nsc 42d 03/13/09 unclass1 fy09 professional development conference (pdc) 16 – 20 march 2009 15...
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NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 1
FY09 Professional Development Conference (PDC)
16 – 20 March 2009
15 March 2009
[email protected]’757-444-3520 ext 7135
Motorcycle Safety
Motorcycle Statistics and Demographics
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 2
• MC Registrations/Census
• Demographics
• Fatal Trends
• Fatality When/Where
• Fatal Factors
• Age Trends
• Bike Types
• Current Trends
• Discussion
Agenda
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 3
Motorcycle Registrations
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Ra
te o
f C
ha
ng
e
National Military
• National M/C registrations tripled since 1998
• Military M/C registrations tripled in 5 years.
Motorcycle Registrations (Indexed to 2003)
CLEOC & NHTSA
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 4
2006 National Motorcycle Sales
Sales Figures 2005 2006 % Change
Scooter 56,899 54,268 - 4.6%
Street 646,097 680,679 + 5.4%
Dual Sport 29,610 35,245 + 19.0%
Off-Road 276,982 252,140 - 9.0%
Total 1,009,588 1,022,332 + 1.3%
NHTSA
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 5
USN/USMC MC CENSUS
The current motorcycle census provides the most accurate measure of MC ridership.
The Census is soon to be incorporated into ESAMS for the Navy
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 6
Chasing Ridership
23.8 25 26.5
35.3 35.9
46.4 47.8
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
CLEOC9/07
1st Census1/07
Pre CMC9/08
CMC Msg10/08
Pre CNO11/08
CNO Msg11/08
Current03/09
Total
X 1
000
Motorcycle Census Data
NSC 42D
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 7
80%
64% 62% 58%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
USMC USA USN USAF
DoD MC Service ComparisonsFY 04 - 08
Personnel Under Age 30
DoD Motorcycle Class A Rates
Service Fatalities and Demographics compared
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Army Navy Air Force Marines
NSC 42D
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2003
(1Q)
2003
(2Q
)
2003
(3Q
)
2003
(4Q
)
2004
(1Q)
2004
(2Q
)
2004
(3Q
)
2004
(4Q
)
2005
(1Q)
2005
(2Q
)
2005
(3Q
)
2005
(4Q
)
2006
(1Q)
2006
(2Q
)
2006
(3Q
)
2006
(4Q
)
2007
(1Q)
2007
(2Q
)
2007
(3Q
)
2007
(4Q
)
2008
(1Q
)
2008
(2Q
)
2008
(3Q
)
2008
(4Q
)
4-Wheel Motorcycle Linear (4-Wheel) Linear (Motorcycle)
PMV Fatality TrendsR
ate
per
100
,000
per
son
nel
FY 03 – 08
NSC 42D
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 9
DoN PMV Fatality Trends FY 08R
ate
per
100
,000
per
son
nel
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
2007 (2Q) 2008 (1Q) 2008 (2Q) 2008 (3Q) 2008 (4Q)
Rate
Per
100.0
00 P
ers
on
nel
4-Wheel Motorcycle
For the first time,
The Motorcycle Fatalities exceeded Four-Wheel Vehicle Fatalities
NSC 42D
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 10
When and Where Crashes Occur
• Most fatalities occur: Within 50 miles of the installation
• Most dangerous months:
April to August• Most occur at night• Most occur on
weekends75% of Motorcycle Fatalities Occur from April to August
DoN PMV Fatalities(FY02-FY07)
5148
56
48
40
30
5658
50
60 60
49
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug SepNu
mber
of Fa
talitie
s
NSC 42D
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 11As of 03 Nov 08
WeekWeek
20072007
20062006
20082008
Total Fatals16
Total Fatals9
Total Fatals 15
Navy Fall Safety Campaign
MC MC MC
MC MC MC
MC
MC
PMV PMV PMV
PMV PMV PMV
PMV PMV
PMV PMV
PMV PMV PMV PMV PMV PMV PMV
MC PMV
PED
Through Week 9
11 22 33 44 55 66 77 88 99 1010 1111 1313 1212
PMV OD/R
OD/R
OD/R
OD/R PMV
OD/ROD/R
PMV PMV PMV
MC MC MC
PMV
AlcoholAlcoholVehicleVehicle MotorcycleMotorcycle Off-Duty/RecOff-Duty/Rec PedPedMC OD/R PMV PED
