newest developments in modeling nanomaterial flows · technology & society laboratory ......
TRANSCRIPT
Willkommen
Welcome
Bienvenue
Newest Developments in Modeling Nanomaterial Flows
Bernd Nowack
Empa – Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Science and Technology
Technology & Society Laboratory
9014 St. Gallen
Switzerland
Overview
Material flow analysis and environmental fate modeling
Short history
Newest developments
Extension of covered materials and processes
Dynamic MFA
Use in risk modeling
Validation
Why nanomaterial flows?
Flows from production and manufacturing to use, followed by release and end-of-life
Knowledge about flows forms the basis for exposure assessment
The size of the flows determines the relevance of different nanomaterials
A life-cycle approach forms the basis for the flow assessment
The two kinds of models
Material flow models (MFA) predict releases from products, fate in technical systems and final release to the environment
Environmental fate models (EFM) describe the further fate in the environment and distribution within environmental compartments
PEC-values
Simplified
PEC-values,
Worst-case
(no further
degradation
)
MFA models
Model name Reference Model type Uncertaintyconsideration
ENM
n/a (Boxall et al., 2007) Simple algorithms 3 scenarios 11 ENM
MFA (Mueller and Nowack, 2008)
Excel-based MFA 2 scenarios TiO2, CNT, Ag
PMFA (Gottschalk et al., 2010)
Probabilistic model in R Probabilistic TiO2, ZnO, Ag.CNT, fullerenes,SiO2, Au,
O’Brien (O'Brien andCummins, 2010a)
Excel with add onpackages
10’000 iterations TiO2, Ag, CeO2
PFA (Arvidsson et al.,2012)
scenarios Ag, TiO2
LEARNano (Keller et al., 2013;Liu et al., 2015)
Integrated in RedNano,web-based
scenarios 10 ENM
DPMFA (Bornhöft et al.,2016)
Dynamic probabilisticmodel in Python
Probabilistic TiO2, CNT, Ag, ZnO
PMFA Version1.0.0
(SUN, 2016) Probabilistic model in Rwith GUI (graphical userinterface)
Probabilistic
Input data required for MFA
Parameter Comment UncertaintyProduction volume within the system boundary
Directly available or scaled up/down from other regions
Depending on the material the uncertainty is medium to very high
Distribution of mass to product categories
The most critical parameter in MFA
Very high: quantitative data are largely absent
Release from products/ applications
Transfer factors needs to be estimated based on release studies or expert knowledge
Real-world studies using real products are mostly missing, therefore quite high uncertainty. Often worst-case assumptions are used.
Transfer factors for technical compartments
Data for WWTP are abundant, for WIP only few available, almost nothing for landfills
Low uncertainty for WWTP and WIP, high for landfills
Transfer factors during recycling
Only considered in some models, no quantitative data available
Uncertainty medium
Transfer factors for environmental compartments
Although transfer between environmental compartments is part of EFM, some MFA models include limited transfers
Often worst-case scenarios
History of MFA Models
Generation 1: Deterministic MFA
High emission scenarioSwitzerlandFlows in tons/yearSTP: sewage treatment plantWIP: waste incineration plant
Müller and Nowack (2008) Environ. Sci. Technol. 42: 4447–4453
A and B are deterministic values
AB
Flow=A x B
A: ENM amount in compartment AB: transfer coefficient
c
Deterministic MFA: Global Flows
Keller et al. (2013) J. Nanopart. Res. 15: 1692
TiO2
History of MFA Models
Gottschalk et al. (2015) Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 12: 5581
Generation 2: Probabilistic (stochastic) MFA
Modeling by Empa
Nano-TiO2, ZnO, Ag, CNT, fullerenes
Pigment TiO2
Region: Europe, Switzerland, USA
Latest update by Sun et al. (2014), Environmental Pollution 185: 69-76
Nano-gold: Prospective Flows
Mahapatra et al. (2015) J. Nanobiotechnol. 13: 93
Nano-Au used in medical applications
Prospective scenario
Annual flow of nano-Au in the UK in kg/year
Nano-silica
Landfill
Sewage treatment
Wastewater
Air
Surface water
Overflow
STP sludge
Production
Manufacture
Consumption
PMC
Sediment
2,600
13,000
7,500
27,000
11,000
31,000
1,700
340
6,800
310
4,400
9.2
52
0.0029
290
Nano-SiO2 (EU, 2014)2,600
Wet scrubber
Burning(WIP)
Filter
Recycling
Export
2,100
340
2,100
2,600
4,500
1,900
2.8
2.9
4,600
3,300
1,700
35,000
6,800
SoilST soil4,600
Soil4,700
Production 91,000
Cement plantCement plant3,700Paints 62.7%
Polymers 7.1%
Coating 7.1%
Ceramics 6.5%
Car tires 5.7%
Cleaning agent 5.1%
Catalyst 2.8%
Food products 1.4% Cosmetics, personal care products 0.8%
Others 0.6%
Wang et al. (2016) Sci Total Environ. 545-546: 67-76.
