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2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Subdivision Staging Policy UpdateFriends of White FlintFebruary 4, 2020
Montgomery Planning | Functional Planning & Policy Division
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
What is the Subdivision Staging Policy?• The County’s Adequate Public Facilities Ordinance (APFO)
became law in 1973:
• “The [Planning] Board may only approve a preliminary plan when it finds that public facilities will be adequate to support and service the subdivision. Public facilities and services to be examined for adequacy include roads and transportation facilities, sewer and water service, schools, police stations, firehouses, and health clinics.” §50.4.3(J) of the County Code
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
What is the Subdivision Staging Policy?• The Subdivision Staging Policy (SSP) is the set of policy tools that
administer the APFO:
• guides the timely delivery of public facilities to serve existing and future development
• defines adequacy and how we measure it
• The policy is updated every four years.
• The County Council must adopt the new SSP by November 15, 2020.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Slower growth in a maturing Montgomery County
1990: 765,500 +287,100
2018: 1,052,600
38% population increase since 1990
Most populous county in Maryland with over 1 million people since 2012
Forecasting a 7.2 % gain of 76,235 people between 2018 and 2030
1,052,567
1,128,800 1,197,100
83,912 164,401
340,928
522,809 579,053
757,027
873,341
971,777
0
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
Popu
latio
n
Year
Total Population, 1940-2040
Forecast Rnd 9.1
Estimate
Source: 1940-2010 Decennial Census, 2018 Population Estimate Program U.S. Census Bureau; Washington Council of Governments Forecast Round 9.1, Research and Special Projects.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy UpdateSource: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Estimate Program, 3/2019
(15,000)
(10,000)
(5,000)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Num
ber o
f Peo
ple
Components of Population Growth
Net Domestic Migration International Migration Natural increase Population Change
Sources of Population Growth1990-2017
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Population Change 1990-2016by Census Tract
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Changing Travel Trends (Nationwide)
Shared Micromobilityencompasses all shared-use fleets of small, fully or partially human-powered vehicles such as bikes,e-bikes, ande-scooters.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Schools
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
What Does the SSP Do?• Requires the Planning Board to
annually approve the results of a school test evaluating projected school capacity
• Establishes the criteria for enacting development moratoria based on projected school capacity utilization
• Identifies exceptions to the moratoria
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
ES #1ES #2
ES #3
ES #6
ES #5
ES #4
MS #1
MS #2
The Annual School Test is a two-tiered test:
• Cluster level test of utilization
• School level test of utilization
CLUSTER TESTTotal ES utilizationTotal MS utilization
HS utilization
Annual School Test Overview
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Moratorium ThresholdsTest Level Moratorium ThresholdCluster Projected cumulative utilization greater than 120% at
any school level (elementary, middle or high school) across the entire cluster.
Individual Elementary School Projected utilization greater than 120% and projected capacity deficit of 110 seats or more.
Individual Middle School Projected utilization greater than 120% and projected capacity deficit of 180 seats or more.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Current Moratorium Coverage
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Current Moratorium Coverage
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Exceptions to the Moratorium• Non-residential projects
• De minimis projects of 3 units or less
• Age-restricted senior housing
• Certain projects that generate 10 or fewer students at any one school and meet other conditions related to the removal of a condemned structure or provide high quantities of deeply affordable housing
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
How Many Kids Live There?!
