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Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations [email protected] Structural Challenges of the Slovenian Economy Ljubljana, 19 June 2013 Politics, Public Administration, and Performance

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Page 1: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Niamh HardimanUCD Geary Institute and

UCD School of Politics and International Relations

[email protected]

Structural Challenges of the Slovenian Economy

Ljubljana, 19 June 2013

Politics, Public Administration, and Performance

Page 2: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Taxation in democracies

• Purposes of taxation– Maximize (non-damaging) revenue– Minimize collection costs– Without evasion (by citizens)– Without corruption (by tax officials)

• Options– A. Extraction through coercion– B. Compliance through consent

• How to move from A to B? – Building ‘trust’

Page 3: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Taxation and democracy: voting

Government

Citizens

Citizens

Citizens

Page 4: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Taxation and democracy: extracting tax

Government

Citizens

Citizens

Citizens

Page 5: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Taxation and democracy: fairness

Government

Citizens

Citizens

Citizens

Page 6: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Taxation and democracy: voluntary compliance

Government

Citizens

Citizens

Citizens

Page 7: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Implications

• Consent and legitimacy

• Fairness

HOW?

• Policy design– Tax system

• Institutional design– Administrative system

Page 8: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Principles of good tax policy

• Clear rationale

• Transparency of tax collection

• Ease of compliance

• Not too expensive to administer

Page 9: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Variations in tax policy preferences

Types of tax

• Income– Personal– Corporate

• Consumption– VAT, excise, water,

carbon, etc.

• Property– Rates, charges, etc.

• Wealth– Assets, gifts, capital

gains, inheritance, death duties, etc.

Page 10: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Variations in tax policy preferences

Types of tax

• Income– Personal– Corporate

• Consumption– VAT, excise, water,

carbon, etc.

• Property– Rates, charges, etc.

• Wealth– Assets, gifts, capital

gains, inheritance, death duties, etc.

Examples of exemptions and tax expenditures

• Basic personal

• Business investments– Capital depreciation

allowances– Innovation, R&D

• Incentivize behaviours– Home ownership– Personal pension

Page 11: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Variation in rates, bands, incidence

• Emergent issues:– Broader base– Fewer rates– Fewer exemptions– Type of income

shouldn’t matter– Redistribution not

only via taxation

• Debates about:– Progressive?– Individuals or

households?– Family type?– Source of income?

Page 12: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Principles of good tax administration

Page 13: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Principles of good tax administration

Page 14: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Common issues

Page 15: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Dealing with tax evasion through smart compliance strategy:

tough auditing…..

Page 16: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

…. plus peer pressure and norm building

Page 17: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian
Page 18: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Tax administration: institutional reform

‘Rebuilding the ship while at sea’

• Leadership

• Team-building

• Buy-in

Page 19: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Expertise

Page 20: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Technology

Page 21: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Principles of administrative design

• Autonomy in recruitment

• Strict meritocracy

• Operational autonomy from core civil service

Page 22: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Complacency is the enemy

Page 23: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Complacency is the enemy

Page 24: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian
Page 25: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Some reflections on the Irish experience

Pre-1988:

•Narrow tax base

•Late extension of PAYE and PRSI

•High rates on taxable income

•Evasion and avoidance

•Sustained low corporate tax rate– To incentivize FDI

Page 26: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Tax rates on employee incomes

Source: Hardiman, 2002

Page 27: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Corporate tax rates

Source: Hardiman, 2002

Page 28: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Tax reform, 1988+

• New rules, new regime

• Incentives– Tax amnesty 1988– Regular emphasis on

voluntary compliance

• Sanctions– Tough enforcement– Bailiffs– Heavy penalties and interest

payments– Prosecution: ‘name and shame’, fine, jail

Page 29: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

How?• IDEAS

– Commissions on Taxation• 1960, 1985, 2009

– Economic crisis of 1980s

• ACTORS– Revenue Commissioners

• INSTITUTIONAL DESIGN– Extensive internal reform– Operational autonomy

Page 30: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

How effective?

TAX ADMINISTRATION HUGELY IMPROVED

•Highly efficient online systems

•Shadow economy reduced hugely

•Voluntary compliance with new self-assessed property tax:

– Over 80% by deadline

Page 31: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Sinn Féin’s Mary Lou McDonald has admitted she has decided to pay the controversial property tax — despite asking families to oppose the new levy.

Likely defaulters have been reminded by Revenue it has full powers in terms of payroll, social welfare and bank accounts to take money. Furthermore, Revenue can charge an additional levy by way of penalty.

Ms McDonald said: “That’s the decision we’ve taken as a family. Obviously, as a citizen, I would always prefer to be fully tax-compliant. I always play by the rules.

“We’re registering and paying this tax very much under protest because we know, for many families, this is a bridge too far.”

The Irish Examiner, 28 May 2013

Page 32: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Cost of tax administration system

Page 33: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

http://ec.europa.eu/europe2020/pdf/themes/07_shadow_economy.pdf

Estimated size of the shadow economy,

2012

Page 34: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Schneider, The shadow economy, http://www.economics.uni-linz.ac.at/members/Schneider/files/publications/2012/ShadEcEurope31.pdf

Page 35: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

How effective?

TAX POLICY HAS BEEN PROBLEMATIC

•Government decisions in 1990s and 2000s to:– Narrow income tax base – Postpone new sources of tax – Incentivize building – Over-rely on revenue from construction boom

Page 36: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

TASC, Failed Design, 2010, p.12

Page 37: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

Tougher job now for Revenue Commissioners

• Right mix of

– Incentives

– Deterrents

– Sanctions

Page 38: Niamh Hardiman UCD Geary Institute and UCD School of Politics and International Relations Niamh.Hardiman@ucd.ie Structural Challenges of the Slovenian

There is always…

Thank you

[email protected]