Nano-SiO2 flows in the EU in tons/y
Nano iron oxides
LandfillLandfill
Sewage treatment
Sewage treatment
WastewaterWastewater
SoilSoil
AirAir
Surface water
Surface water
OverflowOverflow
STP sludge
Production
Manufacturing
Consumption
PMC
SedimentSediment
200
1000
1100
1700
Production7500
800
3100
67
25
410
46
69
1.4
2.7
0.00039
45
nano iron oxides (EU, 2014)
560
Acid washing 2Acid washing 2
Burning(WIP)
Burning(WIP)
FilterFilter
Recycling
ExportExport
180
25
103
410
330
0.39
8204700
410
140
N&U
soil
ST soil390
110
0.37
390
CementCement
1700
440
210
103
150
unconsidered500
Downcycling
Use of bottom ash
590
Wang et al. (2016) Nanotoxicol. in press
Nano iron oxide flows in the EU in tons/y
Nine nanomaterials in Denmark
Gottschalk et al. (2015) Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 12: 5581
Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 2015, 12 5590
Photostable TiO2 Photocatalytic TiO2 ZnO
Ag CNT CuCO3
CeO2 QD CB
Figure 2. Mass flow diagrams for nine nanomaterials in Denmark. Rounded modal values
are shown in tons/year (except CB where the unit is kt/y). Boxes show accumulation or
transformation. The modes, combining all the Monte Carlo simulations show what
has to be most likely expected at each place of the figure without necessarily reflecting
in detail and holistically mass balance of the flow system. CNT: Carbon nanotubes;
QD: Quantum dots; CB: Carbon Black.
New: TiO2: photocatalytic and photostable, CeO2, QD, CuCO3, Carbon black
Flows out of recycling
Sun et al. (2014) Environ. Pollut. 185: 69-76.
Flows out of recycling
Caballero-Guzman et al. (2015) Waste Management 36: 33–43.
Dynamic probabilistic MFA
Bornhöft et al. (2016) Environ. Modeling Software 76: 69-80
Sun et al. (2016) Environ. Sci. Technol. 50: 4701-4711
Dynamic probabilistic MFA
Sun et al. (2016) Environ. Sci. Technol. 50: 4701-4711
Product
category i
Use
release
EoL
release
Compartment
Compartment
Use release schedule
time
am
ou
nt o
f re
lea
se
EoL release schedule
am
ou
nt o
f re
lea
se
Compartment
Compartment
time
Allocation to technical
and environmental
compartments after release
Release over time;
schedule of EoL release
depends on product life
distribution
❷
Release over time;
Schedule of release varies
by products
❹
❸
ENM
production
Product
category
Product
categoryManufacture of ENM
enabled products
Allocation of ENM to
different products
❶
Dynamic MFA
Release Module: Time dependent ENM release from products
Pro
bab
ilit
y5 year 10 year 15 year
Life span of product category
EN
M r
ele
ase
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 year
ENM release kinetic of each product category
Dynamic MFA
Release Module: Development of ENM in stocksa. nano-TiO2 in in-use
stocksb. nano-TiO2 in accumulative stocks
Sun et al. (2016) Environ. Sci. Technol. 50: 4701-4711
Dynamic probabilistic MFA
Sun et al. (2016) Environ. Sci. Technol. 50: 4701-4711
Dynamic probabilistic MFA
Sun et al. (2016) Environ. Sci. Technol. 50: 4701-4711
Mean Mode Median Q0.15 Q0.85
STP Effluent 44.4 13.7 16.3 2.77 76.1 µg/L
STP sludge 1.60 0.47 0.84 0.16 3.42 g/kg
Solid waste to Landfill 12.9 7.67 10.3 5.37 21.3 mg/kg
Solid waste to WIP 10.3 6.19 7.93 4.24 16.9 mg/kg
WIP bottom ash 395 161 237 93.6 729 mg/kg
WIP fly ash 543 238 327 129 979 mg/kg
Surface water 2.17 0.61 1.10 0.19 4.40 µg/L
Sediment 43.1 30.0 38.7 21.3 65.0 mg/kg
Natural and urban soil 2.94 1.86 2.57 1.44 4.53 µg/kg
Sludge treated soil 61.1 40.8 54.6 30.9 93.3 mg/kg
Air 2.05 0.86 1.24 0.43 3.98 ng/m3
STP Effluent 0 0 0 0 0 µg/L
STP sludge 0 0 0 0 0 µg/kg
Solid waste to Landfill 1.69 0.96 1.21 0.52 2.64 mg/kg
Solid waste to WIP 1.27 0.64 0.86 0.34 2.04 mg/kg
WIP bottom ash 6.43 3.13 4.10 1.49 10.2 mg/kg
WIP fly ash 12.2 4.85 7.32 2.16 20.8 mg/kg
Surface water 0.38 0.16 0.23 0.05 0.64 µg/L
Sediment 6.97 4.95 6.26 3.64 10.5 mg/kg
Natural and urban soil 1.82 1.01 1.52 0.74 2.96 µg/kg
Sludge treated soil 1.82 1.01 1.52 0.74 2.96 µg/kg
Air 0.94 0.39 0.48 0.08 1.67 ng/m3
STP Effluent 2.65 0.71 1.04 0.16 4.57 ng/L
STP sludge 61.3 20.2 32.9 7.41 113 µg/kg
