net power - stanford university€¦ · •net power is economically competitive with ngcc even...

25
Truly Clean, Cheaper Energy Presentation to NGI at Stanford October 2016 NET Power

Upload: others

Post on 14-Apr-2020

1 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

Truly Clean, Cheaper Energy

Presentation to NGI at Stanford

October 2016

NET Power

Page 2: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 2

NET Power’s first plant is under construction

50 MWth Plant in LaPorte, TX, on track for commissioning later this year

Page 3: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

Technology at a Glance

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 3

Page 4: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 4

The supercritical CO2 Allam Cycle is simple

• Historically, CO₂ capture has been expensive, whether using air to combust or oxy-combustion

▫ Air combustion

8𝑵𝟐 + 𝟐𝑶𝟐𝒂𝒊𝒓

+ 𝑪𝑯𝟒 → 8𝑵𝟐 + 𝑪𝑶𝟐𝒆𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒏𝒔𝒊𝒗𝒆 𝒕𝒐𝒔𝒆𝒑𝒂𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆

+

𝟐𝑯𝟐𝑶

▫ Oxy-combustion

ถ𝟐𝑶𝟐𝒆𝒙𝒑𝒆𝒏𝒔𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒕𝒐 𝒑𝒓𝒐𝒅𝒖𝒄𝒆

+ 𝑪𝑯𝟒 → 𝑪𝑶𝟐 + 𝟐𝑯𝟐𝑶

• The Allam Cycle makes oxy-combustion economic by:

▫ Relying on a more efficient core power cycle

▫ Recycling heat within the system to reduce O2 and CH4consumption, and associated costs of the ASU

Page 5: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 5

The NET Power Advantage - The Allam Cycle

Pre

ssu

re (

bar

)

Additional Heat

Specific Enthalpy (kJ/kg)

Turbine

Fuel Input

Compressor

Pump

Heat Exchanger

Heat Exchanger 1

2

3

4

5

6 7

Water Separator

5

Combustor

Page 6: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 6

NET Power is Based on the Allam Cycle Platform

1 Fuel Combustion

2 CO2 Turbine

3 Heat Rejection

4 Water Separation

5 Compression and Pumping

7 Heat Recuperation

6 Additional Heat Input

Turbine and combustor designed, engineered andmanufactured by Toshiba.

All other componentsreadily available

5

1

2

3

4

7

6

5

58.9% (LHV) net efficiency, with capture of

>97% of carbon

Oxy-fuel, closed-loop, CO2 working fluid

200-400 bar; 6-12 pressure ratio

CO2 and water are the only byproducts

740H now in commercial use at two facilities

Page 7: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

Drive for NET Power

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 7

Page 8: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 8

NET Power eliminates atmospheric CO₂ at no extra cost

-10

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

% C

O₂

red

uct

ion

Cost of electricity ($/MWh)

Cost of Electricity For Different Reduction Scenarios

100% NET Power

50% NET Power50% Renewables

• System level studies consistentlyshow that high levels of renewablepenetration (50-80%) result ingreater system costs than balancedand “high CCS” scenarios evenassuming today’s high CCS costs.

• Fossil deployment remains roughlyequal compared to reference orbalanced scenarios; higher levels ofrenewable penetration do little tooffset need for baseloadgeneration.

100% NGCC

50% NGCC / 50% Renewables

173% Renewables / 15 % NGCC*

World without NET Power(portfolio average for CA, WI, &

Germany)

World with NET Power

Data obtained from: Brick, S., and Thernstrom, S., Renewables and decarbonization: Studies of California, Wisconsin, and Germany, The Electricity Journal, 2016, 29, 6-12.

*Renewables and storage capacity build-out 173% above total capacity demand, with NGCC still providing consistent baseload support.

Page 9: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 9

NET Power will

• Allow the world to meet its climate targets

• Without having to pay more for electricity

Page 10: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 10

• Shutdown of tight oil/high cost plays highlights EOR as a low-cost opportunity for growth from existing fields

• NET Power further improves the economics of EOR and will significantly expand CO2 supplies for producers

• NET Power solves the challenge of carbon capture adoption by achieving lower cost and higher efficiency than current non-carbon capture power generation options

Global CO₂ EOR – Economics

Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent

Onshore, Middle

East

Global CO2-EOR

w/ NP

CO2-EOR (current

geologic US)

CO2-EOR (post-NP

geologic US)

Global CO2-EOR w/ traditional "CCS"

