nicola salerno trieste ott 20 2012

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  • 1. STRUTTURA DELFINANZIAMENTODEL WELFARENicola C. Salerno (CeRM - Roma)

2. DEMOGRAFIA CARICO DEL PAY-AS-YOU-GODIVERSIFICAZIONE FINANZIAMENTO/ISTITUTIIPOTESI DI DECONTRIBUZIONE PER I GIOVANIPROPOSTA FONDO WELFARE 3. Popolazione italiana per fasce di et - proiezioni Istat1.080.0001.030.000 980.000 930.000 880.000 830.000 780.000 730.000 680.000 630.000 580.000 530.000 480.000 430.000 380.000 330.000 280.000 230.000 180.000 2011 130.00080.000 203030.000-20.000206502468101214161820222426283032343638404244464850525456586062646668707274767880828486889092949698100 +-70.000 -120.000delta 2065-2011 -170.000 delta 2030-2011 -220.000 -270.000 -320.000 4. 201120302065popolazione 60.626.442 63.482.85161.305.219 totale et modale4655 e 60 56 et media43,5 47 49,765+ / tot 20,29% 26,12% 32,64%85+ / tot2,76%4,54% 10,00%65+ / [20-64] 33,31% 45,99% 63,95% aumento su intervalli oltre 2 mesi ca. 1 mese e mezzo et media[11:30] [11:65] / anno / anno! 5. Stability Program - Italy (2012 issue) % Gdp2010 2015 2020 2025 20302060Health Care (NHS)7,36,97,07,27,4 8,2Pensions15,3 15,6 15,2 14,8 14,814,4Ltc extra National Health System 1,01,01,11,11,1 1,7Gdp (Euro/billion) 1.573,92 1.573,48 1.700,09 1.869,68 2.028,09 3.017,53Total population 60.340.328 61.787.648 62.876.781 63.737.079 64.491.289 64.989.319Gdp per-capita (Euro) 26.084,1225.465,8727.038,3629.334,2731.447,53 46.431,12People aged 20-6436.688.560 37.029.609 37.324.687 37.370.095 36.902.079 33.389.736Active people aged 20-64 24.397.892 24.809.838 25.455.437 25.710.625 25.425.532 23.372.815Employed aged 20-6422.348.469 22.676.192 23.469.912 23.910.882 23.671.171 21.783.464 Burden of Paygo to Finance Health Care, Pensions, LtcBurden per active people (Euro)15.224,5214.904,0415.561,30 16.798,3518.585,4731.372,30Burden per worker (Euro) 16.620,6516.306,3916.877,77 18.062,7519.962,9133.661,27Burden per active people / Gdp per-capita 58,37% 58,53% 57,55% 57,27% 59,10%67,57%Burden per worker / Gdp per-capita63,72% 64,03% 62,42% 61,58% 63,48%72,50%!3#$D:/$+.>+:>.-(,*)$,*$?-.(-=$@/,6/.9$,5$E-.>=A$F/(>$1231!1#$G,/$&09,$H./(.0)A$)00$/,I0+-(,*)$(*0#!"#$%&$()$$(*$+,*)-.*-$/(+0)$1233!4#$%&$/.-0)$,5$6/,7-8$(*$1231$.*&$123"$./0$-80$9,)-$/0+0*-$+,*)0*):)$0)-(9.-0)!;#$%&$/.-0)$,5$6/,7-8$"!"#$%&$()*&$+,-,./)01$0))$2&3)45-&60$.7$89&05,51$4&6+):)64)$04)6,-&!;#$"$,6($"=>;$,)$5B)$*&05$)4)65$4&60)6090$)05-*,5)0!C#$