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Page 1: New Bedford Project

PAGE 0

Bushwack, Zach | 528.81 | May 7, 2015

New Bedford, MA Crime Analysis Report

BASED UPON 6 MONTH’S OF NEW BEDFORD 2012 DATA

Page 2: New Bedford Project

Table of Contents

2. New Bedford Map3. Census Quick Facts4. New Bedford Crime Level Rating5. New Bedford Crime Level Index6. All Crime in New Bedford from New Bedford Police Data7-9. New Bedford Aggravated Assault Maps10-13. New Bedford Burglary Maps14-15. New Bedford Drug Maps16-18. New Bedford Motor Vehicle Theft Maps19-21. New Bedford Rape Maps22-24. New Bedford Robbery Maps25-26. New Bedford Monday Maps27-28. New Bedford Tuesday Maps29-30. New Bedford Wednesday Maps31-32. New Bedford Thursday Maps33-34. New Bedford Friday Maps35-36. New Bedford Saturday Maps37-38. New Bedford Sunday Maps39-42. New Bedford/US/ MA Excel Charts43-49. New Bedford Analyses50-51. Theories52-53. Closing Remarks54. Work Cited

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Image 1.1

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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New Bedford Census Quick Facts(According to the U.S. Census data and City Data)

24.13 Square Miles 47.1% Male: 52.9% Female Median Age 37.1 Population: 95078 (est. 2013) Race Break Down (2010)

- White 74.5%- Black or African American 6.4%- American Indian 1.3%- Asian Alone 0.9%- Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander .01%- Two or More Races 5.7%- Hispanic or Latino 16.7%

The Median Income is 35,555 (2012) Education Completion Breakdown:

- High School or higher 70.5%- Bachelor’s Degree or higher 13.4%- Graduate Degree or higher 5.2%

Unemployment Rate 11.5%

Massachusetts Census Quick Facts (For Comparison)(According to the U.S. Census data and City Data)

10,555 Square Miles 48.4% Male: 51.6% Female Median Age 39.1 Population: 6,745,408 (est. 2014) Race Break Down (2013)

- White 83.2%- Black or African American 8.1%- American Indian 0.5%- Asian Alone 6.0%- Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander .01%- Two or More Races 2.1%- Hispanic or Latino 10.5%

The Median Income is 66,866 (2012) Education Completion Breakdown:

- High School or higher N/A- Bachelor’s Degree or higher N/A- Graduate Degree or higher N/A

Unemployment Rate 4.9%

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New Bedford Crime Level Rating (Color Coded)

Image 1.2

Image 1.2The image on the previous page depicts New Bedford crime by the crime index rating provided by, Neighborhoodscout.com. As it can be seen from the image that the lighter colors are the areas of New Bedford that are the most unsafe and the areas that are darker (blue) are the safest sections of New Bedford.

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This will be crucial to understand as progressing through the rest of the Crime Report. It will become evident that the areas on this map are problem areas for the greater city of New Bedford.

(Obtained From http://www.neighborhoodscout.com/ma/new-bedford/crime/)

New Bedford Crime Index Image (Color Coded)

Image 1.2a

Image 1.2a was obtained from City-Data.com. The image shows the crime index of New Bedford and surrounding towns. As it can be seen New Bedford is ranked high on the Crime Index and majority of the towns are much lower on the Crime Index, with the exception of town of Fall River.

(Obtained from http://www.city-data.com/crime/crime-New-Bedford-Massachusetts.html)

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All Crime in New Bedford from New Bedford Police Data

Image 1.3Image 1.3 is a representation of all crimes that were committed in New Bedford, MA during the 6 months provided by New Bedford Police Department.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 1.4New Bedford Aggravated Assaults.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 1.5New Bedford Aggravated Assaults Hot Spots.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 1.6Zoom of New Bedford Aggravated Assaults.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 1.7

New Bedford Burglary Offenses.(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 1.8New Bedford Burglary Hot Spots.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 1.9Zoom of New Bedford Burglary Hot Spots.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 2.0

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New Bedford Drug Offenses.(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.1New Bedford Drug Offenses Hot Spots

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(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.3Zoom of New Bedford Drug Offenses.