Solid waste to Landfill 79.0 35.4 51.0 18.7 139 µg/kg
Solid waste to WIP 19.7 10.6 14.7 6.87 33.5 µg/kg
WIP bottom ash 170 111 141 75.4 267 µg/kg
WIP fly ash 340 169 259 114 582 µg/kg
Surface water 1.51 0.63 1.01 0.40 2.78 ng/L
Sediment 30.1 23.8 27.8 18.3 43.3 µg/kg
Natural and urban soil 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.03 µg/kg
Sludge treated soil 2.31 0.73 1.83 0.47 4.29 µg/kg
Air 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 ng/m3
STP Effluent 2.60 0.59 1.06 0.18 4.52 ng/L
STP sludge 63.3 23.7 37.4 7.88 117 µg/kg
Solid waste to Landfill 82.3 42.6 54.9 27.7 146 µg/kg
Solid waste to WIP 24.8 14.4 19.6 11.6 40.0 µg/kg
WIP bottom ash 287 205 260 149 437 µg/kg
WIP fly ash 571 335 474 223 934 µg/kg
Surface water 1.50 0.76 1.05 0.49 2.71 ng/L
Sediment 164 163 162 127 201 µg/kg
Natural and urban soil 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.09 µg/kg
Sludge treated soil 13.7 3.81 12.1 2.84 24.7 µg/kg
Air 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02 ng/m3
STP Effluent 8.58 6.50 7.00 0.92 15.6 ng/L
STP sludge 326 273 277 33.9 593 µg/kg
Solid waste to Landfill 1.26 0.72 1.08 0.54 1.99 mg/kg
Solid waste to WIP 0.98 0.60 0.83 0.42 1.60 mg/kg
WIP bottom ash 0.43 0.17 0.30 0.09 0.79 mg/kg
WIP fly ash 0.92 0.30 0.54 0.14 1.74 mg/kg
Surface water 0.36 0.28 0.30 0.04 0.65 ng/L
Sediment 6.74 6.34 6.46 4.32 9.24 µg/kg
Natural and urban soil 35.0 33.8 33.9 23.6 46.2 ng/kg
Sludge treated soil 11.7 10.2 11.1 7.42 15.8 µg/kg
Air 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.03 ng/m3
CNT
Nano-Ag (1900-2020)
EU (2014)
Nano-TiO2
Nano-ZnO
Nano-Ag (1990-2020)
Use of MFA in risk modeling
For risk assessment, both exposure and hazard data are needed
The MFA modeling can provide PEC values
As hazard data PNEC values are needed
Obtained from literature by species sensitivity distributions
Risk= PEC/PNEC
ModeledEnvironmental Concentrations
ExposureAssessment
HazardCharacterization
RiskCharacterization
Material flowmodeling
Evaluation of ecotox data
Hazard characterization (freshwater)
• Species sensitivity distributions (SSD)• State: 2014• Available for water, soil, (sediment)• Used to derive PNEC from HC5
Coll et al., Nanotoxicology (2016) 10: 436-444
Nano-Ag CNT Nano-TiO2
Nano-ZnO
Risk characterization (freshwater)
• Predicted environmental concentration (PEC) from Sun et al. (2014)
• Predicted no effect concentrations (PNEC) from SSD
Nano-Ag CNT Nano-TiO2
Nano-ZnO
Coll et al., Nanotoxicology (2016) 10: 436-444
Log µg/l Log µg/l Log µg/l
Log µg/l
Risk characterization
Risk Characterization Ratio (RCR) = PEC/PNEC
Freshwater Soil
Coll et al., Nanotoxicology (2016) 10: 436-444
Validation of models
Nowack et al. (2015) Environmental Science: Nano 2: 421 – 428
Issues with validation
Currently, PEC values cannot be validated,
therefore the model as a whole cannot be
validated
Applies mainly to environmental fate modeling
Processes within the models can be validated
Modeling and analytical studies are able to
provide an orthogonal view
Conclusions
MFA methods are central to determine flows of ENM to the environment
Methods have improved over the last years, with including more and more processes and compartments
The covered ENM have also increased, with models available for almost all relevant ENM
The dynamic modeling of the flows constitutes a major improvement of the model
The simple PEC values provided by MFA provide first assessments of environmental exposure
Release flows from MFA are basic inputs to fate modeling of ENM
Thank you for your attention!
contact: [email protected]
www.empa.ch/nanoimpact
Abstract deadline November 15, 2016
Aim: Integrate scientific knowledge on about nanomaterial exposure, fate, effects and risks in the environmentKey question: Have nanomaterials have novel fate routes and effects resulting in new and unknown threats under environmentally relevant conditions ?
OrganizersBernd Nowack, Empa, SwitzerlandRalf Kägi, Eawag, SwitzerlandMark Wiesner, Duke University, USAPeter Gehr, University of Bern,Switzerland