Student Generation Rates (SGRs) are an average of the number of students per type of dwelling unit.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Schools: All Aspects Under Review• The moratorium policy and its thresholds and exceptions
• The Annual School Test procedures
• Estimating enrollment impacts
• Development queue impacts
• Impacts of neighborhood turnover on enrollment
• Impact taxes – how they are applied and calculated
• Potential reintroduction of school facility payments
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Schools: Seeking Innovative Solutions• We are seeking an innovative set of policy tools that:
• Better ensure school capacity adequacy within the County’s current growth paradigm
• Support the County’s other policy priorities
• Effort has included an extensive review of policies from other similar jurisdictions across the country
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 18
Share of Students and Units by Dwelling Type
55% 47%
22%18%
20%21%
4%
14%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
K-12 Students Dwelling Units
Single Family Houses Townhouses Low-Rise Multi-Family Units High-Rise Multi-Family Units
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Housing Growth, 2015-18by Cluster
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000
Gaithersburg HSWalter Johnson HS
Bethesda-Chevy Chase HSClarksburg HS
Richard Montgomery HSNorthwood HS
Einstein HSNorthwest HS
Quince Orchard HSKennedy HS
Blair HSWhitman HS
Damascus HSRockville HS
Paint Branch HSChurchill HS
Seneca Valley HSSpringbrook HS
Magruder HSPoolesville HSSherwood HS
Wootton HSBlake HS
Watkins Mill HSWheaton HS
Single Family DetachedSingle Family AttachedMultifamily Low-riseMultifamily High-rise
Source: SDAT
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 20
SGR by Average Rent per Square FootMultifamily dwelling units
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
Under $1.49 $1.50 - $1.75 $1.75 - $2.00 $2.00 - $2.25 $2.25 - $2.50 $2.50 - $2.75 $2.75 - $3.00 Above $3.00
Aver
age
Num
ber o
f Stu
dent
s per
Uni
t
Average Rent per Square Foot in a Building
NOTE: These are not the SGRs for units at these rent levels. They are the SGRs for units in buildings where the average rent falls in these ranges.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 21
SGR by Average Unit Square FootageMultifamily dwelling units
0.000
0.050
0.100
0.150
0.200
0.250
0.300
0.350
0.400
Under 500 500 - 599 sf 600 - 699 sf 700 - 799 sf 800- 899 sf 900 - 999 sf Above 1000sf
Aver
age
Num
ber o
f Stu
dent
s per
Uni
t
Average Unit Square Footage in a Building
NOTE: These are not the SGRs for units at these sizes. They are the SGRs for units in buildings where the average unit size falls in these ranges.
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy UpdateSource: SDAT/DHCA
0.000
0.200
0.400
0.600
0.800
1.000
1.200
1.400
0% Under5% 5%-10% 10%-20% 20%-30% 30-40% 40-50% Over 50%
Aver
age
Num
ber o
f Stu
dent
s per
Uni
t
Share of 3-Bedroom Units in a Building
NOTE: These are not the SGRs for 3-bedroom units. They are the SGRs for all units in buildings where the share of 3-bedroom units falls into the indicated range.
SGR by Share of 3-Bedroom UnitsMultifamily dwelling units
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 23
72.9%
12.9%
10.1%
2.9% 1.1%
0 students 1 student 2 students 3 students 4 or more students
Homes with students on average have1.7 studentseach
SFD Homes by Number of Students
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 24
Lot SizeSingle family detached units
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
Up to 1/4 1/4 to 1/2 1/2 to 3/4 3/4 to 1 Over 1 acreLot Size (acres)
Count of SF Detached Units
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 25
SGR by Lot SizeSingle family detached units
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
Up to 1/4 1/4 to 1/2 1/2 to 3/4 3/4 to 1 Over 1Lot Size (acres)
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 26
Gross Floor AreaSingle family detached units
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
45,000
50,000
Gross Floor Area (sf)
Count of SF Detached Units
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 27
SGR by Gross Floor AreaSingle family detached units
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
500-999 1,000-1,499 1,500-1,999 2,000-2,499 2,500-2,999 3,000-3,499 3,500-3,999 4,000-4,499 4,500-,4,999 5,000-5,499 5,500 and higherGross Floor Area (sf)
