nitle shared academics: an open discussion of future trends
DESCRIPTION
At a time of rapid, systemic change, liberal arts campuses must plan strategically for future success and sustainability. We also must prepare students to succeed in that open-ended future. Join this open discussion of future trends at liberal arts colleges led by NITLE Senior Fellow Bryan Alexander, futurist, researcher, writer, speaker, consultant, teacher, and author of Future Trends in Technology and Education, a monthly report that surveys recent developments in how education is changing, primarily under the impact of digital technologies.TRANSCRIPT
An Open Discussion of Future Trends
Glimpses of the future of education
-Bryan AlexanderDecember 2013
1. Overview2. Education3. Technology4. Education
and technology
5. Bubble?
Monthly environmental scan report
Trends identified, tested, projected
FTTE reports, January-December 2013
FTTE reports, January-December 2013
Education trends
International students -> US “universities building up” Adjunctification rising
Education trends
Alternative certification (competency, badges)
Northeast, midwest youth population and debt
US job changes (manufact->service, 1->many, declining participation, automation)
Enrollment decline?
Athletics are doing just fine
Weaker .edu trendlines
shared academic services executive compensation
rising amid controversy challenges to internships possible intergenerational
tensions library budgets
Technology trends
social media
digital video
cloud wars
augmented reality
automation and artificial intelligence
Technology trends
crowdfunding growing copyright battles continue durability of Moore’s Law office versus Web office
Technology ecosystem
Beyond the PC
"When we were an agrarian nation, all cars were trucks because that's what you needed on the farms." Cars became more popular as cities rose, and things like power steering and automatic transmission became popular…
"PCs are going to be like trucks," Jobs said. "They are still going to be around." However, he said, only "one out of x people will need them."
http://news.cnet.com/8301-13860_3-20006526-56.html ; image via Wikipedia
PCs getting crowded out
Mouse and keyboard declining
Mobile first 3d printing
mainstreaming
3d tv dying
Weaker tech trendlines
the limits of the Web
onshoring hardware production
Are ebooks about to plateau?
Nicholas Carr, linked http://bryanalexander.org/2013/08/15/have-ebooks-plateaued/
Teaching and learning and tech
Teaching and learning and tech
blended/flipped classroom
rise of the net.generation
gaming in education
Teaching and learning and tech
campus digital security threats growing
educational entrepreneurship
big data and data analytics develop
Uses of social media
Uses of Web video
Changes in the LMS world
Blended learning
Learning analytics
Changes in library role
Digital humanities (in classroom)
The rise of the Maker movement
MOOCs
Credit for MOOCs STEM vs humanities Sustainability? xMOOC vs cMOOC Liberal arts campuses entering
A higher education bubble?
Continued cost/value crisis Student and parent anxieties
about debt and employment Grad school crises Bipartisan political pressure
Perhaps not
College premium persists
Debt closer to car ownership
Endowments returning, maybe (11%+ in 2013)
Bryan’s thinkinghttp://bryanalexander.org
Bryan on Twitterhttp://twitter.com/BryanAlexander
Bryan’s workinghttp://
bryanalexanderconsulting.com