murphy oil corp. 2013 tudor pickering holt energy conference
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M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R AT I O N
Tudor Pickering Holt
2013 Energy Conference
Roger Jenkins
Executive Vice President & COO
June 20, 2013
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 2
Cautionary Statement
Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors - The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved and probable reserves. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “reserve estimates”, “contingent resource”, “gross or total resource”, “resource base”, “possible reserves”, “EUR or estimated ultimate recovery” and similar terms that the SEC’s rules strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.
This presentation contains forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements, which express management’s current views concerning future events or results, are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, the volatility and level of crude oil and natural gas prices, the level and success rate of our exploration programs, our ability to maintain production rates and replace reserves, political and regulatory instability, uncontrollable natural hazards and the failure to complete the spin-off of Murphy USA within the currently contemplated timeframe, because of adverse market conditions or tax consequences, among other things. For further discussion of risk factors, see Murphy’s 2012 Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Murphy undertakes no duty to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 3
On-Going US Retail Spin
Strategic Plan Focus
Resource and Capital Allocation
Proper Peer Group
Pure E&P U.S. Retail
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 4
Focus On Shareholders
Special Dividend of $2.50 per Share – Approximately $500 Million
Authorized Share Repurchase up to $1 Billion
First $250 Million; Retired 4,064,261 shares; Announced Dec 10, 2012
2nd Tranche of $250 Million; Announced May 23, 2013
Regular Dividend – Consistent Growth; Well Positioned in Peer Group
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
MU
R
Dividend Yield % Dividends, $/share
Peer Group: APA, APC, CHK, COP, DVN, ECA, EOG, HES, MRO, NBL, OXY, TLM
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 5
Top Tier Production Growth
Oil Weighted
Continued Growth to 2016 & Beyond
Onshore Growth and Well Count–Improving External Guidance
Sustainable Growth Record
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E
Oil & SK Gas Dry & Assoc. Gas
78%
85%
Net, MBOEPD M
UR
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
5-Year Production CAGR
Peer Group: APA, APC, CHK, COP, DVN, ECA, EOG, HES, MRO, NBL, OXY, TLM
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 6
Reserve Growth with Resource Migration Ahead
NA Dry
Gas 21%
EFS 19%
Syncrude
19%
Other
Projects 15%
Malaysia
Oil 16%
Malaysia Gas 8%
Kikeh Gas 2%
Reserves:
2012 Additions – 70 MMBOE
5 Year Average Replacement 160%
77% Oil & SK Gas Projects
Resources:
3.3 Billion BOE
70% Within Existing Development
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Proved Reserves MMBOE
402 439 455
534 604
Low Risk Migration
Current Capital Spend
Resource Plays
Syncrude
Proved Reserves Total Resources Proved
18%
Non - Proved
19%
Resource Play 22%
Conventional 11%
Heavy Oil 7%
Syncrude 8%
Deepwater 15%
Contingent 63%
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 7
Our Strategy
Develop Differentiated Perspectives In Underexplored Basins and Plays – The Key to Our Success
Continue to be a Preferred Partner to NOCs and Regional Independents
Complement our Offshore Business by Developing Unconventional Onshore Plays in North America
Develop and Produce Fields in a Safe, Responsible, Timely, and Cost Effective Manner
Achieve and Maintain a Sustainable, Profitable, Oil Weighted Portfolio
0
5
10
15
20
-10
0
10
20
MU
R M
UR
Adjusted to Exclude Discontinued Operations, After Tax Impairments, Corporate and Gains on Asset Sales. Peer Group: APA, APC, CHK, COP, DVN, ECA, EOG, HES, MRO, NBL, OXY, TLM
Upstream Income 2012 ($/boe) Upstream Income 1Q 13 ($/boe)
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 8
EXPLORATION
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 9
Exploration
Play Type Focus:
Large Structures in New Areas or Plays
Oil-Prone Deepwater Stratigraphic Plays
Multiple Structures -Cluster Development
Program Goal:
Consistent 10 Well per Year Program
Portfolio 2X Proved Reserves
1 Gulf of Mexico
4 Atlantic Margin
3 Southeast Asia
Focus Regions
2 Australia
1
2 3
4
Southeast Asia – Australia: Long Term LNG Projects with “Value Chain” Partners
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 10
Exploration Prospect Portfolio
*NA Onshore Excluded
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Pg (Chance of Success) %
Gro
ss P
50
Re
sou
rces
(MM
BO
E)
2013 & Q1 2014 Wells
7,500 MMBOE Total P50 Gross
900 MMBOE P50 Net Risked
1.5x Proved Resources
75% Operated
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Gross P50 Resource By Region
Risked Exploration, MBOEPD
Gulf of Mexico
Atlantic Margin
S.E. Asia
Australia
Serai & Bawang Putih
Dufresne Elombo DW
Titan
Ntem
Brunei
Australia 17%
Gulf of Mexico
23%
Atlantic Margin
34%
S.E. Asia 26%
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 11
Blacktail
Madagascar
2013 Exploration Program
BLOCK Q1 - ‘13 Q2 - ‘13 Q3 - ‘13 Q4 - ‘13 Q1 - ‘14
BRUNEI CA-2
INDONESIA Semai II
AUSTRALIA Browse Basin
CAMEROON Elombo & NTEM
USA Gulf of Mexico
Elombo - Deep Water
Kelidang NE-1
Elombo CB-1A
Bassett West-1
Dufresne-1
NTEM
Eupheme-1
Planned Well
Dry Hole/Non-Commercial
Oil Discovery
Gas Discovery
Titan
Keratau & Kempas
Serai-1 & Bawang Putih-1
Spud Range
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 12
Brunei LNG Lumut
BLOCK CA-2 (30% W.I.)