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 28
2%12%
54%
32%
Gaithersburg
12%8%
25%55%
Walter Johnson
24%
57%
19%
Clarksburg
21%2%
1%
76%
Bethesda-Chevy Chase2%
11%
87%
Montgomery Blair5%
95%
Albert Einstein
Unit Mix for Highest Housing Growth Clusters (2011-15)
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 29
Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blair
Blake
Churchill
Clarksburg
Damascus
Einstein
Gaithersburg
Kennedy
Magruder
Northwest
Northwood
Paint Branch
Poolesville
Quince Orchard
Richard Montgomery
Rockville
SherwoodSpringbrook
Walter Johnson
Watkins Mill
Wheaton
Whitman
Wootton
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
SF S
hare
of U
nits
Bui
lt 20
11-2
015
Total Units Built 2011-2015
Total Units Built by % Single Family
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 30
Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blair
Blake
ChurchillClarksburg
Damascus
Einstein
Gaithersburg
Kennedy
Magruder
Northwest
Northwood
Paint Branch
Poolesville Quince Orchard
Richard Montgomery
Rockville
Sherwood
Walter Johnson
WhitmanWootton
1,200 students
600 students
300 students
150 students75 students
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
SF S
hare
of U
nits
Bui
lt 20
11-2
015
Total Units Built 2011-2015
2015 Students Residing in Units Built 2011-15
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 31
Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blair
Blake
ChurchillClarksburg
Damascus
Einstein
Gaithersburg
Kennedy
Magruder
Northwest
Northwood
Paint Branch
Poolesville Quince Orchard
Richard Montgomery
Rockville
Sherwood
Springbrook
Walter Johnson
WhitmanWootton
1,200 students
600 students
300 students
150 students75 students
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
SF S
hare
of U
nits
Bui
lt 20
11-2
015
Total Units Built 2011-2015
2018 Students Residing in Units Built 2011-15
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 32
2018 SGRs for Units Built 2011-15
Bethesda-Chevy Chase
Blair
Blake
ChurchillClarksburg
Damascus
Einstein
Gaithersburg
Kennedy
Magruder
Northwest
Northwood
Paint Branch
PoolesvilleQuince Orchard
Richard Montgomery
Rockville
Sherwood
Springbrook
Walter Johnson
WhitmanWootton
SGR = 1.500
SGR = 0.750
SGR = 0.375
SGR = 0.188SGR = 0.094
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500
SF S
hare
of U
nits
Bui
lt 20
11-2
015
Total Units Built 2011-2015
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update 33
SGR by Year Built and Dwelling Type
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.700
SFD SFA MF Low MF High All
Before 1901 1901-1910 1911-1920 1921-1930 1931-1940 1941-1950 1951-19601961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2010 2011-2018
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Longest (14+ years)
Shortest (~5 years)
Source: SDAT
Distribution of Census Tracts by: Average Length of TimeSince Units were Last Sold
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy UpdateSource: SDAT
0.000
0.100
0.200
0.300
0.400
0.500
0.600
0.700
0.800
0.900
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Aver
age
Num
ber o
f Stu
dent
s per
Uni
t
Year Last Sold
ES MS HS
Student Generation Rate by: Year Last Sold (Single Family Detached only)
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Transportation
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
What Does the SSP Do?• Groups our 38 policy areas
into four policy area categories based on:
• Current land use patterns
• The prevalence of different modes of travel
• The planning vision for the policy area
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
What Does the SSP Do?• Establishes a set of multi-modal
Local Area Transportation Review (LATR) tests for determining transportation adequacy
• Forecasts travel demand generated by existing, pipeline and proposed development and compares it to the capacity provided by existing and programmed roads and transit facilities
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
What Does the SSP Do?• Unified Mobility Programs (UMPs) include an area-wide analysis
of needed transportation improvements
• Applicants pay their proportion of the UMP cost
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Transportation Update Scope• Update of the transportation element is focused on two primary
tasks:
• Identifying opportunities to incorporate the County’s Vision Zero travel safety objectives into the Local Area Transportation Review process
