ngv markets & statistics - ngv italy
TRANSCRIPT
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013apr
CNG in Italy
retrofit
OEM
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013apr
CNG in Italy
total CNG
CNG PASSENGER CARSRetrofit conversions and new registrations since 1998
CNG new registrations since 2008Main OEM Groups
3
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
YTD 13FY 12FY 11FY 10FY 09FY 08
20,162
47,181
34,638
57,640
115,882
68,479
1,2
68
3,8
73
1,5
03
1,6
07
3,5
28
5,2
39
2,1
32
1,9
02
1,9
80
2,3
10
3,5
76
3,0
92
FGA GM VW
4
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
YTD 13FY 12FY 11FY 10FY 09FY 08
5.3
%
4.8
%
1.2
%
1.2
%
2.8
%3.7
%
CNG new registrations since 2008Market share
CNG fleet grows, but could do it much more if relying on a wider filling stations network …
5
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
0
5,000,000
10,000,000
15,000,000
20,000,000
25,000,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
LPG
& C
NG
GA
SOLI
NE
& D
IESE
L
GASOLINE
DIESEL
LPG
CNG
… take a look to the current state of the art in italian areas…
6
0
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450 LPG and CNG fleet and filling stations LPG stations
CNG stations
LPG fleet
CNG fleet
How many cars for each filling station ?
7
0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400 passenger cars per filling stationLPG
CNG
How much CNG fleet could increase
8
-
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000
400.000
450.000
PIE VAO LOM TAA VEN FVG LIG EMR TOS UMB MAR LAZ ABR MOL CAM PUG BAS CAL SIC SAR
CNG fleet2011
CNG fleetgood scenario
CNG fleetbest scenario
reducing 50% of filling stations gap versus LPG
keeping CNG actual ratio veh./stat., but with same number of LPG stations
What does it mean on national basis ?
9
680.948
1.389.462
2.098.383
-
500.000
1.000.000
1.500.000
2.000.000
2.500.000
ITALY
CNG fleet2011
CNG fleetgood scenario
CNG fleetbest scenario
10
Other leverage are also to be considered:- Full use of actual network (up to 1,000 vehicles per station)- Opening new CNG stations only in «car crowded» areas- Multi-fuel and self service issues
Those scenarios are not the only possible
CNG fleet European Emission standardsThe youngest fleet …
11
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
CNG LPG DIESEL GASOLINE
E0 E1 E2 E3 E4 E5
… and thus the cleanest !!!
12
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
CNG LPG DIESEL GASOLINE
E0-E3 incl.
E4-E5 incl.
13
23.2%17.7%
13.0%9.4% 7.9% 7.1%
14.6%
11.1%
8.4%
5.8%4.6% 3.9%
32.2%
28.7%
24.7%
18.7%
16.0%14.3%
16.9%
15.7%
14.1%
11.8%
11.0%
10.5%
13.1%
26.8%
39.8%
50.7%
52.2%
50.6%
0.0% 0.0% 0.0%3.5%
8.2%13.6%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
n.a.
E6
E5
E4
E3
E2
E1
E0
CNG European Emission standards
14
Fuel prices in Italy since Jan 2011 (€/km)
0
0,2
0,4
0,6
0,8
1
1,2
1,4
1,6
1,8
2g
en
-11
feb-
11
ma
r-1
1
ap
r-1
1
mag
-11
giu
-11
lug-
11
ag
o-1
1
set-
11
ott
-11
nov-
11
dic
-11
gen-
12
feb-
12
ma
r-1
2
apr-
12
mag
-12
giu
-12
lug
-12
ago
-12
set-
12
ott
-12
nov-
12
dic
-12
gen-
13
feb-
13
mar
-13
ap
r-1
3
PRICE €/lt
gasoline diesel cng/lt* lpg
CNG and its tax advantages
15
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
gen-
11
feb-
11
mar
-11
ap
r-1
1
mag
-11
giu
-11
lug
-11
ago
-11
set-
11
ott
-11
nov-
11
dic
-11
ge
n-1
2
feb-
12
mar
-12
ap
r-1
2
mag
-12
giu
-12
lug-
12
ag
o-1
2
set-
12
ott
-12
nov-
12
dic
-12
ge
n-1
3
feb-
13
ma
r-1
3
apr-
13
TAX WEIGHT (VAT + EXCISE DUTY)
gasoline diesel LPG CNG