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Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market Government Bond Income Fund Islamic Income Aggressive Income

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Page 1: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Mutual Funds

Fixed Income Category

November 2015

AMC Sector Money Market Government Bond Income Fund Islamic Income Aggressive

Income

Page 2: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

AMC Sector | AUM vs GDP

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

3%2% 2% 2% 2%

39%

34%32% 32% 32%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

-

100

200

300

400

500

Jun-08 Jun-10 Jun-12 Jun-14 Jun-15

%ag

e

PKR

bln

AUMs AUMs as % of GDP Deposits as % of GDP

Page 3: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

AMC Sector | Trend Analysis

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Snapshot Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15Total AUM's (PKR mln) 389,115 436,572 466,908 Total No. Of Funds 192 215 229

38%

16%28%

19% 18% 19%

15%

22%

19%28%

21%25%

27%

26%

36%24% 37% 24%

1%

6%

4%

8%7%

11%

10%

5%

9%

5%11%

5%

9%

25%

4%16%

6%17%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Split No. Split No. Split No.

Sep-13 Sep-14 Sep-15

Categorical Split | AUM's & Funds

Money Market Income Equity Capital Protected Government Bond Others

Page 4: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

AUM & SMA | Growth Trend

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-1532% 63% 54% 48%25% 10% 9% 20%

Discretionary PortfoliosNon Discretionary Portfolios

Annual Growth Rate

Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-151% 53% 37%

31% 21% 69%

Annual Growth Rate

Islamic Banking DepositShariah Compliant AUM's

9% 13% 10% 13% 12%21%

13%

27%

91% 87% 90% 87% 88%79%

87%

73%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Deposits AUMs Deposits AUMs Deposits AUMs Deposits AUMs

Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15

Islamic Conventional

14,255 23,267

35,857

53,054 30,148

33,217

36,258

43,555

-

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15

PKR

mln

Discretionary Portfolios Non Discretionary Portfolios

Page 5: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

AMC Sector | Flow Analysis

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Dec‐14 Sep‐15Asset Size Difference  Return Mobilization Asset Size115,383 (32,179) 5,747 (37,926) 83,20451,132 804 4,280 (3,475) 51,93751,106 6,301 4,322 1,979 57,40821,218 3,363 1,249 2,113 24,58011,496 3,051 903 2,147 14,547

176,196 (3,639) (2,867) (772) 172,55725,725 8,026 1,000 7,026 33,751

Asset Allocation 8,369 9,231 625 8,607 17,60010,130 1,193 437 756 11,323

4,707,563 (38,482) 156,964 (195,446) 4,669,081

Equity Equity 

HybridCPPI

OthersTotal

AMC INDUSTRY | FLOW ANALYSIS (Amount in PKR mln)

Category

Income

Money MarketGovernmernt BondIncome Islamic Income Aggressive Income 

Page 6: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

AMC | Market Share

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

AMC Rating Rater Total Mkt.sh Total Mkt.sh

Meezan AM2+ JCR-VIS 60,241 13.8% 74,364 15.9%UBL AM2+ JCR-VIS 45,324 10.4% 59,446 12.7%MCB-AH AM2+ PACRA 43,432 10.0% 48,901 10.5%NAFA AM2+ PACRA 43,539 10.0% 44,497 9.5%NIT AM2 PACRA 87,177 20.0% 76,541 16.4%Allied AM2 JCR-VIS 23,855 5.5% 27,924 6.0%PICIC AM2- JCR-VIS 25,607 5.9% 21,580 4.6%Alfalah AM2- PACRA 12,189 2.8% 20,688 4.4%HBL AM2- JCR-VIS 19,528 4.5% 19,582 4.2%Atlas AM2- PACRA 15,169 3.5% 18,242 3.9%Lakson AM2- PACRA 10,779 2.5% 10,867 2.3%JS AM2- JCR-VIS 10,075 2.3% 9,141 2.0%Askari AM3+ PACRA 9,346 2.1% 9,107 2.0%Faysal AM3+ JCR-VIS 7,755 1.8% 8,189 1.8%Primus AM3 JCR-VIS 8,614 2.0% 8,239 1.8%AKD AM3 PACRA 3,878 0.9% 4,159 0.9%Habib AM3 PACRA 4,154 1.0% 3,102 0.7%KASB AM3 JCR-VIS 2,313 0.5% 1,081 0.2%BMA AM3 PACRA 656 0.2% 348 0.1%Pak Oman AM4+ JCR-VIS 1,620 0.4% 415 0.1%National AM4+ JCR-VIS 1,035 0.2% 287 0.1%First Cap AM4+ PACRA 286 0.1% 210 0.1%Total (PKR mln) 436,572 466,910

Sep-14 Sep-15

Page 7: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Money Market | Snapshot

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Average Category Return 7.72%PICIC Cash Fund 9.85%Primus Daily Reserve Fund 8.89%

Al Ameen Islamic Cash Fund 6.08%HBL Islamic Money Market Fund 6.16%

Best return

Weak Return

Total AUM's (PKR mln) 83,204 Total No. Of Funds 41

Snapshot (30-Sep-15)

Rating Category No of FundsAAA 3AA+ 2AA 8

Rating Distribution PACRA RATED (30-Sep-15)