• Reintroducing a policy area-level transportation adequacy test for the purpose of evaluating "balance" between transportation capacity and land use travel demand for master plans /sector plans
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Impact Taxes
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Transportation Impact TaxesResidential (per unit)
RedPolicyAreas
OrangePolicyAreas
YellowPolicyAreas
GreenPolicyAreas
Single Family Detached $7,838 $19,591 $24,490 $24,490Single Family Attached $6,413 $16,030 $20,038 $20,038Multifamily Low-rise $4,986 $12,465 $15,582 $15,582Multifamily High-rise $3,561 $8,904 $11,130 $11,130Multifamily Senior $1,424 $3,562 $4,452 $4,452
Non-Residential (per square foot GFA)Office $7.15 $17.90 $22.40 $22.40Industrial $3.60 $8.90 $11.20 $11.20Bioscience Facility $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Retail $6.35 $16.00 $19.95 $19.95Place of Worship $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Private Elementary and Secondary School $0.55 $1.45 $1.85 $1.85Hospital $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Social Service Agency $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00Other Non-Residential $3.60 $8.90 $11.20 $11.20
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Schools Impact Taxes
Residential (per unit) CountywideSingle Family Detached $26,207Single Family Attached $27,598Multifamily Low-rise $21,961Multifamily High-rise $6,113Multifamily Senior $0
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Impact Taxes Exemptions• All moderately priced dwelling units (MPDUs) are exempt
• Any project that includes 25% or more MPDUs are fully exempt on all units
• Any project in a current or former Enterprise Zone (including Downtown Silver Spring)
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Discussion Questions
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Discussion Questions• GENERAL
• What are the most urgent priorities that need to be addressed as Montgomery County continues to grow?
• SCHOOLS• How should we measure the adequacy of school infrastructure?
• At what point does over-enrollment become excessive? What are the primary issues associated with excessive over-enrollment?
• Should the residential development moratorium policy continue? Be modified? Be discontinued?
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Discussion Questions• TRANSPORTATION
• What steps can the county take to improve mobility and transportation systems?
• What safety features need to be prioritized? What would help improve the safety of our roads?
• What impact will autonomous vehicles or the growing use of micro-mobility options have on how we evaluate the adequacy of our transportation infrastructure?
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Additional Information
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
SSP Update Schedule
2 9 16 23 30 7 14 21 28 4 11 18 25 2 9 16 23 30 6 13 20 27 3 10 17 24 2 9 16 23 30 6 13 20 27 4 11 18 25 1 8 15 22 29 6 13 20 27 3 10 17 24 31 7 14 21 28 5 12 19 26 2 9
SR SRB B
STAT Review ● ● ● ● ● ●
TISTWG Review ● ● ● ● ●
Council Review PH V
CW Community WorkshopSR Stakeholder RoundtablePH Public Hearing
B Planning Board BriefingW Planning Board WorksessionV Planning Board or Council Vote● Meeting, scheduled
Engagement and Data GatheringPolicy Development
W W VW V PH W WSR SR SR B W
December
Key
Planning Staff and Planning Board Review B CW
2019 2020July August September October Nov.January February March April May JuneSeptember October November
•Major Milestones• SSP Working Draft – by June 15• SSP Planning Board Draft – by August 1• SSP Adoption – by November 15
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Additional Resources and Events• SSP Website: https://montgomeryplanning.org/ssp
• Visit the Outreach Page to:• Sign up for our eLetter• Send us your detailed thoughts through online questionnaires
• Upcoming Stakeholder Roundtables• MCCPTA/MCR-SGA – February 8 @ Richard Montgomery HS• Upcounty – February 20 @ Upcounty Regional Services Center• East County – February 24 @ East County Regional Services Center
2020 Subdivision Staging Policy Update
Contact Info• Jason Sartori | Functional Planning & Policy Division Chief
• [email protected]• 301-495-2172
• Eric Graye | Transportation Supervisor• [email protected]• 301-495-4632
• Lisa Govoni | Housing Policy Planner Coordinator• [email protected]• 301-650-5624
• Hye-Soo Baek | Senior Planner• [email protected]• 301-495-2192