momentum of population: time and scale the future of countries’ population size, depending on...
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![Page 1: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Momentum of Population: Time and Scale
The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level
Matthew Hamilton, MS, MPHVenture Strategies for Health and Development
Berkeley, California
March 18, 2011
![Page 2: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/2.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.7 (2010)Unmet need for family planning:
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 3: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/3.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.8 (2010)Unmet need for family planning:
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 4: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/4.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 11% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 5: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/5.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.6 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 30% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 6: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/6.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4 (2007)Unmet need for family planning: 22.8 (2007)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 7: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/7.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 6.0 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 29% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 8: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/8.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4.7 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 20% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 9: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/9.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 1.5 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 2.3% (2003)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 10: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/10.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 6% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 11: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/11.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 6.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 24.4% (2007)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 12: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/12.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 3.0 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 11% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 13: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/13.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 34% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 14: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/14.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.3 (2010)Unmet need for family planning:
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 15: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/15.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4.0 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 34% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 16: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/16.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 28% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 17: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/17.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.6 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 13% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 18: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/18.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 9% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 19: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/19.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 3.8 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 12% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 20: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/20.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4.6 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 24% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 21: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/21.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 6.0 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 27% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 22: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/22.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 6.6 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 29% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 23: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/23.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.2 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 12.0% (2006)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 24: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/24.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 11% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 25: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/25.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.1 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 19% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 26: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/26.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.5 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 15% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 27: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/27.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 7.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 16% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 28: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/28.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.7 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 17% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 29: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/29.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4.0 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 33% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 30: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/30.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 3.2 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 17% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 31: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/31.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 38% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 32: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/32.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 4.9 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 31% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 33: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/33.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 15% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 34: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/34.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.6 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 22% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 35: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/35.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 6.5 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 41% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 36: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/36.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 3.82 (2006)Unmet need for family planning: 21.2% (2006)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 37: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/37.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 5.5 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 51% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 38: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/38.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 6.2 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 28% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size
![Page 39: Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level](https://reader037.vdocuments.net/reader037/viewer/2022110320/56649c9c5503460f9495a8ce/html5/thumbnails/39.jpg)
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertilityhas a major impact on its ultimate population size.
Total fertility rate: 3.7 (2010)Unmet need for family planning: 13% (2008)
2010, currentpopulation size