modelling the aerospace aftermarket with multi-agents systems ken woghiren technical director - lost...

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Modelling the Aerospace Aftermarket Modelling the Aerospace Aftermarket with Multi-agents Systems with Multi-agents Systems Ken Woghiren Technical Director - Lost Wax

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Modelling the Aerospace Aftermarket with Modelling the Aerospace Aftermarket with Multi-agents SystemsMulti-agents Systems

Ken WoghirenTechnical Director - Lost Wax

The Aftermarket opportunity

The Opportunity

Customers buying a service not just a product – power by the hour tm

Key driver for long-term revenue & profitability – maybe 60% of product life cycle profit

Key driver for customer satisfaction, brand strength and more sales

The Challenge Planning and operating an Aftermarket is an imprecise

art

Very large number of present and future variables impacting services levels and economics

Managers have to make difficult and expensive decisions in the face of these complexities

But these decisions can make or break profitability…

The Aftermarket opportunity

What is AEROGILITY

Designed for the Aerospace Aftermarket…Designed for the Aerospace Aftermarket…

Powerful and flexible Aftermarket decision support tool

Proven with a leading Aerospace manufacturer

Based on our expertise in multi-agent technology

Built on the Lost Wax Agent Framework

Intelligent and adaptive business software

Intuitive, visual, interactive software model

…understand the options and you make the right decisions!

What is AEROGILITY

AEROGILITY is based on an intelligent software model

representing the key resources in an Aerospace Aftermarket…

Visually

Intuitively

Interactively

assets + processes + people

Operational policies, processes & metrics

The software agents represent the resources in the Aftermarket:

Business purpose, goals and objectives

Operating policies and strategies

Business processes and rules

Key Performance Indicators, SLA and operating metrics

How AEROGILITY works

Operat

ions

contro

l

MRO F

acili

ties

Enginee

ring re

sourc

e

3PL, S

CM &

Logis

tics

Inve

ntorie

s & S

PL

How AEROGILITY works

AEROGILITYAftermarket Model

Assets MRO capacity Inventory levels

Processes Repair scheduling Parts sharing

Staff knowledge MRO experience Engineering know-how

Management goals/policies P&L and KPI goals Customer requirements

The software agents operating parameters are easily configured to your business goals, rules and policies

Model Development

How AEROGILITY works

12

34

5

Software agents are easily configured for multiple what-ifs & simulations

AEROGILITYAftermarket Model

What-if scenarios Explore new policies Identify innovations Experiment with configurations

Compare through simulations Assess decision impact Work through decision options Challenge assumptions

Benchmark with metrics Validate P&L and KPI goals Financial benchmarking Assess investment business cases

DECISION SUPPORT

AEROGILITY

AEROGILITY

what it does for the Aftermarket

AEROGILITY for the Aftermarket

Intelligent decision support software for Aftermarket managers:

Fast-forward business simulations to assess impact of decisions

What-if scenarios driving P&L, KPI, SLA & operational metrics

Work-through decisions by comparing a range of scenarios & metrics

here & now medium term long termhere & now medium term long term

Sourcing and partnering options

Operational decisions, scheduling and policies

Investment evaluation and planning

Operations control

MROFacilities

Customer MRO events Customer MRO events

InventoriesInventories

Componentsuppliers

Componentsuppliers

SCM, 3PL, SPL

complex logistics

SCM, 3PL, SPL

complex logistics

Engineering teams Managers & Specialists

AEROGILITY for the Aftermarket

Aftermarket operations

Aftermarket operations and decision support HERE & NOW - questions & issues

How should engineering teams be deployed?

How do we prioritise jobs to overcome bottlenecks?

Should we change our repair procedures?

What is the impact of parts sharing?

Can we support a customer SLA requirement and how do we price it?

AEROGILITY for the Aftermarket

Aftermarket sourcing and partneringMEDIUM TERM - questions & issues

What is the impact of different inventory levels

Where should components and parts be located?

Should we refurbish parts and components or not?

How can we work effectively with 3PL and SPL partners?

How can we improve our SCM and logistics strategy?

AEROGILITY for the Aftermarket

Product Life Cycle - 1 to 30 years

Aftermarket MRO eventsServicing – Repairs – Overhauls – Upgrades – Swap outs – Decommission

AEROGILITY for the Aftermarket

Forecast Product

Sales

AEROGILITY Understanding the complex balance of Aftermarket resources

AEROGILITY Understanding the complex balance of Aftermarket resources

Aftermarket investment and strategic planningLONGER TERM - questions & issues

How many MRO facilities to do we need for projected product sales?

Where should the MRO facilities be located?

What capabilities should an MRO facility support?

Are we confident in the business case justification for our investment?

AEROGILITY for the Aftermarket

AEROGILITY

Why AEROGILITY is different

Why AEROGILITY is different

AEROGILITY is based on multi-agent adaptive software…AEROGILITY is based on multi-agent adaptive software…

Unlike 2-dimensional spreadsheets, process diagrams and reports…

Start with first principles - iterate complexity up to reality

Fast-forward the Aftermarket – next 24 hours or 24 years

Aftermarket resources interacting dynamically - not just a slice

Insight by comparing whole Aftermarket what-ifs & simulations

Genuine decision support, not just more data.

AEROGILITY

Implementing AEROGILITY

Implementing AEROGILITY

MODEL …understand the balance of resources, evaluate options, decisions, run what-ifs

MODEL …understand the balance of resources, evaluate options, decisions, run what-ifs

AEROGILITY in 3 phases…

MANAGE

MONITOR …integrate operational data and processes, monitor the Aftermarket for decision support

MONITOR …integrate operational data and processes, monitor the Aftermarket for decision support

MANAGE …drive existing systems and processes withadaptive intelligent software

MANAGE …drive existing systems and processes withadaptive intelligent software

Operational Metricsdriving

Decision Support

Develop operational Simulations &

What-if scenarios

Roles-based Analysis

Initial model development 6 to 12 weeks…continues over product life

Implementation

Aftermarket 1st ModelDevelopment

Implementing AEROGILITY

AEROGILITYAftermarket Model

Implementing AEROGILITY

MODEL - MONITOR Phase 2

OPERATIONAL DATA

STAFF INPUT & UPDATES

CUSTOMER REQUESTS

Implementing AEROGILITY

MODEL - MONITOR – MANAGE - Phase 3

AEROGILITYAftermarket

Monitored Model

UPDATES TO EXISTING SYSTEMS

INSTRUCTIONS TO 3PL PARTNERS

ADAPTIVE SCHEDULING FOR STAFF

RFQ TO COMPONENT SUPPLIERS

FLEXIBLE SCHEDULES FOR CUSTOMERS

AEROGILITY

Benefits of AEROGILITY

AEROGILITYAftermarket Model

In summary

Aftermarket stakeholders

Business strategy

Financial goals

Customer requirements

Operational realities

Constraints

Opportunities

Deep understanding…

What-if decision options

Simulate decision impact

Inter-relationship of metrics

Compare business scenarios

Share assumptions

Make better decisions….

INPUTS BENEFITS

Benefits of AEROGILITY

AEROGILITY delivers real business benefit…AEROGILITY delivers real business benefit…

Balance your resources more efficiently

Effective decision support

Opportunity for substantial cost savings

Improve customer satisfaction

…sustained profitability and competitive edge

Benefits of AEROGILITY