new nuclear plants in the united states: progress and
TRANSCRIPT
New Nuclear PlantsIn the United States:Progress and Expectations
U.S.-Japan RoundtableOn Nuclear Energy Cooperation
February 23, 2011
Near-Term Market Signals Negative …
North American electricity demand struggling back to pre-recession levels
Most regional power markets likely to remain oversupplied for the next several years
Spot power prices projected to remain soft in 2011-2012 at least
Low natural gas prices likely to persist
No price on carbon until …?
… But Have the Long-Term Fundamentals Changed?
02468
101214
'00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11
U.S. Natural Gas Wellhead Prices(In 2010 dollars per thousand cubic feet)
Sources: Energy Information Administration, Ventyx Velocity Suite
Age of U.S. Generating Capacity Years
Long-Term Fundamentals Remain Solid
<10
10-19
20-29
30-39
40+
U.S. Needs 24% MoreElectricity by 2035
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Nuclear New Build: Progress Continues
12 COL applications (20 reactors) and two early site permits under NRC review
Two combined construction/operating licenses expected late this year or early next year
– Vogtle 3 & 4
– V.C. Summer 2 & 3
Three design certifications expected this year
– ABWR
– AP1000
– ESBWR
Economics of New Nuclear Capacity
Economic case for new nuclear capacity still solid in regulated markets
– Analysis by regulated companies and public service commissions based on long-term levelized costs
Economic case for new nuclear capacity highly stressed in merchant markets
– Plant must be competitive on commercial operation date
New Plant Financing: Mixed Results
DOE loan guarantee program a struggle
– Additional loan volume difficult
– Challenges with credit subsidy cost calculations
Construction work in progress in regulated states successfully implemented in Fla., Ga., S.C.
President Obama at the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 26 headquarters in Lanham, Md., for the announcement of an $8.3 billion loan guarantee offered to the Vogtle project on Feb. 16, 2010
V.C. Summer 2 & 3
Owners: SCANA 55%, Santee Cooper 45%
Location: Jenkinsville, S.C.
Design: AP1000
Anticipated COL approval: late 2011/early 2012
Spending as of Sept. 2010: $1.38 billion
Scheduled start-up: 2016, 2019
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Overview of Project Status
Note: Amounts are as of September 2010 BLRA Quarterly Filing
SCANA Generation Mix – 2009 and 2019
As of December 31, 2009
Non-emitting 23.4%
Non-emitting 59.4%
Module Assembly Building & Unit 2 Excavation
Soldier Pile wall
Auxiliary Building Module
Images are copyrighted and are courtesy of Westinghouse Electric Company LLC
Sanmen Unit 1 June 29, 2009
Comprised of 72 sub-modules
Size:44’-0” x 68’-9” x 68’-0”
Weight:850 - 1150 tons
Vogtle 3 & 4 Owners: Georgia Power 45.7%,
Oglethorpe Power 30%, MEAG 22.7%, Dalton Utilities 1.6%
Design: AP1000
Location: Burke County, Ga.
Anticipated COL approval: late 2011
Employees on site: Currently 1,500, at peak about 3,500, permanently about 800
Scheduled start-up: 2016, 2017
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Background
Began planning for generation in 2005 to meet demand
The Southeast has a projected growth rate of 34% in kWh sales between 2008 and 2030
Filed for early site permit in 2006, granted in 2009
Entered into an EPC contract with Westinghouse and Shaw in 2008
PSC certified the units and Senate Bill 31 passed in 2009
Customers throughout Georgia will benefit
Received DOE loan guarantees in 2010
Project Financials
Estimated total cost of the units—$14 billion
Georgia Nuclear Energy Financing Act reduces certified costs for Georgia Power Co. from $6.4 billion to $6.1 billion
Cumulative amount spent by Georgia Power Co. through year-end 2010—$1.3 billion (includes financing)
Vogtle Unit 3 Nuclear Island
Sanmen Basemat Rebar
Arrival of First Containment Vessel Bottom Head Plate
Sanmen Containment Vessel Bottom Head
Vogtle Module Assembly Building
Sanmen Structural Module
Summary
The NRC’s new licensing process is working successfully
Public opinion is favorable
Incorporating construction techniques and lessons learned
Projects are on schedule and within budget
The Next Nuclear Plant: Watts Bar Unit 2
Project remains on schedule and under budget
Fuel load April 2012 Full power operations
October 2012 Engineering 90% complete Construction 64%
complete 3,500 people working
on-site
Global Leadership in Development of Uranium Enrichment Capacity and Technology
GE-HitachiLaser Enrichment
AREVACentrifuge Enrichment USEC
Centrifuge Enrichment
Urenco-USACentrifuge Enrichment
$400 Billion Global Nuclear Energy Market
Sources: International Atomic Energy Agency, World Nuclear Association
Worldwide Development 65 reactors under construction 156 reactors on order or planned
50
27 18
5
14
11
China IndiaRussia
Planned
UnderConstruction