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(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.4

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New Bedford Motor Vehicle Theft Offenses.(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.5

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New Bedford Motor Vehicle Theft Offenses Hot Spots.(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.6Zoom New Bedford Motor Vehicle Theft Offenses.

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(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 2.7New Bedford Rape Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.8New Bedford Rape Offenses Hot Spots.

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(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

Image 2.9Zoom of New Bedford Rape Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.0New Bedford Robbery Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.1New Bedford Robbery Offenses Hot Spots.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.2Zoom of New Bedford Robbery Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.3New Bedford Monday Crime Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.4Zoom of New Bedford Monday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.5New Bedford Crime Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.6Zoom of New Bedford Tuesday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.7New Bedford Wednesday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.8Zoom of New Bedford Wednesday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 3.9New Bedford Thursday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.0Zoom of New Bedford Thursday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.1New Bedford Friday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.2Zoom of New Bedford Friday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.3New Bedford Saturday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.4Zoom of New Bedford Saturday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.5New Bedford Sunday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Image 4.6Zoom of New Bedford Sunday Offenses.

(Created by Zach Bushwack via ArcGIS)

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Classification of Offense Violent CrimeMurder and Nonnegligent Manslaughter Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravate Assault Property Crime Burglary Larceny Motor Vehicle Theft Arson Total's

Total 1030 2 54 272 702 3180 929 1950 301 29 8449Crime Percentage Against Total Offenses 12.19% 0.02% 0.64% 3.22% 8.31% 37.64% 11.00% 23.08% 3.56% 0.34% 100.00%

Total New Bedford (UCR, 2012) Against Total MA (UCR, 2012) 0.30% 0.00% 0.02% 0.08% 0.21% 0.94% 0.27% 0.57% 0.09% 0.01% 2.48%

Classification of Offense Violent CrimeMurder and nonneglient Manslaughter Forcible Rape Robbery Aggravated Assault Property Crime Burglary Larceny Motor Vehicle Theft Arson Total

Total 26953 121 1642 6552 18638 143089 34540 99317 9232 N/A 340084

Crime Type Sum of MUR_COMP Sum of DISOR_COMP Sum of RAPE11A_CO Sum of ROBB_COMP Sum of RAPE_COMP Sum of ASLTAGG_COTotal of Offenses 1 244 31 130 67 389Percent of Total Offenses (Mapped) 0.04% 10.05% 1.28% 5.35% 2.76% 16.01%

Crime Type Sum of BURG_COMP Sum of MVTHFT_COM Sum of THFT_MV_CO Sum of PROST_COMP Sum of WEAP_COMP Sum of DRUG_COMPTotal of Offenses 509 178 193 9 72 303Percent of Total Offenses (Mapped) 20.96% 7.33% 7.95% 0.37% 2.96% 12.47%

Crime Type Sum of DRUG2_COMPTotal of Offenses 303Percent From Total Offenses (Mapped) 0.124742692Grand Total of Offenses 2429Grand Total of Percentage 100.00%

Classification Total Number of OffenseViolent Crime 1214464Murder and nonneglient Manslaughter 14827Forcible Rape 84376Robbery 354522Aggravated Assault 760739Property Crime 8975438Burglary 2103787Larceny-Theft (w/o Motor Vehicle Theft) 6150598Motor Vehicle Theft 721053Total 20379804

UCR STATS NEW BEDFORD MA 2012 (aprox full year)

MASS Offense Total's 2012 (UCR)

NEW BEDFORD CRIME OFFENSES (aprox 6 months)

United States Offense Analysis 2012 (UCR)

Image 4.7Excel Sheet of Calculations for New Bedford Data, U.S Data (UCR), MA Total (UCR) Data. (Created by Zach Bushwack via Microsoft Excel)

