigated area ~ 40%

Surface water irrigated area 21 Million ha

Groundwater irrigated area 27 Million ha

Total groundwater withdrawal (1960) 25 Km3

Total groundwater withdrawal (2009) 250-300 Km3

Number of bore wells (1960) 1 Million

Number of bore wells (2009) 20 Million

Garg and Wani, 2012

Page 12: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Option-3: Sustainable Intensification, Watershed-based Land Use Planning, Increased Efficiency of Resources

Land

Water

Energy

Nutrients

Labor

Chemicals

Page 13: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Agriculture generally increases provisioning ecosystem services at the expense of regulating and cultural ecosystem services

Gordon et al., 2009

Ecosystem ServicesProvisioning : Crop, Timber, Meat, Mineral, Fish Regulating : Soil formation, Pollination Supporting: Erosion control, GW rechargeCultural: Tourism, Aesthetic

Page 14: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Rainfed agriculture: a large untapped potential

Current farmers’ yields are lower by 2 to 5 folds than the achievable yields

Vast potential of rainfed agriculture needs to be harnessed

0

2

4

6

8

1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2010

Year

Yiel

d (t

ha-1)

BW1

BW4C

Rate of growth71 kg ha -1 y-1

Rate of growth20 kg ha -1 y-1

Carrying Capacity27 persons ha -1

Carrying Capacity4.8 persons ha -1

Observed potential yield

0

2

4

6

8

1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2010

Year

Yiel

d (t

ha-1)

BW1

BW4C

Rate of growth71 kg ha -1 y-1

Rate of growth20 kg ha -1 y-1

Carrying Capacity27 persons ha -1

Carrying Capacity4.8 persons ha -1

Observed potential yield

Wani et al., 2012

Page 15: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

ICRISAT led consortium developed AWM interventions in Kothapally watershed from 1999 onwards

Page 16: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Agricultural Water Management Interventions

In-situ intervention• Land form treatment (BBF) • Contour cultivation• Bunds and field bunding• Mulching and no-tillage

Ex-situ Interventions• Check dam, farm ponds• Mini percolation pits • Gully control structures• Loose boulders

Page 17: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Groundnut on BBF, Kurnool, A.P.

Conservation furrow system, Mahaboobnagar, A.P.

chickpea on BBF-Furrow, ICRISAT farm

Field-based soil and water conservation measures (in-situpractices) enhances green water availability

• Contour cultivation• Broad Bed and Furrow• Cultivation across the slope• Border strips• Field bunds• Conservation agriculture /min tillage• Mulching

Page 18: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Water harvesting structure in Garhkundar watershed, Jhansi

Low-cost mini percolation tank

Ex-situ interventions help in recharging groundwater How much ???

Page 19: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Hydrological components at watershed scale

Rainfall = Surface Runoff + Groundwater recharge + ET + Change in soil moisture storage

Page 20: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Hydrological model SWAT is applied for analyzing impact of AWM interventions

SWAT Input:• Digital Elevation model• Soil Information• Land use Information• Meteorological Information• Management Information• Reservoir/Pond Information

Model Calibration

and Validation

SWAT Output:• Surface runoff• Groundwater recharge• Evapotranspiration• Sediment Transport• Nutrient Transport• Soil moisture• Water, N and P stress• Crop Growth and yield

Water balance components: Rainfall = Surface Runoff + Groundwater recharge + ET + Change in soil moisture storage

Page 21: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Monsoonal Water Balance at Kothapally: Jun to Oct

Rainfall(mm)

Outflow (mm)

GW Recharge

ET (mm)

Other (mm)

750 60 (8 %) 120 (16 %) 540 (72 %) 30 (4 %)

Page 22: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

AWM interventions reduced surface runoff by 30-60 %

0

50

100

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Yearly Rainfall (mm)

Out

flow

from

the

wat

ersh

ed (m

m)

Insitu+CheckdamOnly InsituOnly CheckdamNo Management

Dry Years Normal Years Wet Years

Garg et al., 2012

Page 23: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Check dam harvested water three to four times than their storage capacity

Year

Total Amount of water

Captured (m3)

Potential Storage capacity

Ratio to Potential

storage

2000 30242 8880 3.4

2001 18787 9980 1.9

2002 9768 11230 0.9

2003 23369 13030 1.8

2004 33494 13030 2.6

Year

Total Amount of water Captured

(m3)

Potential Storage capacity

Ratio to Potential

storage

2005 35955 13030 2.8

2006 20987 13030 1.6

2007 41866 13030 3.2

2008 42531 13030 3.3

Page 24: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Water harvesting potential is higher in in-situpractices than ex-situ interventions

Year Average Annual

Rainfall (mm)

Capacity of the check dams to

store water (m3/ha)

Total water harvested by

Check dams in one year period

(m3/ha)

Total water harvested by

Insitu practices in

one year period (m3/ha)

Un-Harvested

amount (m3/ha)

