mrt – 7 project presentation
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MRT – 7 Project Presentation. June, 2007. Multi-purpose Transportation Solution with Real Estate Development Component. The MRT – 7 Project. A lead Infrastructure Project Metro Manila, Philippines. June 2007. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
MRT – 7MRT – 7Project Project
PresentationPresentation
June, 2007June, 2007
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June 2007
A lead Infrastructure ProjectMetro Manila, Philippines
Multi-purpose Transportation Solution Multi-purpose Transportation Solution withwith
Real Estate Development ComponentReal Estate Development Component
Enhancing infrastructure priority development project thru partnership between the
private and public sectors
MRT - 7 Project
• Elevated MRT
– 12.11Km
• At-Grade MRT
– 6.655 Km
• Open-Cut MRT
– 1.445 Km
• Tunnel MRT
– 0.785 Km
• 6 Lane Road
– 22.0 Km
MRT-7 Stations
• Elevated– 8 Stations
• At-Grade– 3 Stations
• Depressed – 3 Stations
Project Costs
In Million US Dollars
$1.235 B
MRT -7 Project Mission Transportation - not only providing reliable
connection for Commonwealth, Fairview and Bulacan commuters, but uniquely addressing decongestion of EDSA by providing an alternative route for the provincial buses from the North.
Decongestion - of Metro Manila thru obligation for the construction of the satellite town in San Jose del Monte.
Ridership Risk - Uniquely and first time undertaking of private sector to assume full responsibility for the ridership risk and the O&M cost.
MRT -7 Project Mission Energy Savings – NEDA study indicates
project causes $2.4Billion in Forex savings over the concession period base on crude oil price of $50 per barrel.
Employment – the project and the satellite township undertaking will create over 20,000 new jobs throughout the concession period.
Housing – uniquely creating for the low and middle class income group an affordable housing linked by transportation arteries to their work destinations.
MRT -7 Project Mission
Air Pollution – Significantly reducing air pollution over the Metropolis
Investment – opening opportunities in the project and its real estate development for $3Billion foreign and local investment pump priming of the economy.
Financial Overview
PROJECT COST $1.235B
SOURCES USES
EQUITY $ 309 Million PROJ. CONSTRUCTION& EPC CONTRACT (about)$ 1,000 Million
ECA LOANS $ 800 Million
OTHER LOANS $ 126 Million OTHER PROJ. COST (about)$235 Million
Total $ 1.235 Billion Total $ 1.235 Billion
FINANCIAL & ECONOMIC FINANCIAL & ECONOMIC VIABILITYVIABILITY
(BASIC)(BASIC)
Project EIRR 21.8%* Project FIRR 11.5% Investors FIRR 11.9% Government FIRR Deficit Neutral
* Excluding Road and Real Estate Development
Fund Source
Untied Loans
ECA
Thru EPC Contractor
Thru Other Multilateral
Thru Local & Foreign Investors Primarily
Real Estate Investors
$100 M
$100 MDEBT EQUITY
EQUITY
DEBT
US$309M
US$926M
$109 M
$126 M
$800Mof EPC = $1,000 M
Intermodal Terminal
Sixty (60) slots for simultaneously bus loading / unloading. Train underground Second floor providing facilities for up to 3,000 waiting
passengers for their rides Complex provide eleven (11) sets of escalators for rapid
movement of commuters.
Real Estate Development Opportunities
Private investors to develop 2 Million sq. meters residential space 900,000 sq. meters commercial space, malls, and community
development facilities throughout the concession period.
Investors Recovery
US$ 108 Million per year capacity fee payment for 20 years
70% Sharing of net passenger revenue after O&M 80% Sharing in advertising and commercial
development over the stations. Real Estate Development Income Capacity fee of US$100,000 from year 2032 to
2037 Government commits to fare adjustments
Government Recovery ofAmortization Payment
30% Sharing of net passenger revenue after O&M 20% Sharing in advertising and commercial development
over the stations. 20% Sharing on Real Estate Development Project and real estate development projected taxes Increase ridership to Government operated rail system. NPV (10%) of total Government undertaking $620
Million. Mere payment for gradual transfer of the assets worth
US$1.2Billion. Government to recover its entire exposure thru tax
benefits from the various activities generated by the project and the real estate development
Passenger Fare Unified fare is assumed per km for all existing
Mass Transit project Fare is based on LRT-1 and MRT-3, 2003 per km
and adjusted to reflect inflation and foreign exchange fluctuation.
Agreed formula for incremental fare adjustment Per agreed concession agreement, if actual fare
is not adjusted to agreed fare, Government shall pay the difference thru deduction from other government revenues resulting from the project.
Extra ordinary fare adjustment is provided for in the concession agreement when circumstances require.
Philippine Macro Economics Balanced deficit is consistently reduced Balanced budget projected by 2008 – two years
ahead of schedule Continuously reduced foreign debt Inflation much restrained
(from Double Digit in the 90’s to around 3% at present)
Larger inflow of stable foreign remittances (OFW) Larger tax collection Economic growth in the first quarter of 2007 reached
6.9%, best in 17 years Credit rating is improving and expected to rise next
quarter. Overall economic outlook best since 1978 much
better than 2001 when proposal was made.
Project Risks Country risk
Philippine Outlook much improved Sovereign risk and risk of repatriation can be insured
thru OPIC/MIGA and the like Construction cost is mitigated thru single point of
responsibility contract with an EPC contractor at fixed price.
Cost overruns due to delays and inflation (ROP faults) adjustment provided in the contract
O & M Cost Agreements with maintenance and project
engineering management groups In-house Experienced Team
Market risk thru conservative ridership assumption and agreed fare structure (Metro Manila traffic is overwhelming).
