northam platinum limited - this will soon be the new...
TRANSCRIPT
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Northam Platinum Limited
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• Listed on JSE since 1987. Admitted to JSE Social Responsibility Index in 2006
• Wholly owns and operates the Northam platinum mine. Finalised terms to acquire 100% of Booysendalplatinum project
• Set to increase resource base from 18Moz to 121Moz
• Only independent, fully integrated PGM producer with ownership of full beneficiation stream
• Strategic advantage as major BEE-controlled operator
Introducing Northam
4
• Twin shaft system, with mining depths of between 1,200 and 2,200m
• Two concentrators, smelter and base metals removal plant on site
• Access to independent precious metals refining
• Independent metals marketing to established global customer base
• Pioneered the low environmental impact hydro-powered mining methods in South Africa
• Patented, innovative metallurgical applications reduce chrome build-up and improve precious metals recovery
Capacity, infrastructure, expertise
5
Where we are
Everest
LimpopoN
Dwaalkop
Booysendal JV
Legendowned by Mvela
owned by Northam
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Northam mine – quick overview
4.4Moz (4E)Produced to date
16 years*LOM
18.2 Moz*Resources
9.9 Moz*Reserves
R183 million*Capex
$584/oz*Cash costs
324 296oz (4E)*Production
2.27 Mt*Tons milled
1993First production
*Financial year 2007
Source BJM
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Established track record
*After dividend distributions
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UG2 increasingly important
2.5:1 2.2:1 2.0:1 1.6:1 1.4:1 1.4:1
Ratio %
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… helped by the rhodium price
MERENSKY
UG2
Metal splits Revenue
R 377 000/kg
R 439 000/kg
Metal prices usedPt – $1 700 /ozPd – $370 /ozRh –$7 000 /ozAu - $820 /oz
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Sustained growth in basket prices
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
1 800
2 000
Jul-0
6Aug
-06Sep
-06Oct-
06Nov
-06Dec
-06Ja
n-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-0
7Ju
l-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
Jan-0
8Feb
-08Mar-
08
US$
/oz
150 000
200 000
250 000
300 000
350 000
400 000
450 000
R/k
g
Basket Price (US$/oz) Basket Price (R/kg) Ave Basket H107 Ave Basket H207 Ave Basket H108
R304 494/kg
R264 866/kg
R291 547/kg
H2 2008 average (to date) – R398 517/kg
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Northam in context
Northam
Company Reports, BJM Calculations, February 2008
Recovered yield: 6E g/t Pt g/t*
* Dec 2008
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Northam in context
Company Reports, BJM Calculations, February 2008
Northam
Cash operating costs: R/oz Pt*
* Dec 2008
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Northam in context
Northam
Total costs: 6E including capex*
* Dec 2008
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Yet, constraints remain…
• Current life of mine of 16 years
• Limited production growth within Northam lease
• Risk associated with single operating asset
• Power and safety: potential impact on performance (23 days production lost in H1 2008)
• Current shareholding structure restricts corporate and management flexibility
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Booysendal Transaction Overview
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Transaction overview
• Mvela Resources acquiring, for R4 billion in cash, Anglo Platinum’s
• 50% interest in Booysendal
• entire interest of 53 million Northam shares
• Northam to acquire full ownership of Booysendal (100%) for 121 million new ordinary shares
• Mvela Resources to become controlling shareholder of Northam with 62.9% shareholding
The only, fully independent, black-owned and controlled, fully integrated PGE producer,
with substantial life
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Shareholding - Fully BEE compliant
Current structure Resultant structure
Northam mine
Booysendal
MvelaHoldings
AfripalmResources
MvelaResources
Anglo Platinum
Northam
22.7% 19.1%
22.4%21.8%
100%
50%50%
Northam mine Booysendal
MvelaHoldings
AfripalmResources
MvelaResources
Northam
22.7% 19.1%
63.4%
100% 100%
Empowered
Empowerment
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Key factors for Mvela Resources
4.31g/t (3PGE+Au)4.35g/t (3PGE+Au)
Control pipeline from mine to market – no value leakageValueControl of decision makingIndependentEstablished, technically competent managementExpertiseAlternative organic growth optionsGrowthUG2 Merensky
Grade: in situ
High platinum (ratio of 1.8:1 Pt:Pd)Prill splitDip 8° - 10° westSurface access
Quality
14.5 km strike lengthApprox 15 130 hectares103 million oz resource
Size
A new value proposition for Mvela Resources
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Rationale for Mvela Resources
• Excellent fundamentals for the platinum sector:
• Positive outlook for PGM prices
• Sector previously identified for growth
• Size and quality of Booysendal resource – world class
• Technical and operational experience and stability of, Northam management – offer key competencies
• Fragmented nature of the junior PGM sector will continue to offer opportunities – provides platform for growth
2020
Time line to completion
Circular to shareholders March 2008
Shareholders’ meetings April 2008
Conclusion of transaction May 2008
2121
Why Booysendal?
