montana’s physician workforce in...

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Montana’s Physician Workforce in 2014 KEY FINDINGS In 2014 there were 201 physicians per 100,000 population providing direct patient care in Montana, including 72 generalist physicians per 100,000 population. The mean age of Montana’s practicing physicians was 53 years. Women comprised 29% of the state’s physician workforce but 38% of the generalists (including 55% of general pediatricians). Most rural areas of Montana had fewer physicians per capita than in urban areas and many rural counties had high percentages of physicians age 55 or older. 12% of Montana’s family medicine/general practice physician workforce completed a residency in Montana and 36% completed a residency in one of the WWAMI states: Washington, Wyoming, Alaska, Montana and Idaho. 13% of Montana’s physicians graduated from the University of Washington School of Medicine, a higher percentage than for any other school. INTRODUCTION The population of Montana is increasing and getting older, and health care delivery and payment systems are undergoing major transformations. Important questions for healthcare policy and planning include whether there will be enough physicians in the right places and with the needed specialties to meet growing and changing demand. This Brief offers data on the size, distribution, and education history of Montana’s physician workforce, addressing the questions: How many physicians practice in Montana? (overall and by specialty group) How are physicians distributed by county, and by urban versus rural areas? How many physicians practice statewide and by county relative to the size of the population? What proportion of the physician workforce graduated from the University of Washington School of Medicine or completed a residency in Montana or a WWAMI state? To estimate the physician workforce providing direct patient care in Montana, analyses used data from the American Medical Association (AMA) Physician Masterfile (see Methods, Appendix A). 1

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Montana’s PhysicianWorkforce in 2014KEY FINDINGS

In 2014 there were 201 physicians per 100,000 population providing direct patient care in Montana, including 72

generalist physicians per 100,000 population.

The mean age of Montana’s practicing physicians was 53 years.

Women comprised 29% of the state’s physician workforce but 38% of the generalists (including 55% of general

pediatricians).

Most rural areas of Montana had fewer physicians per capita than in urban areas and many rural counties had

high percentages of physicians age 55 or older.

12% of Montana’s family medicine/general practice physician workforce completed a residency in Montana and

36% completed a residency in one of the WWAMI states: Washington, Wyoming, Alaska, Montana and Idaho.

13% of Montana’s physicians graduated from the University of Washington School of Medicine, a higher percentage

than for any other school.

INTRODUCTIONThe population of Montana is increasing and getting older, and health care delivery and payment systems are undergoing major

transformations. Important questions for healthcare policy and planning include whether there will be enough physicians in the

right places and with the needed specialties to meet growing and changing demand. This Brief offers data on the size, distribution,

and education history of Montana’s physician workforce, addressing the questions:

How many physicians practice in Montana? (overall and by specialty group)

How are physicians distributed by county, and by urban versus rural areas?

How many physicians practice statewide and by county relative to the size of the population?

What proportion of the physician workforce graduated from the University of Washington School of Medicine or completed

a residency in Montana or a WWAMI state?

To estimate the physician workforce providing direct patient care in Montana, analyses used data from the American Medical

Association (AMA) Physician Masterfile (see Methods, Appendix A).

1

2

NUMBER, DEMOGRAPHIC CHARACTERISTICS, AND DISTRIBUTION OF PHYSICIANS IN MONTANAOVERALL SUPPLY AND DEMOGRAPHICSMontana’s total per capita physician supply is smaller than

the national supply, although the generalist physician

supply was similar to the national per capita number

(Figure 1). In 2014, there were 2,261 physicians (223 per

100,000 population) with Montana licenses and 2,045

(201 per 100,000 population) providing direct patient

care in the state. Nationally, in 2012 there were 261

overall physicians per 100,000 population and 226 per

100,000 providing direct patient care1. HRSA estimated

that in 2010 there were approximately 66 primary care

physicians per 100,000 U.S. population2; four years later, in

2014, Montana had 72 generalist physicians per 100,000

population. Table 1 shows the number of physicians in

Montana in 2014, total and by specialty group, as well as

the number per capita.

