next generation electronics design investor presentation
TRANSCRIPT
Next Generation Electronics Design
Investor presentation
30 October 2008
2Copyright © 2008 Altium Limited
Forward Looking Statements
During the course of this presentation, we may make forward- looking statements regarding future events and the expected performance of the Company. We wish to caution you that such statements reflect our best judgment based on factors currently known to us and that actual events or results could differ materially. For important factors that may cause actual results to differ from those contained in our forward looking statements, we would like to refer you to the documents we file from time to time with the ASX and specifically our most recent Annual Financial Report (2008) and AGM Chairman’s Address dated 23 October 2008. We do not assume any obligation to update any forward looking statements we make to reflect events that occur or circumstances that exist after the date of this presentation.
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Summary
Forces of ChangeAltium’s Business Model– Business Model 10-20-30– Profit Outcomes– Foreign Currency Exchange Effects
Questions
Forces of Change
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Influencing the future
The way electronics design will be done in the future will change
Altium is leading the change, to define the next generation of electronics design solutions that are required to help designers create the next generation of electronic products.
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Why?
There is more computer processing power in the world than ever beforeComputing power now sits on faster and reprogrammable chips, no longer tied to the desktopThe Internet has allowed more people and organizations to be connected to each other than ever beforeUsers – of everything – demand more in the services they receive
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The opportunity this creates
Low- price processing power and memory intelligence
High-speed connections from wireless devices, high-speed DSL, cable-modems
Physical objects that have “soft” intelligent designs housed in them (trucks, washing machines, books, phones, medical systems, defence systems…)
Everything becoming intelligent & connected to each other
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Examples of what we mean
Rio Tinto:Mine operations in the Pilbara to be controlled 1300 km away at a new centre in Perth; Driverless trains to carry iron ore on most of the 1200 km of track;Driverless ‘intelligent’ truck fleet; and remote control ‘intelligent’ drills
CEO Tom Albanese’s vision for the “mine of the future”, January 2008
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Examples of what we mean
Koenig & Bauer:Remote servicing of thousands of commercial printers worldwide, using broadband Internet connectivity
Computer & Automation, June 2007
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And this will only get bigger
“The pervasiveness of web-enabled devices will triple the number of worldwide Internet users from one to three billion by 2010...there could eventually be as many as 600 billion devices linked to the web.”Vinton Cerf, Chief Internet Evangelist Google and co-founder of the internet, March 2006
“Today there are about 500 million devices connected to the internet, but by the end of the decade there would be billions of connected devices, including cars, phones and many other electronic devices.”Forrester Research Founder and Chief Executive Officer George Colony, 2003
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Through removal of these barriers
Third-generation fibre-optics can now push 10 trillion bits per second down one strand of fibre (equivalent to 1,900 CDs, or 150 million simultaneous phone calls per second)Tripling about every 6 months, for at least the next 20 years
Alcatel-Lucent press release, December 2007
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Early adoption of Internet, with huge growth yet to happen
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Example: one country -
China
Global update - China added 43 million new Internet users during the first half of 2008 (over 7 million per month) but penetration is still estimated at below 20% of population China manufactures over 80% of electronics, and is in a national objective to move from “made in China” to “designed in China”
CNNIC, July 2007.ICT Council for South Australia, July 2007.
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What does all this mean?
Represents both an opportunity AND a responsibility
“Altium is very early in the adoption curve of even the idea. I once compared what Altium is doing to Microsoft Office, because before Office came along we were used to getting all those applications separately from a bunch of different vendors…when Office came along you had all those things integrated in to one thing. It took people a little while to get used to that idea, but once they were…it was hard to go back.”