BLOCK CA-1 (5% W.I.) BLOCK K
Kikeh
Kakap- Gumusut
Siakap North- Petai
Kelidang NE
Brunei CA-2 Gas Exploration
BRUNEI Deep Offshore Block CA2
Kelidang NE-1 Discovery
2 Follow On Wells Late 2013
Murphy W.I. 30% Petronas, Shell, ConocoPhillips,
Mitsubishi - Partners
Existing LNG Plant
0 5km
Kelidang NE
Kelidang SW
Kempas
Keratau
Kelidang NE Follow Up Prospects
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 13
Australia Browse Basin
Murphy W.I. 20%
Large Prospects in a Proven Play
Bassett West-1
Found 20ft of Gas Pay
Potential Remains on Structure
Acquiring 3D Seismic
Dufresne-1
Spud Mid June
Results in Q3
Gross Resources 2 to 2.8 TCF
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 14
Cameroon – Impactful Prospects
Multiple Prospects and Leads
Stacked Fan Play Late Cretaceous
Early Tertiary
2,600 MMBOE Total Gross P50
Spud Elombo Well Early Q3
600 MMBOE 300 MMBOE
Drill Q1 ‘14 Drill Q3 ‘13
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 15
Gulf of Mexico
Long History of Success
3 Play Types
1,600 MMBOE Total Gross Resource P50
Multiple Prospects and Leads
Strong Position in Emerging Norphlet Oil Play
Titan
Murphy W.I. 70%
Jurassic Norphlet Play
Gross Resources 150 - 300 MMBOE
Spud Late 2013
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 16
GLOBAL OFFSHORE
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 17
Malaysia Shallow Water Developments
Patricia
1st Prod Oct ’13
Net Peak Rate: 1,100 BOPD ’14
Serendah
1st Prod Jun ’13
Net Peak Rate: 6,200 BOPD ’14
South Acis
1st Prod Sep ’13
Net Peak Rate: 8,400 BOPD ’15
Permas
1st Prod Dec ’13
Net Peak Rate: 3,400 BOPD ’15
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Future Fields Existing
Net, MBOPD Note: All Projects 85% W.I.
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 18
Malaysia: Block K
New 2013 Block K Production Kakap Floating Production
Unit
Siakap North/ Petai
Kikeh – Key Asset New Completion Designs
Working
Kakap Early Production System – To Plan
High Valued Crudes in SE Asia
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
Aug-10 Dec-10 Apr-11 Aug-11 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12
Kakap Production
New Development (Gravel Pack)
Gravel Pack Repairs
Original Completion
-
5
10
15
20
25
2013 2014 2015 2016
Siakap North/ Petai
Kakap
Gro
ss, M
BO
PD
N
et,
MB
OEP
D
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 19
Sarawak Gas: Long Term Value
1.5 TCF P2 EUR Resources 1.1 TCF Total EUR Proven &
Certified
Phase II 640 BCF - Contracted
Oil-Indexed Gas Price
Production Ability to 2022 & Beyond
$0
$1
$2
$3
$4
$5
$6
$7
$8
$9
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 $
/MC
F
Gro
ss
, M
MC
FD
Rate Prices
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2010 2011 2012
Gas Revenue - Opex, $MM
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Gro
ss, M
MC
FD
Phase I Phase II Make-Good Depletion
Phase I 250 MMCFD 5 Years from
2010
460 BCF
Phase II 250 MMCFD
7 Years
640 BCF
1.5 TCF P2 EUR
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 20
Malaysia Block H:
Next Gas Project
7 Consecutive Discoveries
1.5MTPA FLNG Operated by
PETRONAS
Progressing FLNG FEED
Phase 1 (950 BCF) Rotan, Alum, Bemban &
Buluh
10 Years Production
Targeting Sanction Late 2013
First Gas 2017
Block H Gross Estimated Resources of ~2300 BCF
Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4
0
100
200
300
1 6 11 16 21
Gas
Pro
du
ctio
n (
MM
CFD
)
