09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 1

Lead thru Nemetics (Modeling)Leveraging ‘Wicked’ Problems to Improve Performance

dibyendu de

@TheDesignKata

An Approach to Modeling in Nemetics

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

Modeling of ‘Wicked’ Problems

Modeling

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 3

Nemetics (Based On Complexity Science)

Why?

Nemetics for Serious Play

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Science

2. Engineering

3. Organization

4. Social Systems

Explain First; Predict Later

09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 4

Nemetics

Leadership Decision Process of Explanation of Emergence Adapt,

Create & Exchange new values to change collective consciousness

Nemetics for Serious Play

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

09/30/08

Neme/Nemetics Simplified

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

Linear Non-Linear

Reductionism Holistic

Abstract Detailed

One, Two Many

Deterministic Random

Homogeneous Composite

Predictive Explanatory

Centralized Decentralized

Analysis Computation

Design Search

Aristotle Godel

Probability Bayesian

09/30/08

Nemetics: What is Complexity Science?

1.Many diverse elements

2. Interactions

3. Interdependence

4. Adaptation

5. Simple Generative Rules create Emergence

Complexity Science – Maths + Science + Model

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

09/30/08

Nemetics: What is Emergence?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

Products & Failures:So many interconnected, interdependent & diverse elements in a production system produce both products and the failures = Emergences.

These are produced by the intricacies of innumerable interactions with underlying rules and the paradoxes against which we are constantly adapting.

Hence from the viewpoint of Emergence there is hardly any difference between Maintenance & Operation or any Other Functions in the Organization. Embracing unpredictability is the only option.

09/30/08

Kick The Ball

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

Thanks to @JenniferSertl

09/30/08

Why Models?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Intelligent Citizen of the World

2. Clear Thinking

3. Understand & Use Data

4. Decide, Strategize & Design

09/30/08

Why Models?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Initial States Does Not Matter

2. History Does Not Matter

3. Intervention to Change States Does not Matter

4. States are in dynamic equilibrium (statistically)

09/30/08

What Models?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Collective Actions

2. Wisdom of the Crowd

3. Tipping Point

4. Markov Processes

5. Bayesian Model

6. Lyapunov Model

7. Graph Theory Model

8. Non-Linear Model

9. Fourier Transforms

10.Learning Model

09/30/08

How Models?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

09/30/08

How Models Are Used?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Understand Class of Outcomes

3. Connections, Relationships & Probability

2. Work Through Logic

09/30/08

Example: Markov Model

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Understand possible States

3. Work out the statistically Equilibrium positions

2. Find Transition Probabilities

09/30/08

Example: Markov Model

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Understand possible States

3. Work out the statistically Equilibrium positions

2. Find Transition Probabilities

09/30/08

Markov Model – What is possible?

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Changing State is a temporary measure

3. Done by Adaptation, Creation, Destruction and Building up

2. Changing Transition Probabilities -> Leads to permanent change

09/30/08

Example: Use of Bayesian Model

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Decision

2. Design

3. Strategy

4. Algorithms

09/30/08

Software Used to model Complexity in Nemetics

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Netlogo

2. Python

3. Octave

4. Matlab

09/30/08

The Approach in Nemetics to address Complexity

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

1. Notice Emergence

2. Engage in Understanding

3. Mull & Explain through Models

4. Exchange value through Design Thinking

5. Initiate Dialogues & Document

6. Create Resonance & Resilience

09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 20

Lead thru NemeticsLeveraging ‘Wicked’ Problems to Improve Performance

By Design

Nemetics for Serious Play

Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

Nemetics

Resonant

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