net power - stanford university€¦ · •net power is economically competitive with ngcc even...
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Truly Clean, Cheaper Energy
Presentation to NGI at Stanford
October 2016
NET Power
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 2
NET Power’s first plant is under construction
50 MWth Plant in LaPorte, TX, on track for commissioning later this year
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Technology at a Glance
October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 3
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 4
The supercritical CO2 Allam Cycle is simple
• Historically, CO₂ capture has been expensive, whether using air to combust or oxy-combustion
▫ Air combustion
8𝑵𝟐 + 𝟐𝑶𝟐𝒂𝒊𝒓
+ 𝑪𝑯𝟒 → 8𝑵𝟐 + 𝑪𝑶𝟐𝒆𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒏𝒔𝒊𝒗𝒆 𝒕𝒐𝒔𝒆𝒑𝒂𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆
+
𝟐𝑯𝟐𝑶
▫ Oxy-combustion
ถ𝟐𝑶𝟐𝒆𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒏𝒔𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒕𝒐 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒅𝒖𝒄𝒆
+ 𝑪𝑯𝟒 → 𝑪𝑶𝟐 + 𝟐𝑯𝟐𝑶
• The Allam Cycle makes oxy-combustion economic by:
▫ Relying on a more efficient core power cycle
▫ Recycling heat within the system to reduce O2 and CH4consumption, and associated costs of the ASU
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 5
The NET Power Advantage - The Allam Cycle
Pre
ssu
re (
bar
)
Additional Heat
Specific Enthalpy (kJ/kg)
Turbine
Fuel Input
Compressor
Pump
Heat Exchanger
Heat Exchanger 1
2
3
4
5
6 7
Water Separator
5
Combustor
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 6
NET Power is Based on the Allam Cycle Platform
1 Fuel Combustion
2 CO2 Turbine
3 Heat Rejection
4 Water Separation
5 Compression and Pumping
7 Heat Recuperation
6 Additional Heat Input
Turbine and combustor designed, engineered andmanufactured by Toshiba.
All other componentsreadily available
5
1
2
3
4
7
6
5
58.9% (LHV) net efficiency, with capture of
>97% of carbon
Oxy-fuel, closed-loop, CO2 working fluid
200-400 bar; 6-12 pressure ratio
CO2 and water are the only byproducts
740H now in commercial use at two facilities
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Drive for NET Power
October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 7
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 8
NET Power eliminates atmospheric CO₂ at no extra cost
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350
% C
O₂
red
uct
ion
Cost of electricity ($/MWh)
Cost of Electricity For Different Reduction Scenarios
100% NET Power
50% NET Power50% Renewables
• System level studies consistentlyshow that high levels of renewablepenetration (50-80%) result ingreater system costs than balancedand “high CCS” scenarios evenassuming today’s high CCS costs.
• Fossil deployment remains roughlyequal compared to reference orbalanced scenarios; higher levels ofrenewable penetration do little tooffset need for baseloadgeneration.
100% NGCC
50% NGCC / 50% Renewables
173% Renewables / 15 % NGCC*
World without NET Power(portfolio average for CA, WI, &
Germany)
World with NET Power
Data obtained from: Brick, S., and Thernstrom, S., Renewables and decarbonization: Studies of California, Wisconsin, and Germany, The Electricity Journal, 2016, 29, 6-12.
*Renewables and storage capacity build-out 173% above total capacity demand, with NGCC still providing consistent baseload support.
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 9
NET Power will
• Allow the world to meet its climate targets
• Without having to pay more for electricity
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October 2016 10
• Shutdown of tight oil/high cost plays highlights EOR as a low-cost opportunity for growth from existing fields
• NET Power further improves the economics of EOR and will significantly expand CO2 supplies for producers
• NET Power solves the challenge of carbon capture adoption by achieving lower cost and higher efficiency than current non-carbon capture power generation options
Global CO₂ EOR – Economics
Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent
Onshore, Middle
East
Global CO2-EOR
w/ NP
CO2-EOR (current
geologic US)
CO2-EOR (post-NP
geologic US)
Global CO2-EOR w/ traditional "CCS"
Offshore, Shelf
Extra Heavy Oil
Deepwater
Onshore, Russia
Onshore, Rest of World
Ultra DeepwaterNA Shale
Oil Sands
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Bre
akev
en P
rice
(U
SD/b
bl)
Total 2020 Production (million boe/d)
Sources and Estimated Breakeven of Oil Needed to Meet 2020 Demand
Source: Rystad Energy (2014); 8 RIvers Capital (2015)
Oil Supply Curve AfterGlobal Use of NET
Power CO2 for EOR
Existing Oil Supply Curve
Current View of CCS Based
on This Expensive Price Point
For oil producers owning a NET Power plant, access to pipeline pressure and quality CO₂ lowers the breakeven cost of producing oil.
