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Prepa

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gara Region

N

Study Team

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Date

m

SESSMEN

gion: Niag

e: April 30th 2

NT REPOR

gara

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Hydro One N

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ario

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Niagara St

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Niagara Pen

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Report – Niagar

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Niagara Powe

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April 30, 201

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16

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ntities.

April 30, 201

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al needs in the

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16

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n

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Needs

NEED

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Lead

Start Date

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The purpose

determine if

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the Niagara R

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30th 2016

April 30, 201

Page |

30th 2016

Niagara Region

gional coordi

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IRRP) process

th are required

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gional planni

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up 3. The NA

16

4

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seful-life.

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and distribute

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viewed availa

and when requ

April 30, 201

Page |

nning Process

collected up

nning may be

ng approach:

facilities capa

eliability, ope

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nformation inc

ed generation

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system perfor

able informat

uired. See Sec

16

5

s

to the

further

IRRP,

ability,

erational

erator

cluded:

n (DG)

ng end-

rmance

ion,

ction 5

Needs

6. RES

Transmissio

A. TransmThe 230kV

Q4N being

B. 230 kVThe 230kV

System Reli

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Within the r

in the region

DeC

Sir A

115k

Carl

Sir A

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Tho

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SULTS

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mission Line

V and 115kV l

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ability, Opera

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structure / Re

regional plann

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Adam Beck S

kV Q11/Q12

lton TS: Swit

Adam Beck S

ndale TS: Sta

nley TS: Stati

orold TS: Tran

wland TS: Tr

the findings

ng of 115kV

oordination

Report – Niagar

es & Ratings

lines are adeq

n.

V Connection

connection fa

ation and Res

es with system

eplacement Pl

ning time hori

Circuit Brea

SS #1: 115kV

S Line Refurb

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SS #2: 230kV

ation Refurbis

on Refurbish

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of the Need

circuit Q4N

or planning

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storation Revi

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acement (2020

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ment (2021)

placement (20

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iew

operation and

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2021)

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further asse

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018)

TS to Beck SS

ment (2020)

on (2021)

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on of 115kV c

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in the Niagara

s currently pla

S #1 (2019)

ommends th

rt of a Loca

April 30, 201

Page |

circuit

riod.

a region.

anned by Hy

hat thetherm

al Plan. No f

16

6

ydro One

mal

further

Needs

TABL

Discla

Needs

Table

List o

List o

1

2 R

3

3.1

4

4.1

5 N

6 R

6.1

6.2

6.2

6.2

6.2

7 A

8 R

9 N

10 R

Appen

Appen

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LE OF CONTE

aimer ...........

s Assessment

e of Contents

of Figures .....

of Tables ......

Introduction.

Regional Issu

Scope of Nee

1 Niagara Re

Inputs and Da

1 Load Fore

Needs Assess

Results ........

1 Transmissi

2 System Re

2.1 Load Resto

2.2 Thermal O

2.3 Power Fac

Aging Infrast

Recommenda

Next Steps ...

References...

ndix A: L

ndix B: A

Report – Niagar

ENTS

.....................

t Executive Su

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ue / Trigger ...

eds Assessme

egion Descrip

ata ................

cast ..............

sment Method

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ion Capacity

eliability, Ope

oration .........

Overloading o

ctor at Thorold

tructure and R

ations ............

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Load Forecast

Acronyms .....

ra Region

.....................

ummary ........

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ent ................

ption and Con

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dology ..........

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Needs ..........

eration and R

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n Q4N Sectio

d TS .............

Replacement P

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16

7

3

4

7

8

8

9

10

10

10

14

14

14

16

16

16

16

16

17

17

17

17

18

19

23

Needs

LIST

Figur

Figur

LIST

Table

Table

s Assessment R

OF FIGURES

e 1: Niagara R

e 2: Simplifie

OF TABLES

e 1: Study Tea

e 2: Transmiss

Report – Niagar

S

Region Map .

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S

am Participan

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egional Plann

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April 30, 201

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16

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tion

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April 30, 201

Page |

g in the

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9

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Table

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April 30, 201

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April 30, 201

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the regional

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April 30, 201

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April 30, 201

Page | 1

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Page | 1

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April 30, 201

Page | 1

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Report – Niagar

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May 17, 2013

14 – August 2

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2015

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d: The Proces

a (ORTAC) –

April 30, 201

Page | 1

ss for Region

– Issue 5.0

16

18

al

Appendix A: Non-Coincident Winter Peak Load Forecast

Transformer Station Name Customer Data (MW)

Historical Data (MW) Near Term Forecast (MW) Medium Term Forecast (MW)

2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Allanburg TS Net Load Forecast 33.4 35.4 29.6 Hydro One Gross Peak Load 31.1 31.3 31.4 31.6 32.0 32.4 32.6 32.7 32.9 33.1 NPEI ‐ Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 30.8 30.7 30.6 30.4 30.4 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5

