new feeder alignment proposal for plano isd

Proposal:Adjusting the PISD Feeder -

Realignment Plan

Rev. 0.7 – 06/15/11David Stringfellow, Mark Windsor

PISD Parents for Balanced Enrollment

Assumptions and terminology

• Capacity – “Functional” capacity, from PISD

• Demographics – Templeton Demographics, LLC (January 2011 report to PISD)

• Other

– Facility status as of Feb 2011

– No comprehension of current construction/expansion plans

– No demographics for multi-use/apartments subsequent to Feb 2011

Murphy Armstrong

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman Otto Haggard Carpenter

Vines Clark

PSHS

Hendrick SchimelpfWilson Rice

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson Frankford Renner

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows

30%Live in Central Feeder

28%*Live in East Feeder

42%Live in West Feeder

MemorialMcCallHickeyBarron

Mendenh.Schell

Stinson

DavisHughstonSaiglingWells

AldridgeShepard

SiglerWeatherf½ Jackson

ChristieHarring.Thomas

BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

New Feeder Pattern (Starting 2011-12)

* Throughout: Percentage of population living within given feeder

Source: PISD Feeder Transition Video

Feeder History

Armstrong773

Williams

PESH

Bowman987

Haggard875

Vines

PSHS

Schimelpf953

Wilson977

Rice1204

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1085

Frankford1130

Renner1241

BoggessHuntMillerSchell

Stinson

FormanDooley

MeadowsMendenh.

28%Live in West FeederOver capacity: -11%



AldridgeShepard


BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

Current Feeder Pattern (to 2009-10)

Carpenter878

Clark

Hendrick865


BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

40% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: 16%

Murphy1491

32% est.Live in Central Feeder

Over capacity: -2%

4994

3329 est.

4009

2673 est.

3456

2304 est.

8306 total est.

Source of MS enrollment figures: Templeton Demographics, LLC January 2011 report to PISD

0%

50%

100%

150%

2006-

07

2007-

08

2008-

09

2009-

10

2010-

11

2011-

12

2012-

13

2013-

14

2014-

15

2015-

16

2016-

17

2017-

18

PWSH

0%

50%

100%

150%

PSHS

0%

50%

100%

150%

PESH

Senior High Enrollment as Percentage of CapacityCurrent Feeder System – Requires Realignment

Source: PISD Feeder Realignment Committee, prior to Option 3

Current Feeder Pattern

Feeder Pattern Realignment (12/09)

Future Feeder Patterns

Murphy965

Armstrong763

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman761

Otto837

Haggard894

Carpenter864

Vines Clark

PSHS

Hendrick885

Schimelpf998*

Wilson948

Rice1164

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1046

Frankford1192

Renner1319

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows


Over capacity: 0%

26% est.Live in East Feeder

Over capacity: -23%

41% est.Live in West FeederOver capacity: 34%


Mendenh.Schell

Stinson


AldridgeShepard



BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

New Feeder Pattern: 2011-12 enrollment forward

3326 4090

2217 est. 2727 est.

5220

3480 est.

8424 total est.

* Assume 50% split at SMS

Feeder Pattern Realignment

The Problem• Student “bubble” at PWSH

– Starts in academic year 2013-14

– Peaks in 2014-15

• Temporary Duration: 3 years

• Substantial growth in PWSH enrollment over two year period (75%)

• Construction to accommodate extra students will result in one of the following:– Extra capacity

– Portables

One Possible Solution

• Implement a mechanism for a more orderly transition through 2015

• Temporarily realign one middle school from Central to East and another middle school from West to Central

– Reduce student “bubble” at PWSH

– 3 year period, starting 2013-14

– Fixed duration with clear exit strategy

• Delay start of “SMS choice” for 2 or 3 years

Make the feeder transition in Phases

Feeder Pattern Realignment – Phase I

3-year Feeder “Re”-Alignment

Possible Solution ScenariosFeeder Models

Murphy965

Armstrong763

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman761

Otto837

Haggard894

Carpenter864

Vines Clark

PSHS

Hendrick885

Schimelpf998

Wilson948

Rice1164*

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1046

Frankford1192

Renner1319

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows


Over capacity: 5%

33% est.Live in East FeederOver capacity: -3%



Mendenh.Schell

Stinson


AldridgeShepard



BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

Scenario 1: Carpenter-E, SMS-C, Rice-Split C/W

4190 3908

2793 est. 2871 est.

4139

2759 est.

8424 total est.

Ideally “balanced” enrollments (ignores cluster Population Density)

* Assume 50% split at RMS

Murphy965

Armstrong763

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman761

Otto837

Haggard894

Carpenter864

Vines Clark

PSHS

Hendrick885

Schimelpf998

Wilson948

Rice1164

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1046

Frankford1192

Renner1319

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows


Over capacity: -9%




Mendenh.Schell

Stinson


AldridgeShepard



BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

Scenario 2: Carpenter-E, SMS-C

4190 3725

2793 est. 2483 est.

