mokka - budapest university of technology and...
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Innovative Decision Support
Tools for Risk Based
Environmental Management
MOKKAHungarian National R&D Program
NKFP 3-020-05
Website of the project:
http://www.mokkka.hu
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Supported organisations
– Aqua Concorde Water Analysis and Water Technology Ltd(Koordinátor cég)
– Budapest University of Technology and Economics (BME)
– RISSAC (MTA-TAKI)
– ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AND WATER MANAGEMENT RESEARCH INSTITUTENON-PROFIT COMPANY (VITUKI Kht.)
– VITUKI CONSULT Co.
– CycloLab Cyclodextrin R&D Laboratory Ltd (CycloLab)
– DigiKom Ltd (Digikom)
– Association of Environmental Enterprises (KSZGYSZ)
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Overview
• Object of environmental
management
• Difficulties of
environmental decision
making
• Support provided by
MOKKA
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Environmental management
• The environmental risks of an economical activity depend on
– activity and diligence of the company and
– wide range environmental consequents of activity,
– what depends on outer company factors.
• The risks of economical activity is theoretically uncertain so environmental management play „art of impossibility” (B. Wynne 1987.).
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Role of environmental management - 1
• The environmental policy of
organisations is affected by
inner and outer effects
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Role of environmental management - 2
The environmental management is getting stronger because of the rigor of environmental rules;
The role of risk
management is to
handle risk;
– recognise risk,
– Identify hazard,
– Decrease or
minimise risk,
– prevention (prevent
from ensue or
physical removal)
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Role of environmental management - 3
• Wide range of objects– Fulfill the environmental regulations;
– Ensure the operation in competitive market
• Scope of duties:– Operate the early warning system (prepare and make
decision against results or prevention)
– Treat harms (emergency, persistent environmental pollution).
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Decision mechanism
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• Treat of environmental problems are non
programmable decisions (Simon, 1982.)
– Unique;
– Problems are unstructured;
– Steps have long-term effects.
– Decisions affect wide areas and many
people.
• It makes the tasks difficult.
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Decision situation in
environmental
protection
• By new investment
ordered by law
• Change regulations
• Rules of authorities
• Treat emergencies
• Treat persistent
environmental harms
Forms of decision
making
(strategic decisions)
• Infrequent, rare
• Unstructured (or
unknown) problem
• Complex
• Unstable decision
• Many participants
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Parameters of environmental
decisions - 1• Frequently set on irreversible or costly and hardly reversible
processes,
• Preparation needs long terms
• Execution is costly,
• Results are valuable only after years or decades,
• Methodology is weak because of the badly structured problem background,
• Information to solutions is poor and unreliable,
• Solution has to fit to more targets,
• There are a lot of non economical targets in many cases,
• The economical decisions are followed by conflicts because of many participants and targets
• Create more scenarios is necessary.
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Parameters of environmental
decisions - 2
• The management can commit two kinds of
mistakes related to environmental
responsibility:
–Upper or overestimation of business
prospects of environmental challenges
in developing aspects in the future.
–Overrate or undervalue the boundaries
of the economical challenges.
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Pitfalls of economical decisions
(treatment of polluted areas)
• The weakest links of decisions in the course of
remediation:
– Targets are indefinite
• Differences between targets of decision makers and
expectations of authorities;
• Uncertain knowledge at task assignment;
– Possibilities to take care on boundaries
• The strict compliance with the law is unconsidered to reality,
so the unsuccessful execution is determined;
– Decisions of authorities do not handle the principle of
gradation.
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Aspects of DSS building
• To develop a DSS is
necessary to analyse the
elemental decision
situations and
mechanisms
– Points of
environmental
protection
– Points of policies
– Legal points
– Economical points
– Points of society
• The environmental protection has an important role in political decisions and affects the economical life.
• The environment policy has emerging influence in national economy and corporate governance.
• The treat of environmental problems and environmental protection are interdisciplinary. The legal and economical aspects have influence beside the environmental, natural, chemical and biological basis.
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Objects of MOKKA
• Show harm reduction technologies –
focused on innovative technologies
/database/
• Operation of Decision Support System
(DSS)
• WEB-based operation
• Easy to understand
• Easy tu use
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Bases of MOKKA DSS
Database
• Technology
• Technological
elements
• Examination
methodologies
(physical-chemical,
biological, ecotoxical)
Knowledge base
• Legal knowledge
• Examination
methodology
• Modeling
• Risk analysis
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Target audience
• Market members,
• Law makers,
• Authorities,
• Managers,
• Contractors,
• Environment users