Table 1. Number, gender and age of Montana physicians in 2014

Physicians providing direct patient care* ##/100,000

population % FemaleMean Age

(Years)% Age 55 or Older

Total 2045 201.4 28.5% 52.8 46.5%

Generalists 730 71.9 38.2% 51.2 39.5%

Family medicine/general practice 461 45.4 36.2% 50.6 37.7%

General internal medicine 175 17.2 34.3% 52.2 43.4%

General pediatrics 94 9.3 55.3% 52.0 40.4%

Surgeons 245 24.1 31.8% 53.6 46.9%

General surgery 62 6.1 22.6% 52.1 37.1%

Obstetrics-gynecology 103 10.1 56.3% 52.5 43.7%

Other surgery 80 7.9 7.5% 56.0 58.8%

Psychiatrists 86 8.5 43.0% 55.7 60.5%

Other Specialists 984 96.9 19.1% 53.5 50.3%

*not federally employed, age <75 years, in Montana

Of 2,261 physicians with Montana licenses in 2014, 2,045 provided direct patient care.

Figure 1: Montana compared with national estimates of physicians per 100,000 population

223

261

201

226

72 66

Total Physicians Physicians providingdirect patient care

Generalists (MT)/Primary care (US)

MT

2014

US

2012

MT

2014

US

2012

MT

2014

US

20

10

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*Providing direct patient care, not federally employed, age <75 years

3

The mean age overall and by specialty for most Montana physicians

was similar, between 51 and 56 years (Table 1). Forty-seven percent

were age 55 or older. Twenty-nine percent of Montana’s physician

workforce were women, who comprised 38% of the generalist

specialties and 56% of obstetrician-gynecologists.

DISTRIBUTION Fewer physicians provided direct patient care per 100,000

population in rural compared with urban areas of Montana,

although there was more rural-urban parity among practicing

generalist physicians (Figure 2).

Table 2 details the rural-urban distribution of the state’s physicians,

overall and by specialty, and in addition shows their distribution

among three sub-rural area types: large rural, small rural and

isolated small rural. Figure 3 shows where rural and urban areas

Figure 2: Montana physicians* in urban and rural areas (total and generalist specialties) per 100,000 population in 2014

*Providing direct patient care, not federally employed, age <75 years, and in Montana

280

157

8068

All Physicians Generalist Physicians

Urban Rural

# p

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nTable 2. Montana physicians in urban, rural and sub-rural areas** in 2014

Physicians providing direct patient care*

Urban Overall Rural Large Rural Small Rural Isolated Small Rural

##/100,000

population ##/100,000

population ##/100,000

population ##/100,000

population ##/100,000

population

Total 1,031 279.9 1,014 156.7 628 238.0 297 168.0 89 43.1

Generalists 293 79.5 437 67.5 221 83.8 150 84.9 66 32.0

Family medicine/general practice

161 43.7 300 46.4 131 49.6 112 63.4 57 27.6

General internal medicine

86 23.3 89 13.8 53 20.1 29 16.4 7 3.4

General pediatrics 46 12.5 48 7.4 37 14.0 9 5.1 2 1.0

Surgeons 121 32.8 124 19.2 71 26.9 48 27.2 5 2.4

General surgery 20 5.4 42 6.5 20 7.6 20 11.3 2 1.0

Obstetrics-gynecology

43 11.7 60 9.3 34 12.9 23 13.0 3 1.5

Other surgery 58 15.7 22 3.4 17 6.4 5 2.8 0 0.0

Psychiatrists 44 11.9 42 6.5 34 12.9 7 4.0 1 0.5

Other Specialists 573 155.5 411 63.5 302 114.4 92 52.0 17 8.2

*not federally employed, age <75 years, in Montana** Rural-urban determined using ZIP code RUCA taxonomy. Overall rural is a combination of the three rural subcategories.

4

The AMA Physician Masterfile showed 15 Montana counties had no practicing physicians and 17 counties had no practicing generalist physicians.

are located in Montana. As expected, specialists

congregated in urban areas where more specialty

care services and larger hospitals are provided.