Year
Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4
Murphy Net Entitlement = ~1,150 BCF
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 21
Building Back GOM Business
Strong Net Income & Cash Flow Provider
History of Ability
Favorable Terms & Regulator
-
10
20
30
40
50
2013 2014 2015 2016
# of Blocks???
Base Production
Dalmatian
Medusa Expansion
-
5
10
15
20
Q4 2012
2013 2014 2015 2016
Net, MBOEPD Opex per BOE
Dalmatian Project
Medusa Expansion
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 22
NORTH AMERICA ONSHORE
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 23
Seal – Long Term Focus
Recent Bolt-On
Land, Facility, Production
5,850 MMBBLS Oil In Place Significant Reserve Upside
Polymer Successful Pilot Project
Expected Recovery Increased 5-14%
Commercial Project Underway
Thermal Regulatory Approval Received
Started 1st CSS Pilot
7 Project Areas Identified
Successful Competitor Steam Pilot
Seal
Chipmunk
Gift
Dawson
0 6 Miles
Harmon Valley
Seal North
2013 Thermal Focus
2013 Polymer Focus
Net , MBOEPD
0
10
20
30
40
50
2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025
Thermal
Polymer Primary
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 24
Onshore Canada – Long View Properties
Add a map
150,000 Net Acres
Recent Liquids Success
Montney:
Option on Gas Price 3.6 TCF Resource @ $4.50
5.4 TCF Resource @ $5.00
> 8 TCF Resource @ $6.00
Quality – De-risked Sub-Surface Asset
LNG Long Term Option
Syncrude:
Complements Global Offshore
Unique Low-risk, Steady Oil Production – Not Easy To Replicate
Huge Remaining Resource
Option Value Oil Prices $-
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
-
5
10
15
20
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Syncrude Production Profile, MBOPD Production EBITDAX $MM
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 25
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-12 Jan-13 May-13
Ground Floor Entry – High Value
300 MMBO Net
Largest in Company History
87 MMBOE Proved
De-risked by Industry
Drilling & Completions Improvement
Transportation & Quality Advantaged
High Margin Upside:
Down Spacing
Pearsall Shale
Eagle Ford Shale – New Legacy Asset
Net, MBOEPD
0 10 mi
TILDEN
N TILDEN
CATARINA
KARNES
Pearsall
Focus
Area
158,661 Net Acres
90% Oil + Condensate
9 Rigs
3 Frac Crews
0
20
40
60
80
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Net, MBOEPD
281 Wells Drilling
231 Producing Wells
16 Facilities
Pipeline Projects in Place
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Upside
Base
NUECES
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 26
EFS - Improving Cost Structure
-
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
2011 2012 2013 Q1
2013 2014 2015 2016
EFS Overall Opex, $/BOE
Drilling & Completion Improvements
Driving Capital Efficiency and Margin Improvement
$1,210
$763
$/Completed Lateral ft
35% $291
$169
$/ft
EFS Completion Cost EFS Drilling Cost
42%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
2010 Q1 2011 Q1 2012 Q1 2013 Q1
Tilden Lifting Cost ($/BOE)
% Facilities Complete
Wells on Production
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 27
Financial Stability
Capex & Cash Flow, $MM Returning to Free Cash Flow
Recent Debt
Recapitalization
EFS Development
Liquidity Sources
Cash Flow
Revolver
US Retail Dividend
UK Downstream Sale
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010
LTD % Debt/Cap
Historically Low Debt $ Billion
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2013 2014 2015 2016
Downstream Corporate
EFS Exploration (ex. EFS)
Development (ex. EFS) Cash flow
E&P Integrated
Refer to Appendix for Non-GAAP Financial Measures
$100 Brent, $85 WTI in 2014; $95 Brent, $90 WTI From 2015
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 28
Quality Assets with High Margins - EBITDAX/BOE
Refer to Appendix for Non-GAAP Financial Measures
$100 Brent, $85 WTI in 2014; $95 Brent, $90 WTI From 2015
EFS
GOM
Montney
Canada Offshore
Syncrude
Shallow
Water Malaysia
Deep Water Malaysia*
Seal
E&P 2012†
Total 2016*
(40)
(20)
-
20
40
60
80
- 20 40 60 80
2016 EBITDAX/BOE
Production Growth 2012 – 2016, MBOEPD
* Excludes Sabah Gas. † Excludes Sabah Gas, UK & Congo.