4721

3147 est.

8424 total est.

Practical temporary MS realignment (less overcapacity @ PWSH)

Jasper

Murphy965

Armstrong763

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman761

Otto837

Haggard894

Carpenter864

Vines Clark

PSHS

Hendrick885

Schimelpf998

Wilson948

Rice1164

Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1046

Frankford1192

Renner1319

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows

28% est.Live in Central FeederOver capacity: -15%




Mendenh.Schell

Stinson


AldridgeShepard



BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

Scenario 2-B: Carpenter-E, SMS-C + transfers

4190 3476

2793 est. 2317 est.

4971

3314 est.

8424 total est.

Jasper

Allow “SMS choice” for only first of 3 years

* Assume “weighted” 50% split at SMS

Scenario 2-B Details

• Scenario 2-B would address two issues

1) Preempts possible issues from SMS students who have already declared for 2011-12

2) PWSH would no longer hold the badge of “the largest graduating class in Texas history”

Scenario 3: Carpenter-E, SMS-W, Rice-C8424 total est.

Murphy965

Armstrong763

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman761

Otto837

Haggard894

Carpenter864

Vines Clark

PSHS

Hendrick885

Schimelpf998

Wilson948

Rice1164

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1046

Frankford1192

Renner1319

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows


Over capacity: -5%




Mendenh.Schell

Stinson


AldridgeShepard



BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

4190 3891

2793 est. 2594 est.

4555

3037 est.

Given 13 MS’s, use Rice MS to “balance enrollments”

Clark

Scenario 3-B: Carpenter-E, SMS-W, Rice-C8424 total est.

Murphy965

Armstrong763

McMillen Williams

PESH

Bowman761

Otto837

Haggard894

Carpenter864

Vines

PSHS

Hendrick885

Schimelpf998*

Wilson948

Rice1164

Jasper Shepton

PWSH

Robinson1046

Frankford1192

Renner1319

BoggessHuntMiller

FormanDooley

Meadows


Over capacity: -1%




Mendenh.Schell

Stinson


AldridgeShepard



BeverlyHedgecoxe

Rasor

BethanyCarlisle

Mathews

AndrewsWyattSkaggs

DaffronGulledge

Haun

MitchellHaggar

Hightower½ Jackson

BarksdaleBrinker

CentennialHuffman

4190 4041

2793 est. 2694 est.

4405

2937 est.

Scenario 3 + allow transfers from SMS until PSHS reaches capacity

* Example: 150 transfers to Clark->PSHS

Clark

150

Other possible scenarios

• Temporarily realign Hendrick MS and its feeders

• Similar to proposal discussed above in which Carpenter MS is temporarily realigned

• Detailed enrollment model and relative impacts TBD

• Hypothetical realignment progression maps follow

Hendrick+Feeder Realignment – Phase I

Questions

Q: Will Carpenter parents and students consider this an unfair burden?

A: Possibly, because Clark HS is physically closer than Williams HS

However…

1) WHS has the capacity2) It’s only temporary3) PISD has done this before (Boggess and Hunt)4) Known quantity: CMS currently feeds PESH

Questions

Q: What about SMS parents? Won’t they be upset by losing their “choice zone”?

A: No, because they don’t really lose anything This is simply a 3-year delay. After that, the original feeder realignment “choice zone” takes effect.

Also, with Scenario 2-B, the option exists for students who have already committed to their High School

Questions

Q: Won’t feeding Carpenter MS to Williams HS cause an overcrowding issue?

A: No. WHS will have excess capacity now that McMillen HS is open. The estimated enrollment at WHS for those three years would range from 1650 to 1900 students, with a best estimate at approx. 1770.

Williams HS, Title I, and ED

• The Williams student population is estimated at 37% ED (2009-2010)

• Any of the scenarios involving moving Carpenter MS to Williams HS may cause WHS to become a full-fledged Title I school

• Taking into effect the Title I decreased class sizes, the bare minimum capacity is likely between 1800 to 1900 at Williams

• This should be further studied and assessed

Miscellaneous

• None of our scenarios comprehend potential enrollment growth at McCall ES and two new Richardson subdivisions near Otto MS

• The Hendrick-based scenarios would have parents though driving past Clark HS on the way to Williams HS

Summary• The current realignment plan was designed from the

“top down” starting at the HS level and was based on estimated demographic data

• An ideal realignment plan would be designed from the “bottom up” starting with all ES attendance zones

• Redrawing ES boundaries is complex, would require a full revision of the Dec 2009 plan, and would likely be re-done every 2-3 years, and unfair to the kids

• Our proposal tweaks the current plan from the “center out” (starting with the middle schools)– Based on newer demographic data– May save on PWSH construction costs– Has a fixed duration and a clear exit strategy– Offers a reasonable compromise parents concerned about

school capacity and enrollment growth at PWSH

Thank You!

new feeder alignment proposal for plano isd

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