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Cause-specific hospital utilisation and mortality patterns in New Zealand by area deprivation, 1974-2006 Ngaire Coombs Zoë Matthews, Sabu Padmadas Division of Social Statistics, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton

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Cause-specific hospital utilisation and mortality patterns in New Zealand by area deprivation, 1974-2006. Ngaire Coombs Zo ë Matthews, Sabu Padmadas Division of Social Statistics, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton. New Zealand Population, 2002. Deprivation Decile 1. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Cause-specific hospital utilisation and mortality patterns in New Zealand by area deprivation, 1974-2006

Ngaire Coombs

Zoë Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Division of Social Statistics, School of Social Sciences, University of Southampton

Page 2: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

Page 3: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

New Zealand Population, 2002

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

Page 4: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

• Aims

• Data

• Results

• Discussion

• Further Work?

Outline

Page 5: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Aims

1. To determine if areas with high deprivation scores have higher mortality rates than areas with low deprivation scores.

2. To determine if areas with high deprivation scores have higher hospital bed day rates than areas with low deprivation scores.

3. To determine if the cause of death varies by deprivation score.

4. To determine if the cause of hospital use varies by deprivation score.

Page 6: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Mortality• 1974-2006* (800,000 events)

Hospital Discharges• 1974-2007 (20 million events)

NZDep• Area deprivation score• 1991, 1996, 2001, 2006

National analyses 1974-2006Sub-national analyses (by deprivation) 1991-2006

Data

*Excluding 2001

Page 7: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Unfiltered

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Unfiltered

Hospital Discharges, 1974-2007 Hospital Bed Days, 1974-2007

Page 8: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Unfiltered Day Patients Long stay

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Unfiltered Day Patients Long Stay

Hospital Discharges, 1974-2007 Hospital Bed Days, 1974-2007

Page 9: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Filtering of Hospital Data

Page 10: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Unfiltered Day Patients Long stay

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Unfiltered Day Patients Long Stay

Hospital Discharges, 1974-2007 Hospital Bed Days, 1974-2007

Page 11: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Hospital Discharges, 1974-2007 Hospital Bed Days, 1974-2007

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Sub-National National Unfiltered

Day Patients Long Stay

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Sub-National National Unfiltered

Day Patients Long stay

Page 12: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Results

Page 13: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Standardised* Hospital Bed Day and Mortality Rates

Hospital Bed Day rate Mortality rate (per 1000)

*Standardised to 1991 New Zealand Population

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

Male Female

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

12.00

19

74

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

Male Female

Page 14: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

1. To determine if areas with high deprivation scores have higher mortality rates than areas with low deprivation scores.

2. To determine if areas with high deprivation scores have higher hospital bed day rates than areas with low deprivation scores.

Aims

Page 15: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Hospital Bed Day and Mortality rates by Deprivation, Age 60-64, 2002

Mortality rate (per 1000)Hospital Bed Day rate

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1.60

1.80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Deprivation Decile

Male Female

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Deprivation Decile

Male Female

Page 16: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Hospital Bed Day and Mortality rates by Deprivation, Age 80-84, 2002

Mortality rate (per 1000)

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

8.00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Deprivation Decile

Male Female

0.0

20.0

40.0

60.0

80.0

100.0

120.0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Deprivation Decile

Male Female

Hospital Bed Day rate

Page 17: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

3. To determine if the cause of death varies by deprivation score.

Aims

Page 18: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

Standardised* Mortality rate (per 1000) 2002, by Cause, 95% C.I.

*Standardised to 1991 New Zealand Population

0.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.54.0

A0

0-B

99

C0

0-D

48

D5

0-D

89

E0

0-E

90

F0

0-F

99

G0

0-H

99

I00

-I9

9J0

0-J

99

K0

0-K

93

L0

0-M

99

N0

0-N

99

O0

0-Q

99

R0

0-R

99

E0

0-E

99

ICD10 Code

Male

Female

0.00.5

1.01.52.0

2.53.0

3.54.0

A0

0-B

99

C0

0-D

48

D5

0-D

89

E0

0-E

90

F0

0-F

99

G0

0-H

99

I00

-I9

9

J00

-J9

9

K0

0-K

93

L0

0-M

99

N0

0-N

99

O0

0-Q

99

R0

0-R

99

E0

0-E

99

ICD10 Code

Male

Female

Page 19: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

4. To determine if the cause of hospital use varies by deprivation score.

Aims

Page 20: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

Standardised* Hospital Bed Day rate (per 1000) 2002, by Cause, 95% C.I.

*Standardised to 1991 New Zealand Population

0.000.020.040.060.080.100.120.140.160.18

A0

0-B

99

C0

0-D

48

D5

0-D

89

E0

0-E

90

F0

0-F

99

G0

0-H

99

I00

-I9

9J0

0-J

99

K0

0-K

93

L0

0-M

99

N0

0-N

99

O0

0-Q

99

R0

0-R

99

E0

0-E

99

Z0

0-Z

99

ICD10 Code

Male

Female

0.000.020.040.060.080.100.120.140.160.18

A0

0-B

99

C0

0-D

48

D5

0-D

89

E0

0-E

90

F0

0-F

99

G0

0-H

99

I00

-I9

9J0

0-J

99

K0

0-K

93

L0

0-M

99

N0

0-N

99

O0

0-Q

99

R0

0-R

99

E0

0-E

99

Z0

0-Z

99

ICD10 Code

Male

Female

Page 21: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Results

1 & 2. Mortality and hospital bed day rates amongst the oldest ages (80+) do not vary substantially by deprivation decile, the overall differential is driven by younger ages (50 to 75).

3. The cause of mortality does not vary substantially by deprivation score.

4. The cause of hospital use does vary slightly by deprivation score

Page 22: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Discussion

Page 23: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

New Zealand Population, 2002

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

Page 24: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

New Zealand Population, 2002

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

Page 25: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

New Zealand Population, 2002

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

Page 26: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

New Zealand Population, 2002

Deprivation Decile 1 Deprivation Decile 10

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

.07 .06 .05 .04 .03 .02 .01 .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07

0-45-9

10-1415-1920-2425-2930-3435-3940-4445-4950-5455-5960-6465-6970-7475-7980-84

85+

Male Female

Page 27: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Standardised* Mortality Rates by Age, 2006

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0.14

0-4

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

485

+

Age

Decile 1

Decile 10

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10

0.12

0.14

0-4

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

485

+

Age

Decile 1

Decile 10

Male Female

*Standardised to 1991 New Zealand Population

Page 28: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Standardised* Hospital Bed Day Rates by Age, 2006

Male Female

*Standardised to 1991 New Zealand Population

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

0-4

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

485

+

Age

Decile 1

Decile 10

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

0-4

5-9

10-1

4

15-1

9

20-2

4

25-2

9

30-3

4

35-3

9

40-4

4

45-4

9

50-5

4

55-5

9

60-6

4

65-6

9

70-7

4

75-7

9

80-8

485

+

Age

Decile 1

Decile 10

Page 29: Ngaire Coombs Zo ë  Matthews, Sabu Padmadas

Further Work?

• Log-linear analysis

• Avoidable/non-Avoidable

• Private health sector

• Ethnicity

• Compression of morbidity