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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NINTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STRUCTURAL SAFETY AND RELIABILITY ICOSSAR'051 ROME I ITALY I I9-231UNE 2005 Safety and Reliability of Engineering Systems and Structures Edited by Giuliano Augusti Universita "La Sapienza ", Rome, Italy Gerhart 1. Schueller Leopold-Franzens Universität, Innsbruck, Austria Marcello Ciampoli Universita "La Sapienza", Rome, Italy MILLPRESS ROTTERDAM NETHERLANDS 2006

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PROCEEDINGS OF THE NINTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ONSTRUCTURAL SAFETY AND RELIABILITY

ICOSSAR'051 ROME I ITALY I I9-231UNE 2005

Safety and Reliabilityof Engineering Systems

and Structures

Edited by

Giuliano AugustiUniversita "La Sapienza ", Rome, Italy

Gerhart 1. SchuellerLeopold-Franzens Universität, Innsbruck, Austria

Marcello CiampoliUniversita "La Sapienza", Rome, Italy

M~SSMILLPRESS ROTTERDAM NETHERLANDS 2006

ICOSSAR 2005, G. Augusti, G.I. Schueller, M. Ciampoli ieds)cE! 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 9059660560

Table of contents

Preface

Organization & Committees

Plenary and Semi-plenary Lee/ures

FreudenthaI Lecture

Structural vulnerability and reliability-based designY.K. Wen

Special Theme Lecture

Flood risk in megacities: Tiber and Rome, a case studyL. Ubertini

Keynote Lectures

Probabilistic models far computational stochastic mechanics and applicationsC. Soize

Stochastic discounted cash ftow method in seismic risk managementM. Hushiva

Semi-plenary Lectures

Catastrophe modeling: A new approach to managing riskH. Kunreuther

Diagnostic analysis of concrete damsG. Maier, R. Ardito & R. Fedele

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VII

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XI

Organized Session os-pI (plenary)

Fire structural engineering and probabilistic aspects of the World Trade Center towerscollapse investigation(coordinated by E. Simiu)

Preliminary analyses of aircraft impact into the WTC towersS. W Kirkpatrick, R.T Bocchieri, RA MacNeill & F. Sadek

Coupled fire dynamics and thermal responseK Prasad & HR. Baum

Fire-structural analysis of a multi-story frame of composite constructionD. Duthinh & K Prasad

Structural fire response and collapse analysis of the World Trade Center towersJ. Gross, TD. McAllister & M.S. Zarghamee

Statistical approaches in the NIST World Trade Center analysisJ.J. Filliben

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a) Earthquake Engineering

Contributed papers

Earthquake risk assessment of gas system based on deterministic and probabilistic approach (Greece) 31M. Alexoudi, T Hatzigogos & K Pitilakis

Contribution of site effects and soil-structure interaction to building damage in Golcuk, Turkey, 32during the 1999 Kocaeli earthquakeH Arai & N. Pulido

Influence of material properties variability on seismic performance of partial strength steel-concrete 33composite jointsM. Badalassi, A Braconi, F. Cafarella & W Salvatore

Disaggregation of seismic drift hazard 34J. W Baker, C.A. Cornell & P. Tothang

Assessment of slope stability by probabilistic tools 35A. Baratta & I. Corbi

Actuator-actuator interaction and instability in decentralised control of non-linear seismically excited 36tall structuresG.J. Chase, KJ. Mulligan, S.J. Hunt, L.R. Barrosa & B.L. Deam

Seismic response and damage assessment of circular RC column-bent piers subjected to bi-directional cyclic loads 37Y.S. Chung, C.K Park, HJ. Kim & B.G. Lee

Rehabilitation of a reinforced concrete school building to improve static and seismic performance 38A D'Aveni, S. Sturiale & G. Caltagirone

Seismic performance of steel-concrete composite structures: A fragility analysis 39M. De Stefano, D. Palazzi & S. Viti

A reliability based approach for evaluating slope stability under seismic loadings 40J. Deng, D. Gu & X. Li

Knowledge based models for structural monitoring in seismic areas 41G. Fabbrocino, v.F. Grasso & G. Manfredi

A novel procedure for the determination of seismic fragility curves of buildings in Mexico City 42E. Flores & AG. Ayala

XII © 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

A probabilistie model able to handle interaetion among road netwark. buildings and emergency 43services in urban areasA. Goretti

Critieal issues of seismic early waming systems for structural control 44VF Grasso. I. lervolino, A. Occhiuzzi & G. Manjredi

Seismic fragility of fan type cable stayed bridges 45RA Khan, TK. Datta & S. Ahmad

Fragility analysis far woodframe buildings considering eombined snow and earthquake loading 46K.H. Lee & D. V Rosowsky

New aspects of seismie safety of expressways focusing on the behavior of automobile drivers 47Y. Maruyama & F. Yamazaki

Nationwide site amplifieation zoning using GIS-based Japan Engineering Geomorphologie Classifieation Map 48M. Matsuoka, K. Wakamatsu, K. Fujimoto & S. Midorikawa

The seismic fragility of precast eonerete buildings 491. Matthews, R. Lindsay, 1.B. Mander & D. Bull

Predictor of seismic demands on SMRF building eonsidering inelastic first-mode displaeement 50Y. Mori, T Yamanaka, N. Luco & C.A. Cornell

Large seale resetable deviees for multi-level seismic hazard mitigation of structures 51K.J. Mulligan, 1.G. Chase. A. Gue, T. Alnot, G. Rodgers, 1.B. Mander, R. Elliot, B. Deam, L. Cleeve & D. Heaton

Determination of uniform reliability speetra used on the performance based seismic design 52M. Nino & A.G. Ayala

Probabilistic assessment model for post-earthquake servieeability of utility lifelines and its praetieal 53applieationN. Nojima & M. Sugito

A method for the (fast) evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of hospitals 54C. Nuti & I. Vanzi

Evaluation of seismic fragility of electrieal insulalOrs 55F Paolacci & R. Giannini

Effect of fracture on the reliability of a moment resisting frame under earthquake loading 56TD. Righiniotis & B. Imam

Specification of spatially varying bedrock ground motions eonsistent with surfaee motions 57K. Soyluk & R.S. Harichandran

Joint PDF of ground motion intensity and duration time based on PSHA 58T Takada, T Shimomura & M. OhbucJzi

Optimal multi-objeetive design of a highway bridge under seismie loading through InerementaJ Dynamie Analysis 59D. Vamvatsikos & C. Papadimitriou

Fragility curves of eleetric substations equipment via the Comell method 60I. Vanzi, F Bettinali & S. Sigismondo

Evaluation of existing buildings with respect to earthquake risks 61T. Vogel & E. Kölz

Macro-spatial correlation model of seismic ground motions 62M. Wang & T. Takada

Vulnerability functions of buildings based on building damage data and predominant period of the ground 63K. Yamada & Y Kitagawa

Prediction of potential earthquake damage: A discriminant analysis approach 64M.S. Yucemen

Proeeed,ngs ICOSSAR 2005, Safety and Reliab,lity of Engineering Systems and Struelu,es XIII

b) Materials Damage, Bridges, Buildings

Organized Session os-bi "Statisticallength scale"(coordinated by L. Graham-Brady & M. Gutü~rrez)

Revision of reliability concepts for quasibrittle structures and size effect on probability distribution of 69structural strengthZP. Bazallt & S.-D. Pallg

Closed-form expressions of the variability response function for stochastic frame structures 70V. Papadopoulos & G. Deodatis

Statistical length scale for micromechanical model of multifilament yarns and size effect on strength 71M. Voi'echovsky & R. Chudoba

Size effects and representative volumes 72I. Gitmall, L.1. Sluys & H. Askes

Role of deterministic and statisticallength scales in size effect for quasibrittle failure at crack initiation 73Z. Bazallt, M. Voi'echovskj & D. Novdk

Organized Session os-b2 "Reliability, availability, maintainability and safety of complexstructural systems like Messina Strait bridge"(coordinated by F. Bontempi)

System Engineering framework for the knowledge-based analysis of complex structural systems 77F Bontempi, K. Gkoumas & S. Arallgio

Conceptual aspects and considerations for the risk analysis of Complex Structural Systems such as 78long suspension bridgesF BOlltempi, K. Gkoumas & G. Righetti

Artificial intelligence for the analysis and design of complex bridge structures 79L. Sgambi

Reliability and robustness inside the design process of complex structural systems 80L. Catallo

Sensitivity analysis of devices and motion control design for cable-suspension bridge 81F Giuliano