Beamsville TS Net Load Forecast 53.6 55.9 49.0 Hydro One Gross Peak Load 54.9 55.6 56.8 58.0 59.2 59.4 59.6 59.8 60.0 60.2 Grimsby Power, NPEI ‐ Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 54.1 54.2 55.0 55.5 56.1 55.8 55.6 55.5 55.4 55.3

Bunting TS Net Load Forecast 58.3 55.9 49.6 Horizion Utilities Gross Peak Load 53.1 53.3 53.4 53.5 53.7 53.8 53.9 54.1 54.2 54.3 Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 52.5 52.1 51.8 51.4 51.0 50.7 50.5 50.3 50.2 50.1

Carlton TS Net Load Forecast 100.1 98.3 76.7 Horizion Utilities Gross Peak Load 78.4 79.5 79.7 79.9 80.1 80.3 80.5 80.7 80.9 81.1 Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 77.6 77.8 77.5 76.8 76.1 75.7 75.4 71.6 71.4 71.2

Crowland TS Net Load Forecast 89.1 93.6 74.6 Welland Hydro Gross Peak Load 75.2 77.5 78.5 80.0 81.0 82.0 83.0 84.0 85.0 86.0 Hydro One, CNPI ‐ Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 70.4 71.9 72.3 72.9 73.0 73.3 73.8 74.2 74.8 75.3

Dunnville TS Net Load Forecast 25.3 27.0 24.1 Haldimand County Hydro Gross Peak Load 24.1 24.3 24.4 24.5 24.7 24.9 25.0 25.1 25.2 25.4 Hydro One ‐ Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 19.8 19.7 19.6 19.4 19.4 19.3 19.3 19.3 19.3 19.3

Glendale TS Net Load Forecast 61.5 59.1 60.1 Horizion Utilities Gross Peak Load 66.5 62.5 62.6 62.8 62.9 63.1 63.2 63.4 63.5 63.7 Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 65.7 61.0 60.7 60.2 59.7 59.3 59.1 58.9 58.8 58.6

Kalar MTS Net Load Forecast 39.5 38.6 33.9

NPEI Gross Peak Load 39.8 40.0 40.2 40.4 40.6 40.8 41.0 41.2 41.4 41.6

Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 39.4 39.2 39.1 38.8 38.6 38.5 38.4 38.4 38.4 38.4



2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Niagara Murray TS Net Load Forecast 97.0 101.7 90.2

Hydro One Gross Peak Load 89.7 90.0 90.4 90.7 91.0 91.4 91.7 92.0 92.4 92.7

NPEI ‐ Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 88.9 88.3 88.0 87.4 86.9 86.5 86.3 86.2 86.1 86.0

Niagara On the Lake #1 MTS Net Load Forecast 23.8 22.3 22.3

Niagara On the Lake Gross Peak Load 24.9 25.3 25.7 26.1 26.5 26.9 27.3 27.7 28.1 28.5


Niagara On the Lake #2 MTS Net Load Forecast 20.7 22.6 18.3

Niagara On the Lake Gross Peak Load 18.9 19.2 19.5 19.8 20.1 20.4 20.7 21.0 21.3 21.7


Niagara West MTS Net Load Forecast 47.5 43.5 35.7

Grimsby Power Gross Peak Load 35.8 35.9 36.1 36.5 36.7 37.0 37.2 37.6 37.8 38.1

NPEI Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 34.4 34.2 34.0 34.0 33.8 31.2 31.2 31.4 31.4 31.5

Stanley TS Net Load Forecast 59.8 58.9 52.4

NPEI Gross Peak Load 52.7 52.9 53.1 53.3 53.5 53.7 53.9 54.1 54.3 54.5


Station 17 TS Net Load Forecast 16.1 16.6

CNP Gross Peak Load 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6 16.6


Station 18 TS Net Load Forecast 32.3 35.2



Port Colborne TS Net Load Forecast 40.2 35.7





2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Thorold TS Net Load Forecast 20.1 21.3 18.4



Vansickle TS Net Load Forecast 46.3 53.3 43.7

Horizion Utilities Gross Peak Load 44.1 44.5 44.6 44.8 44.9 45.0 45.1 45.2 45.3 45.4


Vineland TS Net Load Forecast 17.4 17.0 17.0


NPEI ‐ Embedded Gross Peak Load ‐ DG ‐ CDM 21.7 21.8 21.8 21.8 22.0 22.2 22.3 22.4 22.5 22.6

Needs

Appe

BES

BPS

CDM

CIA

CGS

CTS

DESN

DG

DSC

GS

HVDS

IESO

IRRP

kV

LDC

LTE

LTR

LV

MW

MVA

NERC

NGS

NPCC

NA

OEB

ORTA

PF

PPWG

RIP

SIA

SS

TS

TSC

ULTC

s Assessment R

endix B: Ac

Bu

Bu

Co

Cu

Cu

Cu

N Du

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AC Ontario Res

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Report – Niagar

cronyms

ulk Electric Sys

ulk Power Syst

onservation and

ustomer Impact

ustomer Genera

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ual Element Sp

istributed Gene

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source and Tra

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witching Station

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oup

ng

tion

ria

April 30, 201

Page | 2

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