Dry 650 45 55 100 125

Normal 870 45 105 350 425

Wet 1210 45 175 650 1475

Page 25: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

AWM interventions enhanced groundwater recharge by 50-80 %

Page 26: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

GW recharge starts with nearly 250 mm cumulative rainfall in SAT

0.0

1.5

3.0

4.5

6.0

7.5

9.0

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000

Cumulative rainfall (mm)

Cha

nge

in h

ydra

ulic

hea

d (m

)

Page 27: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Groundwater availability in a given year also dependent on previous GW stages

0

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AWM NI AWM NI AWM NI AWM NI

GW

ava

ilabi

lity

at e

nd o

f the

mon

soon

(mm

)GW recharge during monsoon

GW availability in beginning of monsoon

Dry year (following a wet year)

Dry year (following a dry year)

Normal year (following a wet year)

Normal year (following a dry year)

Page 28: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Water balance in Kothapally watershedNo Int. vs. Max Int.

Hydrological Parameters No Intervention stage After AWM interventions

Rainfall (mm) 750 750

Runoff (mm) 143 (19 %) 60 (8 %)

ET (mm) 512 (68 %) 540 (72 %)

GW recharge (mm) 70 (9 %) 120 (16 %)

Change in SMC (mm) 25 (3 %) 30 (4 %)

Page 29: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Soil loss reduced by 3 to 5 folds after implementing AWM interventions

0102030405060708090

100

0 50 100 150 200 250 300

Daily rainfall (mm)

Soil

loss

(ton

/ha)

Post w/s development

Pre w/s development

Page 30: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

NRCAF: National Research Centre for Agro-Forestry, Jhansi

Impact of water management interventions in Garhkundar-Dabar watershed, Bundelkhand region,

Central India

Page 31: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Changing rainfall pattern in Jhansi, Bundelkhand, Central India

Page 32: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Hydrological components: Treated vs. non-treated

Page 33: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Cropping intensity in GKD watershed doubled

Singh et al., 2013

Page 34: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Up-scaling AWM interventions Scenario analysis for Osman Sagar catchment

Page 35: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Upstream vs. downstream in Osman Sagar catchment

Downstream userDrinking water source for the Hyderabad (~ 8-10 % of domestic water demand of the city)

Source Inflow to OS reservoir 62 MCM

Uses Domestic use 30 MCM

Spillover at downstream 12 MCM

Evaporation 20 MCM

Upstream land useTotal geographical area (Osman Sagar catchment) = 75000 Ha

Rainfed area = 42%Irrigated area = 8%Waste land = 23%Non Agriculture use = 23%Forest = 4%

Page 36: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Impact of AWM interventions

Water Year

ParametersCurrent stage

No Int. Insitu Exsitu Max Int.

Normal years

Average annual rainfall: 740 mm

Groundwater recharge (MCM)

96 82 83 104 98

Potential irrigated area for growing second crop (km2)

125 100 105 135 128

Average yield of monsoon crop (ton/ha)

- 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.8

Inflow to Osman Sagar (MCM)

56 73 70 48 47

Total crop production in monsoon period (1000 tons)

-21 27 25 27

Spillover releases downstream to the Musi river (MCM)

1 11 1 0 0

Soil Loss (ton/ha) 13 17 16 9 9

Garg et al., 2012

Page 37: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Conclusions

• Rainfed areas have large untapped potential which could be

harnessed thru improved land, water and nutrient management

practices

• Watershed management is suitable adaptation and mitigation

strategies to address current and future food security issues

• Micro (field) and meso (watershed) scale monitoring need to be

intensified in different agro-ecological regions along with modeling

effort for effective resource planning

Page 38: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Kaushal K. Garg, Louise Karlberg, Jennie Barron, Suhas P. Wani and Johan Rockstrom (2012). Assessing impacts of agricultural water interventions in the Kothapally watershed, Southern India. Hydrological Processes 26: 387-404

Kaushal K. Garg and Suhas P. Wani (2012). Opportunities to Build Groundwater Resilience in the Semi-Arid Tropics. Groundwater, National GroundWater Association. doi: 10.1111/j.1745-6584.2012.01007.x

Kaushal K. Garg, Suhas P. Wani, Jennie Barron, Louise Karlberg and Johan Rockstrom (2012). Up-scaling potential impacts on water flows from agricultural water interventions: opportunities and trade-offs in the Osman Sagar catchment, Musi sub-basin, India. Hydrological Processes. DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9516

Suhas P Wani, Kaushal K Garg, Anil K Singh and Johan Rockstrom (2012). Sustainable management of scarce water resource in tropical rainfed agriculture. Advances in Soil Science. In Soil Water and Agronomic productivity (by Lal and Stewart) Chapter 13, page no 347-408.

Ramesh Singh, Kaushal K Garg, Suhas P Wani, R K Tewari, S K Dhyani(Forthcoming). Impact of water management interventions on hydrology and ecosystem services in Garhkundar-Dabar watershed of Bundelkhand region, Central India. Journal of Hydrology 2013

Further details of methodology and results, please refer…

Page 39: Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management ......Modeling impact of Agricultural Water Management Interventions on Watershed Hydrology and various Ecosystem Services Kaushal

Thank You