This unlocks oil in the US and around the globe.
+75% Confidence Interval
Mean Breakeven
-75% Confidence Interval
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 11
NET Power Economics
$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160
Allam Cycle Coal
IGCC w/CCS
IGCC
SCPC w/CCS
SCPC
Allam Cycle NG(NET Power)
First-of-a-kind AllamCycle NG (NET Power)
NGCC w/CCS
NGCC
LCOE ($/MWh)
Tech
no
logy
Typ
e
Additional cost increase for CO₂ emissions tax @ $15/ton
Additional cost reduction for CO₂ sales @ $20/ton
In climates with less O₂ per volume of air (higher altitudes and/or higher temperatures), Allam Cycle power output stays relatively stable, while output of traditional cycles falls sharply
• LCOE calculated using EPRI methodology• Assumes natural gas at $2.85/MMBTU and coal at $1.73/MMBTU • Every move of $1 in natural gas moves LCOE $6• Cost ranges represent range of data combined from: EIA (2013), Parsons Brinkerhoff (2013); Black & Veatch (2012); DOE NETL (2012)
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 12
1
10
100
1000
10000
Canada US Europe Asia Russia Middle east Africa South Am.
66
222 238
1252
244168
10476
158
450 394
1856
452302 314
182261
761
208 221
957
3105
58
447
1289
3816
585
11292
2908
1294
417
NUMBER OF NET POWER TURBINES NEEDED TO SATISFY DIFFERENT MARKETS
Power Demand to 2025 (IEA) Power Demand to 2040 (IEA)
EOR Demand (Kuuskraa) ECBMR Demand (Godec, Dipietro)
Note: In general, ECBMR demand is only economic where methane is valuable or where sequestration desirable, but EOR not viable alternative.
Global turbine sales will be driven by power demand and CO₂ demand
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 13
NET Power is much simpler (and less expensive) than recent IGCC attempts at CCS
• Bulks were a significant driver of cost increases at major IGCC projects:
▫ Huge quantities required.
▫ On-going design changes required further ordering.
▫ Ordered during a period of rapid price escalation (2005-2008).
▫ Premium craft rates and on-site training required; scale of plants meant massive number of workers on site, exacerbating cost-impact of project delays.
• NET Power’s footprint per MW is ¼ of that needed for IGCC
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Cu
bic
Yar
ds
per
MW
Concrete
0
500
1,000
1,500
Feet
per
MW
Piping
0
20
40
60
80
Ton
s p
er M
W
Steel
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
Feet
per
MW
Wire and Control Cable
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Per
son
nel
per
MW
Craft Labor Peak
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The Chemicals Industry and NET Power Integration
October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 14
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 15
• NET Power offers CO₂ capture at:
1. no extra cost
2. high pressure (available from 30 bar/450 psi to 300 bar/4500 psi)
3. high purity
Providing a usable, affordable by-product to the chemicals industry.
CO₂ conversion to value added chemicals
Availability of CO2 utilization opportunities not driven by potential uses, but by cost of anthropogenic CO2.
