nbc news/wsj/marist poll illinois adults, registered...

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Adults,Registered Voters, & Potential Electorates

March 2016

How the Survey was Conducted

Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Illinois Poll of 2,252 Adults This survey of 2,252 adults was conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016 by The Marist Poll sponsored and funded in partnership with NBC News and The Wall Street Journal. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the state of Illinois were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Landline telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the state of Illinois from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were randomly selected by first asking for the youngest male. This landline sample was combined with respondents reached through random dialing of cell phone numbers from Survey Sampling International. Both samples were matched by telephone number to a voter registration list for the state. Voter information was appended to each matched case. Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection and L2 for voter registration information. After the interviews were completed, the two samples were combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates for age, gender, income, and region except for race, which is from the 2010 census. Results are statistically significant within ±2.1 percentage points. There are 1,968 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within ±2.2 percentage points. Among registered voters, 891 had a phone match in the voter file and 1,077 did not. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.3 percentage points and ±3.0 percentage points, respectively. There are 760 voters in the potential Republican primary electorate. The potential Republican primary electorate in Illinois includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Republican presidential primary and those who identify as Republicans or Republican leaning independents without a primary preference. There are 989 voters in the potential Democratic primary electorate. The potential Democratic primary electorate in Illinois includes all voters who prefer to vote in the Democratic presidential primary and those who identify as Democrats or Democratic leaning independents without a primary preference. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±3.6 percentage points and ±3.1 percentage points, respectively. There are 421 likely Republican primary voters and 529 likely Democratic primary voters defined by a probability turnout model which determines the likelihood respondents will participate in the 2016 Illinois Republican/Democratic Presidential Primary based upon their chance of vote, interest in the election, and past election participation. The results for these subsets are statistically significant within ±4.8 percentage points and ±4.3 percentage points, respectively. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Tables of Adults, Registered Voters, and Potential Electorates

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois March 2016 1

Illinois Adults Illinois Registered Voters

Col % Col %

100%

87% 100%

34% 39%

19% 21%

44% 50%

24% 27%

Democrat n/a 38%

Republican n/a 26%

Independent n/a 35%

Other n/a 1%

Very liberal n/a 9%

Liberal n/a 19%

Moderate n/a 39%

Conservative n/a 23%

Very conservative n/a 9%

n/a 17%

Men 48% 47%

Women 52% 53%

Under 45 48% 44%

45 or older 52% 56%

18 to 29 23% 20%

30 to 44 25% 25%

45 to 59 27% 29%

60 or older 24% 27%

White 67% 69%

African American 13% 13%

Latino 12% 12%

Other 7% 6%

Cook County 40% 40%

Collar Counties 24% 24%

North 15% 15%

Central & South 21% 21%

Less than $50,000 46% 44%

$50,000 or more 54% 56%

Not college graduate 55% 54%

College graduate 45% 46%

Married 47% 50%

Not married 53% 50%

Yes 32% 33%

No 68% 67%

32% 20%

Practice a Religion 51% 52%

Does not Practice a Religion 49% 48%

Yes 9% 10%

No 91% 90%

Match n/a 45%

No Match n/a 55%

Landline 44% 47%

Cell Phone 56% 53%

Party Identification

Political Ideology

Tea Party Supporters

Illinois Adults

Illinois Registered Voters

Illinois Potential Republican Electorate

Gender

Age

Age

Race

Region

Household Income

Education

Marital Status

Evangelical Christian

White Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

U.S. Military Veteran

Illinois Voter Registration List

Interview Type

Illinois Likely Republican Primary Voters

Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate

Illinois Likely Democratic Primary Voters

Nature of the Sample - Illinois

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2252 MOE +/- 2.1 percentage points. Illinois Registered Voters: n=1968 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Illinois Potential Republican Electorate Illinois Likely Republican Primary Voters