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What the transaction brings to Northam
• Larger asset base –significantly reducing risk profile
• Potential to at least double production
• Quality resource: 103 Moz (4E) ± 100 yrs LOM
• Reduction of average unit costs
• Control of fully independent beneficiation stream - mine to market
• Strategic advantage as major BEE-controlled operator Source: BJM
2323
Progress to date
Completed• Agreement reached with Anglo Platinum on
ancillary assets:• Electrical power (16MVA)• Water (7 Megalitres per day)• Tailings dam and rock dump waste sites (Der Brochen or
Booysendal)• Access to Booysendal (over Der Brochen)
• Competition Board approval obtainedOutstanding• CPR in progress – completion by begin Feb 2008• Shareholders’ approval – April 2008 IN PROGRESS
Ensuring the viability and sustainability of Booysendal
2424
Project context: the neighbourhood
Two Rivers
Mototolo
Eastplats
Eastplats - Sylvania
BooysendalEverest South
Der Brochen37km
14.5km
5 km
N
MRUG2
2525
Getting to know the project8km
14.5km
ConcentratorTailings
Roads,power& water
Projectboundary
UG2outcrop
Merenskyoutcrop
NSt George’s Fault
Der Brochen Valley
2626
Project context: completed drilling
Buttonshope51 JT
Draaikraal48 JT Sheep-
run50 JT
Uysedoorns47 JT
Pietersburg44 JT
Johannes-burg45 JT
Booysendal43 JT
Kliprivier73 JT
Der Brochen7 JT
Hebron5 JT
N
LegendUG2 OutcropMerensky OutcropBoreholes
0 4km
Initial target area7.5km
2727
Merensky & UG2 reefs
8kmUG2
Merensky
Land surface
Everest
Northern boundary
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Indicative mine planning – initial target area
UG2stoping
UG2 decline systems
Merensky decline systems
1.5km
1.5km 7.5km
2km
Initial target area – 30 year life
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2929
Conceptual capital forecasts
• Total estimated capex of R7.1 billion (excluding smelter capex of ±R1.2 billion) covers 30 year LOM for first phase
Mining54%
Concentrator28%
Tailings dams8%
Surface infrastructure
6%
Housing4%
3030
Capex underpinned by production build-up
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Build-up (ktpm) Initial Capex (R million)
ktpm R million
3131
Rapidly into production2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Pre feasibility studyBankable feasibility study
Mining Decline 1 PortalMining
Decline 2 PortalMining
Decline 3 PortalMining
Decline 4 PortalMining
Decline 5 PortalMining
Concentrator Order MillsConstruction
Tailings Dams Construction
SurfaceInfrastructure
RoadsWaterElectricity
Housing
commission concentrator
production from underground
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Smelting and refining
• Possible R1 200 million for centralised smelting facility at Northam
• Base metal removal and nickel refining capacity
• Second DC ARC furnace to provide flexibility
• Opportunity to treat additional concentrate
• Long-term plan to expand the independent Heraeus refinery in Port Elizabeth
3333
Putting Booysendal in context
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A great deal….
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Xstrata
/Eland
Xstrata
/Eland
(incl.