But because much of Montana’s population lives

in the many rural areas of the state, overall there

were nearly as many physicians in rural Montana

as in urban areas, and the number of generalist

physicians was greater in rural compared with

urban areas. On a per capita basis, however,

the urban areas of the state had relatively more

practicing physicians than across rural areas.

Major differences in physician supply were seen

between the large and small rural areas, where

the number of physicians per capita exceeded

urban areas for some specialties, compared with

the small physician supply rates seen in isolated

small rural areas.

Rural Urban Commuting Areas (RUCAs) by ZIPcode

Map Date: July 2014 Urban

Large Rural

Small Rural

Isolated Small RuralUrban

Large Rural

Small Rural

Isolated Small Rural

Rural Urban Commuting Areas (RUCAs) by ZIPcode

Map Date: July 2014

Rural Urban Commuting Areas (RUCAs) by ZIPcode

Map Date: July 2014 Urban

Large Rural

Small Rural

Isolated Small Rural

Figure 3. Location of urban and rural areas in Montana

5

The numbers of all physicians

and generalist physicians per

100,000 population in each

Montana county are shown

in Figure 4. In 2014, the AMA

Physician Masterfile showed

15 counties had no practicing

physicians and 17 counties

had no practicing generalist

physicians. This may be an

overstatement of the number

of Montana counties that

lack access to a physician.

Some counties are served by

locum tenens physicians, and

physicians in some counties

may not be included in the

Masterf i le because they

were recently recruited, have

addresses in other locations,

or otherwise were missed in

the assembling of the AMA

data. Counties in western

Montana tended to have

higher physician density than

counties in eastern Montana,

which generally follows the

distribution of the state’s

population. It should be

noted that because Montana

is a very rural state with a

relatively small population,

at the county level most of

the numbers of physicians

per 100,000 population were

larger than the actual number

of physicians in the counties.

Nonetheless, comparing

physician supply on a per

capita basis is a useful way to

assess the relative supply of

physicians across the state.

