nc schools dropout data school suspensions and dropouts in north carolina charlotte hughes ken...
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NC Schools Dropout Data
School Suspensions and DropoutsIn North Carolina
Charlotte HughesKen Gattis
Program Monitoring & Support DivisionNC Department of Public Instruction
Short-Term Suspensions 2004-05 to 2007-08 Grades 9-12
124,000
126,000
128,000
130,000
132,000
134,000
136,000
138,000
140,000
142,000
144,000
146,000
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
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Su
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Long-Term Suspensions 2004-05 to 2007-08 Grades 9-12
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08
# L
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Su
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Dropouts 2004-05 to 2007-08 Grades 9-12
18,000
19,000
20,000
21,000
22,000
23,000
24,000
04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08
Dro
po
uts
Highest and Lowest 5-Year Average Short-Term Suspension (STS) Rates Among School Districts
Lowest Quartile
Highest QuartileMiddle Two Quartiles
Avg. STS Rates
Highest and Lowest 5-Year Average Long-Term Suspension (LTS) Rates Among School Districts
Lowest Quartile
Highest QuartileMiddle Two Quartiles
Avg. LTS Rates
Highest and Lowest 5-Year Average Dropout Rates Among School Districts
Lowest Quartile
Highest QuartileMiddle Two Quartiles
Avg. Dropout Rates
5-Year Average Dropout Rates Related to High/Low LTS or STS Rates
Lowest Quartile
Highest Quartile
Related Rates
5-Year Average Rates Between School Districts
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
Dropouts per 1000 62.9 50.7 35.7
LTS per 10,000 78.5 54.1 41.2
STS per 100 42.2 33.4 23.2
High Dropout Rate Quartile
Two Middle Dropout Rate Quartiles
Low Dropout Rate Quartile
Reasons for Suspensions
• Short-term suspensions reported 2007-08 :1. Disruptive Behavior
2. Fighting
3. Insubordination
• Long-term suspensions reported 2007-08:1. Possession of an Illegal Substance
2. Possession of a Weapon
3. Disruptive Behavior
(from NC Suspension Report Data)
Reasons for High School Dropouts
• Top three reasons reported in 2007-08:
1. Attendance problems (10,766)
2. Enrollment in a Community College (3,684)
3. Academic problems (1,623)
• Other reasons reported in 2007-08:– Failure to return after a long-term suspension (770)– Discipline problems (511)– Incarcerated in an adult facility (288)
(from NC Dropout Report Data)
Significant At-Risk Factors
• Attendance
• Behavior
• Academics – Math and Reading
• School Retention
Significant At-Risk Factors
• Attendance66% accuracy by third grade of potential dropouts (Barrington &
Hendricks, 1989)
6th graders who do not attend school regularly -10% chance of graduating on time; 20% chance of graduating a year late (Balfanz, 2006)
• Behavior and Coping Skills1st graders who were rated highly aggressive (Ensminger &
Slusarcick,1992)
17% on-time graduation rate - middle school students
with poor attendance (Balfanz, 2006)
Significant At-Risk Factors
• Academics – Reading and MathReading: 2-years behind - 8% chance of catching up (Dr. George Batshe, 2010)
Middle school -16% on-time graduation rate (Balfanz, 2006)
Math:Middle school – 21% on-time graduation rate ((Balfanz, 2006)
• RetentionK-4 grades – 5x more likely to drop out (Kaufman & Bradby, 1992)
Middle School – retained one year – 11x more likely to drop out of high school (Balfanz, 2006)
retained two years – 90% risk of dropping out of high school (Balfanz, 2006)
Implications of Suspension/Dropout Data Trends
• Current resource focus at the high school level
• Connection to elementary and middle schools
Reducing Suspensions and Dropouts
• 9th Grade Academies• Positive Behavioral Support (PBS) Program• School Teams working with most at-risk students • Finding alternatives for at-risk students
- Alternative Schools / Alternative Learning Programs- Credit Recovery Programs with scheduling flexibility- NC Virtual High School- Alternative Diplomas