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  • North Dakota Pipeline Authority Justin J. Kringstad

    December 30, 2010

  • 3

    December 29, 2010: 156 Drilling Rigs

    3

  • 4

    North Dakota Crude Oil

  • Prediction is very difficult,

    especially if it's about the future.

    -Niels Bohr

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    D a

    y North Dakota Oil Production and Price

    History Bakken - Three Forks P10 Bakken - Three Forks P50

    Bakken - Three Forks P90 $/Barrel History & DOE-EIA Projected $/Barrel P50

    $/Barrel P10

  • Forecasting Williston Basin Oil Production, BOPD

    Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

    Today

    7

  • Forecasting Williston Basin Oil Production, BOPD

    Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

    Today

    8

  • Challenges*

    1) Moving oil out of the

    Williston Basin

    2) Moving oil within the

    Williston Basin

    *Modified from Bridger and Belle Fourche Pipelines

    2

    1

    9

  • 58,000 BOPD

    10

  • Current - 118,000 BOPD

    11

  • Phase VI: 161,500 BOPD

    Up to 185,000 BOPD Q1 2011

    12

  • 13 13

    Rail Transportation

    EOG – Stanley, ND

    Dakota Transport Solutions – New Town, ND

    Others Include: Minot Dore Stampede Donnybrook

  • Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD

    Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

    Today

    14

  • The future starts today,

    not tomorrow.

    -Pope John Paul II

    15

  • Several Exciting Developments For Post 2010 Crude Oil Transport

    Enbridge Bakken Expansion Program

    Keystone XL Marketlink

    True Co.’s Baker 300

    Plains Bakken North

    Unit Train Development 16

  • 17 17

    Bakken Pipeline Expansion

    Saskatchewan Manitoba

    Enbridge Pipelines (North Dakota)

    North Dakota Minnesota Montana

    Reserve Grenora

    Alexander

    BEAVER LODGE

    Stanley

    Lignite

    BERTHOLD

    Minot

    CLEARBROOK

    Trenton

    CROMER

    Weyburn Steelman

    Midale

    Alida

    Portal Link

    Virden

    EPI Mainline

    Plaza

    Dunn

    McGregor

    Bakken Pipeline Expansion Project: Berthold to Cromer

    SORTI

    Phase 7 Beaver Lodge Looping Project: Beaver Lodge to Berthold

    EPND Phase 7 Gathering Projects: SORTI, Dunn, Plaza and McGregor

  • Proposed TransCanada Marketlink

    18

    • Binding Open Season Complete

    • Q1 2013 Proposed Startup

    18

    http://www.transcanada.com/index.html

  • Proposed Quintana BakkenLink

    19

    Capacity: 100,000 BOPD

    Proposed Startup: Q1 – 2013

    Size: 304 Miles, 10”-16”

    Open Season Started: September 27th

  • True Co.’s Proposed “Baker 300”

    20

    Butte Pipeline Capacity Current: 118,000 BOPD Q1 2011: 150,000 BOPD

    Q1 2012: 200,000 BOPD (w/Loop)

    Keystone XL Interconnect Q1 2013: 100,000 BOPD

  • Plains Bakken North Pipeline

    21

    Proposed Capacity 50,000-75,000 BOPD

    Q4 2012

    New 103 Miles, 12” Pipeline Reverse Wascana Pipeline

    $160-$200 Million

  • Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD

    Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

    *Projects still in the proposed or internal review process

    Today

    Pipeline Transportation Only

    22

  • Williston Basin Oil Production & Export Capacity, BOPD

    Production forecast is for visual demonstration purposes only and should not be considered accurate for any near or long term planning.

    *Projects still in the proposed or internal review process

    Today

    23

  • North Dakota Truck Imports/Exports

    Information collected through the United States International Trade Commission’s Interactive Tariff and Trade DataWeb

    24

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    Crude Exports

    Crude Imports

  • *Modified from Bridger and Belle Fourche Pipelines

    2

    1

    25

    Challenges*

    1) Moving oil out of the

    Williston Basin

    2) Moving oil within the

    Williston Basin

  • Reducing Truck Traffic

    26

    Bridger Four Bears Q1 2011

    60,000 BOPD Approx 300 Truckloads/Day

    Enbridge SORTI/Dunn Anticipated Q2 2012 Up to 100,000 BOPD

    Approx 500 Truckloads/Day

  • Rangeland COLT Hub and Pipeline

    27

    Gathering, Storage, & Transportation

    Tie into Enbridge & Tesoro (20 Mile - 8” - 40,000 BOPD)

    Anticipated Dec 2011

    210,000 Barrels of Tankage

    Rail up to 27,000 BOPD initially (Expandable up to 60,000)

  • Natural Gas Projects

    28 28

  • Natural Gas Challenges

    29

  • ND Gas Gathering Statistics

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    Wells With Gas Sales

    Wells Without Gas Sales

  • 31

  • $2.2 - $2.5 BILLION In the Next 1-3 Yrs 32

  • New or Expanding Gas Plants

    33

    Hess Tioga Gas Plant Current: 110 MMCFD Q4 2012: 250 MMCFD

    ONEOK Garden Creek Plant Q4 2011: 100 MMCFD

    Hiland Partners Watford City Plant Q1 2011: 50 MMCFD

    Saddle Butte Pipeline Q4 2010: 45 MMCFD

    ONEOK Stateline I Plant Q3 2012: 100 MMCFD

  • Raw Natural Gas Processing Plant

    Consumer Quality Natural

    Gas

    Methane and Ethane

    Propane

    Butane

    Natural Gasoline

    34

    Natural Gas Processing Current Status

    Natural Gas Liquids

    “Y-Grade” if left

    fractionated

  • Raw Natural Gas Processing Plant

    Consumer Quality Natural

    Gas Methane

    Ethane

    Propane

    Butane

    Natural Gasoline

    35

    Natural Gas Processing With Ethane Extraction

    Natural Gas Liquids

    “Y-Grade” if left

    fractionated

  • North Dakota Natural Gas Liquids

    36

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