Col % Col %

100%

55% 100%

Democrat 3% 2%

Republican 63% 66%

Independent 33% 31%

Other 1% 1%

Yes 76% 85%

No 24% 15%

Very liberal 1% 1%

Liberal 5% 4%

Moderate 37% 33%

Conservative 39% 42%

Very conservative 18% 21%

30% 33%

61% 60%

9% 7%

Men 55% 56%

Women 45% 44%

Under 45 37% 30%

45 or older 63% 70%

18 to 29 13% 9%

30 to 44 24% 21%

45 to 59 33% 35%

60 or older 30% 34%

White 85% 88%


Latino 9% 7%

Other 4% 3%

Cook County 27% 21%


North 19% 21%


Less than $50,000 36% 33%

$50,000 or more 64% 67%



Married 61% 65%

Not married 39% 35%

Yes 39% 42%

No 61% 58%

34% 37%



Yes 13% 14%

No 87% 86%

Match 48% 50%

No Match 52% 50%

Landline 50% 53%

Cell Phone 50% 47%

Illinois Potential Republican Electorate


Past Participation*

Political Ideology




Religiosity



Illinois Likely Republican Primary Voters


NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=760 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Illinois Likely Republican Primary Voters: n=421 MOE +/- 4.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Interview Type

Race

Region

Household Income

Education

Marital Status

No

Unsure

Gender

Age

Age



Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate Illinois Likely Democratic Primary Voters

Col % Col %

100%

53% 100%

Democrat 70% 74%

Republican 1% 1%

Independent 28% 25%

Other 0% 0%

Yes 75% 83%

No 25% 17%

Very liberal 15% 15%

Liberal 32% 33%

Moderate 39% 38%

Conservative 12% 10%

Very conservative 4% 4%

9% 8%

83% 84%

9% 8%

Men 42% 40%

Women 58% 60%

Under 45 51% 48%

45 or older 49% 52%

18 to 29 24% 20%

30 to 44 26% 28%

45 to 59 27% 27%

60 or older 22% 25%

White 54% 54%


Latino 16% 14%

Other 8% 8%

Cook County 52% 53%


North 10% 11%


Less than $50,000 47% 46%

$50,000 or more 53% 54%



Married 41% 43%

Not married 59% 57%

Yes 28% 27%

No 72% 73%

9% 8%



Yes 8% 8%

No 92% 92%

Match 43% 45%

No Match 57% 55%

Landline 42% 45%

Cell Phone 58% 55%

Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate


Past Participation*

Political Ideology


No

Unsure

Gender

Age

Age

Race

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=989 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Illinois Likely Democratic Primary Voters: n=529 MOE +/- 4.3 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.

Illinois Likely Democratic Primary Voters


Religiosity



Interview Type

Region

Household Income

Education

Marital Status





Approve Disapprove Unsure

Adults Illinois Adults

Registered Voters Illinois Registered Voters

Potential Republican Electorate Illinois Potential Republican Electorate

Potential Democratic Electorate Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate


Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Very liberal-Liberal

Moderate

Conservative-Very conservative

Tea Party Support Tea Party Supporters

Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South

Household IncomeLess than $50,000

$50,000 or more

EducationNot college graduate

College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women

Marital StatusMarried

Not married

ReligiosityPractice a Religion

Does not Practice a Religion

U.S. Military VeteranYes

No

Interview TypeLandline

Cell Phone 10%

7%

9%

3%

7%

9%

9%

8%

10%

7%

6%

11%

5%

7%

9%

12%

9%

4%

9%

7%

9%

7%

9%

9%

10%

8%

7%

2%

5%

9%

5%

12%

3%

4%

5%

5%

7%

9%

33%

43%

36%

52%

34%

40%

30%

46%

33%

42%

46%

28%

48%

44%

34%

21%

23%

5%

48%

37%

37%

40%

32%

49%

47%

40%

26%

69%

70%

33%

13%

39%

85%

7%

9%

77%

39%

37%

57%

50%

55%

45%

58%

51%

61%

46%

57%

51%

48%

62%

47%

48%

56%

68%

68%

91%

43%

56%

53%

53%

59%

41%

43%

52%

67%

29%

26%

58%

83%

48%

13%

89%

86%

18%

54%

54%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Adults. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=2252 MOE +/- 2.1 percentage points. Illinois Registered Voters: n=1968 MOE +/- 2.2 percentagepoints. Potential Republican Electorate: n=760 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Potential Democratic Electorate: n=989 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Donald Trump Ted Cruz John Kasich Marco Rubio Other Undecided

