news letter as on 10-dec final

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  • 8/3/2019 News Letter as on 10-Dec Final

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    The Golden Group

    House of Golden Opportunities..

    2011The Golden Leaflet

    Equity

    Commodity

    Currency

    Weekly Updates

    Column of the Week

    Column Of The

    Week

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    SPEED MARKET WATCH

    EQUITY

    INDICES

    02/12/2011 09/12/2011 Net Change

    ( %)

    (Friday) (Friday)

    SENSEX 16846.83 16213.46 -633.37(-

    3.90%)NIFTY 5050.15 4866.70 -183.45(-

    3.76%)

    BANKNIFTY

    9172.75 8811.10 -361.65(-

    4.10%)CNX IT 6122.90 6135.25 12.35(0.20%)

    COMMODITY

    COMMODITY UNIT

    02/12/2011

    09/12/2011

    Net Change( %)

    (Friday) (Friday)

    GOLD (Feb2011)

    10 g 29181.00 29153.00 -28.00(-1.09%)

    SILVER (Mar2011)

    1kg.

    57159.00 56647.00 -512.00(-0.90%)

    COPPER (Feb2011)

    1kg.

    408.10 412.30 4.20(1.01%)

    CRUDE OIL(Dec, 2011)

    1BBL

    5148.00 5139.00 -9.00(-0.17%)

    House of Golden Opportunities..

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    AGRI PRODUCTS

    COMMODITY UNIT 02/12/2011

    09/12/2011

    Net Change(%)

    (Friday) (Friday)

    Ref Soya Oil(Dec, 2011)

    10 kgs 642.00 642.00 0.00(0.00%)

    Chana (Dec,2011)

    1 qt. 3153.00 3248.00 95.00(2.92%

    Guarseed(Dec,2011) 1 qt. 5245.00 5564.00 319.00(5.73%)MenthaOil(Dec, 2011)

    1 kg. 1324.70 1308.40 -16.30(-1.24%)

    CURRENCY

    CURRENCY 02/12/2011 09/12/2011 Net Change%

    (Friday) (Friday)

    USD/INR 51.0750 51.9150 0.8400(1.61%)

    EURO/INR 68.4100 69.4500 1.0400(1.49%)

    EURO/USD 1.3392 1.3386 -0.0006(-0.04%

    Dollar Index 78.7500 78.6300 -0.1200(-0.15%

    Weekly UpdatesHouse of Golden Opportunities..

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    Sensex sheds 274 points; cues from West to set market tone

    The Indian markets ended this week on a fragile note ahead of the action-packed events

    lined-up for the upcoming week. Sensex gave up most of its gains it recorded last week.

    The Sensex shut shop at 16213.46 down 274.78 points or 1.67% at 16213.4 and

    the Nifty closed at 4866.70 down 76.95 points or 1.56%. About 1131 shares advanced, 1811

    shares declined, and 797 shares remain unchanged.

    Nifty opened well below 4900 mark and persisted to trade sluggishly for most part of the

    trading session. Asian markets too ended on a weak note. The EU summit failed to secure

    the full backing of the 27 nations for treaty changes to help fight euro-zone debt crisis.

    Chinese companies to bid for India infrastructure projects: Wang

    The Indian governments plan to invest one trillion dollars on infrastructureprojects offers excellent opportunity for Chinese companies to participate.

    As India plans to invest over one trillion dollars on infrastructure projects in the next five

    years, Chinese companies are gearing up to participate in the process. Wang Xuefeng,

    Minister at the Embassy of China in India, said the country has several competitive

    advantages in manufacturing and infrastructure construction. The Indian governments

    plan to invest one trillion dollars on infrastructure projects offers excellent opportunity for

    Chinese companies to participate.He was addressing delegates at a roundtable conference

    titled India China Economic Cooperation: Win Win Situation organized by The Associated

    Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India.

    Wang brushed aside fears of hike in tariff and non-tariff barriers on imports of some

    Chinese goods by India or a complete ban on specific items like power and telecom

    equipment. China has already raced past the United States, Britain and Japan to become

    Indias largest trading partner.

    Trade between the worlds most populous nations with 2.5 billion people jumped 20-fold

    from 2.9 billion dollars in 2000 to more than 60 billion dollars in 2010. It is likely to cross 70

    billion dollars this year and reach 100 billion dollars in the next four years Indian exports to

    China jumped 68.8% to 19.6 billion dollars in 2010-11 from 11.6 billion dollars in the

    previous year. The imports also increased 41 per cent to 43.5 billion dollars from 30.8 billion

    dollars in the same period.

    Most Indian exports to China comprise of metals, ores, iron and steel besides cotton while

    imports are of electrical machinery and equipment, nuclear reactors and boilers, organic

    chemicals, fertilisers, iron and steel.

    House of Golden Opportunities..

    http://www.moneycontrol.com/sensex/bse/sensex-livehttp://www.moneycontrol.com/nifty/nse/nifty-livehttp://www.moneycontrol.com/sensex/bse/sensex-livehttp://www.moneycontrol.com/nifty/nse/nifty-live
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    US stocks soar on consumer sentiment; Dow Jones up 1.55 percent

    U.S. stock markets rallied on Friday as investors rushed to equities buoyed by firming

    consumer sentiment numbers at home and by European progress in tackling the debt crisisacross the Atlantic.