Handling uncertainties in the seismic analysis using fuzzy theory 82L. Sgambi & F Bontempi

Modeling and simulation of aerodynamic in long span suspension bridges 83F Petrini, F Giuliano & F BOlltempi

Organized Session os-b3 "Probabilistic bridge performance assessment. maintenance,monitoring and management"(organized and coordinated by D.M. Frangopol on behalf of the International Association for BridgeMaintenance and Safety IABMAS)

Reliability analysis for bridge substructureA. Szwed, A.S. Nowak & J.L. Withiam

Damage assessment of existing bridge structures based on visual and verbal inspection dataH. Furuta, N. Yoshida, K. Nakatsu & T. Enami

Bridge monitoring and assessment under uncertainty via Interval Analysis1.R. Casas, J. Campos e Matos, 1. Azevedo Figueiras, 1. Vehi, O. Garcfa & P. Herrero

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XIV © 2006 Millpress, Rotterd.m, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Probabilistic service life prediction and maintenance planning of deteriorating structuresF. Biondini & E. Garavaglia

Reliability-based prediction of lifetime performance of existing bridgesF. Akgül & D.M. Frangopol

The role of proactive health monitoring in performance prediction: A systems approachM.I. Rafiq, M.K. Chryssanthopoulos & T. Onoufriou

Reliability assessment of deteriorating RC bridgesV. Gattulli & L. Soria

Contributed Papers

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Specification of the design loads for coordinated movements of crowds based on a random load 97model for jumpingE. Agu & M. Kasperski

Evolutionary model for random plastic analyses of shear-frame buildings using a detailed degradation model 98T.L. Attard & M.P. Mignolet

Solutions of damaged beam structures under static loads and their use for identification 99S. Caddemi & A. Greco

Structural safety of masonry buildings in seismic areas 100B. Calderoni & P. Lenza

Fatigue safety of cables under wind actions 101F. Cluni & V. Gusella

Effect of concrete age specification on the reliability of HSC columns 102S.M.C. Diniz

NOT of CFRP strengthened concrete bridge members using Acousto-Ultrasonic technology 103M. Ekenel, N. Galati, J. Myers, A. Nanni & V. Godinez

Probabilistic modelling of strength and residuallifespan of corroded structural cables 104S.M. Elachachi. D. Breysse & S. Yotte

Safety analysis for the connections of precast concrete panels 105K EI-Dash & M. AI-Khamees

A new measure of vulnerability and hazard potential 106J.c. England, J. Agarwal & D.I. Blockley

Fracture mechanics-based probabilistic life prediction of components with large numbers of inherent 107material anomaliesM.P. Enright, L. Huyse & R.C. McClung

The RC bridge crane column analysis with respect to uncertainties - A parametric study 108A. Florian & J. PenCik

Stochastic simulation of chloride ingress into reinforced concrete structures by means of multi- 109dimensional Gaussian random fieldsC. Frier & J.D. Sl/irensen

Application of extreme value theory for the prediction of maximum bridge live load effects I 10M. Gindy, H. Nassif & D. Coit

Damage ratio functions of steel buildings in 1995 Hyogo-ken Nanbu earthquake 11 IY. Hayashi, K Suita, M. Imme & KC. Kuo

New load combinations for equal safety of structural members 112M. HolickY

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Salety and Reliability 01 Engineering Systems and Structures XV

Seismic reliability of steel frames with post-Northridge connections 113l. Huh. A Haldar & A Mehrabian

Seismic risk analysis of R.C. building classes 114I. lervolino, G. Fabbrocino, G. Manfredi, M. Polese & G. Verderame

Fragility analysis of water supply systems 115A lacobson & M. Grigoriu

Artificial neural networks fOT nonlinear analysis of bridges 116C-Y. Kao & C-H. Loh

Probabilistic analysis of reinforcement corrosion with spatial variability 117AR. Karimi, K. Ramachandran, N. Buenfe/d & M..J. Crowder

Material quality and reliabi1ity of beams in flexure and shear 118M. Kaszynska, P. Laumet & AS. Nowak

Effects of nonstructural finish materials and biological deterioration on the performance of light- 119frame wood shearwalls: A fragility approachl.H. Kim & D. V. Rosowsky

A practical estimation method of safety and reliability for chemical plants 120T. Kurashiki, M. Zako & M. Fumita

Reliability analysis of corrosion induced concrete cracking 121CQ. Li, W Lawanwisut & R.E. Me/chers

Application of contact dynamics to fragility analysis of masonry buildings 122K. W Liao & Y.K. Wen

lnfluence of sequence of stress on the fatigue damage 123S. Matteazzi & L. Solazzi

Evaluation of the adequacy of the response modification factor fOT seismic design of bridge columns 124A Mechakhchekh & M. Ghosn

Representation of uncertainty fOT maximum corrosion pit depth 125RE Melchers

Methods fOT improved assessment of load-carrying capacity and fatigue life of existing steel bridges 126l. MenCik, H. Sertler. L. Beran & B. Culek lr.

Reliability-based optimization of timber space frames 127A Mohamed Chateauneuf

Time series based damage detection algorithm with application to the ASCE benchmark structure 128K. Krishnan Nair, A.S. Kiremidjian & K.H. Law

Probabilistic dynamic load models for girder bridges 129H. Nassij, S.D. Yuksel & F. Malhas

Efficient local reliability analysis of reinforced concrete grids 130R.A Neves, WS. Venturini & A. Mohamed Chateauneuf

Stochastic nonlinear fracture mechanics finite element analysis of concrete structures 131D. Novdk, M. VofechovskY, D. LehkY, R. Rusina, R. Pukl & V. Cervenka

Sensitivity analysis on model selection in probabilistic response analysis of high-rise buildings 132l. Ogawa & H. Tanaka

Non-destructive analysis of three-dimensional subsurface void under concrete slab using three-dipole radar 133S.-K. Park & T. Uomoto

Preliminary tests and monitoring system fOT the new cable-stayed railway bridge over the PO river 134M.P. Petrangeli & E. Cipolloni

XVI ~) 2006 Millpress, Rollerdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Time-varying reliability of deteriorating struetures 135Q. Qin & X. Yang

Information-based formulation for Bayesian eonerete ereep models updating 136W Raphael, B. Seif-El-Dine & A. Mohamed

Simulation of pedestrian dynamies in emergeney for live design of buildings 137W Shiraki. H. lnomo. H. lshikawa. H. Aritomo & K. Yaduda

Reliability of elastic-plastie beams taking into aeeount bending and shearing 138P Sniady, R. Sieniawska & S. Zukowski

National applieation of Pontis BMS deterioration models 139E. Spallarossa, W Robert & J. Aldayuz

Reliability updating for struetures subjeet to localized corrosion defects 140D. Straub & M.H. Faber

Probabilistie damage assessment using bootstrap method 141E.R. Vaidogas

Effeet of pitting corrosion on strength and reliability uf reinforced concrete beams 142D.V. Val

Code-based reliability of wood shearwalls subjeet to natural hazard loads 1431. W van de Lindt & D. V. Rosowsky

A new response surface method and its application to the reliability analysis of high-speed railway bridge 144N. Xie & Y. -J. Chen

Cost benefit analysis on seismic risk mitigation measures of water supply system 145K. Yamamoto & S. Nagata

Prediction system of eorrosion progress on ship structuralmembers 146N. Yamamoto & H. Kobayashi

A reliability-based approach to prioritization in bridge management 147D. Zonta. R. Zandonini & F. Bortot

c) Offshore Structures, Wind, Geotechnical Problems

Mini-Symposium ms-cl "Reliability evaluation in geotechnics"(eoordinated by K.K. Phoon & C. Cherubini)

Reliability of site investigations using different reduction techniques for foundation design 1531.S. Goldsworthy, M.B. laksa, G. WS. Kaggwa, GA Fenton, D. V. Griffiths & H.G. Poulos

Reliability analysis of allowable pressure of strip footing in spatially varying eohesionless soil 154S.M. Dasaka, R.S. Rao & G.L. Sivakumar Babu

Consequences of soil variability and soil-structure interaction on the reliability of a piled raft 155H. Niandou & D. Breysse

Investigation of correlation struetures and weak stationarity using the CPT soil behavior c1assification index 156M. Uzielli, G. Vannucchi & K.-K. Phoon

The bearing capaeity of piles evaluated by means of load tests according to reliability ealculations 157C. Cherubini & G. Vessia

Reliahility analysis of single pile subjected to lateral random excitation 158S. Haldar & G.L. Sivakumar Babu