Project Schedule
TARGET DATES: Complete Swiss Challenge - June 2007 Project Awarding - October 2007 Contract Signing - December 2007 Financial Closing - December 2008 Start of Construction of Rail - July 2010 Start of Real Estate
Construction - July 2011 Rail Project Completion - July 2012
Project Task Completed ACHIEVEMENTS
(February 2001 – February 2007):– Ridership studies– Endorsement by DOTC of ULC (BVI) as the
Original Proponent – NEDA-ICC first and second pass approvals– NEDA Board approval for publication of Swiss
Challenge– Department of Justice clearance of the Terms of
Reference for Swiss Challenge– Publication of Swiss Challenge bid closing date
on June 2007
Project Task PENDING
(April 2007 – December 2007):
– Finalize pending negotiations for the following agreements:Engineering and Procurement ContractOperations and Maintenance ContractProject Engineering Management ContractFinancial Services Contract
– Matching, if necessary, of possible Swiss Challenger
– Negotiate details of the Concession AgreementPerformance Bond on Real Estate Development
Invest in ULC (HK), the SPC (excluding investments in the Real Estate Company and the Vertical Development)BASIC ASSUMPTION
Cash Flows from Capacity Fees and Net Passenger Revenueswith 300,000 initial ridership (in million US$)
Year
Equity
Infusion
Projected Gross
Pax Rev.
GOP Share in Pax Rev.
Capacity Fees O&M
Loan
Repayment
Income
TaxNet Flowto ULC
-3 (120.0) - - - - - - (120.0)-2 (100.0) - - - - - - (100.0)-1 (88.9) - - - - - - (88.9)
0 - - - - - - -
1 44.0 (2.7) 108.0 (35.0) (100.1) - 14.2 2 52.5 (4.7) 108.0 (36.8) (100.1) - 19.0 3 61.5 (6.9) 108.0 (38.6) (100.1) - 24.0 4 70.9 (9.1) 108.0 (40.5) (100.1) - 29.2 5 80.8 (11.8) 108.0 (41.3) (100.1) - 35.6
10 137.1 (27.4) 108.0 (45.6) (115.7) (27.0) 29.4 12 163.3 (34.7) 108.0 (47.5) (37.5) (34.6) 116.9 15 175.8 (37.6) 108.0 (50.4) (37.5) (39.2) 119.1 20 198.9 (43.0) 107.9 (55.6) (21.9) (58.0) 128.3 25 225.0 (49.1) 0.1 (61.4) - (32.3) 82.4
@ 12 years
@ 15 years
@ 20 years
@ 25 years
IRR 4.6% 8.6% 11.2% 11.8%
Invest in ULC (HK), the SPC (excluding investments in the Real Estate Company and the Vertical Development)
Project Sensitivities
Project Cost
O & M
(initial year, escalating at 5%
every year)
Investors’ FIRR
at US$ 1.235 B at US$ 35 M 11.8%
at US$ 1.235 B
10% decrease
at US$ 31.5 M 12.2%
10% decrease
at US$ 1.110 B at US$ 35 M 14.0%
10% decrease
at US$ 1.110 B
10% decrease at US$ 31.5 M 14.4%
Invest in ULC (HK), the SPC (excluding investments in the Real Estate Company and the Vertical Development)
Project Sensitivities
Project Cost
O & M
(initial year, escalating at 5%
every year)
Investors’ FIRR
at US$ 1.235 B at US$ 35 M 11.8%
at US$ 1.235 B
10% increase
at US$ 38.5 M 11.4%
10% increase
at US$ 1.358 B at US$ 35 M 10.0%
10% increase
at US$ 1.358 B
10% increase at US$ 38.5 M 9.6%
Project Proponents
Universal LRT Corporation(with 15 local and international investors)A consortium of Alstom and Bouygues of
FranceO&M service provider, SMRT Singapore
Subsequent to Swiss Challenge price matching mechanism as provided by the BOT Law, several institutional investors including the IFC are expected to join.
Universal LRT (BVI) CorporationUniversal LRT (BVI) CorporationBoard of DirectorsBoard of Directors
Mr. Roberto F. de Ocampo Director Former President, Asian Institute of Management
Mr. Eli Levin Managing Director (CEO) Chairman, E.L. International Holdings (BVI) Ltd. Mr. Vicente V. de Villa Executive Director Executive Director, E.L. Enterprise, Inc. Mr. George Y. Uy Executive Director Executive Director, E.L. Enterprise, Inc.
Mr. Roberto Jose L. Castillo Director President and COO, EEI Corporation
Mr. Antonio A. Henson Chairman of the Board President, SM Investment Corporation
Ms. Imelda D. Bautista Director Chairwoman & CEO, Premier Gold Group Ltd.
Mr. Sergio Ortiz – Luis Director Former Chairman, Export and Industry Bank
Mr. Jovencio F. Cinco Director President and CEO, Penta Capital Investment Corporation Mr. Geronimo Velasco, Sr. Director Chairman, Hollington Management Ltd. Mr. Jose Tan Sio Director Exec. Vice President & CFO, SM Investment Corporation
Mr. Claudio B. Altura Director Chairman of the Board, TCGI Engineers
Mr. Wellington Y. Tong Director Representative, Merlin Capital, Inc. Mr. George Go Director
Mr. Geronimo F. Velasco, Jr. Director President, Hollington Management Ltd.
Universal LRT (BVI) Universal LRT (BVI) CorporationCorporation
Board of DirectorsBoard of Directors
Intermodal Animation
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