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October 2016 The information contained in this material is confidential and contains intellectual property of 8 Rivers Capital, LLC and its affiliates. 16
• NET Power co-produces gases that are synergistic with chemicals and oil & gas and chemical industries
▫ For each turbine train (operating at an estimated 85% capacity factor for power, 98% for ASU)
13.9 million MMBTU per year NG use
800,000 tons per year CO2 production (at pressure and purity)
4.8 MM tons per year N2 production
56,965 tons per year Ar production
166,000 tons per year O₂ production (during planned outages for electricity part of plant)
▫ Capability of delivering syngas (H₂ and CO)
• Scalable CO₂ uses
▫ Additional CO₂ utilization opportunities
Building materials
Chemical processes
Artificial photosynthesis
NP is more than just power production
Enhanced Fuel ExtractionIndustrial
Chemical Production
Photosynthesis
CO₂ from
Allam Cycle
· Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR)
· Enhanced Gas Recovery (EGR)
· Enhanced Coal Bed Methane
Recovery (ECMBR)
· Building Materials
· Fire Extinguishers
· Dry Ice
· Refrigeration
· Beverages
· Carbonates
· Plastics
· Methanol
· Urea
· CO
· CH₄
· Natural photosynthesis
· Solar fuels (e.g., using PV)
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October 2016
Integration increases energy efficiency when integrated with LNG Regas
Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 17
LNG Regas(67% Efficient)
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Governmental and Environmental Support
Exceeds regulations of tomorrow, reduces risk today
October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 18
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 19
"NET Power does not make natural gas a bridge—or a pier.
It makes it a destination.“
-Senior government official
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 20
• NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO2
▫ If CO2 transportation infrastructure is not available when plant operation commences, CO2 capture can be enabled later in the plant’s life
• While awaiting transportation and storage to be developed:
▫ NET Power plants would vent CO2, increasing plant efficiency by 1-2% while remaining competitive with conventional power plants
▫ The plant would still be cleaner than NGCC: plant emissions would be almost entirely pure CO₂, with virtually no NOX emissions
▫ No further investment is required to begin commence CO2 capture
• This allows deployment of CCS to be implemented in stages
▫ Power infrastructure developed today is fully CO2 capture ready
▫ CO2 transportation, utilization and storage infrastructure can be developed on its heels
NET Power’s economics enable CCS to be implemented in stages
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 21
IPCC Fifth Assessment: CCS is most critical component to models meeting 450 ppm CO2 limit; “no CCS” scenario results in least number of successful models (4) and mitigation costs that were 138% higher than baseline scenarios.*
NET Power is necessary, not just helpful, to meeting global climate goals
*(IPCC 5th Assessment, Synthesis Report)
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October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 22
• The IEA views CCS as the only viable solution in the industrial sector
▫ In order to meet the 2DS target, 2050 CO2 emissions from the industrial sector must be reduced to 66% of current levels, while energy use will increase 44% over current levels
▫ “Reaching these targets will require…rapid increases in CCS capacity.”
• The Allam Cycle addresses these industries.
Even in the most promising renewable scenarios, the industrial sector must be primarily addressed by CCS
Images obtained from: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives 2014
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October 2016 23
• Regulatory opportunities and incentives exist that enhance NET Power’s economics
▫ The federal 45Q Tax Credit is applicable to NET Power anywhere it sequesters CO₂ or utilizes it for EOR
▫ 21 states have incentives and policies in place the provide value or preferential treatment to NET Power for capturing CO2
NET Power and CO₂ Sequestration
Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent
U.S. locations with acceptable geology for CO₂ sequestration (yellow, orange, red, and blue).
Image obtained from: http://www.natcarbviewer.com/
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EPA Regulations Increase NET Power’s Competitive Advantage
• NET Power can help customers comply with the EPA’s new Clean Power Plan
• Under mass-based + new source compliment standard, NET Power enables existing assets to be run longer while meeting CPP targets
• The plan will likely result in the creation of carbon markets in most (if not all) of the US
• Potential to be included in Clean Energy Incentive Program (final rule under development)
• New source standards likely to eventually move towards NET Power
• New EPA standards for new power plants regulate carbon emissions to the lowest limit that can be achieved while remaining economically competitive
• As efficiencies increase and costs come down, standard likely to be tightened
• NET Power ensures customers are able to meet any future CO2 standard
• Elimination of NOx emissions enables siting in Ozone Non-attainment Zones without requiring offsets
Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 24October 2016
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+1 (919) 667-1800
www.NETPower.com / www.8Rivers.com
NET Power