Determination of number of piles for integrity tests 159D.Q. Li, WH. Tang & L.M. Zhang

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Safety and Reliability of Engineering Systems and Structures XVII

Lower-bound estimates of capacity in geotechnical reliability assessments 160S.S. Najjar & R.B. Gilbert

Probabilistic modeling of plane failure in rock slopes 161S. Düzgün, S. Yücemen & e. Karpuz

Probabilistic and deterministic models of liquefaction potential by means of regression analyses 162S. Y. Fang, e.H. Juang, & D.K. Li

Fragility curves far tall structure on stochastically variable soil 163R. Popescu, P. Chakrabortty & J.H. Prevost

Reliability analysis of slope stability involving generalized slip surfaces 164M.E. Rahhai & ZA Rached

A method far possibilistic reliability analysis of slopes 165V.S. Mathada, G. Venkatachalam & A. Srividya

Database approach to estimate subgrade reaction coefficient far horizontally loaded piles 166Y. Honjo & Y. Zaika

First-Order Reliability Method using Hermite polynomials 167K.-K. Phoon, F. Nadim & S. Lacasse

Bending moment of pile foundation analysis with random capacity of piles 168W Pula & J. Rybak

Mini-Symposium ms-c2 "Offshore structures"(coardinated by T. Moan)

Nonlinear wave effects on distributions of wave elevation and Morison force 171S. T. Quek, X. Y. Zheng & T. Moan

A general numerical method for calculating the extreme response of compliant offshare structures in 172random seasA Naess, H.e. Karlsen & PS. Teigen

Estimation of Impulsive Wave-induced Loads on a FPSO 173J.J. Jensen & AE. Mansour

Reliability (and risk) of offshare (marine) structures for Arctic conditions 174F.G. Ben'ha, O.T. Gudmestad, R.O. Foschi, D. Nevel, N. Nikitina & F. Sliggers

Degradation of the reliability of steel structures due to marine immersion corrosion 175R.E. Melchers

Generic reliability-based inspection planning for fatigue sensitive details - with modifications of fatigue load 176J.D. S~rensen, D. Straub & M.H. Faber

Reliability-based assessment of welded joints using alternative fatigue failure functions 177E. Ayala Uraga & T. Moan

Assessment of input parameters in probabilistic inspection planning for fatigue cracks in offshore structures 178I. Lotsberg & G. Sigurdsson

Assessment of fatigue safety factors for flexible nsers 179B.J. Leira, R. T. Igland. G.S. Baarholm, K.A Farnes. K. Nedrelid & J. Martin

Organized Session os-cl "Wind engineering: testing and design"(coordinated by E. Simiu)

Hurricane loss prediction: Model development, results, and validation 183J.-P. Pinelli. e. Subramanian. J. Murphree, K. Gurley, A Cope, E. Simiu, S. Gulati & S. Hamid

XVIII © 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

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International comparison of wind tunnel estimates of wind effects on an industrial building model: 184Test-related uncertaintiesWP. Fritz. B. Bienkewicz, O. Flamand, E. Ho, H. Kikitsu. C. Letchford & C. Bo

Testing of structures using the prop-wash from a C-130 aircraft 185DA Smith. KC. Mehta, C. Letchford & H. Zhu

Probabilistic description of tall building response to wind: Database- assisted design, dynamics, and 186wind directionality effectsWP. Fritz & E. Simiu

Optimal design of a cable-stayed mast exposed to turbulent wind 187AL Materazzi & I. Venanzi

Organized Session os-c2 "Environmentalload modeling and simulation"(coordinated by M. Gioffre)

Measurement and stochastic modeling of ground-Ievel wind velocity during landfalling hurricanes 191F. Masters, L. Aponte. K Gurley & T. Reinhold

Monte Carlo simulation of wind velocity fields on complex structures 192L. Carassale & G. Solari

Mixed models for highly skewed wind pressures 193M. Gioffre & M. Grigoriu

Design waves for ultimate failure of marine structures 194P. Friis-Hansen & O. Ditlevsen

Modelling of intermittent loads in terms of Markov chains and non-diffusive Markov processes 195R. Iwankiewicz

Organized Session os-c3 "Wind engineering: loads and structural response"(coordinated by A. Kareem & G. Solari)

Specification of the design wind load based on a consistent probabilistic approachM. Kasperski

Closed form solution for the principal representation of turbulence fieldsF. Tubino & G. Solari

Probabilistic Wind-Induced Response of Buildings with 3-D coupled modesX. Chen & A. Kareem

Directional wind speed evaluation in mixed wind climates using modified typhoon simulation method 202M. Matsui, Y. Tamura & S. Tanaka

Contributed Papers

Reliability of bridge deck flutter derivative measurements in wind tunnel testsG. Barto/i & C. Mannini

Non-linear structural analysis for in-situ platform demolitionM. Betti. F. Selleri & O. Spadaccini

Wave-Ioads fragility analysis of jetty structuresM. Ciampoli. G. Gatto. G. Cuomo & G. Lupoi

Reliability of indicial functions in bridge deck aeroelasticityC. Costa, L. Salvatori & C. Borr;

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Safety and Reliabillty 01 Engineering Systems and Structures

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Reliability of landslide management in an urban area 210P. F/entje & R. Chowdhury

Performance-based design of wind turbines far typhoons 211L.E. Carciano, O. Maruyama & T. Koike

Regional groundwater inverse analysis by tank model: Model selection and parameter stability 212Y. Honjo, S. Kazumba & K. Kamiya

Application of the Extreme Value Distribution Type III to wind engineering problems 213M. Kasperski

Effect of phase angle variation of dynamic earth pressure on reliability analysis of caisson type guay wall 215D.H Kim & CL Yaon

Capacity and safety of piles in groups 216A Kudzys & L. FurmonaviCius

Target safety levels for port and harbor structures 217T. Nagao & Y. Moriya

Measurement of wind loads acting on ties for temporary scaffolds 218K. Ohdo, Y. Hina & S. Takanashi

Level-l reliability-based design method for port and harbor facilities under ordinal conditions for 220minimization of expected total costR. Ozaki, T. Nagao & R. Shibasaki

Lateral load capacity simulation of GFRP-encapsulated damaged timber piles 221O. Ozku/, N. Suksawang, H Nassij, A Maher & A. Sarmad

The reliability of structures with uncertain parameters excited by the wind 222L. Pagnini

On the use of Proper Orthogonal Decomposition to describe infiow turbulence and wind turbine loads 223K. Saranyasoontorn & L. Manue/

Numerical investigations to the infiuence of rearrangement of ground pressure far shield tunneling 224J. Schmitt, M. Fritsch, J. Cattermann & J. Stah/mann

Response surface methodology far evaluation of reliability for jacket platforms submitted to through cracks 225F Sehoefs, M. Rguig & A. Le Van

Reliability of rock-fall protection galleries - A case study with a special focus on the uncertainty modeling 226M. Schubert, D. Straub & M.B. Faber

Design of large underground openings via a risk-reliability based approachC. Sciarra & M. Cuarascio

Uncertainty updating of a on-pile wharf after monitoringL. Verdure, F Schoefs, P. Casari & H Yanez-Codoy

Level-I reliability-based design method for gravity-type special breakwatersT. Yoshioka & T. Nagao

Effect of severe environmental conditions on the reliability analysis of offshore structures:Application perspectiveM.K. Zidan, HH Emam & AM. Tawfik

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xx © 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

d) Life-cycle Optimization, System Control

Mini-Symposium ms-dl "Lije-cycle analysis, design and optimization ofstructuralsystems"(coardinated by D.M. Frangopol & A. Der Kiureghian)

Uncertainty analysis in risk-informed decisions far inspection of marine platforms 235D. De Leon & AB.-S. Ang

Life-cycle cost analysis of reinforced concrete bridge piers considering seismic performance 236H. Furuta, K. Koyama & D.M. Frangopol

Optimal structural safety for strengthening of RC buildings considering total expected cost 237J. Kanda, N. Maekawa & R. Hirose

Service life definitions based on corrosion crack width 238P. Thoft-Christensen

Stochastic lifetime optimization of a reinforcedfprestressed concrete bridge 239Y. Petryna

Fragility curves for service life prediction of deteriorating structures based on monitoring simulation 240F Biondini, E. Garavaglia, D.M. Frangopol & R. Pavani

Systems with randomly failing repairable components 241A. Der Kiureghian, J. Song & O. Ditlevsen

Optimal structural reliability of offshore wind turbines 242J.D. Sprensen & N.J. Tarp-Johansen