Offshore, Shelf

Extra Heavy Oil

Deepwater

Onshore, Russia

Onshore, Rest of World

Ultra DeepwaterNA Shale

Oil Sands

$0

$10

$20

$30

$40

$50

$60

$70

$80

$90

$100

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Bre

akev

en P

rice

(U

SD/b

bl)

Total 2020 Production (million boe/d)

Sources and Estimated Breakeven of Oil Needed to Meet 2020 Demand

Source: Rystad Energy (2014); 8 RIvers Capital (2015)

Oil Supply Curve AfterGlobal Use of NET

Power CO2 for EOR

Existing Oil Supply Curve

Current View of CCS Based

on This Expensive Price Point

For oil producers owning a NET Power plant, access to pipeline pressure and quality CO₂ lowers the breakeven cost of producing oil.

This unlocks oil in the US and around the globe.

+75% Confidence Interval

Mean Breakeven

-75% Confidence Interval

Page 11: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 11

NET Power Economics

$0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140 $160

Allam Cycle Coal

IGCC w/CCS

IGCC

SCPC w/CCS

SCPC

Allam Cycle NG(NET Power)

First-of-a-kind AllamCycle NG (NET Power)

NGCC w/CCS

NGCC

LCOE ($/MWh)

Tech

no

logy

Typ

e

Additional cost increase for CO₂ emissions tax @ $15/ton

Additional cost reduction for CO₂ sales @ $20/ton

In climates with less O₂ per volume of air (higher altitudes and/or higher temperatures), Allam Cycle power output stays relatively stable, while output of traditional cycles falls sharply

• LCOE calculated using EPRI methodology• Assumes natural gas at $2.85/MMBTU and coal at $1.73/MMBTU • Every move of $1 in natural gas moves LCOE $6• Cost ranges represent range of data combined from: EIA (2013), Parsons Brinkerhoff (2013); Black & Veatch (2012); DOE NETL (2012)

Page 12: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 12

1

10

100

1000

10000

Canada US Europe Asia Russia Middle east Africa South Am.

66

222 238

1252

244168

10476

158

450 394

1856

452302 314

182261

761

208 221

957

3105

58

447

1289

3816

585

11292

2908

1294

417

NUMBER OF NET POWER TURBINES NEEDED TO SATISFY DIFFERENT MARKETS

Power Demand to 2025 (IEA) Power Demand to 2040 (IEA)

EOR Demand (Kuuskraa) ECBMR Demand (Godec, Dipietro)

Note: In general, ECBMR demand is only economic where methane is valuable or where sequestration desirable, but EOR not viable alternative.

Global turbine sales will be driven by power demand and CO₂ demand

Page 13: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 13

NET Power is much simpler (and less expensive) than recent IGCC attempts at CCS

• Bulks were a significant driver of cost increases at major IGCC projects:

▫ Huge quantities required.

▫ On-going design changes required further ordering.

▫ Ordered during a period of rapid price escalation (2005-2008).

▫ Premium craft rates and on-site training required; scale of plants meant massive number of workers on site, exacerbating cost-impact of project delays.

• NET Power’s footprint per MW is ¼ of that needed for IGCC

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Cu

bic

Yar

ds

per

MW

Concrete

0

500

1,000

1,500

Feet

per

MW

Piping

0

20

40

60

80

Ton

s p

er M

W

Steel

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

Feet

per

MW

Wire and Control Cable

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

Per

son

nel

per

MW

Craft Labor Peak

Page 14: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

The Chemicals Industry and NET Power Integration

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 14

Page 15: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 15

• NET Power offers CO₂ capture at:

1. no extra cost

2. high pressure (available from 30 bar/450 psi to 300 bar/4500 psi)

3. high purity

Providing a usable, affordable by-product to the chemicals industry.

CO₂ conversion to value added chemicals

Availability of CO2 utilization opportunities not driven by potential uses, but by cost of anthropogenic CO2.