US ONSHORE $/BOE 2012 $60 Q1 2013 $66
CANADA ONSHORE $/BOE 2012 $21 Q1 2013 $18
MALAYSIA* $/BOE 2012 $66 Q1 2013 $67
CANADA OFFSHORE $/BOE 2012 $89 Q1 2013 $95
US OFFSHORE $/BOE 2012 $55 Q1 2013 $69
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 29
Takeaways
Growth is Visible, High-Margin & Oil-Weighted
Exploration First – Four High-Impact Tests in Next 12 Months
Complementary Onshore – Eagle Ford a New Legacy Asset
Rich Portfolio of Discovered Resources – Low-Risk Migration
Proven Onshore Capability – New Avenue to Capture Value
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 30
APPENDIX
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 31
Non-GAAP Financial Measure Definitions & Reconciliations
The following list of Non-GAAP financial measure definitions and related reconciliations is intended to satisfy the requirements of Regulation G of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. This information is historical in nature. Murphy undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any Non-GAAP financial measure definitions and related reconciliations.
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 32
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
EBITDAX Murphy defines EBITDAX as income from continuing operations before income taxes, exploration expenses, depreciation, depletio n and amortization (DD&A), and net interest expense. Management believes that EBITDAX provides useful information for assessing Murphy's financial condition and results of operat ions and it is a widely accepted financial indicator of the ability of a company to incur and service debt, fund capital expenditure programs, and pay dividends and make other distributions to stockholders. EBITDAX, as reported by Murphy, may not be comparable to similarly titled measures used by other companies and it should be considered in conjunction with net income, cash flow from operations and other performance measures prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). EBITDAX has certain limitations regarding financial assessments because it excludes certain it ems that affect net income and net cash provided by operating activities. EBITDAX should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for a n analysis of Murphy's GAAP results as reported.
$ Millions
Year Ended December 31, 2012
Three Months March 31, 2013
Income from continuing operations before income taxes 1,623 403
Exploration Expense 381 108
DD&A 1,376 394
Interest expense, net of interest capitalized 15 14
Consolidated EBITDAX (Non-GAAP) 3,395 919
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 33
Non-GAAP Reconciliation
CASH FLOW Murphy defines Cash Flow as net cash provided by operating activities before changes in noncash operating working capital, ge ological and geophysical expenses and other exploration expenses, proceeds from sale of property of discontinued operations, expenditures for major repairs and abandonments, and other minor amounts, net. Management uses Cash Flow because it is useful in comparisons with capital expenditures as it excludes changes in working cap ital and all exploration expenses. Management uses Cash Flow to identify how much of the Company’s capital expenditure program is funded with internally generated cash flows.
$ Millions
Year Ended December 31, 2012
Three Months March 31, 2013
Net cash provided by operating activities 3,056 921
Change in noncash operating working capital 401 (211)
Geological & geophysical expense 32 39
Other exploration expenses* 37 13
Recovery of property net book value for discontinued operations -- 46
Expenditures for major repairs & abandonments 40 16
Other minor items, net (26) 20
Consolidated Cash Flow (Non-GAAP) 3,540 844
*Excludes expenses for dry holes and amortization of undeveloped leases.
M U R P H Y O I L C O R P O R A T I O N w w w . m u r p h y o i l c o r p . c o m N Y S E : M U R 34
Abbreviations
3D: three-dimensional
BBL: barrels (equal to 42 US gallons)
BCF: billions of cubic feet
BCFE: billions of cubic feet equivalent
BOE: barrels of oil equivalent (1 barrel of oil or 6000 cubic feet of natural gas)
BOPD: barrels of oil per day
CAGR: compound annual growth rate
Capex: capital expenditures
EBITDAX: income from continuing operations before taxes, exploration expenditures, depreciation, depletion and amortization, and net interest expense
EOR: enhanced oil recovery
EUR: expected ultimate recovery
FLNG: floating liquefied natural gas
FPSO: floating production, storage, and offloading vessel
GOM: Gulf of Mexico
MBO: thousands of barrels of oil
MBOEPD: thousands of barrels of oil equivalent per day
MBOPD: thousands of barrels of oil per day
MMBO: millions of barrels of oil
MMBOE: millions of barrels of oil equivalent
MMBTU: millions of British thermal units
MMCF: millions of cubic feet
NA: North America
NGL: natural gas liquid
NOC: national oil company
Opex: operating expenditures
PDP: proved developed producing
PUD: proved undeveloped
R/P: ratio of reserves to annual production
TCF: trillions of cubic feet
TPY: tons per year
TRIR: total recordable incident rate
VOC: volatile organic compound
WI: working interest
WTI: West Texas Intermediate (a grade of crude oil)
YTD: year-to-date