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Count of NibrsDesc_Row Labels Total Percent From Total (All Offenses From NB)AGGRAVATED ASSAULT 243 3.97%ALL OTHER LARCENY 441 7.21%ALL OTHER OFFENSES 959 15.69%ARSON 16 0.26%BAD CHECKS 8 0.13%BURGLARY/BREAKING & ENTERING 495 8.10%COUNTERFEITING/FORGERY 23 0.38%CREDIT CARD/AUTOMATIC TELLER MACHINE FRAUD 13 0.21%DESTRUCTION/DAMAGE/VANDALISM OF PROPERTY 662 10.83%DISORDERLY CONDUCT 175 2.86%DRIVING UNDER THE INFLUENCE 36 0.59%DRUG/NARCOTIC VIOLATIONS 241 3.94%DRUNKENNESS 353 5.77%EMBEZZLEMENT 16 0.26%EXTORTION/BLACKMAIL 1 0.02%FALSE PRETENSES/SWINDLE/CONFIDENCE GAME 88 1.44%FAMILY OFFENSES, NONVIOLENT 18 0.29%FORCIBLE FONDLING 25 0.41%FORCIBLE RAPE 27 0.44%FORCIBLE SODOMY 6 0.10%IMPERSONATION 52 0.85%INTIMIDATION 405 6.62%KIDNAPING/ABDUCTION 1 0.02%LIQUOR LAW VIOLATIONS 49 0.80%MOTOR VEHICLE THEFT 160 2.62%MURDER AND NONNEGLIGENT MANSLAUGHTER 1 0.02%POCKET-PICKING 4 0.07%PORNOGRAPHY/OBSCENE MATERIAL 3 0.05%PROSTITUTION 9 0.15%PURSE-SNATCHING 13 0.21%ROBBERY 127 2.08%RUNAWAY 6 0.10%SEXUAL ASSAULT WITH AN OBJECT 1 0.02%SHOPLIFTING 93 1.52%SIMPLE ASSAULT 855 13.98%STATUTORY RAPE 4 0.07%STOLEN PROPERTY OFFENSES 26 0.43%THEFT FROM BUILDING 103 1.68%THEFT FROM COIN-OPERATED MACHINE OF DEVICE 2 0.03%THEFT FROM MOTOR VEHICLE 185 3.03%THEFT OF MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS OR ACCESSORIES 74 1.21%TRESPASS OF REAL PROPERTY 61 1.00%WEAPON LAW VIOLATIONS 34 0.56%(blank)Grand Total 6114 100.00%

Break Down of All Offenses by All Categories From New Bedford Data (Not Mapped)

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Image 4.8Excel Chart of Offenses that were not all mapped with Total and Percent from total Offenses.(Created by Zach Bushwack via Microsoft Excel)

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Crime Break Down by MonthCrime Broken Down by Month

Row LabelsTotal Percent From Total Crime (Month)

1-JAN 6 0.09%7-July 1246 18.46%8-Aug 1285 19.03%9-Sept 1122 16.62%10-Oct 1138 16.86%11-Nov 957 14.18%12-Dec 997 14.77%Grand Total 6751 100.00%Image 4.9Excel Chart of Total New Bedford Crime by Month, with Percentage from Total New Bedford Crime by Month. (Includes Crimes that were not mapped)(Created by Zach Bushwack via Microsoft Excel)

Crime Break Down by DayCrime Broke down by day

Row LabelsTotal Percent From Total Crime (Days of Week)

1-Sunday 902 13.36%2-Monday 951 14.09%3-Tuesday 962 14.25%4-Wednesday 1032 15.29%5-Thursday 959 14.21%6-Friday 1001 14.83%7-Saturday 944 13.98%Grand Total 6751 100.00%Image 5.0Excel Chart of Total New Bedford Crime Broken Down by Day, with Percentage from Total New Bedford Crime by Day. (Includes Crimes that were not mapped)(Created by Zach Bushwack via Microsoft Excel)

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Crime Break Down by Zip CodeCount of ARC_ZIP

Row LabelsTotal

Percent From Total Crime (Zip)

114 1.69%02740 3280 48.59%02744 943 13.97%02745 851 12.61%02746 1539 22.80%02747 7 0.10%02748 3 0.04%02767 1 0.01%02769 1 0.01%A, 00 12 0.18%Grand Total 6751 100.00%Image 5.1Excel Chart of New Bedford Crime Broken Down by Zip Code within New Bedford, with Percentage from Total Crime Zip.(Created by Zach Bushwack via Microsoft Excel)

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Analysis Section

*Disclaimer* All data obtained/analyzed was provided by the New Bedford Police Department. The data spanned 6 months’ time in 2012 and was strictly offenses within the town of New Bedford Massachusetts.