PED MC PMV
OD/R
02 Sep – 30 Nov 2008
NSC 50
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 12
WeekWeek 1 1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Critical Days of Summer Fatalities
20072007
20062006
AlcoholAlcohol
20082008
VehicleVehicle PMV MotorcycleMotorcycle Sports/RecSports/RecOff-Duty :Off-Duty :
Total Fatals
20
Total Fatals
32
Total Fatals
20
PEDPED
As of 25 Nov 08
S/R
PED
MC S/R
PMV PMV
MC
Week 15
PMV
PMV
S/R
S/R
PED
PMV
MC
S/R
S/R
PMV PMV MC
MC PMV MC PMV
MC
MC
MC
S/R
PMV
MC
MC
MC
MC
PMV
S/R
S/R
PMV
S/R
S/R
MC
PMV
MC
PMV
S/R
S/R
PMV
PMV
PMV
PMV
MC
PED
PMV
S/R S/R S/R
PMV
MC
PMV
MC
PMV
MC
PMV
PED
S/R
MC
S/R
MC
MC
PED
PMV
MC
MC
MC
S/R
MC
S/R
PMV
NSC 50
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 13
15%
45%52%
58%60%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Night Weekend Speed No Training Alcohol
USN/USMC, FY06 – FY08
Total Deaths - 139
PMV-2 Fatal Factors
33%
FY02-06
42%
FY02-06
60%
FY02-06
65%
FY02-06
unk%
FY02-06
NSC 50
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 14
Reported Common Violations
Violation Total
% of Total
Fatalities
No Helmet 7 12%
No License 16 28%
No Documented Training 25 45%
Narrative Total% of Total
Speeding, Lost Control 8 14%
Speeding, ran into vehicle. 2 4%
Ran into vehicle. 7 13%
Lost Control and hit object. 12 21%
Lost Control. 3 5%
Struck by vehicle pulling into traffic 1 2%
Stuck by oncoming vehicle 1 2%
Struck from behind. 0 0%
Other vehicle pulled out in front of SNM. 3 5%
NR/Unknown 19 34%
TOTAL 56 100%
Common Fatal Factors
NSC 42G
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 15
DON PMV-2 FATALITIES
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
AL AZ CA FL GA HI JA MA MD MI MS NC NV NY SC TX VA WA WI
FY 07
FY 08
PMV-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
AZ CA CO CT DE FL GA GU HI IN IT LA MD ME MI MO MS NC NH NJ NM NV NY OH OT PA RI SC TX UK VA WA WV
FY 07
FY 08
PMV-4
NSC 42G
NSC 42G
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 16
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
CY03-07 Collision Claims by Age
< 21 31-3521-25 36-40 41-45 46-50 51-55 56-60 61-65
supersport
non-supersport
≥ 6626-30
driver age IIHS
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 17
FY08 DoN Fatalities by Rank and Age
Rank TotalPercent of
Total
E1 2 3%
E2 5 9%
E3 11 19%
E4 9 16%
E5 15 26%
E6 6 10%
E7 4 7%
E8 2 3%
M2/C 1 2%
01 1 2%
02 1 2%
O3 1 2%
Total 58 100%
Age Total Percent of Total
18 1 2%
19 6 10%
20 6 10%
21 7 12%
22 5 9%
23 4 7%
24 1 2%
25 8 14%
26 1 2%
27 1 2%
28 1 2%
29 3 5%
30 1 2%
32 3 5%
33 2 3%
34 1 2%
36 2 3%
38 3 5%
40 2 3%
Total 58 100%
66% under 26
78% E6 & below
NSC 42G
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 18
Motorcycle Type Total % of Total
Honda CBR 600 Sport 8 14%
Suzuki GSXR 600 Sport 8 14%
Yamaha R1 600 Sport 7 13%
Kawasaki ZX600 Sport 5 9%
Suzuki Hayabusha 1300 Sport 3 5%
Suzuki GSX 750 Sport 2 4%
NR Sport 1 2%
Harley Softail 1000 Cruiser 1 2%
Yamaha YZF-R1 998 Sport 1 2%
Suzuki SV 650 K8 Sport 1 2%
Suzuki GSXR 1000 Sport 1 2%
Honda VTX 1300 Cruiser 1 2%
Yamaha YZF 600 Sport 1 2%
Honda 1000F Sport 1 2%
Harley Sportster 883 Cruiser 1 2%
Yamaha R6 600 Sport 1 2%
Harley Fat Boy 1450 Cruiser 1 2%
Yamaha FZ 600R Sport 1 2%
Suzuki GSXR 750 Sport 1 2%
Yamaha R2D Sport 1 2%
Yamaha V-Star 650 Cruiser 1 2%
Yamaha YZF-R600 Sport 1 2%
Harley Dyna Wide 1450 Cruiser 1 2%
Yamaha R1 1000 Sport 1 2%
Yamaha YZF 1000R Sport 1 2%
Harley Sportster 1200 Cruiser 1 2%
Honda CBR 1000 Sport 1 2%
Honda RVT 1000 Sport 1 2%
Honda CBR 954 Sport 1 2%
Total 56 100%
FY08 DoN MC Fatalities by Bike Model
600 cc Sport Bikes in 50% of DON MC Fatalities
•Bikes are affordable
•Fuel mileage up to 65MPG
•Insurance is affordable
•Power and handling characteristics are significant.