Figure 4: Montana physicians per 100,000 population in 2014, by county

Beaverhead178

Cascade237

Custer157

Flathead248

Gallatin213

Hill158

Lewisand Clark

248

Lincoln135

Missoula300

Valley145

Yellowstone316

BigHorn107

Blaine44

Carbon74

Carter0

Chouteau0

Daniels111

Dawson127

Fallon64

Fergus167

Garfield0

Glacier64

Granite0

Jefferson27

JudithBasin

0

Lake117 McCone

0

Madison78

Meagher0 Musselshell

45

Park122

Phillips25

Pondera66

PowderRiver

0

Powell111

Prairie0

Ravalli128

Richland113

Roosevelt25

Rosebud42

Sanders70

Sheridan54

SweetGrass

28

Teton0

Toole94

Wheatland0

Data Source: AMA Physician MasterfileMap Date: August 2014

Practicing Physicians per 100,000 population

fewer more

Petroleum0

Mineral57 Wilbaux

0

Stillwater22

Treasure0

Liberty42

DeerLodge255

Silver Bow 175

Broadwater61

Golden Valley

0

All physicians providing direct patient care per 100,000 population

Generalist physicians providing direct patient care per 100,000 population

Beaverhead84

BigHorn77Carbon

74

Cascade71

Custer91

Daniels111

Fergus114

Flathead70

Gallatin81

Hill79

Lake75

Lewisand Clark

103

Lincoln72

Missoula91

Toole75

Valley66

Yellowstone82

Blaine44

Carter0

Chouteau0

Dawson53

Fallon64

Garfield0

Glacier57

Granite0

Jefferson18

JudithBasin

0

McCone0

Madison65

Meagher0 Musselshell

0

Park64

Phillips25

Pondera33

PowderRiver

0

Powell69

Prairie0

Ravalli55

Richland43

Roosevelt0

Rosebud42

Sanders52

Sheridan54

SweetGrass

28

Teton0

Wheatland0

Data Source: AMA Physician MasterfileMap Date: August 2014

Practicing Generalist Physicians per 100,000 population

fewer more

Petroleum0

Mineral29 Wilbaux

0

Stillwater11

Treasure0

Liberty42

DeerLodge117

Silver Bow 76

Broadwater40

Golden Valley

0

6

As shown in Figure 5 many of

Montana’s most rural counties

had the highest percentages

of physicians age 55 and

older. More than 50% of all

physicians providing direct

patient care in 17 Montana

counties were age 55 or older

in 2014. In five counties—

Daniels, Fallon, Mineral,

Phillips, and Sweet Grass—

all physicians were over age

55. While 100 percent of

generalist physicians in six

counties were over 55, the

percentages of generalist

physicians age 55 or older

were generally lower than

for overall physicians, but still

were high among the more

rural counties.

In 30% of Montana’s counties, more than half of the physicians were age 55 or older.

Figure 5: Montana physicians age 55 or older in 2014, by county

Beaverhead47.1%

Big Horn64.3%

Cascade49.0%

Custer57.9%

Daniels100.0%

Dawson75.0%

Fallon100.0%

Fergus68.4%

Flathead47.2%

Glacier44.4% Hill

53.8%

Jefferson66.7%

Lake45.2%

Lewisand Clark44.5%

Lincoln46.2%

Missoula47.3%

Musselshell50.0%

Park52.6%

Phillips100.0%

Pondera50.0%

Powell50.0%

Richland53.8%

Roosevelt66.7%

Rosebud50.0%

Sheridan50.0%

Valley54.5%

Yellowstone44.5%

Blaine33.3%

Carbon14.3%

Gallatin40.4%

Ravalli33.3%

Sanders37.5%

Toole40.0%

Carter

Chouteau

Garfield

Granite

JudithBasin

McCone

Meagher

PowderRiver

Prairie

Teton

Wheatland

Data Source: AMA Physician MasterfileMap Date: August 2014

Percent of Practicing Physicians Age 55 or Older

fewer more

PetroleumMineral100.0%

Wilbaux

Stillwater50.0%

Treasure

Liberty0.0%

DeerLodge 50.0%

Silver Bow 46.7%

Broadwater66.7%

Golden Valley

Madison83.3%

No practicing physicians

Sweet Grass

100.0%

All physicians age 55 or older providing direct patient care

Generalist physicians age 55 or older providing direct patient care

Beaverhead12.5%

Blaine33.3%

Carbon14.3%

Gallatin33.8%

Glacier37.5%

Lewisand Clark36.8%

Missoula36.6%

Park40.0%

Powell40.0%

Ravalli21.7%

Valley40.0%

Yellowstone37.0%

Big Horn60.0%

Cascade41.4%

Custer54.5%

Daniels100.0%

Dawson60.0%

Fallon100.0%

Fergus61.5%

Flathead40.9%

Hill46.2%

Lake45.0%

Lincoln42.9%

Madison80.0%

Phillips100.0%

Pondera50.0%

Richland80.0%

Rosebud50.0%

Sanders50.0%

Sheridan50.0%Toole

50.0%

Carter

Chouteau

Garfield

Granite

JudithBasin

McCone

MeagherMusselshell

PowderRiver

Prairie

Roosevelt

Teton

Wheatland

Data Source: AMA Physician MasterfileMap Date: August 2014

Percent of Generalist PracticingPhysicians Age 55 or Older

fewer more

PetroleumMineral100.0% Wilbaux

Stillwater0.0%

Treasure

Liberty0.0%

DeerLodge

54.5%Silver

Bow 23.1%

Broadwater50.0%

Golden Valley

Jefferson100.0%

Sweet Grass

100.0%

No generalist practicing physicians

7

EDUCATION AND TRAINING The University of Washington School of Medicine led the list of medical schools from

which Montana’s physicians graduated (Table 3). Ten percent of Montana’s physicians

completed a residency in Washington; smaller percentages completed residencies in

California, Colorado, Utah, and Minnesota (Table 4).