Importance measures for systems with dependent components 243J. Song & A. Der Kiureghian

Organized Session os-dl "Risk management"(coordinated by M. Hoshiya)

Optimal maintenance strategy for buried pipelinesT. Koike & L.E.O. Garciano

Efficient investment in anti-seismic disaster measuresM. Hoshiya & K. Yamamoto

Public versus private discounting for life-cycle costR.B. Corotis

Fragility analysis and life-cycle cost assessment considering riskI. Yoshida

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Organized Session os-d2 "Lije-cycle uncertainties & techniques"(coordinated by R.ß. Corotis)

Probabilistic lifetime-oriented maintenance optimization using Monte-Carlo simulation 253L.c. Neves. A. Petcherdchoo & D.M. Frangopol

Reliability and condition based bridge management systems 254P. Thoft-Christensen

Challenges to condition assessment of aging civil infrastructure: Research and implementation 255B.R. Ellingwood

Incorporating extemal cost valuation into life-cycle costing of office buildings 256A. Horvath

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Safety and Reliabili!y of Engineering Systems and Slruc!ures XXI

Organized Session os-d3 "Structural damage and lifetime assessment"(coardinated by W.B. Kraetzig & YS. Petryna)

Structural degradation and lifetime assessment of civil engineering structuresY. Petryna

Risk assessment for damage tolerant structuresC. Könke, Y. Petryna & R. Singh

Distributed and object-oriented software system for lifetime-based designA. Wellmann lelic, D. Hartmann, M. Gdl.ffy & M. Baitsch

Fatigue lifetime assessment of Re membersT. Pfister & F. Stangenberg

Stochastic modelling of settlements due to cyclic loading for soil-structure interactionA. Niemunis, T. Wichtmann, Y. Petryna & Th. Triantafyllidis

Experimental verification for lifetime damage detection of multistory frame buildingsT. Hamamoto & K Morita

Monitoring and damage assessment of mechanical systems by vibration analysisA. Lenzen

Detection and assessment of aging structural damage using acoustical techniquesY. Kin, E. Roades, B. Parsons, C. Zhou, A. Sutin, P. Chaubal & F. Huang

Safety evaluation far deteriorating joints in a 16-story reinforced concrete buildingR.l. lames, L. Zhang & E. McCluskey

From structural damage to lifetime managementWB. Kraetzig

Organized Session os-d4 "Sustainability and the built environment"(coordinated by A. Horvath)

A road map for implementation of sustainability in facilities and civil infrastructure systemsl. Vanegas

Life cycle model for evaluating the sustainability of concrete infrastructure systemsG. Keoleian, A. Kendall, R. Chandler, G. Helfand, M. Leperh & V. Li

Lifecycle environmental impact and cost analyses of steel bridge piers with seismic riskY. flOh, M. Wada & C. Liu

Implication of a service system approach in the life-cycle assessment of buildingsS. lunnila

Effect of climate on the life-cycle impacts of cogeneration in commercial buildingsA.E. Osman & R.J. Ries

Towards life-cycle evaluation of greenroofs for commercial buildingsA.A. Guggonos & L. Spenrer

Contributed Papers

Life cycle cost optimization of a 20-story steel moment frame buildingS. Ghosh & KR. Collins

Reliability-based live load model for serviceability limit statesM. Gindy & H. Nassif

Analysis of time intervals between industrial accidents considering their damage magnitudeS. Hanavasll & K Ohdo

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XXII © 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Maintenance strategy for coastal concrete structures 284C.Q. Li, S. Aguiar & RE Melchers

Object-oriented implementation of a reliability-based optimization algorithm for nonlinear finite 285element applicationsH. Liang, T. Haukaas & J. O. Royset

Bridge inspection/repair schedule optimization with pre-posterior decision analysis 286Q. Qin & L. Li

Infiuence of local damage effect on reliability of steel check dam 287H. Shiraishi, N. Bohara & S. Katsuki

Life-Cycle cost analysis considering spatial and temporal variability of corrosion-induced damage 288and repair to concrete surfacesM.G. Stewart

Application of up-to-date seismological knowledge to seismic risk management of an existing building 289Y. Takahashi & K. Tahara

Prediction of structural performance and life-cycle analysis based on Bayesian dynamic models 290W Jian & L. Xila

Time-dependent structural reliability analysis based on Number-Theoretic simulation Method 291W Jian & L. Xila

Damage detection in earthquake disasters using high-resolution satellite images 292F. Yamazaki, Y. Yallo & M. Matsuoka

e) Computational Stochastic Mechanics

Mini-Symposium nlS-ei "Non-classical uncertainty models in structural safety"(coordinated by 0.1. Blockley)

Theoretical basics of fuzzy randomness, application to time series with fuzzy data 297B. Möller, M Beer & V. Reuter

Application of fuzzy randomness to time-dependent reliability 298J.v. Sickert, W Graf & V. Reuter

Risk assessment in large dams. Limitations on probability-based risk analysis 299F. Giuliani, 1. Ferraris & MD. de la Canal

Simulation based structural reliability assessment involving imprecise data 300M. Beer & PD. Spanos

Random sets of the expected seismic damage to building types 30 IA. Bernardini

Toward adefinition and understanding of correlation for variables constrained by random relations 302F. Tonon & C. L. Pettit

Risk analysis of systems with imprecise information 303J.W Hall

Assessing the sensitivity of failure probabilities: A random set approach 304M Oberguggenberger & W Fellin

Structural reliability analysis and the imprecise Oirichlet model 305L. V. Utkin & V.S. Utkin

Estimation of the mechanical properties of existing multi-Iayer pavement structures 306M.R. Henuilldez, M. Sdllchez-Silva & B. Caicedo

Proceedlngs ICOSSAR 2005, Salety and Reliability 01 Engineering Systems and Siructures XXIII

Assessment of upper and lower bounds of proneness to structural accidents by consensus of experts 307A.J. Bignoli

Fuzzy safety factar 308B. Ferracuti, M. Savoia & I. Elishakoff

Managing structural risks 309f. Aganval

Approximate reasoning in conceptual structural design and notional probabilities of failure 310D.l. Blockley

Organized Session os-e1 "Structural reliability software"(coardinated by M.F. Pellissetti & GJ. Schueller)

Structural reliability software developed at the University of California, Berkeley 313A. Der Kiureghian, T. Haukaas & K. Fujimura

Computational Stochastic Structural Analysis (COSSAN) - A software tool 314G.I. Schueller & Hf. Pradlwarter

Probabilistic engineering analysis using the NESSUS software 315D.S. Riha, L. Huyse, B.H Thacker & S.HK. Fitch

Probabilistic finite-element analysis using ANSYS 316S. Reh, f.-D. Beley, S. Mukherjee & S. Khor

Phimeca-Soft: How to interact between mechanics and probability 317M Lemaire & M. Pendola

Proban far probabilistic analysis 318L. Tvedt

Probabilistic function evaluation system (ProFES) far probabilistic damage tolerance design and 319inspection optimizationy- T. Wu & Y. Shin

llNIPASSTM, a general purpose probabilistic software 320MR. Khalessi & H-Z. Lin

Organized Session os-e2 "Theoretical and computational aspects ofFokker-Planckequation and its extension to non-Gaussian problems"(coordinated by M. Vasta & M. Di Paola)

Solutions of Fokker-Planck equations for randomly excited oscillations with Preisach model of hysteresis 323PD. Spanos, P Cacciola & G. Muscolino

Differential equations for the density and the characteristic funetions of the state of dynamic systems 324with Gaussian, Poisson and U:vy white noiseM Grigoriu

Equations far probability density of the response of a dynamic system to a non-Poisson jump process 325and non-Poisson random impulsesR. Iwankiewicz

Stationary and non-stationary response probability density function of a bearn under random Poisson pulses 326M. Vasta & D. Zulli

Approximate solution of the FPK equation far nonlinear stochastic dynarnics 327A. Baratta

Solution of the four dimensional Fokker-Planck equation: Still achallenge 328A. Masud & L. A. Bergman

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Organized Session os-e3 "Non-linear stochastic dynamies"(coordinated by A. Naess & W.V. Wedig)

Stochastic rotor dynamies: Towards improving reliability of rotating machineryM.F Dimentberg

SampIe properties of the state of dynamic systems under Gaussian and Poisson white noiseM. Grigoriu

Analytical analysis of stochastic vibroimpact systemsD. V. Iourtchenko & L.L. Song

FORM approximation of stationary first-passage probability for nonlinear systemsK. Fujimura & A. Der Kiureghian