Sport Bikes are in 88% of FY08 Fatalities
NSC 42G
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 19
13
38 39
106
66
6
22
0
78
11 11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Intro Sport Standard Unk
National USN USMCValues are percentages of total Class A’s
FY07 Fatalities By Type Motorcycle
NSC 42D
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 20
13
38 39
10
0
88
12
00
88
12
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Intro Sport Standard Unk
National USN USMC
FY08 Fatalities By Type Motorcycle
Values are percentages
National IIHS CY05
Sport Cruiser Total
USN 29 4 33
USMC 22 3 25
51of 58 USN/USMC Fatalities in 2008 Were on Sport bikes (88%)
Fatalities
NSC 42G
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 21
Current Status• CNIC
– Contract update:
A. Contractor bid on 32 installations: currently servicing 70. B. Training classes are experiencing an effective rate of 64% utilization seats.
– Funding status: A. Not funded this year for surge/redeploy. Instructor travel is already spent for FY09.
– Range status: A. Currently have 55 ranges certified.
• CFPS– Number of Coaches Available: CFPS has 51 full time and 25 part time coaches
– Surge Capability: Cape Fox uses a modeling program to indentify routine training. The Fleet must provide the regions with their surge requirements.
– Trainer Motorcycle Availability: CFPS has ordered the motorcycles and is in the process of placing them throughout the regions.
– Simulator Status: CNIC has purchased 64 Simulators to distribute to the Regions
• Echelon IIs– Riders Trained to Date: Current NSC motorcycle census is utilized to identify required
training numbers. Fleet commands now need to track their riders by names, requirements and geographical location.
– Training Requirements:. ESAMS is being adapted to replace the Navy Census. A working group has been established to move this forward.
CNIC 02/13/09
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 22
Current USN PMV Fatalities
5.00 5.004.67
3.33
2.67
5.00 5.00 5.00
3.67
4.33
5.00
5.67 5.675.33
4.004.33
4.67
5.675.33
5.67
7.33 7.33
6.33
3.33
2.001.67
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
Dec
06
Jan
07
Feb
07
Mar
07
Apr
07
May
07
Jun
07
Jul 0
7
Aug
07
Sep
07
Oct
07
Nov
07
Dec
07
Jan
08
Feb
08
Mar
08
Apr
08
May
08
Jun
08
Jul 0
8
Aug
08
Sep
08
Oct
08
Nov
08
Dec
08
Jan
09
Fat
alit
ies
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
3.33
2.332.67
1.67 1.67
2.332.67
3.00 3.00
3.33 3.33
4.00
3.33 3.33
1.67
2.672.33
3.00
2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00
1.67
1.00 1.00 1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Dec
06
Jan
07
Feb
07
Mar
07
Apr
07
May
07
Jun
07
Jul 0
7
Aug
07
Sep
07
Oct
07
Nov
07
Dec
07
Jan
08
Feb
08
Mar
08
Apr
08
May
08
Jun
08
Jul 0
8
Aug
08
Sep
08
Oct
08
Nov
08
Dec
08
Jan
09
Fat
alit
ies
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
1.67
2.67
2.001.67
1.00
2.67
2.332.00
0.67 0.67
1.33 1.33
2.001.67
2.00
1.33
2.002.33
3.33 3.33
4.33 4.33
3.67
2.00
0.67 0.67
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
Dec
06
Jan
07
Feb
07
Mar
07
Apr
07
May
07
Jun
07
Jul 0
7
Aug
07
Sep
07
Oct
07
Nov
07
Dec
07
Jan
08
Feb
08
Mar
08
Apr
08
May
08
Jun
08
Jul 0
8
Aug
08
Sep
08
Oct
08
Nov
08
Dec
08
Jan
09
Fat
alit
ies
PMV2
FY 07 FY 08 FY 09
PMV - 2 PMV - 4
PMV • FY08•Increase in PMV-2 deaths
•Decrease in PMV-4 deaths
• FY09•PMV-2 & PMV-4 deaths trending down
NSC 50
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 23
Navy and Marine FY09 PMV Fatalities
03/13/09 NSC
•NAVYNAVY
•USMCUSMC
PMV4PMV4
6
8
PMV2PMV2
4
5
PEDPED
1
1
TOTALTOTAL
1414
2222
TOTAL:TOTAL: 4848
RODROD
3
8
NSC 42D 03/13/09UNCLASS 26
Navy and Marine Class A by MonthTotal per month from FY01 to FY06
5148
56
48
40
30
5658
50
60 60
49
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Critical Days of Summer
Winter Surviving
Driving Spring Break
NSC 42D