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©2018 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Ramsin Jajoo, Head of Asset Management Client Solutions, North America Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset Management Industry

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Page 1: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

©2018 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Ramsin Jajoo,Head of Asset Management Client Solutions, North America

Morningstar Direct ForumPerspective on Asset Management Industry

Page 2: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

2

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Page 3: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

3

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Page 4: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Source: Morningstar Direct. © Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.

Percentage of Assets in Passive Funds, Equity

Page 5: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Source: Morningstar Direct. © Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.

Percentage of Assets in Passive Funds, Fixed Income

Page 6: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Source: Morningstar Direct. Data on this slide in only for U.S. funds. © Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.

Since 2014, Fees Matter More Than Ever for Actively-Managed Funds

Page 7: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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So far this year, Morningstar has received 1,062 media mentions regarding Sustainability, reaching 939 Million people

Page 8: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

8

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Regulation – transparency & fiduciary standards (conflicts of interest, best interest)

Page 9: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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Page 10: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Global Reg-Scape

10

Regulatory Areas of Focus / Morningstar Capabilities

Regulations

North America Europe AsiaPac

• Fiduciary or Best Interest Standards Best Interest Scorecard Data Catalyst Due Diligence Scorecard

RBICRM II

RDRMiFid II

FOFAFAIR

Royal CommissionFSA in Japan

• Advanced Portfolio Analytics Full Portfolio Holdings Aggregate Portfolio Reporting Data and Software Performance Reporting Real-time

RBICRM II

RDRMiFid II

Solvency IIBasel III

FOFAHK & Singapore Product

Due Diligence

• Fee Transparency Granular Fee Data Cost Calculator Fee Analysis

RBICRM II MiFid II

RG97SEBI in India

SFC in HK

• Unbundled Research Procurement Independent research MiFid II MiFid II

• Banning Commissions / Professional Standards Open architecture Whole of market data

Trend to fee based accountsRDR

MiFid IIFOFAFAIR

• Other regulatory initiatives Disclosures RBI

Page 11: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Clean Share – Service Fee Arrangement

11

Page 12: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

12

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Regulation – transparency & fiduciary standards (conflicts of interest, best interest)

Modern advice – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals-based, value of advice

Page 13: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

An Established Trend to Fee-Based Accounts Professional Services and Standards

13

Source: Company filings, Morningstar.

Page 14: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Engagement with Modern Advisors has changed

14 ©2018 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.

Page 15: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Practice Management and Behavioral Insights

15 ©2018 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.

Page 16: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

16

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Regulation – transparency & fiduciary standards (conflicts of interest, best interest)

Modern advice – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals-based, value of advice

Digital evolution – low barriers, scale/efficiency, big/small data, blockchain/crypto, robo/fintech

Page 17: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

17

49% of asset managers say technology innovation will cause fundamental change in their operating model over the next 24 months.4Q 2017 Confluence Trend Survey of asset managers and third-party administrators

48% of organizations surveyed now have a Chief Digital Officer and 23% are planning to establish the role this year.

Capgemini 2018

Page 18: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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Increase and improvecustomer engagement

Operate efficientlyand scale

DigitalTransformation

Page 19: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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Increase and improve customer engagement Growth New experiences End-to-end experience Customer data User behavior

We drive digital transformation with top firms globally

Operate efficiently and scale Third party integration Cross-platform

effectiveness Sales productivity Efficiency & integration Cost savings

Digital Transformation

Page 20: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

20

Personal portfolio analysis

A few of the most prevalent projects we’ve seen

Consolidate vendors

Digital Transformation

User analytics

Sales force effectiveness

Page 21: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Artificial Intelligence

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Page 22: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

What is Artificial Intelligence?

22

AI

Knowledge Reasoning Planning

Machine Learning

Natural Language

Processing

Computer Vision

Robotics

Linear Regression Decision Tree K-Nearest Neighbors Random ForestSupport Vector Machines Neural Nets Deep Learning

Algorithms

Page 23: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Artificial Intelligence Requirements: Data

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Page 24: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Artificial Intelligence Requirements: Scalable Infrastructure

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Page 25: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Algorithms Require Tradeoffs

25

Page 26: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Morningstar QuantitativeTM Rating for FundsMachine Learning Algorithm: Random Forest

Page 27: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Morningstar QuantitativeTM Rating for Funds

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Page 28: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Morningstar QuantitativeTM Rating for Funds