Potential RepublicanElectorate

Illinois Potential RepublicanElectorate

Intensity of Support

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might vote differently

Party IdentificationRepublican

Independent

Political IdeologyModerate

Conservative-Veryconservative

Political Ideology

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative


Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South


$50,000 or more


College graduate

RaceWhite

Non-white

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite EvangelicalChristians




No


Cell Phone

6%0%18%21%23%32%

29%

19%

16%

23%

21%

22%

26%

31%

19%

21%

28%

42%

7%

6%

0%13%

21%

27%

16%

23%

24%

30%

33%

5%

8%0%

16%

23%

17%

29%

30%

14%

32%

26%

4%

6%

8%0%

9%

19%

23%

15%

18%

29%

50%

20%

14%

23%

37%

26%

5%0%11%10%36%38%

8%

9%

3%

7%0%

17%

18%

17%

20%

16%

16%

24%

23%

23%

23%

26%

20%

35%

33%

30%

30%

4%

10%

0%19%

18%

25%

12%

22%

24%

29%

36%

5%

7%0%

19%

18%

29%

13%

22%

24%

26%

38%

5%

6%0%

26%

17%

12%

22%

28%

22%

30%

33%

5%

9%

2%

8%

0%

14%

11%

24%

32%

21%

26%

16%

15%

21%

28%

20%

20%

38%

25%

38%

26%

7%

4%

0%13%

27%

23%

16%

25%

20%

31%

33%

8%

5%0%

22%

14%

20%

21%

22%

24%

29%

35%

8%

5%0%

19%

18%

18%

22%

18%

26%

38%

28%

6%0%14%19%30%31%

5%

6%0%

18%

18%

20%

21%

18%

26%

39%

28%

6%

6%

0%19%

10%

20%

23%

23%

25%

31%

36%

6%

7%0%

19%

17%

19%

22%

25%

21%

31%

33%

2016 Illinois Republican presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=760 MOE +/- 3.6 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to round-ing.



Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure


Illinois Potential Republican Electorate witha Candidate Preference

Primary Support

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz

John Kasich

Marco Rubio


Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate


Political Ideology

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative


Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education

Not college graduate

College graduate

Race

White

Non-white

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Yes

No

Interview Type

Cell Phone

Landline

1%14%32%53%

1%

2%

1%

1%

21%

14%

15%

8%

33%

31%

41%

26%

45%

53%

42%

64%

1%

1%

13%

14%

40%

29%

46%

56%

0%

2%

11%

16%

31%

36%

57%

45%

1%

0%

2%

5%

15%

16%

32%

31%

36%

63%

55%

45%

0%11%25%64%

3%

2%

1%

0%

13%

11%

17%

13%

26%

37%

30%

36%

59%

51%

52%

51%

0%

3%

16%

11%

33%

30%

51%

56%

1%

1%

13%

14%

36%

29%

50%

56%

1%

1%

11%

14%

47%

29%

41%

55%

3%

1%

14%

10%

19%

13%

21%

33%

38%

42%

62%

56%

43%

44%

2%12%

17%

27%

40%

59%

44%

2%

1%

16%

12%

33%

31%

48%

57%

2%

1%

16%

13%

30%

33%

52%

54%

1%13%27%59%

1%

1%

17%

12%

29%

35%

53%

52%

1%

1%

15%

5%

32%

31%

51%

63%

2%

1%

15%

13%

29%

35%

54%

52%

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote dif-ferently on Primary Day?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference including absentee. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=665MOE +/- 3.8 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Ted Cruz Marco Rubio John Kasich Donald Trump Other Undecided