Analysis of period-doubling bifurcation and chaos in stochastic Duffing-van der Pol systemW XLI & S.1. Ma

Exact stationary solutions of dissipated generalized Hamiltonian systems under Gaussian white noise excitations 336WQ. Zhu & z.L. Hllang

Stochastic analysis of the dynamics of meshing gearsFE. Kolnes & A. Naess

337

Organized Session os-e4 "Advanced Monte Carlo methods for reliability"(coordinated by S.K. Au & J.L. Heck)

Estimating failure probabilities of nonlinear dynamic systems subjected to coloured noise by an 341importance sampling procedureA. Ivanova-Olsen & A. Naess

Using approximate solutions for consistent reliability analysis 342s.K. Au

Spectral representation with non-Gaussian random variables 343L.B. Li, K.K. Phoon & S.T. Quek

Monte Carlo simulation using univariate response-surface approximation at most probable point 344S. Rahman & D. Wei

Hybrid Subset Simulation method for dynamic reliability problems 3451. Ching, 1.L. Beck & S.K. Au

Application of Subset Simulation in predicting seismic risk for an existing reinforced-concrete frame structure 346F lalayer & 1. L. Beck

Reliability analysis of large FE-systems using Line Sampling 347M.F Pellissetti, Hl. Pradlwarter & G.I.Schui!ller

Organized Session os-e5 "Sensors and smart structures"(coordinated by K. Maute)

Semi-active control design using MR dampers and clipped robust reliability-based control 351Y. F Shi, K. -V. Yuen & L. Beck

Response surface augmented moment method (RSMM) for fast reliability analysis and optimization 352B.M. Kwak, S.H Lee & H Y. Kang

Reliability based optimization of MEMS sensors for increased robustness and accuracy 353M. Raulli, R.P. Subramanyaswamy & K. Mallte

Reduced order models for reliability analysis and design optimization of micro-electromechanical sensors 354K. Maute, G. Weickum & M. Allen

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Safety and Reliability of Engineering Systems and Structures xxv

Impact of control architecture in the reliability of resetable device controlled tall structuresK.J. Mulligan, 1.G. Chase. S.l. Hunt & L.R. Barroso

355

Organized Session os-e6 "Stochastic dynamics 01 large systems, a benchmark study"(coordinated by G.1. SchueIler)

Application of Spherical Subset Simulation method and Auxiliary Domain method on a benchmark 359reliability studyL.S. Katafygiotis & S.H Cheung

Application of Line Sampling Simulation method to reliability benchmark problems 360G.I.Schueller, Hl. Pradlwarter, PS. Koutsourelakis & D.C. Charmpis

Application of Subset Simulation methods to reliability benchmark study 361S.K. Au, 1. Ching & 1.L. Beck

Efficient solution of stochastic systems: application to the benchmark problem 362R. Ghanem & G. Saad

Organized Session os-e7 "Uncertainty"(coordinated by R. Ghanem)

Recent developments in simulation of non-Gaussian processes/fields with application in suspension 365cable strength estimationy. Shi, G. Deodatis & R. Betti

Multi-scale probabilistic analyzer for assessing processing uncertainty on marine composite structures 3661. Lua, PE. Hess, Hl. Dagher & R. Lopez-Anido

Decision making under uncertainty on the basis of expert opinion 367L. Huyse & B.H Thacker

An equation-free approach to agent-based computation: Stabilizing an unstable financial model 368C.I. Siettos, C. W Gear & I. Kevrekidis

Uncertainty quantification in mistuned bladed disks 370B. Xiao, B. Kiflu & M.P Mignolet

Stochastic domain decomposition in mid-frequency acoustics: Multi-level parallelization using 371message passing & explicit multi-threadingA. Sarkar, N. Benabbou & R. Ghanem

Explicit solutions far the analysis of uncertain structures 372N. Impollonia

Characterization of stochastic system parameters from experimental data: A Bayesian inference approach 373A. Doostan & R. Ghanem

Contributed Papers

Reliability approximations via asymptotic distribution 377S. Adhikari

Bounds of the probability of COllapse of rigid-plastic structures by means of Stochastic Limit Analysis 378U. Alibrandi & G. Ricciardi

Integrated analysis of failures initiated by impact from a whipping pipe 379R. Alzbutas, G. Dundulis & R.F. Kulak

Effect of chaos and stochastics induced by internal waves on acoustic wave propagation 380T.A. Andreeva & W W Durgin

XXVI © 2006 Millpress, ROlterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Safety and reliability of structures including ductile and briule elements 38 \V. Anselmi, A. Aprile & Andrea Benedetti

Adaptive target component reliabilities for optimization of structural systems 382y. Aoues & A. Mohamed Chateauneuf

Smooth versus non-smooth material constitutive models in gradient - based optimization for 383structural reliability analysisM. Barbato & 1.P. Conte

Neural network based Monte Carlo simulation of random processes 384M. Beer & P.D. Spanos

Non linear non intrusive stochastic finite element method.Application to a fracture mechanics problem 385M. Berveiller, B. Sudret & M. Lemaire

Analysis of complex systems under non-gaussian excitations by means of modal reduction 386P Biagini & L. Facchini

An iterative fitting method based on a three-parameter distribution 387P. Bocchini. F. Ubertini & E. Viola

Time-dependent reliability of tlood defences using Gamma processes 388F.A. Buijs, 1. W Hall, 1.M. van Noortwijk & PB. Sayers

Risk of contact failure in bundled conductors in transmission lines 389T.T.O. Cappellari & 1.D. Riera

Time-variant reliability on visco-plastic behavior of a plate 390M. Cazuguel, C. Andrieu-Renaud & 1.Y. Cognard

Using parallel processing far \arge-scale finite element computations in the context of Monte Carlo simulation 391D. C. Charmpis & M. Papadrakakis

Structural health monitoring of the ASCE benchmark problem using adaptive filtering in real-time 3921.G. Chase, K.L. Hwang & L.R. Barroso

Wavelet analysis and synthesis of statistical multiscale material heterogeneity 393S. Chen & G. Frantziskonis

Optimization approach to tbe use of goodness-of-fit test 394KC. Chou, E. [ngram & R.B. Corotis

Stochastic finite element analysis based on a moving-window GMC characterization of fibre metal 395laminate interfacesD.B. Chung, M. A. Gutü5rrez, R. de Borst & L.L. Graham-Bradv

Dissipation of dynamic vibrations of rigid blocks by liquid sloshing motion 396O. Corbi & R. Orefice

Safety & reliability of damaged bulk carrier structures 398PK Das & C. Fang

Modelling of complex structural dynamical behaviours hased on a vector ARMA identifiation procedure 399D. Daucher, M. Fog/i & D. Clair

SORM correction of FORM restllts for the FBC load combination problem 4000. Ditlevsen

Reliability-oriented shakedown fonnulation 401K Do/inski & 1. Knabel

Analysis of disordered structures by means of radial basis function networks 402L. Facchini

Probabilistic analysis of a functionally graded p\ate based on moving-window technique 403F. Ferrante & L.L. Graham-Brady

Proceedlngs ICOSSAR 2005. Safety and Reliablilly of Engineering Systems and Struclures XXVII

Optimization of parametric studies using Updated Latin Hypercube Sampling 404A. Florian

Info-gap uncertainty in structural optimization via genetic algorithms 405S. Ganzerli, P. De Palma, P. Stackle & A. Brown

Convergence of stability maps for geometrically nonlinear dynamic systems 406D.A. Gasparini & H Dai

Random vibrations of three-dimensional functionally graded plates 407C. Gentilini, E. Viola & I. ElishakofJ

Contributions towards mechanical-based reliability prediction framework for complex system 408A. Hähnel, M. Lemaire & F. Rieuneau

Comparison of top-down vs.bottom-up approaches for uncertainty quantification and predictive 409accuracy assessment of computational mechanics modelsT Hasseiman, G. W Wathugala, T Paez & A. Urbina

Pattern recognition approaches for estimating a reliability index based on asecant hyperplane 410J.E. Hurtado

Moment methods for structural reliability considering sampie size 411H Idota, Y.-G. Zhao & T Ono

Discrete multicriteria reliability-based optimization of spatial trusses 412S. Jendo, WM. Paczkowski & E. Silicka

On the structural optimization of nonlinear systems under stochastic excitation 413HA. Jensen

The wave propagation in a beam on a random elastic foundation 414G. Lombaert, M. Schevenels, G. Degrallde & D. Clouteau