Page 16: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 The information contained in this material is confidential and contains intellectual property of 8 Rivers Capital, LLC and its affiliates. 16

• NET Power co-produces gases that are synergistic with chemicals and oil & gas and chemical industries

▫ For each turbine train (operating at an estimated 85% capacity factor for power, 98% for ASU)

13.9 million MMBTU per year NG use

800,000 tons per year CO2 production (at pressure and purity)

4.8 MM tons per year N2 production

56,965 tons per year Ar production

166,000 tons per year O₂ production (during planned outages for electricity part of plant)

▫ Capability of delivering syngas (H₂ and CO)

• Scalable CO₂ uses

▫ Additional CO₂ utilization opportunities

Building materials

Chemical processes

Artificial photosynthesis

NP is more than just power production

Enhanced Fuel ExtractionIndustrial

Chemical Production

Photosynthesis

CO₂ from

Allam Cycle

· Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR)

· Enhanced Gas Recovery (EGR)

· Enhanced Coal Bed Methane

Recovery (ECMBR)

· Building Materials

· Fire Extinguishers

· Dry Ice

· Refrigeration

· Beverages

· Carbonates

· Plastics

· Methanol

· Urea

· CO

· CH₄

· Natural photosynthesis

· Solar fuels (e.g., using PV)

Page 17: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016

Integration increases energy efficiency when integrated with LNG Regas

Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 17

LNG Regas(67% Efficient)

Page 18: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

Governmental and Environmental Support

Exceeds regulations of tomorrow, reduces risk today

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 18

Page 19: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 19

"NET Power does not make natural gas a bridge—or a pier.

It makes it a destination.“

-Senior government official

Page 20: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 20

• NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO2

▫ If CO2 transportation infrastructure is not available when plant operation commences, CO2 capture can be enabled later in the plant’s life

• While awaiting transportation and storage to be developed:

▫ NET Power plants would vent CO2, increasing plant efficiency by 1-2% while remaining competitive with conventional power plants

▫ The plant would still be cleaner than NGCC: plant emissions would be almost entirely pure CO₂, with virtually no NOX emissions

▫ No further investment is required to begin commence CO2 capture

• This allows deployment of CCS to be implemented in stages

▫ Power infrastructure developed today is fully CO2 capture ready

▫ CO2 transportation, utilization and storage infrastructure can be developed on its heels

NET Power’s economics enable CCS to be implemented in stages

Page 21: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 21

IPCC Fifth Assessment: CCS is most critical component to models meeting 450 ppm CO2 limit; “no CCS” scenario results in least number of successful models (4) and mitigation costs that were 138% higher than baseline scenarios.*

NET Power is necessary, not just helpful, to meeting global climate goals

*(IPCC 5th Assessment, Synthesis Report)

Page 22: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 22

• The IEA views CCS as the only viable solution in the industrial sector

▫ In order to meet the 2DS target, 2050 CO2 emissions from the industrial sector must be reduced to 66% of current levels, while energy use will increase 44% over current levels

▫ “Reaching these targets will require…rapid increases in CCS capacity.”

• The Allam Cycle addresses these industries.

Even in the most promising renewable scenarios, the industrial sector must be primarily addressed by CCS

Images obtained from: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives 2014

Page 23: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

October 2016 23

• Regulatory opportunities and incentives exist that enhance NET Power’s economics

▫ The federal 45Q Tax Credit is applicable to NET Power anywhere it sequesters CO₂ or utilizes it for EOR

▫ 21 states have incentives and policies in place the provide value or preferential treatment to NET Power for capturing CO2

NET Power and CO₂ Sequestration

Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent

U.S. locations with acceptable geology for CO₂ sequestration (yellow, orange, red, and blue).

Image obtained from: http://www.natcarbviewer.com/

Page 24: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

EPA Regulations Increase NET Power’s Competitive Advantage

• NET Power can help customers comply with the EPA’s new Clean Power Plan

• Under mass-based + new source compliment standard, NET Power enables existing assets to be run longer while meeting CPP targets

• The plan will likely result in the creation of carbon markets in most (if not all) of the US

• Potential to be included in Clean Energy Incentive Program (final rule under development)

• New source standards likely to eventually move towards NET Power

• New EPA standards for new power plants regulate carbon emissions to the lowest limit that can be achieved while remaining economically competitive

• As efficiencies increase and costs come down, standard likely to be tightened

• NET Power ensures customers are able to meet any future CO2 standard

• Elimination of NOx emissions enables siting in Ozone Non-attainment Zones without requiring offsets

Material Confidential and/or Proprietary to 8 Rivers Capital and/or NET Power ─ Not To Be Disclosed or Republished Without Written Consent 24October 2016

Page 25: NET Power - Stanford University€¦ · •NET Power is economically competitive with NGCC even when not capturing CO 2 If CO 2 transportation infrastructure is not available when

+1 (919) 667-1800

www.NETPower.com / www.8Rivers.com

NET Power