north dakota pipeline authority 12-30-2010 north dakota pipeline authority 600 e. boulevard ave....
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North Dakota Pipeline Authority Justin J. Kringstad
December 30, 2010
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December 29, 2010: 156 Drilling Rigs
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North Dakota Crude Oil
Prediction is very difficult,
especially if it's about the future.
-Niels Bohr
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D a
y North Dakota Oil Production and Price
History Bakken - Three Forks P10 Bakken - Three Forks P50
Bakken - Three Forks P90 $/Barrel History & DOE-EIA Projected $/Barrel P50
$/Barrel P10
Forecasting Williston Basin Oil Production, BOPD
Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.
Today
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Forecasting Williston Basin Oil Production, BOPD
Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.
Today
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Challenges*
1) Moving oil out of the
Williston Basin
2) Moving oil within the
Williston Basin
*Modified from Bridger and Belle Fourche Pipelines
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1
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58,000 BOPD
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Current - 118,000 BOPD
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Phase VI: 161,500 BOPD
Up to 185,000 BOPD Q1 2011
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Rail Transportation
EOG – Stanley, ND
Dakota Transport Solutions – New Town, ND
Others Include: Minot Dore Stampede Donnybrook
Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD
Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.
Today
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The future starts today,
not tomorrow.
-Pope John Paul II
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Several Exciting Developments For Post 2010 Crude Oil Transport
Enbridge Bakken Expansion Program
Keystone XL Marketlink
True Co.’s Baker 300
Plains Bakken North
Unit Train Development 16
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Bakken Pipeline Expansion
Saskatchewan Manitoba
Enbridge Pipelines (North Dakota)
North Dakota Minnesota Montana
Reserve Grenora
Alexander
BEAVER LODGE
Stanley
Lignite
BERTHOLD
Minot
CLEARBROOK
Trenton
CROMER
Weyburn Steelman
Midale
Alida
Portal Link
Virden
EPI Mainline
Plaza
Dunn
McGregor
Bakken Pipeline Expansion Project: Berthold to Cromer
SORTI
Phase 7 Beaver Lodge Looping Project: Beaver Lodge to Berthold
EPND Phase 7 Gathering Projects: SORTI, Dunn, Plaza and McGregor
Proposed TransCanada Marketlink
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• Binding Open Season Complete
• Q1 2013 Proposed Startup
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http://www.transcanada.com/index.html
Proposed Quintana BakkenLink
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Capacity: 100,000 BOPD
Proposed Startup: Q1 – 2013
Size: 304 Miles, 10”-16”
Open Season Started: September 27th
True Co.’s Proposed “Baker 300”
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Butte Pipeline Capacity Current: 118,000 BOPD Q1 2011: 150,000 BOPD
Q1 2012: 200,000 BOPD (w/Loop)
Keystone XL Interconnect Q1 2013: 100,000 BOPD
Plains Bakken North Pipeline
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Proposed Capacity 50,000-75,000 BOPD
Q4 2012
New 103 Miles, 12” Pipeline Reverse Wascana Pipeline
$160-$200 Million
Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD
Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.
*Projects still in the proposed or internal review process
Today
Pipeline Transportation Only
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Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD
Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.
*Projects still in the proposed or internal review process
Today
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North Dakota Truck Imports/Exports
Information collected through the United States International Trade Commission’s Interactive Tariff and Trade DataWeb
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ay
Crude Exports
Crude Imports
*Modified from Bridger and Belle Fourche Pipelines
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1
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Challenges*
1) Moving oil out of the
Williston Basin
2) Moving oil within the
Williston Basin
Reducing Truck Traffic
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Bridger Four Bears Q1 2011
60,000 BOPD Approx 300 Truckloads/Day
Enbridge SORTI/Dunn Anticipated Q2 2012 Up to 100,000 BOPD
Approx 500 Truckloads/Day
Rangeland COLT Hub and Pipeline
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Gathering, Storage, & Transportation
Tie into Enbridge & Tesoro (20 Mile - 8” - 40,000 BOPD)
Anticipated Dec 2011
210,000 Barrels of Tankage
Rail up to 27,000 BOPD initially (Expandable up to 60,000)
Natural Gas Projects
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Natural Gas Challenges
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ND Gas Gathering Statistics
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Wells With Gas Sales
Wells Without Gas Sales
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$2.2 - $2.5 BILLION In the Next 1-3 Yrs 32
New or Expanding Gas Plants
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Hess Tioga Gas Plant Current: 110 MMCFD Q4 2012: 250 MMCFD
ONEOK Garden Creek Plant Q4 2011: 100 MMCFD
Hiland Partners Watford City Plant Q1 2011: 50 MMCFD
Saddle Butte Pipeline Q4 2010: 45 MMCFD
ONEOK Stateline I Plant Q3 2012: 100 MMCFD
Raw Natural Gas Processing Plant
Consumer Quality Natural
Gas
Methane and Ethane
Propane
Butane
Natural Gasoline
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Natural Gas Processing Current Status
Natural Gas Liquids
“Y-Grade” if left
fractionated
Raw Natural Gas Processing Plant
Consumer Quality Natural
Gas Methane
Ethane
Propane
Butane
Natural Gasoline
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Natural Gas Processing With Ethane Extraction
Natural Gas Liquids
“Y-Grade” if left
fractionated
North Dakota Natural Gas Liquids
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