Offenses

Aggravated Assault: (2012)

Based on the obtained data, aggravated assault accounted for 16.01% of all crime in New

Bedford within the 6-month span. There were 389 aggravated assault offenses

committed and in comparison to the 2012 New Bedford UCR total’s it is clear to see that

it is about one half of the 702 total aggravated assault cases in New Bedford for the year

(2012). The 389 aggravated assault cases committed equate to 55.4% of the total

aggravated assaults in New Bedford, according to the 2012 UCR.

Map:

Taking a look at the maps that were created they show where the problem areas are for

the aggravated assault offenses. It is clear to see that condensed offense zones (hot spots)

and that majority of the zones are in, low socioeconomic neighborhoods, industrial

neighborhoods, more populated areas, as well as shopping/business areas. Based upon

these maps alone it would be the recommendation to possibly raise patrol numbers and

officers in the area, due to the fact that majority of aggravated assaults are coming from

these areas. It would also be a recommendation that officers keep an eye out for gang

activity do to the fact that aggravated assault is a violent crime and violent crime is on of

the higher occurring offenses in the city of New Bedford. Violent crime accounted for

12.19% of total crime in 2012 for New Bedford and recorded 1030 cases in all.

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Drug: (2012)

Based on the obtained data, drugs accounted for 12.47% of all crime in New Bedford

within the 6-month span. There were 303 drugs offenses committed total however; there

are no drug total’s to cross compare the data to in the 2012 UCR data obtained.

Map:

Taking a look at the maps that were created, they show where the problems areas are for

the drug offenses. It is clear to see that condensed offense, zones (hot spots) and that the

majority of all of the drug offenses were again in low socioeconomic neighborhoods,

industrial neighborhoods, more populated areas, as well as shopping/business areas. It

can also be seen that majority of the condensed offense zones would overlap with the

aggravated assault zones from the previous maps, this is going to be a reoccurring pattern

while in the future maps and analyses of the maps are going to show the same. It would

be a recommendation, again, that these problem areas be more patrolled and focused on

during all parts of the day. It would be in the best interest for the New Bedford Police

Department to establish a well-developed and educated drug task force/unit as well.

Knowing that drug offenses account for almost 13% of the crime in the city during the 6-

month span should raise question about what ways they can better target the drug

problem.

Burglary: (2012)

Based on the obtained data, burglary accounted for 20.96% of all crime in New Bedford

within the 6-month span. There were 509 burglary offenses committed in the 6-month

span in comparison to the 929 total offenses in the city of New Bedford for the year.

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That means that 54.7% of the total burglary offenses happened in the 6-month span. The

rate was just about half of the total burglary offenses meaning that the offense did not

decline or rise over the course of the year.

Map:

Taking a look at the maps that were created it is clear to see that the zones are very close

to that of the other two offenses that have been talked about. In fact there is one

condensed zone that spans over majority of the zones that were present in the other maps.

This means that the offenses are again happening in low socioeconomic neighborhoods,

industrial neighborhoods, more populated areas, as well as shopping/business areas. The

recommendation are similar, the police should more heavily focus on these areas as well

as determine what time of day the offenses are happening the most. This could better

equip the chief of staffing administrator with ideas for zoning and coverage throughout

the day in those areas. It would also be in the best interest to investigate the offenses a bit

more by talking to local business and people about information that they may have on the

subject offenses. The more information the better off the police will be equipped to

patrol and focus on problem areas. Also from the maps it should be noted that offenders

are targeting offenses that are happening on top of one another, meaning that certain

places. Police should take notice to this and focus on these spots and make their presence

known to the people so that it may deter people from continuing to commit there.

Motor Vehicle Theft: (2012)

Based on the data obtained, motor vehicle theft accounted for 7.95% of the total crime

within the 6-month span. There were a total of 301 total motor vehicle theft offenses in

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the city of New Bedford within the year span. This means that 64.1% of all motor

vehicle theft came within the 6-month span, meaning that there was a small decline in the

other half of the year.

Map:

Based upon the maps that were created I it clear to see that the problem areas or

condensed offense areas are very close to the other problem/condensed areas that were

present in the other maps. This once again means that the crimes are happening in low

socioeconomic neighborhoods, industrial neighborhoods, more populated areas, as well

as shopping/business areas. The recommendations for the New Bedford police are the

same as the other offenses, there should be more patrol and focus on these areas.