    The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended Friday up 1.55 percent or 186.56 at 12184.26, the

    S&P 500 index roared ahead 1.69 percent or 20.84 at 1255.19, while the Nasdaq Composite

    index was up 1.94 percent or 50.47 at 2646.85.

    In Europe, 26 of the 27 treaty nations agreed to tighter fiscal integration and discipline

    measures, with Britain acting as the holdout on grounds it did not get enough concessions

    and safeguards in exchange for subjecting its financial markets to possible higher taxes.

    Hopes for an end to the European debt crisis buoyed stock indices in Europe as well.

    France's CAC 40 rose 2.48 percent, Germany's DAX shot up 1.91 percent and Britain's FTSE

    100 rose 0.83 percent.

    Next week, the Federal Reserve will hold its Federal Open Market Committee meeting,

    where monetary policy authorities will discuss what to do with benchmark interest rates,

    which are down at very low 0.25 percent rates and holding.

    EU accepts limited fiscal union...UK stays out

    An agreement involving all 27 EU members fell through after British Prime

    Minister David Cameron reportedly demanded concessions that Germany and

    France were not willing to give.

    The European Union (EU) leaders have agreed on new rules for budget discipline among its

    member nations but failed to reach a consensus on treaty changes on reported resistance

    House of Golden Opportunities..

    http://www.moneycontrol.com/live-index/dowjoneshttp://www.moneycontrol.com/live-index/nasdaqhttp://www.moneycontrol.com/live-index/dowjoneshttp://www.moneycontrol.com/live-index/nasdaq
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    from few others like the UK.

    The dollar index rose marginally while the euro surrendered intraday gains.

    Any deal may now just involve the 17 nations that share the euro, plus others who may want to join, the

    reports said. An agreement involving all 27 EU members fell through after British Prime Minister David

    Cameron reportedly demanded concessions that Germany and France were not willing to give.

    House of Golden Opportunities..

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    COLUMN OF THE WEEK

    Govt cuts growth forecast, warns on balance of trade, deficit

    target

    India slashed its full-year growth forecast on Friday amid slowing domestic and global

    demand, with officials warning the government was facing a serious balance of trade

    problem and will have a tough time meeting its fiscal deficit target.

    Asia's third-largest economy is now expected to grow by 7.25 to 7.5 percent in the fiscal

    year ending next March, the government said in a mid-year review, down sharply from an

    estimate of 9 percent issued in February. The slowing economy has put government

    finances under further stress, fueling a recent sell-off in the rupee. While tax receipts so far

    have lagged the budgeted estimates, expenditures are climbing at a faster clip.

    "There can be no denial that meeting the target (of fiscal deficit) will not be easy this year,"

    the finance ministry said in its review, without giving a revised forecast. Separately, the

    trade deficit for the fiscal year ending March 2012 is expected to sharply widen to $155-

    $160 billion from $104.4 billion a year ago, posing further downside risks to the weak Indian

    currency.

    Slowing demand for Indian merchandise in overseas market is also making the government

    uncertain about achieving its annual export target of $300 billion.

    "There is clear evidence of a deceleration in exports growth," said Rahul Khullar, trade

    secretary, after releasing the provisional trade data for November "There is a seriousbalance of trade problem."

    Net tax revenues have grown at just 7.3 percent year on year in the first seven months of

    2011/12, while expenditure has jumped by about an annual 10 percent. Adding to the

    gloomy outlook, the government said raising a budgeted 400 billion rupees via stake sales

    in state-run companies in choppy market conditions would be hard to achieve.

    "There can be no denial that meeting the target (of fiscal deficit) will not be easy this year,"

    the finance ministry said in its review, without giving a revised forecast. With less than four

    months of 2011/12 still remaining, economists say the full-year fiscal gap may be almost

    one percentage point higher than the budgeted target of 4.6 percent of GDP. The fiscal

    deficit has already reached nearly 74 percent of the full-year target.

    Any slippage on the fiscal front is expected to force the cash-strapped government to

    borrow more from the market. It has already unveiled 528 billion rupees of extra borrowing

    for the remainder of this year.

    The government blamed its rising subsidy bill for higher expenditures but said it is

    House of Golden Opportunities..

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    determined to keep any slippage in the fiscal deficit target to a minimum level.

    Early this week, the government forecast its subsidy bill for the full year to rise by 1 trillion

    rupees. India may face its worst financial crisis in decades if it fails to stem the slide in the

    rupee, leaving the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) with a difficult choice over how to make best

    use of its limited reserves to maintain the confidence of foreign investors.

    Unlike most of its Asian peers, India has recently been running large current account and

    fiscal deficits. That means it must attract sufficient foreign money -- namely U.S. dollars -- to

    close the gap, and a weaker home currency makes that costlier.

    Europe's festering debt crisis and worries about the U.S. economy have seen global

    investors pull funds from emerging markets in recent months, adding to pressure on their

    currencies.

    The rupee is facing the brunt of this capital flight. The partially convertible currency is down

    nearly 17 percent against the U.S. dollar this year and is the worst performer in Asia. The

    government has attributed the depreciation in rupee in part to global reallocation of funds

    toward safe-haven assets and has reiterated its policy of forex intervention to control

    volatility rather than alter the trend.

    The weak rupee is confounding India's inflation management by pushing up the costimported items. Headline inflation has been steadfast above 9 percent for the past 11

    months despite 13 rate hikes by the central bank since March 2010.

    The government said softening global commodity prices on slowing demand should cool

    inflation beginning December and slow it further to 7 percent by March.

    House of Golden Opportunities..

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