Illinois Potential RepublicanElectorate with a CandidatePreference

Primary Support

Donald Trump

Ted Cruz

John Kasich

Marco Rubio


Republican

Independent

Political Ideology

Moderate


Political Ideology

Moderate

Conservative

Very conservative


Region

North

Central & South

Collar Counties

Cook County

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

White Evangelical ChristiansWhite Evangelical Christians

Religiosity

Practice a Religion



Yes

No

Interview Type

Cell Phone

Landline

12%1%13%23%25%27%

6%

14%

8%

16%

1%

1%

2%

16%

19%

22%

29%

23%

34%

40%

45%

14%

49%

26%

34%

14%

10%

1%

1%

13%

13%

27%

20%

26%

24%

18%

32%

10%

10%

2%

1%

13%

15%

20%

26%

25%

23%

30%

25%

11%

9%

10%

2%

1%

18%

12%

15%

21%

20%

26%

22%

26%

23%

28%

31%

25%

8%19%28%19%26%

10%

15%

11%

9%

1%

4%

0%

19%

12%

11%

8%

20%

26%

18%

27%

23%

29%

24%

21%

26%

18%

33%

34%

9%

14%

1%

1%

13%

13%

22%

22%

27%

20%

27%

30%

13%

9%

2%

1%

11%

15%

23%

23%

26%

23%

25%

29%

14%

11%

10%

12%

2%

1%

1%

9%

15%

12%

18%

25%

21%

25%

17%

23%

31%

15%

31%

27%

22%

37%

22%

12%

10%

1%

1%

12%

14%

23%

22%

27%

21%

24%

32%

10%

13%

2%

1%

11%

14%

23%

23%

27%

23%

28%

26%

10%

12%

1%

1%

15%

12%

21%

24%

28%

22%

26%

28%

8%1%15%20%30%26%

10%

12%

1%

1%

14%

13%

24%

22%

22%

26%

29%

26%

10%

18%

1%

1%

13%

10%

23%

18%

24%

30%

28%

23%

13%

10%

1%

1%

13%

13%

25%

21%

25%

25%

23%

30%

Who is your second choice for the 2016 Republican presidential primary [including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candi-date]?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Republican Electorate with a Candidate Preference. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=625 MOE +/- 3.9 percentage points. Totals may not add to100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Other Undecided

Potential DemocraticElectorate

Illinois Potential DemocraticElectorate

Intensity of Support

Strongly support

Somewhat support

Might vote differently


Democrat

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate


Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion


Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone

5%0%47%48%

0%

53%

53%

48%

47%

47%

52%

6%

4%

0%

1%

58%

41%

36%

54%

7%

4%

4%

1%

0%

0%

35%

47%

50%

56%

48%

45%

3%

7%

4%

5%

0%

1%

0%

49%

44%

46%

46%

47%

47%

50%

48%

4%

3%

0%

0%

48%

47%

48%

50%

5%

4%

0%

1%

43%

50%

52%

46%

6%

7%

5%

1%

1%

1%

25%

37%

47%

78%

69%

56%

48%

22%

4%

5%

5%

1%

1%

66%

31%

46%

30%

63%

48%

6%

2%

1%

0%

31%

61%

62%

36%

6%

3%

0%

1%

39%

57%

55%

39%

4%

5%

1%

0%

51%

40%

44%

55%

4%

5%

1%

0%

55%

36%

40%

59%

4%

6%

0%

1%

54%

36%

42%

57%

2016 Illinois Democratic presidential primary including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=989 MOE +/- 3.1 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure

Potential DemocraticElectorate

Illinois Potential Democratic Electoratewith a Candidate Preference

Primary Support

Hillary Clinton

Bernie Sanders


Democrat

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate


Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South

Household Income

Less than $50,000

$50,000 or more

Education


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

Age

Under 45

45 or older

Gender

Men

Women

Marital Status

Married

Not married

Religiosity

Practice a Religion


Interview Type

Landline

Cell Phone

1%8%28%64%

1%

0%

8%

7%

30%

26%

61%

66%

1%

8%

7%

36%

25%

55%

67%

0%

1%

0%

18%

7%

5%

23%

37%

23%

59%

54%

72%

0%

0%

1%

9%

6%

4%

9%

34%

25%

38%

23%

57%

69%

57%

67%

1%

1%

7%

8%

34%

21%

58%

70%

1%

1%

5%

10%

30%

26%

64%

64%

0%

1%

10%

7%

7%

31%

25%

29%

59%

68%

64%

2%

1%

7%

11%

5%

8%

21%

29%

28%

34%

70%

60%

67%

58%

1%

0%

9%

6%

25%

31%

65%

63%

1%

0%

8%

7%

30%

26%

61%

67%

1%

1%

7%

9%

29%

27%

63%

64%

1%

1%

7%

8%

29%

26%

64%

64%

0%

1%

8%

8%

30%

26%

63%

65%

Would you say you strongly support <candidate>, somewhat support <candidate>, or do you think you might vote differently on PrimaryDay?