Order statistics of ratios 415M.A. Maes

A new approach of reliability evaluation of a diaphragm in switch module made of thin plate 416H Nakai, M Zako, T Kurashiki & M. Fukuda

Effect of two dimensional inhomogeneity in wave propagating media on a non-linear seismic 417response and its modelingS. Nakamura, T Matsumoto, S. Sawada & E. Watanabe

Directional importance simulation by neural networks 418J. Nie & B.R. Ellingwood

Transport analysis based on random fields of permeability with the particle tracking method 419S. Nishimura & A. Ohtsubo

Gamma process model for reliability analysis and replacement of aging structural components 420MD. Pandev, x.-x. Yuan & J.M van Noortwijk

Flexural resistance of beam-to-column composite joints: influence of random material variability 421V. Pi/uso, G. Rizzano & I. Tololle

An unified approach for generating Gaussian random field simulation methods 422F. Poirioll & B. Puig

Some improvements in reliability stochastic finite element methods 423Q. Qill & D.-J. Lin

High-frequency vibrational power flows in randomly heterogeneous structures 425E. Savill

Stochastic moments of seismic waves in stochastic homogeneous and heterogeneous media 426R.J. Scherer & G. Faschingbauer

XXVIII © 2006 Millpress, ROlterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Use of Kriging as Meta-Model in simulation procedures far structural reliability 427L. Schueremans & D. Van Gemert

Stochastic analysis of uncertain truss structures subject to any type of stochastic loading in the 428framework of SFEMP. Sniady & W Zielichowski-Haber

Modeling of highway trafik for bridges in India 429S. Sriramula, D. Menon & A.M. Prasad

On the efficiency of the Karhunen-Loeve expansion for the simulation uf Gaussian stochastic fields 430G. Stefanou. A. Kallimanis & M. Papadrakakis

Natural hazards risk assessment using Bayesian networks 431D. Straub

Load combination model based on intermittent rectangular wave renewal processes 432M. Sykoru

Reliability-based sensitivity analysis of Re columns resistance 433M.M. Szerszen, A.S. Nowak & A. Szwed

Coincidence probabilities for intennittent pulse load processes modeled as non-Erlang jump processes 434M. Tel/ier & R. Iwankinvicz

FPK-equation solutions for stochastic structural responseP. Varpasuo

Simulation of random fields far stochastic finite element analysisM. Voi'echovs"1 & D. Novdk

Data mining techniques in structural reliabilityJ. Wang & M. Ghosn

Stability uf aircraft in turbulent f10w based on the theory of random dynamical systemsl. Zentner & F. Poirion

Determination of load and resistance factors by fourth moment methodY.G. Zhao. H.N. Li & A.H.-S. Ang

1) Structuralldentification, Hazard Control

Mini-Symposium Ins-!i "System identijication"(coordinated by J.L. Beck & C. Papadimitriou)

Bayesian model selection and updating applied to structural damage identificationC. Papudimitriuu & K. Christodouluu

Bayesian linear structural model updating using Gibbs sampier with modal dataJ. Ching. M. MulU & J.L. Beck

Baycsian state and parameter estimation using particle filtersJ. Ching, J.L. Beck & K.A. Porter

Use of evolution strategies in solving unidentifiable model updating problemsH.-F. Lam & Y.-Y. Lee

Differential evolution algorithm for dynamic structural identificationM. Savoia & L. Vincenzi

Detection of seismic damage in structures from continuous vibration recordsE. Safak

Railway bridges output-only dynamics identificationL. Garibaldi, S. Marchesiello. J. Antoni & M. Sidahmed

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438

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446

447

448

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451

XXIX

Using multi-response parameter estimation far struetural condition and risk assessment of in-service bridges 453E. Santini Bell & M. Sanayei

Struetural identifieation of a steel strueture by fareed vibrations 454C. Mazzotti & L. Vineenzi

Struetural health monitaring by Ritz vectar matehing utilizing Bayesian artifieial neural netwark 455H.-F. Lam & K-V. Yuen

System identifieation under uneertainty 456H. Katkhuda, A. Haldar & R.M. Flores

Substrueture identifieation with response measurements only 457K -V. Yuen & L.S. Katafygiotis

On-line damage identifieation of linear struetures using sequential nonlinear least square estimation 458l.N. Yang, H. Huang & S. Lin

Multi-objeetive framework for struetural identifieation 459K Christodoulou, C. Papadimitriou & S.A. Karamanos

Mini-Symposium ms-j2 "Risk modeling and loss reduction strategies for natural andtechnological hazards"(eoordinated by G. Deodatis, A.S. Kiremidjian & H. Kunreuther)

The role of the struetural engineer in risk assessment for privately owned buildings with a publie 463funetion in the USAl. Abruzzo, G.F. Panariello & RL Tomasetti

Aeeounting far uneertainty and eorrelation in earthquake loss estimation 464P. Bazzurro & N. Lueo

Equity in regional earthquake risk mitigation investment deeisions 465RA Davidson, L.K Noziek, N. Xu & A. Dodo

Downtime modeling for risk management 466M.C. Comerio

Using eatastrophe models to improve eapital efficiency through a risk-balaneed portfolio 467D.R. Langdon & T. Perrin

Correlation of damage of steel moment-resisting frames to a veetar-valued set of ground motion parameters 468N. Lueo, L. Manuel, S. Baldava & P. Bazzurro

Managing business interruption risks arising from earthquakes 469D.E. Kuzak & M.M. Khater

Topical issues in infrastrueture risk management 470G. Woo

Seismie risk of Italian reinforeed eoncrete frame buildings 471P. Bazzurro, A. De Sortis & F. Mollaioli

Rehabilitation deeision analysis 472C. Kafali & M. Grigoriu

Natural hazards: Optimal insuranee portfolio and eoverage resolution 473C. Hayek & R. Ghanem

Probabilistie loss estimation far earthquake occurrences modeled as a Poisson process 474D. Paehakis & A.S. Kiremidjian

Assessment of urban transportation infrastructure for terrorism risk management 4755.A. King & l. Isenberg

xxx (i;) 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Seismic loss analysis of buildings with damage correlation.Y. He, G. Deodatis, A. Smyth, G. Franco & r. Gurvich

476

Mini-Symposium ms-f3 "Risk management in the built environment"(coordinated by C. Borri & U. Peil)

Risk design and sea level rise 479E.J. Plate

The role of risk perception in built environment risk management 480R.ß. Corotis

Making schools safe against disaster 481D. Alexander

Pushover as a feasible seismic performance assessment tool with pilot application 482S.C Topcuoglu

The process of risk management and the influence of uncertainties in the risk assessment of historical structures 483M. Urban & U. Peil

Risk-assessment and control of ftow-induced vibrations of structures 484S. Pasta & E. T. De Grenet

Risk-based design and safety assessment of coastal ftood defences: R & D challenges 485H. Oumeraci

Consideration of the effect of wind direction in structural design 486H.-l. Niemann, R. Höffer & N. Hölscher

Fuzzy-random approach for a seismic vulnerability model 487S. Giovinazzi & S. Lagomarsino

Describing species yields of compartment fires by means of an extended global equivalence ratio 488B. Forell & D. Hosser

The natural fire safety concept 490L.-G. Cajot, M. Haller & T. Demareo

Mini-Symposium ms-f4 "Smart monitoring and control"(coordinated by C.B. Yun & B.F. Spencer)

Time-frequency analysis of seismic response of a tall building model for damage assessment 493Y.Q. Ni, x.r. Zhou & 1.M. Ko

SVD-based derivative-free Kalman filter for nonlinear hysteretic structural system identification 494H. Tang & r. Sato

Selection of optimal model for structural system identification 495S. Shin, S.J. Kwon & H.S. Kwak

Statistical detection of time of arrivals and dominant frequencies of waves: Theory and numerical study 496S. W Shin, CB. Yun, M.L. Wang & G.M. Lloyd

Detection of debonding between concrete and FRP using microwave methodH.C Rhim, S.K. Woo & y'C Song

Validation of a large-scale wireless structural monitoring system on the Geumdang BridgeJ.P. Lynch, Y. Wang, K.H. Law, 1.H. Yi, CG. Lee & CE. Yun

Vibration-based structural health monitoring under uncertain temperature conditionsJ.-T. Kim, l.-H. Park & W.-l. Kim

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Safety and Reliability 01 Engineering Systems and Slruclures

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Evaluation of load carrying capacity of bridge using ambient vibration tests 500J.-H. Yi, S.-J. Cho, J.-J. Lee, C-B. Yun, C-G. Lee & W-T. Lee

Structural health monitoring of the Seohae cable-stayed bridge 50 I8.5. Ku, D.H. Ji, S.s. Lee & J.C Park

Flexibility-based approach for continuous monitoring of civil infrastructure 502Y. Gao & B.F. Spencer Jr.

