nursing shortages

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Nursing shortages aren’t what they used to be…….

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Nursing shortages

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Page 1: Nursing shortages

Nursing shortages aren’t what they used to be…….

Page 2: Nursing shortages

Nursing shortages…

• ..what we know

• How UK has responded in the past

• Current UK situation

• International context

• What next?

Page 3: Nursing shortages
Page 4: Nursing shortages

Shortages: what we know• There is no universal definition of a nursing shortage; increasing evidence of

nurse supply/ demand imbalances in many countries. Imbalances can be organisational, specialty based, regional, national ……(cyclical-”boom and bust”)

 • Supply of nurses in many countries, low income and high income, is failing

to keep pace with increasing demand [e.g. Sub-Saharan African countries = shortfall of + 600,000 nurses in relation to Millennium Development Goals targets]

• Gender-based discrimination continues in many countries = nursing undervalued as “women’s work”.

• There is a link between adequate nurse staffing levels and positive care outcomes.

 .

Page 5: Nursing shortages

UK and nursing shortages

• National policy control [£] of “supply”=• =How many “new” nurses to train• =What they are trained in……• =How many nurses to employ in NHS/ how

much to pay them• =How much £ to invest in their re-skilling• =How many non EU nurses to allow into UK• =when NHS nurses can retire…….

Page 6: Nursing shortages

UK: history of nursing shortages

• 1932: Lancet Commission on Nursing• 1939: Inter-Departmental Committee on

Nursing Services• 1947: Ministry of Health Working Party on the

Recruitment and Training of Nurses• 1972: (Briggs) Committee • 1975 (Halsbury) Commission • 1983 onward: - Nurses pay review body • 2009: Prime Ministers Commission Nursing

Page 7: Nursing shortages

UK: report on nursing shortages

• demand for care outstripping supply• nurse staffing difficulties in some regions/

specialties• increasing competition from other employers• “unjustified”/biased news coverage of conditions in

hospitals• need for increased use of support workers to “free

up” nurses• need for increased emphasis on staff retention,

attracting “married nurses” back to the health workforce

Page 8: Nursing shortages

UK: report on nursing shortages

• demand for care outstripping supply• nurse staffing difficulties in some regions/ specialties• increasing competition from other employers• “unjustified”/biased news coverage of conditions in

hospitals• need for increased use of support workers to “free up”

nurses• need for increased emphasis on staff retention, attracting

“married nurses” back to the health workforce

• (MINISTRY OF HEALTH, 1947)

Page 9: Nursing shortages

Previous UK “solutions” to shortages: Managing Supply

• Increase numbers in training• Improve retention (and return)• International recruitment • Skill mix change- more support staff

Page 10: Nursing shortages

UK- “new “ nurses from UK based training

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

Page 11: Nursing shortages

UK Trends: Number of new nurses registering from European Economic Area (EEA), and “other”

countries 1993-2010

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

Other

EEA

Page 12: Nursing shortages

NHS Scotland- total (wte) Nursing and Midwifery workforce 2001-2010 (ISD)

Page 13: Nursing shortages

Staffing numbers, NHS England 1997 and 2009 (wte)

0

50000

100000

150000

200000

250000

300000

350000

400000

450000

1997 2009

Aux

HCA

EN

RN

Page 14: Nursing shortages

Trends: % change in staffing numbers, NHS England 1996-2009

(wte)

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

year

%

RN

EN

HCA

Aux

Page 15: Nursing shortages

Nurses per 1,000 population, OECD countries

Ireland 1Finland

SwitzerlandIceland

DenmarkNorway

LuxembourgSweden

United States 1Germany

NetherlandsAustralia

New ZealandJapan

United KingdomCanadaOECD

Czech RepublicFrance 1SloveniaAustria 2Estonia

Slovak Republic 1Hungary

Portugal 1PolandIsraelSpainKorea

Greece 1Mexico

Turkey 1

2008 (or nearest year) Change 2000-08 (or nearest year)

16.215.5

14.914.814.314.0

10.910.810.810.710.510.1

9.79.59.59.28.8

8.17.97.97.5

6.46.36.2

5.35.25.04.84.4

3.42.4

1.3

05101520

Per 1 000 population

Professional nursesAssociate professional nursesNurses (no breakdown available)

1.81.61.9

1.42.1

2.4n.a.

1.50.7

1.41.3

0.1n.a.

2.21.2

1.01.4

0.82.2

1.80.60.9

-2.11.9

4.8n.a.

-0.63.7

4.92.1

0.8n.a.

-4 0 4 8

Average annual growth rate (%)

Page 16: Nursing shortages

OECD countries: Increase in nurse headcount 2000-2008

(compound annual rate)

1. Data include practising nurses and nurses working in the health sector as managers, educators, researchers, etc. 2. Data refer to all nurses licensed to practice.• Source: OECD Health Data 2010.

Page 17: Nursing shortages

Hospital nurses wages: PPP comparison, 2008- $US (OECD data)

151619

2224

2935353739

42434343444447494952

6574

0 20 40 60 80

Slovak RepublicHungary

Czech RepublicTurkeyMexico

SloveniaFinland

ItalyPortugal (2005)

JapanGermany (2006)

IsraelDenmark (2005) 1

New ZealandIceland

Belgium (2005)Norway 1

United KingdomIreland

Australia (2007) 1United StatesLuxembourg

USD PPP, thousands

Page 18: Nursing shortages

What next?

• 1970’s-2000’s- Focus was on supply of nurses

• Supply side now not the priority (a risk)

• Focus now is on Managing demand and on Skill mix change

Page 19: Nursing shortages

Applicants for pre-reg nursing education at HEI, 2000-2009

Page 20: Nursing shortages

Projections: % Change in NHS nurses2006/7 to 2015/16, England (wte)

-14

-12

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

2006/7 2015/16

%

Buchan/Seccombe best case

Buchan/Seccombe worst case

WRT projection (est.)

• (sources: Buchan and Seccombe /RCN Policy Unit,2007; WRT 2008)

Page 21: Nursing shortages

Skill mix change: UK does not have

the second level nurse option……Second level nurse?

UK NO…….so focus will be on the assistant practitioner

Ireland NO

Australia YES

USA YES

Canada YES

New Zealand YES (restarted)

Page 22: Nursing shortages

What next?: Managing demand

• Emphasis on labour cost containment with no reduction in quality of care

• Different working patterns: e-rostering

• Adaptive/ flexible staff: re-skilling (CPD)

• Differentiated pay/reward?

Page 23: Nursing shortages

What next? Skill mix change

• (Fewer?) graduate nurses, in “advanced” roles, managing cases and teams, diagnosing and prescribing

• Increased use of HCA and AP

• Increased emphasis on self care

• = will challenge what we mean by “nursing”

Page 24: Nursing shortages

In conclusion…..

• In the past, nursing shortages have been “solved” by having “more nurses”

• Over the next 10 years the emphasis will shift to having “more effective nursing”

Page 25: Nursing shortages

Our views have increased the mark of the 10,000

Thank you viewers Looking forward to franchise,

collaboration, partners.

Page 26: Nursing shortages

This platform has been started by Parveen Kumar Chadha with the vision that nobody should suffer the way he has suffered because of lack and improper healthcare facilities in India. We need lots of funds manpower etc. to make this vision a reality please contact us. Join us as a member for a noble cause.

Page 27: Nursing shortages

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E-mail:- [email protected]