Nile Basin Initiatives (NBI)Nile Basin Initiatives (NBI)Easter Nile Technical Regional Easter Nile Technical Regional Office Office (ENTRO)(ENTRO)

Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW-I)

Flood Forecasting in EN Region

Flood Forecasting in EN RegionFlood Forecasting in EN Region

Through the FPEW I project New National Flood Forecasting Center is established in Ethiopia and strengthened in Sudan and Egypt. Regional Flood Coordination Unit is established in ENTRO

Capacity building training in Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) using Eta and MM5 models conducted

Development and calibration of Flood Forecasting Model using HEC models (HEC-HMS, HEC-RAS, etc.) in Ethiopia and Sudan (A.A. & Khartoum Universities)

Flood Risk Mapping & Community Flood Preparedness Action Plans for Pilot areas

Enhancing satellite precipitation estimate and hydrological models in Egypt

Two annual flood forums are conducted in Khartoum, and Cairo the third is planned for January 2010 in Ethiopia 2 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)

Pilot Flood Preparedness and Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency Response Emergency Response (cont’d)(cont’d)

Flood Prone Areas – Pilot areas

3 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)

Ethiopia Sudan

Pilot Flood Preparedness and Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency ResponseEmergency Response

HEC-RAS / HEC-GeoRAS model development and calibration procedure

4 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)

Pilot Flood Preparedness and Pilot Flood Preparedness and Emergency ResponseEmergency Response Plan view of the extent of flooding for the Gumara and

Ribb Rivers for the 100 year flow 

5

Key IssuesKey Issues

6 Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I) Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)Flood Preparedness and Early Warning Project (FPEW I)

Lack of good quality hydrological (flow) data for model calibration in Ethiopia and Sudan

Establishing and operating real time gauging stations

Data Communication system & data sharing between agencies & countries

Very short lead time (in hours) in Ethiopia Lack of capacity to predict short period rainfall

data (NWP); (NMA still trying to verify results from Eta and MM5 models)

Institution and Staff capacity building in flood forecasting & hydrological models

Sustainability of flood forecasting systems (e.g. Sudan FEWS)