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Potential Democratic Electorate with a Candidate Preference including absentee. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=858 MOE +/- 3.3 percentage points.Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South


$50,000 or more


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 10%

13%

11%

11%

9%

13%

9%

12%

12%

11%

12%

10%

13%

11%

9%

12%

6%

8%

13%

8%

13%

9%

13%

14%

15%

9%

10%

8%

14%

11%

4%

15%

13%

4%

11%

31%

33%

31%

44%

30%

34%

28%

37%

24%

40%

37%

26%

38%

36%

30%

21%

20%

3%

40%

31%

33%

34%

28%

39%

39%

38%

22%

61%

57%

28%

9%

32%

72%

4%

32%

60%

54%

58%

46%

61%

53%

63%

51%

64%

49%

51%

64%

49%

53%

61%

67%

74%

88%

47%

61%

54%

57%

59%

47%

46%

53%

68%

31%

29%

61%

87%

53%

15%

92%

57%

If the 2016 presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are:

NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Illinois Registered Voters. Interviews conducted March 4th through March 10th, 2016, n=1968 MOE +/- 2.2 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding.



Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South


$50,000 or more


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 9%

10%

9%

8%

8%

10%

9%

9%

10%

9%

9%

9%

10%

9%

10%

9%

6%

9%

10%

7%

11%

8%

8%

10%

13%

8%

9%

6%

7%

11%

5%

14%

6%

4%

10%

39%

41%

38%

53%

35%

45%

33%

46%

35%

45%

44%

34%

44%

45%

34%

34%

34%

7%

48%

38%

41%

42%

35%

51%

50%

43%

28%

69%

68%

37%

11%

41%

87%

6%

40%

52%

49%

52%

39%

57%

45%

58%

44%

56%

46%

46%

57%

46%

46%

56%

57%

60%

83%

42%

55%

48%

49%

56%

40%

37%

48%

64%

25%

25%

52%

83%

44%

7%

90%

51%





Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Donald Trump, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South


$50,000 or more


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 8%

12%

10%

8%

7%

12%

8%

11%

10%

10%

11%

8%

11%

11%

8%

9%

4%

8%

11%

8%

10%

8%

10%

10%

16%

9%

8%

7%

12%

10%

3%

13%

11%

4%

10%

29%

32%

29%

43%

27%

34%

25%

36%

25%

36%

36%

23%

38%

34%

26%

20%

16%

2%

38%

30%

30%

32%

26%

37%

33%

37%

22%

58%

56%

25%

7%

28%

68%

5%

30%

64%

56%

61%

50%

66%

55%

68%

52%

65%

54%

53%

68%

51%

55%

66%

72%

80%

90%

50%

61%

60%

60%

64%

53%

51%

54%

70%

35%

31%

65%

89%

58%

21%

91%

60%





Bernie Sanders, the Democrat Ted Cruz, the Republican Undecided



Democrat

Republican

Independent

Political Ideology


Moderate



Region

Cook County

Collar Counties

North

Central & South


$50,000 or more


College graduate

Race

White

African American

Latino

Age

18 to 29

30 to 44

45 to 59

60 or older

AgeUnder 45

45 or older

GenderMen

Women


Not married




No


Cell Phone 9%

12%

11%

7%

10%

10%

9%

11%

12%

9%

11%

9%

13%

10%

12%

6%

5%

12%

11%

9%

11%

8%

11%

10%

13%

10%

9%

7%

10%

11%

5%

14%

5%

7%

10%

33%

37%

34%

44%

27%

42%

27%

42%

32%

38%

41%

27%

41%

41%

31%

23%

28%

7%

42%

35%

34%

36%

32%

45%

43%

38%

24%

61%

63%

33%

8%

34%

81%

5%

35%

58%

51%

56%

49%

63%

48%

63%

47%

56%

53%

48%

63%

47%

49%

58%

71%

67%

81%

47%

56%

55%

56%

57%

45%

44%

51%

67%

32%

27%

56%

87%

52%

13%

88%

55%





nbc news/wsj/marist poll illinois adults, registered...

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