Autonomous-decentralized system schemes for smart structures and monitoring networks 503A. Nishitani, T. Nagai, K. Kawada & Y. Nitta

Equivalent linearization of friction damper and brace system based on peak distribution 504J.-H. Park, S.-H. Lee, K.-W Min, H.-S. Kim, B.-W Moon, M.-K. Lee & S.-H. Kang

Estimation of modal mass of a structure with TMD 505J.-S. Hwang, K.-S. Kang, H.-J. Kim & S.-J. Joo

Mitigation of cable vibration using Magneto-Rheological (MR) dampers: Analysis and design procedures 506J.M. Ko, Y.F. Duan & Y.Q. Ni

Vibration control of cable-stayed bridge using MR dampers: MATLAB-based analysis 507CH. Loh & CM. Chang

Equivalent linearization approach to probabilistic response evaluation for base-isolated buildings 508T. Nagai & A. Nishitani

Maximum control force of velocity-dependent damping devices using response estimation models 509S.-H. Lee, K.-W Min, R.-J. Lee, K. Cho, H.-J. Jung

Organized Session os-fl "Time-frequency analysis"(coordinated by A. Kareern)

Hilbert-Huang transform: A new time-frequency analysis method 51 3NE Huang

Efficacy of Hilbert and wavelet transforms for time-frequency analysis 514T. Kijewski-Correa & A. Kareem

Time-frequency analysis of acceleration recordings for liquefaction detection 515Y. Hu, Y. Zhang, J. Liang & R.R. Zhang

Comparison of stationary and non-stationary wind models for turbolent winds over a complex terrain 516Y.L. Xu, J. Chen J. & M.CH. Hui

Output-only wavelet analysis for modal parameter estimation 517Z. Sun & C-C Chang

Simulation of multi-variate non-stationary random processes based on wavelet and Hilbert transforms 518L. Wang & A. Kareem

Performance of a wavelet packet sifting process for health monitoring of structures subjected to a 519random excitationA. Hera, Z. Hou & M. Noori

Contributed Papers

RC beams damage detection through probabilistic analysis of the dynamic responseM. 8reccolotti & AL Materazzi

From damage detection toward prognosis via statistical response surface methodsS. Casciati

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Real-time structural health monitoring of aprecast prestressed concrete frame structure with rocking 525connectionsG.J. Chase, e.F. Biome, H.A. Speith, J.B. Mander, K.L. Hwang & L.R. Barroso

A centralized web-based loss estimation and transportation modeling platform for disaster response 526H.e. Chung, e.K. Huyck, S. Cho, M.Z. Mio, R.T. Eguchi, M. Shinozuka & S. Mehrotra

Genetic algorithms for structural identification 527L. Faravelli, M. Farina & F. Marazzi

Experimental verification of a structural health assessment technique 528R.M. Flores, A. Haldar & H Katkhuda

Integration of structural reliability criteria with on-line control schemes 529B.J. Leira, A.J. SiPrensen, PI.B. Bemtsen & O. I. Aamo

A study to estimate the phase velocities of microtremors using time-frequency analysis 530H. Morikawa & S. Udagawa

Performance based damage assessment of existing RC buildings in India. 531S Prathibha & A Meher Prasad

Displacement and acceleration control for buildings under random excitation models 532E. Viola & F. Guidi

Defect detection in beams 533P.H. Vo & A. Haldar

Application of genetic algorithm to structural modal parameter identification of a high-rise building 534G.S. Wang, F.K. Huang & HH Lin

g) RBD, Aero-nuclear Structures, Fatigue, Lifelines

Mini-Symposium ms-g1 "Reliability analysis 0/aerospace and aircra/t systems"(coordinated by M. Noori, Z. Hou & 1. Wu)

Sensitivity and uncertainty in complex FE-models 539H.J. Pradlwarter, M.F. Pellissetti & G.I.Schueller

Aging aircraft maintenance planning 540A.P. Berens, P W Hovey & pe. Miedlar

Fluid-structure interaction analysis of a plate with a random field of elastic properties 541M.A. Gutierrez, e. v. Verhoosel & S.J. Hulshoff

Health management and reliability analysis using a Bayesian probabilistic approach 542Y. Cao, M. Noori, J. Wu, J. Zhao & Z. Hou

Comparison of spectral methods for fatigue damage assessment in bimodal random processes 543D. Benasciutti & R. Tovo

Reliability analysis of ablade shedding safety system 544F. Deheeger, M. Lemaire, M. Pendola & D. Vallino

Reliability evaluation of Japanese Experiment Module system under periodic preventive maintenance 545H. Asada, K. Shiraki & M. Shinozuka

Risk-based maintenance optimization 546M.e. Shiao

Reliability demonstration of aerospace structures - A different approach 547G. Maymon

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Salety and Reliability 01 Engineering Systems and Structu,es XXXIII

An advanced aging aircraft risk assessment strategyT.Y. Tumg

548

Mini-Symposium ms-g2 "Codijied design"(coordinated by B.R. Ellingwood, J. Kanda & T. Vrouwenvelder)

Future issues for codes and standards 551R.G. Sexsmith & K. Hirata

AU Recommendation far limit state design of buildings 552T. Takada & 1. Kanda

Rcliability and risk assessment of buildings under fire design situation 553M. Holickj

Calibration of prototype load-testing for reliability-based design 554S.G. Reid

Discussion on the implementation of partial factar design of foundations 555M. Suzuki & M. Shirato

Calibration of the design code for curved steel I-girder bridges 556Pl. Podhorecki, A.S. Nowak, A. Szwed & P Laumet

Code calibration based on Monte Carlo simulation for square footings 557Y. Honjo & S. Amatya

Performance-based seismic design criteria in Mcxico: Research developments and code evolution 558L. Esteva, O. Diaz-LOpez, E. Ismael & F. Garda-Ramirez

Performance-based design and application of neural netwarks 559R.O. Foschi

Performance-based specifications far Japanese highway bridges 5601. Fukui, M. Shirato & K. Matsui

Influence of concrete cover on structural reliability of irrigation canal 56]S. Tsujioka, M. Suzuki, M. Fujita, K. Nakashima & Y. Hironaka

Reliability models of overhead traveling crane loading for code calibration 5621.5. Warren, 1. V. Retief & PE. Dunaiski

Eurocode I, Part 1.7, Accidental Actions 564T. Vrouwenvelder

Ca]ibration of combination factors far fire design situation 565M. Holickj

Development of accidental collapse limit state criteria for offshore structures 566T. Moan & 1. Amdhal

Evaluation of target seismic safety level and safety consciousness from user surveys 567K. Hirata, T. Ishikawa, R.G. Sex~mith & T. Haukaas

Big argument in China: how safe is safe enough and how to solve it 568XL Liu & 1.J. Qin

Mini-Symposium ms-g3 "Stochastic/atigue,Jracture and damage mechanics"(coordinated by S. Rahman & N. Bonara)

Probabilistic models for two-phase microstructuresM. Grigoriu

A probabilislic micromechanically based model far fatigue life prediction in 718 alloyF. Alexandre, F. N'Guyen, A. Pineau & S. Deyber

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Numerically simulated short cracks in random polycrystalline aggregates 573L. Cizelj & I. Simonovski

The asymptotic distribution of ultimate strength of single-walled carbon nanotubes using atomistic simulation 574B. Bhattacharya & Q. Lu

Application of the local approach to fracture in the ductile-to-brittle transition 575I. Scheider & W Bracks

Surphase mechanics 576E. Altus

Modeling fracture resistance of ferritic steels in the brittle-ductile transition regime with damage 577mechanichs/weakest link integrated approachL. Esposito. D. Gentile. N. Bonora & P.P. Mitella

Damage response of anisogrid lattice aerospace structure 578M. Marchetti, M. Regi & F. Mancia

Stochastic fracture of functionally graded materials 579S. Rahman, H. Xu & B.N. Rao

Stochastic multiaxial damage modeling of metal fatigue 580Y. Liu, B. Stratman & S. Mahadevan

Probabilistic study on brittle fracture of mechanical components containing random flaws 581G. lacopino & M Todinov

Analysis of a non linear cumulative fatigue damage model under complex HCF loading for car application 582M. Kaminski. P. Kanoute. F. Gallerneau. J.L Chaboche & S. Kruch