13% of Montana’s physicians graduated from the University of Washington School of Medicine and 3% completed a residency in Montana.

Table 3: Top 5 medical schools from which Montana physicians graduated*

School State #

% of physicians who graduated

from school

University of Washington School of Medicine

WA 256 12.5%

University of Colorado School of Medicine

CO 65 3.2%

Creighton University School of Medicine

NE 58 2.8%

University of Minnesota Medical School

MN 50 2.4%

University of Utah School of Medicine

UT 50 2.4%

* among Montana physicians in 2014 providing direct patient care, not federally employed, age <75 years

Table 4. Top 5 states where Montana physicians completed a residency*

State #% of MT physicians who

completed a residency in the state

WA 192 9.7%

CA 179 9.0%

CO 126 6.4%

UT 109 5.5%

MN 96 4.9%

* among Montana physicians in 2014 providing direct patient care, not federally employed, age <75 years

As shown in Table 5, 13% of Montana’s overall practicing physician supply in 2014 graduated from the University of Washington.

While 15% completed a residency in a WWAMI state, including Montana, only 2.7% completed a residency in Montana, where

few residencies are available. Among generalist physicians these percentages are higher: 36% of family medicine/general practice

physicians completed a residency in a WWAMI state, including Montana, and 16% of all Montana’s generalist physicians graduated

from the University of Washington School of Medicine.

8

Table 5. Montana physicians in 2014 who graduated from the University of Washington School of Medicine (UW SOM), and who completed a residency in Washington or in any WWAMI* state

Physicians providing direct patient care**

Graduated from UW SOMCompleted a residency

in MT***Completed a residency

in a WWAMI state

# % # % # %

Total 256 12.5% 54 2.7% 290 14.7%

Generalists 119 16.3% 54 7.7% 191 27.3%

Family medicine/general practice 74 16.1% 54 12.4% 158 36.4%

General internal medicine 32 18.3% 0 0.0% 30 17.4%

General pediatrics 13 13.8% 0 0.0% 3 3.2%

Surgeons 27 11.0% 0 0.0% 13 5.5%

General surgery 9 14.5% 0 0.0% 3 5.1%

Obstetrics-gynecology 12 11.7% 0 0.0% 5 4.9%

Other surgery 6 7.5% 0 0.0% 5 6.5%

Psychiatrists 9 10.5% 0 0.0% 10 11.8%

Other Specialists 101 10.3% 0 0.0% 76 7.9%

* WWAMI = Washington, Wyoming, Alaska, Montana, and Idaho ** not federally employed, age <75 years, in Montana *** Percentages are calculated based on physicians for which residency state data were available. There were 105 records (3.9%) that were missing residency state (0

were missing medical school).

The percentage of physicians who completed a residency in

Montana is higher among those who graduated from medical

school since 2000 (Figure 6). It is not clear if this indicates a trend

toward higher rates of post-residency retention by the more recent

physician cohorts compared with older cohorts, or if there is a

pattern for some physicians to remain in the state for a few years

after completing residencies before migrating to other locations.

SUMMARY In 2014 Montana’s physician supply, on a per capita basis, was

generally smaller than national averages. Differences in distribution

are apparent between urban and rural areas of the state. While

more physicians practiced in urban areas, the numbers of

generalists per capita in large and small rural areas were surprisingly

similar. Very few physicians worked in isolated small rural areas of

Montana, however.

About 13% of Montana’s total physician supply graduated from the University of Washington, where Montana contributes to

the WWAMI Medical School program. Medical students from Montana have been supported by the state to attend the WWAMI

program since 1972. By 2013, 591 Montana students had completed medical school through the WWAMI program.3

Residency is known to be highly associated with the location where a physician eventually chooses to practice and of the

population he or she prefers to serve, and is therefore a useful recruitment tool.4 In 2012 Montana ranked third among states for

retaining physicians who complete a residency in-state, with a 63% retention rate in 2012.1 This high rate of retention contributed

to the 12% of all 2014 physicians in family medicine/general practice specialties who completed a residency in Montana. Since

2012, two new residency programs have opened in Montana - the Family Medicine Residency of Western Montana in 2013

and the Billings Clinic Internal Medicine residency in 2014. While not an easy task, creating more residencies in locations and

for specialties that serve the populations where shortages are greatest could be an effective tool to reduce disparities in the

distribution of Montana’s physicians. This study also showed that higher percentages of physicians who were more recent medical

school graduates (since 2000) completed a residency in-state (9% of the total). Efforts specifically designed to retain these young

physicians could be a useful health workforce development strategy for Montana.