Rape: (2012)

Based on the data obtained, rape accounted for 1.28% of the total offenses in the 6-month

span. There were a total of 54 rapes in the city of New Bedford in the year meaning that

within the 6-month span it accounted for 57.4% of all rapes for the year. This also means

that rape was at a slight decline in the other part of the year.

Map:

Based upon the maps that were created it can be seen that the zones are a bit more spread

out due to the fact that there were not as many offenses committed compared to the other

offenses previously noted. What also can be seen is that the rape committed were all

fairly close to each other, with the rest of them being complete outliers. The

recommendations for the New Bedford police would be keep an eye on the condensed

areas again and raise awareness for the criminal offense itself. There is not much that the

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police can do about the offense of rape other than respond and investigate to find the

person that committed the offense. Once again the majority of the offenses happened in

low socioeconomic neighborhoods, industrial neighborhoods, more populated areas, as

well as shopping/business areas. Just as the other maps and offense recommendations

patrol and focus more on them.

Robbery: (2012)

Based on the obtained data, robbery accounted for 5.35% of the total crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 272 total robbery offenses in the city of New Bedford

within a year meaning that 47.8% of all the robbery for the year was committed in the 6-

month span. This also means that robbery increased a slight bit in the other half of the

year (2012).

Map:

Based upon the maps that were created it can be seen that majority of the robbery offense

that were committed happened in the same condensed areas that all of the other offenses

happened. There were few outliers but nothing out of the ordinary compared to the other

maps that were discussed; it is the observation that all offenses are happening in the same

areas. (Recommendations refer to other analyses.)

Offenses by Day of the Week

*There was no State data to compare to the offenses by day of the week to.

Sunday’s: (2012)

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According to the data obtained, Sunday’s accounted for 13.36% of crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 902 crimes that happened on Sunday’s, which ended

up being the lowest for all of the days of the week.

Monday’s: (2012)

According to the data obtained, Monday’s accounted for 14.09% of crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 951 crimes that happened on Monday’s, which were

the 3rd fewest out of the days of the week.

Tuesday’s: (2012)

According to the data obtained, Tuesday’s accounted for 14.25% of crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 962 crimes that happened on Tuesday’s, which were

the 3rd highest out of the days of the week.

Wednesday’s: (2012)

According to the data obtained, Wednesday’s accounted for 15.29% of crime within the

6-month span. There were a total of 1032 crimes that happened on Wednesday’s, which

were the highest out of the days of the week.

Thursday’s: (2012)

According to the data obtained, Thursday’s accounted for 14.21% of crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 959 crimes that happened on Thursday’s, which were

the half way between the highest and lowest out of the days of the week.

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Friday’s: (2012)

According to the data obtained, Friday’s accounted for 14.83% of crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 1001 crimes that happened on Friday’s, which were

the 2nd highest of the days of the week.

Saturday: (2012)

According to the data obtained, Saturday’s accounted for 13.98% of crime within the 6-

month span. There were a total of 944 crimes that happened on Saturday’s, which were

the 2nd lowest out of the days of the week.

Mapping for All Days of the Week:

All of the maps that were created essentially show the same problem/condensed offense

zones. They directly correlate to the problem/condensed offense zones that were present

in the offense maps. This means that, again, the offenses are being committed in low

socioeconomic neighborhoods, industrial neighborhoods, more populated areas, as well

as shopping/business areas. The recommendations for the New Bedford Police are that

they should spend more time in the hot spot areas. Make their presence known to the

people and make sure that they are being attentive to what types of people are hanging

around in different areas. They should also do a little research to better aid them in

finding ways to interact with the public and build better relationship with the public so

that the public is more apt to helping them need be.