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Page 29: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Morningstar Global Risk ModelInvestor PulseMachine Learning Algorithm: Linear Regression

Page 30: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Morningstar Global Risk Model

30Source: Morningstar Direct

Page 31: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Investor Pulse

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Page 32: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Natural Language-Based Fund ScreenerArtificial Intelligence Type: Natural Language Processing

Page 33: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Natural Language-Based Fund Screener

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Page 34: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Natural Language Process

34

Page 35: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,
Page 36: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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Robo Advisor - Latest Equity Research

Key Takeaways:

g Robo-advisors have failed to disrupt and many are still unprofitable

g Moaty financial service firms (e.g. Vanguard & Schwab) have leapfrogged the early entrants

g Cost of client acquisition ($300-$1,000 p/client) means access to a fertile pool of prospects/clients is key

g Partnership with established firms may be the best path to success

g Revenue enhancing strategies improves the outlook for select robo-advisors becoming profitable

Download at http://www.morningstar.com/learn/robo-advisors

Page 37: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

37

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Regulation – transparency & fiduciary standards (conflicts of interest, best interest)

Modern advice – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals-based, value of advice

Digital evolution – low barriers, scale/efficiency, big/small data, blockchain/crypto, robo/fintech

Consolidation – M&A, smaller shelf space, more usage of models

Page 38: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Data as of June 2018. © Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.

Fastest-Growing Fund Families

Page 39: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Impact Analysis – Outsourced Investment Value Stack

39

When we refer to the ”stack” we mean the sum of fees paid by the investor. Market participants can move fees up and down the stack depending on competitive positioning

Custodian Float

Custodian Fee

Advisor

Technology

Broker Dealer

Strategist

Asset Management

100 BPS\0 to 25 BPS for robo

30 BPS

10 BPS

12 BPS

75 BPS

8 BPS

10 BPS (basis point equivalent)

Asset Management

Custodian

Platform

Page 40: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Impact Analysis – Competitive Lane Hopping

40

Custodian

(robo) Advisor

Technology

Broker Dealer

Strategist

Asset Management

New Capability

The full stack providers may move costs up or down the stack as suits them competitively (software for free if you custody with us)

Page 41: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

41

Investor preferences

Regulation

Modern advice

Digital evolution

Consolidation

Disruptors

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Regulation – transparency & fiduciary standards (conflicts of interest, best interest)

Modern advice – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals-based, value of advice

Digital evolution – low barriers, scale/efficiency, big/small data, blockchain/crypto, robo/fintech

Consolidation – M&A, smaller shelf space, more usage of models

Disruptors – direct to consumer, internet giants (Amazon, Apple, Google, IBM)

Page 42: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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Page 43: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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Morningstar Research Publications – Recent Insights

Source: Morningstar Direct

Page 44: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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What Factors Drive Investment Flows

Data as of March 31, 2018

Page 45: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

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What Factors Drive Investment Flows

Data as of March 31, 2018

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2

4/1/2013 4/1/2014 4/1/2015 4/1/2016 4/1/2017

Net Expense Ratio Fund Age Fund Size Trailing Growth Rate Trailing Return

Page 46: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

APPENDIX

Page 47: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Unbundled (“Clean”) Share – Service Fee Arrangement

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Page 48: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Unbundled Share – Service Fee Arrangement

Expense Type Unbundled Semi-bundled Bundled

Management fee Yes Yes Yes

Fund operating expenses Yes Yes Yes

Sub-TA No Yes Yes

Revenue sharing, platform, or other access fees No Yes Yes

Distribution fees (12b-1 and other) No No Yes

Loads and commissions No No Yes

Transaction and other operational fees No No Yes

Fees for advice or planning No No No

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Page 49: Morningstar Direct Forum Perspective on Asset …morningstardirect.morningstar.com/clientcomm/D.MstarPerp...2018/09/26  · – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals- based,

Strategic Market Drivers

49

Investor preferences – education & sophistication, low cost, goals/values-based

Regulation – transparency & fiduciary standards (conflicts of interest, best interest)

Modern advice – holistic advice, behavioral coaching, goals-based, value of advice

Digital evolution – low barriers, scale & efficiency, big/small data, blockchain/crypto, robo/fintech

Consolidation – M&A, smaller shelf space, more usage of models

Disruptors – direct to consumer, internet giants (Amazon, Apple, Google, IBM)