Madi)
Wesizwe/A
frica W
ideAfrio
re / L
onmin
Afr.Pt /
Impla
tsS.Plat
/ Lon
minNHM/Boo
ysend
al
US$/4E oz Transaction cost – US$/resource oz
350
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
Attr
ibut
able
PG
M 4
E k
ozProject context: mineral resources
35
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Project context: Mineral resourcesA
ttrib
utab
le P
GM
4E
koz
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0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Smok
ey H
ills
Mar
eesb
urg
Gro
otbo
om
Pant
on
Gra
ss V
alle
y
Kalp
lats
De
Wild
t
Blue
Rid
ge
Aur
ora
Mot
otol
o
WBJ
V
Pila
nesb
erg
Dre
nthe
Ledi
g
M'Pha
tlel
e
Cro
c Ri
ver
Sedi
belo
Sheb
a
Mok
opan
e
Elan
d
Rooi
poor
t
Aka
nani
Tjat
e
Spitz/
KV
Ga
Phas
a
Leeu
wko
p
Booy
send
al
Lebo
wa
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Moz gradeRBC research February 2008
Booysendal
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Project context: Resource and value
37
NPV (size of 'bubble')
Caledonia
Nkwe
Aquarius
Northam
Eastplats Anooraq
Eland
Jubilee
Barrick
PlatAus
PTM
Ridge
Wesizwe
Platmin
PanPalladiumAIM
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
-20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Attributable Resource (Moz PGM)
Ave
rage
PG
M y
ield
(g/t)
RBC research February 2008
38
Project context: Metal content
38
Project 4E % prill split
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
Sheb
a
Aur
ora
Rooi
poor
t
Mok
opan
e
Pant
on
Dre
nthe
Gra
ss V
alle
y
Ga
Phas
a
Aka
nani
Smok
ey H
ills
Tjat
e
Kalp
lats
Lebo
wa
M'P
hatlel
e
Sedi
belo
Mar
eesb
urg
Gro
otbo
om
Spitz/
KV
Booy
send
al
De
Wild
t
Leeu
wko
p
Mot
otol
o
Pila
nesb
erg
Blue
Rid
ge
Cro
c Ri
ver
Elan
d
WBJ
V
Ledi
g
Pt Pd Rh AuRBC research February 2008
Booysendal Pt content similar to w Limb projects
39
Project context: Depth
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Average project depth (metres)
-1,600
-1,400
-1,200
-1,000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
Aka
nani
Leeu
wko
p Tj
ate
Blue
Rid
geLe
dig
WBJ
VEl
and
Pant
on
Gro
otbo
omRo
oipo
ort
Spit
z/KV
Ga
Phas
a
Lebo
wa
Cro
c Ri
ver
Sedi
belo
M'P
hatl
ele
Sheb
aD
e W
ildt
Booy
send
alPi
lane
sber
g
Aur
ora
Kalp
lats
Dre
nthe
Gra
ssSm
okey
Hill
s
Mar
eesb
urg
Mot
otol
o
Mok
opan
e
Booysendal
RBC research February 2008
40
Project context: Relative capex and production
40
PGM ounce per annum per USD of Capex
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Dre
nthe
/
Mar
eesb
urg
M'P
hatlel
e
Elan
dsfo
ntei
n
Kala
hari P
latinu
m
Ga
Phas
a
Smok
ey H
ills
Sedi
belo
Pila
nesb
erg
Cro
codi
le R
iver
Pant
on
Gra
ss V
alle
y
Leeu
wko
p
Aur
ora
De
Wild
t
Ledi
g Fr
isch
Spitzk
op/K
enVa
le
Aka
nani
WBJ
V
Mok
opan
e
Blue
Rid
ge
Rooi
poor
t
Sheb
a's Ri
dge
Tjat
e
Booy
send
al
Gro
otbo
om
Mot
otol
o
PGM
oz
Booysendal
RBC research February 2008
41
Project context: Sensitivity
41
% Change in NPV for a 20% change in the platinum price
00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.9
1
Mok
opan
eR
ooip
oort
Dre
nthe
Pant
onK
alpl
ats
Boo
ysen
dal
Ledi
g Fr
isch
Lebo
wa
Pila
nesb
erg
De
Wild
tG
rass
Mot
otol
oTj
ate
Aka
nani
Ga
Phas
haEl
and
Aur
ora
Leeu
wko
