new united nations/germany expert meeting on space … · 2014. 9. 5. · sebastian pisi:...
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
United Nations/Germany Expert Meetingon Space Technologies for Flood and Drought
Risk Reduction
Bonn, Germany, 5-6 June 2014
Assessment of coping capacitiesrelating to the 2013 floods in Germany
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Table of Contents
• Overview
• Methodoloy
• Reconstructing the 2013 flood
• Maps and their opportunities
• Requirements – what do we need?
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Overview - Project Data• Duration: Oct. 2013 until Sept. 2014
• Head of Project: Prof. Dr. Annegret Thieken, University of Potsdam
• Part 1: Potential and actual damage reduction through prevention and early
warning
• Part 2: Coping Capacity of German federal states and aid agencies in comparison
to the flood of 2002
Source: Administrative District of Stendal
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Flood in Germany 2013…Source: Berufsfeuerw
ehr Bremen
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
…water as far as the eye can reach…
Source: Bundespolizei Flugdienst
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
…at least not alone…
Source: Berufsfeuerwehr Brem
en
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
…and imaginative!
Source: Adm
inistrative DistrictofStendal
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Methodology
• Reconstruction of Flood Event
• Questionnaire
• Expert Interviews
• Mission Reports
• Workshops
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Source: CEDIM Forensic Disaster Analysis Group (FDA): Juni-Hochwasser 2013 in Mitteleuropa - Fokus Deutschland. Bericht 1 – Update 2 (20.06.2013)
…but why…? Precipitation Events CausingFloods:
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Total damage compared
Financial loss by floods:2002 and 2013
Source: editedto
own
draftofAnnegret Thieken
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
DKKV 2003 – Aftermath of 2002
Extensive Case Study Analysis Identification of Deficits …Recommendations
Revisions of a Statue Flood Protection EU-Flood Action Programme
Research Programme Horizon 2020
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Flood Area Management: RiskMaps
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Kilometers
N
Flood plain (100-year flood)Flood prone area
River Mulde
State of the Art 2002:
Few Szenarios
(“HQ100“)
Data not accessible
Good One:
IKSR-Rheinatlas
Quelle: Petrow et al. (2006). Environmental Management 38: 717-732http://www.rheinatlas.de/
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Goal:Framework for assessment and management of floods in order to limitatenegative aspects of human health, environment, cultural heritage andeconomic activities
Progress:• 22 Dec. 2011: Identification of areas with high risk potential • 22 Dec. 2013: Risk and Hazard Maps• 22 Dec. 2015: Flood Management Plans
• Update every 6 years
Transfer to national law: Federal Water Act
EU-Flood Action Programme (2007/60/EC)
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Map RequirementsProbability of Occurrence• Flood with low probability (extreme)• Flood with moderate probability (HQ100) • Flood with high probability (HQ10/20)
Specific Data• Flood plain• Water depth• Velocity
Potential negative results shown on risk maps
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Analysis of Current Hazard Maps• Hazard Maps in all federal states for HQ100 and HQ200• No consistency in representaion of frequent floods• Variety of research options for WebGIS applications – or not
Thüringen Nordrhein-Westfalen Schleswig-Holstein Sachsen
Sachsen-Anhalt Bayern Baden-Württemberg Hessen
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Key Recommendations – end user needs• Public hazard maps in all federal states available
• Comprehensibility for private households to be explored
• Comprehensive and consistent structure of data required
• Remote sensing and WebGIS-applications for publicpurposes to be promoted
• Biggest threat in emergency is uncertainty
• Importance of early warning systems to be emphasised
• Reduction of potential damage has top priority
• Transnational cooperation
• Encourage sensitivity
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Sebastian Pisi: Assessment ofCoping Capacities relating tothe 2013 Floods in Germany
Thank you very much!
Don‘t hesitate to contact me:
Sebastian Pisi, German Comitee for Disaster Reduction
[email protected], +49-228-6191289