non-tradable share reform in china’s capital...

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FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed. Qi Qi Bin Bin Director, Research Center Director, Research Center China Securities Regulatory Commission China Securities Regulatory Commission Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Markets Feb., 2007 Feb., 2007 Hanoi Hanoi

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Page 1: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

QiQi BinBinDirector, Research CenterDirector, Research CenterChina Securities Regulatory CommissionChina Securities Regulatory Commission

Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Markets

Feb., 2007Feb., 2007HanoiHanoi

Page 2: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

AgendaAgenda

1. Chinese Capital Markets

2. Non-tradable Share Reform

3. Parallel Reforms of Chinese Capital Markets

4. Challenges and Initiatives

Page 3: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

1. Chinese Capital Markets1. Chinese Capital Markets

1990 - Shanghai Stock Exchange opened1991 - Shenzhen Stock Exchange opened1992 - The first B shares were issued to foreign investors1992 - CSRC was established1993 - The first H-share company (Tsingtao Brewery) was listed in HK1993 - Company Law was promulgated1998 - The first securities investment fund was launched1998 - Securities Law was passed by the Congress2001 - Domestic investors were allowed to invest in B shares2002 - QFII scheme started off2003 - Securities Investment Fund Law was promulgated2004 - State Council's Instructions Regarding Advancing Reform, Opening and Stable Development of Capital Markets released2004 - The Small & Medium Enterprises Board was launched2005 - Notices about Questions Related to the Listing of Non-tradable Shares was issued by the CSRC2005 - Revised Securities Law and Company Law were passed by the Congress

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005Regulation,Standardization &

InternationalizationExpansion Clean-upStarting off

Page 4: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Number of Listed CompaniesNumber of Listed Companies

Overview of the MarketsOverview of the Markets

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

1800

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number of Listed Companies(A,B Share) Number of Listed Companies(B Share)

Page 5: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Overview of the MarketsOverview of the Markets

A-share Market: Full Spectrum of Chinese EconomyA-share Market: Full Spectrum of Chinese Economy

Others 2%Public

Utility 1%

Integrated2%

Commerce 3%

Real Estate3%

InformationTechnology

3%

Electricity4%

Manufacture28%

Finance 38%

Mining 9%

Transportation 7%

Page 6: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

BackgroundProblems Caused by the IssuePrinciples and Strategies of the ReformProgress

2. Non2. Non--tradable Share Reformtradable Share Reform

Page 7: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

BackgroundBackground

The Origin of Non-tradable Share IssueTransition from planning economy to market economyConcerns on state-asset reductionAttempt to maintain state control over listed companiesA holding-off approach: shares owned by the state and legal persons not allowed to trade tentatively (Non-tradable share issue)Non-tradable shares accounted for 64% of total shares (12/2004)

Page 8: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Problems Caused by NonProblems Caused by Non--tradable Share Issuetradable Share Issue

Distortion of pricing mechanism of the capital marketsProvide no common interest for public and non-tradable

shareholders (corporate governance)Failed to evaluate and manage state asset on a market basisCreated great uncertainties for the marketDeviated from international practicesFailed attempts (1999 and 2002)

Page 9: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

PrinciplesPrinciples

Follow the market rules: win-win situationMaintain market stability Protect the legitimate interests of investors, especially the public investorsNo non-tradable share issue for new IPO’sTake the reform as an opportunity to promote the capital market in a national level and initiate a series of reforms

Page 10: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

StrategiesStrategies

Implementing uniform rules, customizing individual solutions: the pricing of the “trading right” not decided by regulatory authority, but to be decided by negotiation between and among tradable and non-tradable shareholders, and endorsed by 2/3 of the public investors (on average: 3/10)

Pilot program to be followed by other companies Other supporting measures and policies: lock-up period and trading restrictions on the selling of non-tradable shares after the conversion

Balanced Initiatives: pace of the non-tradable share reform, market stability, other coordinated reforms

Page 11: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

ProgressProgress

29 April 2005, 1st batch of 4 companies participated in the pilot programJune 2005, 2nd batch of 42 companies joined the reformNov. 2005, 35 large state-owned companies joined the reformAs of Dec. 2006, 96% of the listed companies completed the reform

Page 12: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Reform of IPO process (ICBC IPO)Establishment of incentive structure for listed companies Development of institution investorsIntroduction of QFII/QDIIChange of investment philosophy

3. Parallel Reforms in Chinese Capital Markets3. Parallel Reforms in Chinese Capital Markets

Page 13: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

112 Stocks by Fundamentals

Shanghai Comp. Index

Differentiation in Chinese Capital MarketsDifferentiation in Chinese Capital Markets

Page 14: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Chinese Capital Markets in 2006Chinese Capital Markets in 2006

Incentive structure

50% of companies reformed

IPO resumed

BOC IPO

QFII rules revision

IPO rule revision

PetroChina joined the reform

ICBC IPO (A+H)

Adopted international accounting standard

ChinaLife IPO

Page 15: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Market cap grew from RMB 3 trn. To 9 trn.

IPO’s (BOC, ICBC), newly raised fund RMB 280 bn

Securities Companies walked out of shadow

Institutional Investors: 30% of total market cap.

More diversified structure of listed companies, representing Chinese economy

Impact on Chinese economy and society

Outcomes of the ReformsOutcomes of the Reforms

Page 16: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY –No portion of this communication may be reproduced or redistributed.

Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

4. Challenges and Initiatives4. Challenges and Initiatives

Data Source:China Annual Report on Financial and Futures Markets

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003

Loans(%)

Domestic Equity Financing(%)

Domestic Debt Financing

Page 17: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

InitiativesInitiatives

Deepening Liberalization ReformReform of non-tradable shares; IPO reform

M&A, delisting of public companies

Improving Regulatory SystemEstablishment of multi-layer regulatory system

Fine balance to allow financial innovation

Improvement of Legal StructureLegal framework (revised Securities Law & Companies Law)

Improvement of enforcement

Fostering Healthy “Capital Market Culture”Respect for shareholders; fiduciary trust; professionalism; investor education

Page 18: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

US vs. ChinaUS vs. China

2

12

17

0.5

024681012141618

China US

GDP

Market Cap

$trillion

Page 19: Non-tradable Share Reform in China’s Capital Marketssiteresources.worldbank.org/PSGLP/Resources/QiBin.pdf · 2007-03-16 · Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

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Non-tradable Share Reform in Chinese Capital markets

Thank [email protected](8610) 88061353

Q & AQ & A