Kevin Morris, President, Techfocus Media, July 2008
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The need for a next-generation electronics design solution
Altium defines this as:Breaking down the barriers of the silo approach, and of having to pre-decide how your design is going to be done - both typical of yesterday's electronics design paradigmA system that makes it easy to explore ideas, and create new functionality and product differentiationFocusing on device intelligence to create connected productsAll within a single unified design system
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Australian company, worldwide focus
Altium wants to be the best in the world at harnessing contemporary electronics and software technologies To help all designers easily create and bring to market their next generation of intelligent, connected electronic productsGood ideas can come from anyone, anywhere – Altium will remove barriers so ideas can be explored and new products created And you won’t need to be a hardware engineer to create these products
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How do we measure success?
Our next generation electronics design tools make it much easier to design intelligent connected (next generation) devicesOur success will be measured by the proliferation of our software and ultimately by unified electronics design becoming the new standard for electronics designWhich will lead to financial returns for our investors
Altium’s
Business Model
Translating opportunity into financial results
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Financial Outlook -
What we will cover
Reconfirm our communication to shareholders at AGM and …Reconfirm our growth model as previously described– 10–20–30 Growth Model
Explore the ranges of the model– What are sales and expenses at the limits of the model
Using a “Middle” Scenario– Show impact of exchange rate movements– Show profit outcomes
Provide some background on why exchange rates have these effects
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Business Growth Model 10-20-30
AssumptionsFinancial model comprises -– Growth in Sales of between 20% and 30%
Sales growth modelled 20%, 25% and 30%– Expenses Growth of less than 10%
Expenses growth modelled between 5% and 10%
Business Model 10-20-30
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What if we spent two years at the“Bottom End” of the Model Range
Assumptions for Bottom End of Range:Growth in Sales of 20%Growth in Expenses of 10%Ignoring recent exchange rate changes – 0.87 USD to 1.00 AUD
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What if we spent two years at the“Top End” of the Model Range
Assumptions for Top End of Range:Growth in Sales of 30%Growth in Expenses of 5%Ignoring recent exchange rate changes – 0.87 USD to 1.00 AUD
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What if we spent two years at the“Middle” of the Model Range
Assumptions for “Middle” of the Range:Growth in Sales of 25%Growth in Expenses of 7.5%Ignoring recent exchange rate changes – 0.87 USD to 1.00 AUD
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What if we spent two years at the“Middle” of the Range
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Effect of FX Rate Movements
Assumptions for “Middle” of the Range with new Exchange Rate:Growth in Sales of 25% Growth in Expenses of 7.5%New exchange rate – 0.70 USD to 1.00 AUD
Profit Outcomes
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Profit Outcomes at the“Bottom End” of the Model Range
Assumptions for Bottom End of Range:Growth in Sales of 20%Growth in Expenses of 10%Ignoring recent exchange rate changes – 0.87 USD to 1.00 AUD
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Profit Outcomes at the“Top End” of the Model Range
Assumptions for Top End of Range:Growth in Sales of 30%Growth in Expenses of 5%Ignoring recent exchange rate changes – 0.87 USD to 1.00 AUD
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Profit Outcomes at the “Middle” of the Model Range
Assumptions for “Middle” of the Model Range:Growth in Sales of 25%Growth in Expenses of 7.5%Ignoring recent exchange rate changes – 0.87 USD to 1.00 AUD
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Profit outcome at
“Middle” of the Model Range – Effect of FX Movements
Assumptions for “Middle” of the Model Range with new Exchange Rate:Growth in Sales of 25%Growth in Expenses of 7.5%New exchange rate – 0.70 USD to 1.00 AUD
Foreign Currency Exchange Effects
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Exchange Rates –
Impact of FX volatility
Euro to U.S. Dollar Australian Dollar to U.S. Dollar
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Sales Contribution by Region FY09
Key Impact:
ANZ low Sales contribution accordingly less impact from FX volatility
EMEA higher sales contribution and will have some FX impact
Majority sales – US, China, Asia in USD
Key Impact:
ANZ highest cost base accordingly most (positive) impact from FX volatility
EMEA also high but this is somewhat negated from EMEA high sales contribution
Net is overall benefit to bottom line from FX due to high AUD cost base
Questions