pSe
dibe
loW
BJV
Blu
eRid
geSp
itz/K
VM
'Pha
tlele
Gro
otbo
omSh
eba'
sM
aree
sbur
gC
rocR
iver
Smok
ey
Rooipoort and Makopane well over 100%
Based on our estimates for Booysendal, it also seems to be very highly geared to the platinum price
RBC research February 2008
42
Bringing Northam down the cost curve
Northam‘New’NorthamBooysendal
43
Indicative Phase 1 NPV table1
4 1733 7593 3472 9342 5152 094NPV @ 15.0% (Rmillion)
6 0995 5745 0494 5243 9943 461NPV @ 12.5% (Rmillion)
8 8948 2117 5296 8476 1595 468NPV @ 10.0% (R million)
13 04612 13511 22410 3139 3978 478NPV @ 7.5% (R million)
8.007.757.507.257.006.75ZAR/US$ Exchange Rate
1 Illustrative values based on preliminary technical scoping studies – subject to change pending completion of pre feasibility and bankable feasibility study.
Phase 1 mine – 30 years and ± 15% of resource
Note: LT prices used: Pt 1 500. Pd 350, Rh 5 000, Au 550, Ni 16 000, Cu 3500Capex R8.250bn (includes R1.2 billion for smelter, but no assumed revenue from smelter)Opex R372/tonne (average including smelting and refining costs)
44
Relative per ounce values of listed juniors
53.624025 398554.8299.7313.423Wesizwe
63.194741 77560.49829.343.745PTM
46.113465 88693.08963.2317.020Platmin
30.0022513 946532.27126.2061.990Eastern Platinum
12.83962 03090.72822.3721.093Ridge
15.891191 013155.1506.538.501Nkwe
24.181814 891148.22033.0026.967Anooraq
Value per PGE(4)oz $ (at 7.50)
Value/oz (R)
Market Capitalization
(Rm)
No. of shares (M)
Share Price (R)
Weighted Attributable
PGE(4) Moz *Company
At $10/oz remaining Booysendal resource worth over $800 million
45
Key points
• Additional area secured for Booysendal – extended outcrop on strike
• Power - 16MVA from Mototolo JV until Booysendalsubstation built (dependent on ESKOM)
• Water – 7Ml/day from existing Lebalelo Pipeline, thereafter allocation from De Hoop Dam
• Tailings – potential sites identified on Booysendal, additional assessment on Der Brochen underway
• Access – possible access over Der Brochen to north or Schaapkraal to east
46
Key points, cont’d
• Conceptual throughput of 400ktpm from up to five decline systems
• Conceptual capex of R7.1 billion secures life of up to 30 years
• Possible expansion of smelting facility at Northam –additional revenue stream?
• Significant growth potential risk diversification and value accretion
4747
Corporate Information
48
Northam Platinum Limited
56%Free float
PlatinumSector
92%Liquidity (% of free float mkt cap 12m)
NHMJSE Share code
R60.80 (US$7.81)Share price
238.38Shares in issue (m) #R14,494 (US$1,863m)Market Capitalisation (m)
Market Statistics*
*JSE market closing price – 21 February 2008Rand/US$ R7.78 Website: www.northam.co.za
Rene Rautenbach: [email protected]
Damian Smith: [email protected]
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Mvelaphanda Resources Limited
66%Free float
General MiningSector
81%Liquidity (% free float mkt cap 12m)
MVLJSE Share code
R52.10 (US$6.70)Share price
209.08Shares in issue (m) #R11,186 (US$1,438m)Market Capitalisation (m)
Market Statistics*
*JSE market closing price – 21 February 2008Rand/US$ R7.78 Website: www.mvelares.co.za
James Wellsted: [email protected]