multiagent based model of economy

16
WEALTH DISTRIBUTION EVOLUTION IN AN AGENT- BASED COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS ARTIFICIAL ECONOMICS 2010

Upload: victor-romanov

Post on 16-Jun-2015

268 views

Category:

Business


1 download

DESCRIPTION

Agent based model contains agents: customers, enterprises, market, stock market, state, university, labor market, bank

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Multiagent based model of economy

WEALTH DISTRIBUTION EVOLUTION IN AN AGENT-BASED COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS

ARTIFICIAL ECONOMICS 2010

Page 2: Multiagent based model of economy

Market

Bank

University

State

EnterpriseCustomers

Mass media

Current customers’ wealth

Labor market

Stock market

THE MODEL INTERFACE

Page 3: Multiagent based model of economy

MODEL INTERFACE (1 OF 2)

Page 4: Multiagent based model of economy

MODEL INTERFACE (2 OF 2)

Page 5: Multiagent based model of economy

CUSTOMER

The aim of each customer is to increase its quality of life. The quality of life in the

model consists of wealth and value of utility function corresponding to a customer’s

individual consumption profile.

Page 6: Multiagent based model of economy

ENTERPRISE An enterprise is trying to find an optimal volume of output taking into account the balance between total income and total costs. It accomplishes its

investment strategies in an effort to remove the mismatch between demand and supply on the market.

Page 7: Multiagent based model of economy

An enterprise has a number of investment strategies at its disposal. Depending on the income got at the current time step, an enterprise takes a decision:

to stop producing unprofitable products; to continue producing increasing/decreasing production volume

within the enterprise’s production capacity;to extend capacity using:

internal funds; bank loan.

If the enterprise’s profit is negative for a certain period of time than an enterprise:

tries to cover its losses using its money reserve;sells a part of its production capacity;is declared bankrupt and leaves the model.

ENTERPRISE INVESTMENT STRATEGY (1 OF 2)

Page 8: Multiagent based model of economy

ENTERPRISE INVESTMENT STRATEGY (2 OF 2)

Page 9: Multiagent based model of economy

MARKETMarket provides customers with an access to goods produced by enterprises to customers and in such a way keeps the dynamic balance between the aggregate demand and aggregate supply, and forms an equilibrium price on the base of bargaining

Page 10: Multiagent based model of economy

BANK organizes money transactions among agents

Page 11: Multiagent based model of economy

LABOR MARKET

LABOR MARKET lists vacancies that enterprises possess and send messages about them to the job seekers, and provides equilibrium between

labor demand and supply;

Page 12: Multiagent based model of economy

CUSTOMER’S EARNINGS

Customers get their income in forms of salary depending on enterprise production volume and assortment, or redundancy payments from the state, and dividends and profits from stock market operations.

Page 13: Multiagent based model of economy

CUSTOMER’S EXPENSES

The volume of the consumed products combination shouldn’t be lower than customer’s survival level. Customer adjusts his level of consumption according to his profits. Current wealth is distributed in the following way: Taxes make up Bh, where - taxes rate, 01;

Current expenses βBh , where β - 0β1; Savings, aimed for requalification or education. Amount, remaining after taxes

paying (1-)Bh. For current expenses β(1-)Bh. Cedu=1-β(1-)Bh remains for education.

Page 14: Multiagent based model of economy

ADVERTIZING CAMPAIGN

Customer’s consumption profile before the advertisement

influence..…and afterwards:

Leftovers in the warehouse All the products sold:

Page 15: Multiagent based model of economy

CUSTOMER’S WEALTH DISTRIBUTION EVOLUTION (1 OF 2)

To present the results of the research on the modification of the wealth distribution function we examined condition of wealth distribution during the first twelve years of model run with the following initial parameters: 300 customers and 5 enterprises in the model. The following figures show how the wealth distribution changes from the initial period to the twelfth year (624 model time steps). Original wealth distribution

(rectangular)

Wealth distribution one year later(normal)

Wealth distribution six years later(gamma)

Page 16: Multiagent based model of economy

CUSTOMER’S WEALTH DISTRIBUTION EVOLUTION (1 OF 2)

Wealth distribution eight years later(normal) Wealth distribution twelve years

later(rectangular)So we can observe the following

steps in the evolution of the wealth distribution: uniform – normal – gamma – normal – uniform. We also found out that a group of customers with a much higher income (5-6 times higher than an average income) and a gap dividing the two groups of customers appear once we set some critical tax level (24%): Wealth distribution with high tax level