9

Figure 6. Montana physicians* in 2014 who completed a residency in Montana

* not federally employed, age <75 years, in Montana, and providing direct patient care

2.7%

9.0%7.7%

20.2%

Total Physicians Generalist Physicians

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REFERENCES 1. Center for Workforce Studies, Association of American Medical Colleges. 2013 state physician workforce data book. Physician

Databook. Washington, DC: Association of American Medical Colleges; 2013.

2. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Health Resources and Services Administration, National Center for Health

Workforce Analysis. Projecting the supply and demand for primary care practitioners through 2020. Rockville, Maryland: U.S.

Department of Health and Human Services, 2013.

3. Suzanne Allen (personal communication, Oct. 5, 2014)

4. Ballance D, Kornegay D, Evans P. Factors that influence physicians to practice in rural locations: A review and commentary. J

Rural Health. 2009;25:276–281.

5. Claritas. 2014 Selected Population Facts Data for All ZIP Codes and Counties Nationwide; Selected Data Items for All Tracts

Nationwide. ZIP Code Cross-reference File Included. Custom-prepared data CD. San Diego, CA: Claritas; 2014.

6. U.S. Department of Agriculture. Rural-urban commuting area codes. http://www.ers.usda.gov/data-products/rural-urban-

commuting-area-codes.aspx#.U6xpL0Ca-2N. Accessed June 26, 2014.

APPENDIX A: METHODS The Montana state physician supply data for this study came from the American Medical Association (AMA) Physician Masterfile,

accessed in April, 2014. There were 2,261 total allopathic and osteopathic physicians with Montana license records in the dataset.

Those selected for these analyses were the 2,045 with 1) an in-state practice address (or mail address, when practice was not

available), 2) who were age 74 or younger, 3) provided direct patient care, and 4) were not a federal employee. Physicians were

assigned specialties using the AMA dataset’s “primary” and “secondary” specialty fields. The primary specialty was reassigned

to the secondary specialty for about 7% of physicians when there was indication from the listed secondary specialty that the

physician was likely to practice more specialized medicine than the primary specialty indicated. Physician specialties were grouped

into “Generalists” (family medicine/general practice, general internal medicine and general pediatrics specialties), “Specialists”

(general surgery, obstetrics-gynecology and other surgery), and “Other Specialists”. Data for psychiatrists were analyzed and

reported separately. State population data came from a custom-prepared file of selected 2014 population data with ZIP codes

cross-referenced to counties.5 Rural-urban status was determined using Rural Urban Commuting Area (RUCA) taxonomy.6

10

University of Washington • School of Medicine

Box 354982 • Seattle WA 98195-4982

phone: (206) 685-0402 • fax: (206) 616-4768

http://depts.washington.edu/ahec/ and http://depts.washington.edu/uwchws/

11

AUTHORS Susan M. Skillman, MS, Deputy Director, UW WWAMI CHWS and Associate Director, WWAMI AHEC

Bert Stover, PhD, Research Scientist, UW WWAMI CHWS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Gina Keppel, MPH, produced this report’s maps, Anne Basye provided editorial review and Alessandro Leveque was the document’s

designer.

FUNDING These analyses were funded through Grant # 2 U77 HP 03022-19-00 from the Health Resources and Services Administration.

SUGGESTED CITATION Skillman SM, Stover B. Montana’s physician workforce in 2014. Seattle, WA:WWAMI Center for Health Workforce Studies,

University of Washington, Nov. 2014.