Fatigue life calculations including the crack initiations phase and material uncertainties: A cohesive 583element model.P.S. Koutsourelakis. K. Kuntiyawichail & G.I. Schueller

Probabilistic fracture assessment of ductile pipelines 585A. Sandvik. E. 0stby, A. Naess & C. Thaulow

Propagation lifetime of railway axles: Experiments and probabilistic approach 586S. Beretta & M Carboni

Simulation of the ductile to brittle Charpy transition curve after irradiation: Effect of the hardening behavior 587B. Tanguy & J. Besson

Organized Session os-gI "Decision-making in engineering"(coordinated by M.H. Faber & M.A. Maes)

Decision making under model uncertainty 591S. Mahadevan & R. Rebba

A discussion of derivation and calibration of the Life-Quality Index 592M.D. Pandey

On projects' and organizations' performance uncertainty with applications to quantitative analysis 593and project cost estimatingO.r. Gudmestad & R.R. Stoelsnes

On the application of Bayesian probabilistic networks for earthquake risk management 594Y.Y. Bayraktarli. J.-P. Uljkjaer, U. Yazgan & M.H. Faber

LQI: On the correlation between life expectancy and the gross domestic product per capita 595O. Kübler & MH. Faber

Epistemic uncertainties and system choice in decision making 596M.H. Faber & M.A. Maes

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005, Salety and Reliability of Engineering Systems and Struetures XXXV

Organized Session os-g2 "Random material microstructures: modeling & mechanicalbehavior"(coordinated by K. Sobczyk)

Non-Gaussian, non-stationary simulation with spatially varying marginal probability distribution 599F. Ferrante, S. Arwade & LL Graham-Brady

Effect of random microstresses on short fatigue crack growth 600K Sohczyk & 1. Trfhicki

An equation and a fast algorithm for determining the probability of failure initiated by ftaws 601M. T. Todinov

Microstructural events in complex bodies: Elementary statistical mechanics over manifolds 602PM. Mariano

Ito calculus extended to non-linear systems under a-stable U:vy white noise 603M. Di Paola, A. Pirrotta & M. Zingales

Organized Session os-g3 "Peiformance-based design 01 buildings and bridges"(coordinated by Y.K. Wen & A.S. Kiremidjian)

Comparative risk assessment of hurricanes and earthquakes for residentia1 building construction 607Y. Li, B.R. Ellingwood & D. V. Rosowsky

Using displacement-based earthquake loss assessment in the selection of seismic code design levels 6081.1. Bommer; R. Pinho & H. Crowley

Finite element reliability analysis with degrading reinforced concrete columns 609T. Haukaas & Kl. Elwood

Effect of uncertainty in system deterioration parameters on the variance of collapse capacity 610L. lharra & H. Krawinkler

Fragility assessment of steel frames with traditional and shape-memory alloy braces 6111. McCormick, R. DesRoches, D. Fugazza & F. Auricchio

Multiobjective optimization for performance-based bridge maintenence under uncertainty 612D.M. Frangopol & M. Liu

Performance-based seismic evaluation of a highway bridge bent 613S.K Kunnath & E. Miranda

Performance of prefabricated concrete bridge girder connections 614K Sennah, B. Shah, R. Kianoush & S. Tu

Performance of guyed antenna towers subjected to multiple-support seismic excitation 615M. Meshmesha. 1. Kennedy & K Sennah

Organized Session os-g4 "Computational advances in the analysis 01 damage andfracture"(coordinated by B. Bhattacharya)

Up-crossing rates for fatigue reliability modelsR. Nie/sen

Fracture resistance of single-walled carbon nanotubes through atomistic simulationQ. Lu & B. Bhattacharya

Statistics of intergranular cracks in polycrystalsS.R. Arwade & M. Popat

619

620

621

XXXVI © 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0

Probabilistic analysis of fatigue life of superalloy metalsM. Ghosn, J. Telesman, P. Bonacuse, L. Ghosn & P. Kantzos

Contributed Papers

622

New bounds for highly correlated structural series systems 625M. Ahammed & R.E. Meichers

Screening procedures for the probabilistic analysis of internal and extemal hazards 626H.P. Berg

Process-oriented simulation model: Theoretical basis and practical applications 627HP. Berg, R. Görtz & E. Schimetschka

Safety in new generation nuclear power plants: The MARS reactor 628M. Curno, A. Naviglio & L. Sorabella

An overview of limit state algorithms and their applicability to finite element reliability analysis 629R. D'lppolito, S. Donders, N. Tzannetakis, J. Van de Peer & H. Van der Auweraer

On the use of structural reliability mcthods to build a surveillance strategy for a long-term interim 630storage for radioactive wasteN. Devietor & N. Perot

Probabilistic design assessment of an industrial composite wing 631S. Donders, R. d'lppolito. N. Tzannetakis, J. Van de Peer & H Van der Auweraer

Reliability analysis of a dynamic contact in piezoelectric engine with progressive wave 632A. EI Hami & B. Radi

Integrated System Safety and Security (IS3) 633D. Forbes & A. Saleem

Reliability based determination of safety factors for earthquake and wind in Brazilian conditions 634S. Hampshire & C. Samos

On decision of design criteria considering fatigue strength distribution in ultra high cycle region 635S. Hanaki, M. Yamashita, H. Uchida, M. Zako & T. Kurashiki

Probabilistic design earthquake ground motions considering scenario earthquakes 636N. Hata, J. Kanda, K. Dan, M. Kaneko, J. Miyakushi, & T. Muto

An extension of the relative Miner rule 637P Johannesson & T. Svensson & J. de Mare

Modelling of lateral vehicle loads for fatigue life calculations 638M. Karisson

Revised survival probability in design practice 639A. Kudzys, R. Kliukas & Aig. Kudzys

Comparison of methods for fitting a 3-parameters Weibull distribution on fracture toughness data 640M. Marques, N. Perot, N. Devictor & V. Bruel

Reliability-based design optimization study using normal and lognormal distributions with 641applications to dynamic structuresA. Mohsine, G. Kharmanda & A. EI-Hami

Vulnerability assessment of infrastructure facilities 642u.K. Paul, O. Mvselhi & V. Gocevski

Establishment of JSMS standard regression method of S-N curves for metallic materials 643T. Sakai, A. Sugeta, H. Nakayasu & I. Nishikawa

An approach to seismic PSA; evaluation of a nuclear power plant with aged pipings 644H Shibata, I. Nakamura & N. Ogawa

Proceedings ICOSSAR 2005. Safety and Reliability of Engineering Systems and Slructures XXXVII

Updating the assessment of remaining life of pipelines using latest ILI data and the importance 645sampling methodS.A. Tilllashev. M.G. Malyukova & 1.L. Maltsev

Finite element analysis for uncertain structures: An interval approach. 646H. Zhang, R.L. Muhanna & L. Mullen

h) Random Vibrations

Organized Session os-hJ "Reliability and response oistochastically excited systems"(coordinated by G.Q. Cai & Y. Suzuki)

Dynamics of systems under randomized sinusoidal excitation 65 IG.Q. Cai & Y. Suzuki

Application of Hilbert-Huang transform to structural damage detection: Experimental data 652S1. Li & Y. Suzuki

Hysteretic structural frame with flexible slab under random excitation 653K. Mukaibo & Y. Suzuki

Probability-based assessment for aerodynamic vibration of long-span bridges 654Y.J. Ge & H.F. Xiang

Buffeting reliability assessment to long-span cable-stayed bridges based on stochastic finite element method 655L. Zhao & Y.J. Ge

Path integration of the Duffing-Rayleigh oscillator subject to harmonic and stochastic excitations 656W Xu & W Xie

Stochastic model of an isolation system of two stages with rigid limiters 657Y. Wang, H. He & Q. Feng

Contributed Papers

lntegrated reliability evaluation of uncertain structure under nonstationary earthquake 661A. Chaudhuri, S. Chakrabortv & S.K. Sarkar

The impact of structural risk research on the repair of a damaged building 662G.c. Hart

Random rocking dynamics of a flexible structure 663A. Kovaleva

Structural reliability of nonlinear actively controlled system with quasi-sliding mode control 664T. Mochio

A refined model for loads induced by walking 665C. Sahnaci & M. Kasperski

Stochastic dynamic analysis of inelastic structures with rigid end offsets 666K.K.F. Wong & Z. Wang

Ductility response of SDOF system using reversed rectangular pulses 667F. Zhang, N. Pulido & H. Sakai

Keyword index 671

Author Index 683

XXXVIII © 2006 Millpress, Rotterdam, ISBN 90 5966 056 0