Asset Size Difference  Return Mobilization Asset SizeMar‐15 115,383 (2,326) 2,323 (4,649) 113,057Jun‐15 113,057 (30,646) 2,270 (32,916) 82,412Sep‐15 82,412 793 1,154 (361) 83,204

FLOW ANALYSIS | MONEY MARKET  (Amount in PKR mln)

Page 8: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Government Bond | Snapshot

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Average Performance 11.90%MCB Pakistan Sovereign Fund (Formerly: MetroBank Pakistan Sovereign Fund) 16.28%Alfalah GHP Sovereign Fund 15.63%

JS Islamic Government Securities Fund 6.12%Meezan Sovereign Fund 6.71%

Best return

Weak Return

Total AUM's (PKR mln) 51,662 Total No. Of Funds 11

Snapshot (30-Sep-15)

Rating Category No of FundsAA- 6A+ 1

Rating Distribution PACRA RATED (30-Sep-15)

Asset Size Difference  Return Mobilization Asset SizeMar‐15 51,132 15,889 2,041 13,848 67,021Jun‐15 67,021 (24,389) 1,233 (25,622) 42,632Sep‐15 42,632 9,305 1,005 8,299 51,937

FLOW ANALYSIS | GOVERNEMENT BOND  (Amount in PKR mln)

Page 9: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Income | Snapshot

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Average Performance 11.86%PIML Income Fund 17.35%Lakson Income Fund 14.61%

Faysal Financial Sector Opportunity Fund 6.72%NAFA Savings Plus Fund 8.19%

Best return

Weak Return

Total AUM's (PKR mln) 66,827 Total No. Of Funds 37

Snapshot (30-Sep-15)

Rating Category No of FundsAA- 3A+ 8A 1A- 2

Rating Distribution PACRA RATED (30-Sep-15)

Asset Size Difference  Return Mobilization Asset SizeMar‐15 51,106 8,165 1,992 6,173 59,272Jun‐15 59,272 (12,174) 1,132 (13,306) 47,098Sep‐15 47,098 10,310 1,198 9,112 57,408

FLOW ANALYSIS | INCOME  (Amount in PKR mln)

Page 10: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Islamic Income | Snapshot

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Average Performance 6.86%ABL Islamic Income Fund (Formerly: ABL Islamic Cash Fund) 8.06%PICIC Islamic Income Fund 7.60%

Pak Oman Advantage Islamic Income Fund 4.00%MCB Islamic Income Fund 6.53%

Best return

Weak Return

Total AUM's (PKR mln) 15,765 Total No. Of Funds 10

Snapshot (30-Sep-15)

Rating Category No of FundsAA- 3A 1A- 1

Rating Distribution PACRA RATED (30-Sep-15)

Asset Size Difference  Return Mobilization Asset SizeMar‐15 21,218 2,301 503 1,798 23,519Jun‐15 23,519 (3,976) 406 (4,382) 19,543Sep‐15 19,543 5,038 340 4,698 24,580

FLOW ANALYSIS | ISLAMIC INCOME  (Amount in PKR mln)

Page 11: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Aggressive Income | Snapshot

AMC Sector Money Market Govt. Bond Funds Income Fund Islamic Income

Funds Aggressive

Income Funds

Total AUM's (PKR mln) 14,547 Total No. Of Funds 10

Snapshot (30-Sep-15)

Average Performance 7.88%AKD Aggressive Income Fund (Formerly: AKD Income Fund) 18.01%Pakistan Income Enhancement Fund 14.12%

KASB Islamic Income Opportunity Fund -17.25%KASB Income Opportunity Fund 2.45%

Best return

Weak Return

Rating Category No of FundsA+ 3A 1A- 1

Rating Distribution PACRA RATED (30-Sep-15)

Asset Size Difference  Return Mobilization Asset SizeMar‐15 11,496 2,402 455 1,947 13,899Jun‐15 13,899 (3,432) 170 (3,602) 10,467Sep‐15 10,467 4,080 278 3,802 14,547

FLOW ANALYSIS | AGGRESSIVE INCOME

Page 12: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Fund Stability Rating | Definition

A current opinion on the prospective relative stability in a fund’s return. The rating provides an objective measure as to the main areas of risk to which the income and money market funds are exposed

AMC Sector Money Market Government Bond Income Fund Islamic Income Aggressive

Income

Page 13: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

Fund Stability Rating | Scale

AMC Sector Money Market Government Bond Income Fund Islamic Income Aggressive

Income

Page 14: Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category - PACRApacra.com.pk/uploads/doc_report/FundStability_November15.pdf · Mutual Funds Fixed Income Category November 2015 AMC Sector Money Market

DISCLAIMER PACRA has used due care in preparation of this document. Our information has been obtained from sources we consider to be reliable but its accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. The information in this document may be copied or otherwise reproduced, in whole or in part, provided the source is duly acknowledged. The presentation should not be relied upon as professional advice.

Analysts

Rai Umar Zafar Manager Ratings +92 42 3586 9504 [email protected]

Shoaib Afzal Financial Analyst +92 42 3586 9504 [email protected]

Usama Liaquat Financial Analyst +92 42 3586 9504 [email protected]