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Theories (Brief)

(Based Upon Created Maps and Obtained Data for New Bedford)

General Deterrence Theory:

The basic idea of the Deterrence Theory is that people choose to obey or violate the law

after calculating the gains and consequences of their actions. (Scholz, 1997) The theory

defines that there are two basic types of deterrence, General Deterrence and Specific

Deterrence. General Deterrence is designed to be a preventative measure for deviant and

criminal behavior as a whole with the belief that it will deter the overall public from

partaking in deviant or criminal acts. (Scholz, 1997) Specific deterrence is designed to

deter only an individual offender from committing a crime in the future after they have

already partaken in deviant or criminal behavior. (Scholz, 1997)

If this were applied to the New Bedford Police Department it would call for harsher and

stricter punishment for offenders. Officers would need to not cut corners or breaks with

the people that are committing offenses so that it, in “theory” would deter them from

crime. By enforcing all laws and distributing the heaviest penalty it, should deter people

from committing offenses as well as make people think about things before doing them

(general deterrence). Also by installing harsher punishments for repeat offenders it would

also aid in deterring people from committing multiple offenses (specific deterrence).

(Bushwack & Lespasio, 2015.)

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Social Disorganization Theory:

The premise of the Social Disorganization Theory is crime rates are directly correlated to

neighborhood demographic characteristics. (Rose & Clear, 1998) Where people live,

spend most of their time and associate are factors in how a person may act and or think.

If a person is surrounded by negative influences due to demographics and other attributes

in their everyday life they are going to be more at risk for partaking in criminal or deviant

behavior. If the New Bedford Police Department were to use this theory as well it would

be in their best interest to focus on areas where there are low socioeconomic classes, run-

down neighborhoods, as well as shopping areas too because these are where research has

proven to have higher rates of criminal activity. If there is a strong police presence

established this would hopefully deter people from partaking in deviant behaviors and

activities. Also it may be a good idea to have the police partner with other programs in

the city to establish places for youth to go as well and partner with places that may be in

the business to creating job opportunities for people. The main goal for the police other

than bringing offense rates down would be to develop better police and public relations.

By doing this, it is the hope that it will provide some sense of organization to the

community/city.

(Bushwack & Lespasio, 2015.)

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Closing Remarks

After analyzing all of the data and running the proper tests (shown in the excel images)

the following remarks can be written. New Bedford in comparison only equates for

2.48% of all of the crimes that happen in Massachusetts (includes data that was

unmapped). However the following must be considered, according to the Secretary of

the Commonwealth of Massachusetts there are 312 Town’s, and 39 Cities spread across

14 counties in Massachusetts. That means that New Bedford accounts for 2.48% of

offenses out of 351 possible Town’s/Cities which is a pretty high statistic if you think

about it. Essentially if we were to do the math it would equate to there being less than

1% of total crime per possible town/city (apx. .028%). This would mean that if every

town/city were to be equally divided by 315 than each town would equate to .028%.

New Bedford is 8.7(aprx rounded) times that amount of .028% meaning that crime is

extremely high. The city definitely needs to be focused on a bit more in relation to

criminal offenses.

It is the belief that understanding the implications that the theories and recommendations

have defined that the city will be better prepared to possibly formulate a new

policy/strategy to confront crime. The New Bedford Police Department administrator

should create a new policy that incorporates the thoughts and ideas from this analysis

(theories and recommendations). The analysis report provides the problem areas (hot

spots) that should be most focused on it provides the New Bedford data (NB 6-month

data) cross-tabulated to the U.S (UCR) National offense reports for the year of 2012,

State (UCR) offense repots for Massachusetts in 2012, as well as the total New Bedford

(UCR full year) offenses in 2012. The breakdown of all offenses by; Offense, Day,

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Month, Zip and given percentages give an excellent report on what needs to be focused

on in the coming years (can still be applied to 2015 through expected analysis).

It would be interesting to look at future years and compare them to the data obtained and

analyzed for 2012 to see if there are any major differences between the data. It would be

my best guess to say that if the Policy, Administrator, Demographics and Staffing did not

change much neither will the statistic percentages. I would assume that the majority of

the offenses would probably weigh in at around the same number calculated in 2012,

unless there were major advances in the community or if things drastically changed

within the state of Massachusetts in regards to policy.

*It is the belief that the calculations are easy to follow and understand, however, if there

are questions about any of the data, images, or calculations please feel free to contact

Zach Bushwack at [email protected].

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References

Bushwack, Zach. Lespasio, Nikki. (2015). A.S.S.E.T: Gang Prevention for Youth.

Research Paper, Roger Williams University.

City-data.com,. (2015). Crime rate in New Bedford, Massachusetts (MA): murders,

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