nutrient criteria development for lakes: minnesota’s approach & timeline steve heiskary,...

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Nutrient Criteria Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Timeline Steve Heiskary, Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental Analysis & Outcomes Environmental Analysis & Outcomes Div. Div. MDNR Meeting MDNR Meeting April 2007 April 2007

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Minnesota’s Draft Eutrophication Criteria. EcoregionTPChl-aSecchi ppb ppb meters NLF – Lake trout (Class 2A) < 12< 3> 4.8 NLF – Stream trout (Class 2A) < 20< 6> 2.5 NLF – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2B) < 30< 9> 2.0 CHF – Stream trout (Class 2a) < 20< 6> 2.5 CHF – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2b) < 40< 14> 1.4 CHF – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2b) Shallow lakes < 60< 20> 1.0 WCP & NGP – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2B) < 65< 22> 0.9 WCP & NGP – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2b) Shallow lakes < 90< 30> 0.7

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Page 1: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Nutrient Criteria Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Minnesota’s Approach &

TimelineTimelineSteve Heiskary, Steve Heiskary,

Research Scientist IIIResearch Scientist III

Minnesota Pollution Control AgencyMinnesota Pollution Control AgencyEnvironmental Analysis & Outcomes Environmental Analysis & Outcomes

Div.Div.

MDNR MeetingMDNR MeetingApril 2007April 2007

Page 2: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Background & OverviewBackground & Overview1. Present draft criteria1. Present draft criteria2. Overview of our approach, which considers:2. Overview of our approach, which considers:• Assessment of ecoregion patterns;Assessment of ecoregion patterns;• Varying uses of lakes;Varying uses of lakes;• Considerations for shallow lakes (collaboration w/ Considerations for shallow lakes (collaboration w/

Ecoservices & Wildlife);Ecoservices & Wildlife);• Fishery considerations (Collaboration w/ Fisheries)Fishery considerations (Collaboration w/ Fisheries)• Use of sediment cores to reconstruct WQ Use of sediment cores to reconstruct WQ

(collaboration w/ Science Museum);(collaboration w/ Science Museum);• Criteria for both “causative” (TP) & “response” Criteria for both “causative” (TP) & “response”

(Secchi & chlorophyll-a) variables;(Secchi & chlorophyll-a) variables;• Allowance for site specific criteria, e.g. reservoirs;Allowance for site specific criteria, e.g. reservoirs;3. Application of criteria – from TMDLs to protection;3. Application of criteria – from TMDLs to protection;4. Timeline for rulemaking4. Timeline for rulemaking

Page 3: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Minnesota’s Draft Eutrophication Minnesota’s Draft Eutrophication Criteria. Criteria.

Ecoregion TP Chl-a Secchi  ppb ppb meters

NLF – Lake trout (Class 2A) < 12 < 3 > 4.8NLF – Stream trout (Class 2A) < 20 < 6 > 2.5NLF – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2B) < 30 < 9 > 2.0 

CHF – Stream trout (Class 2a) < 20 < 6 > 2.5CHF – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2b) < 40 < 14 > 1.4CHF – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2b) Shallow lakes

< 60 < 20 > 1.0

 

WCP & NGP – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2B)

< 65 < 22 > 0.9

WCP & NGP – Aquatic Rec. Use (Class 2b) Shallow lakes

< 90 < 30 > 0.7

Page 4: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Definitions (include in rule)• Need to differentiate among lakes (shallow vs. Need to differentiate among lakes (shallow vs.

deep), reservoirs, wetlands & riversdeep), reservoirs, wetlands & rivers• ““LakeLake” – enclosed basin…max. depth > 15 ft. ” – enclosed basin…max. depth > 15 ft.

(4.5m) -- 10 acres (4 ha) minimum size for (4.5m) -- 10 acres (4 ha) minimum size for “lakes”;“lakes”;

• ““Shallow lakeShallow lake” - max. depth 15 ft. (4.5 m) or ” - max. depth 15 ft. (4.5 m) or less or 80% or more littoral (drawn from less or 80% or more littoral (drawn from Schupp); generally not wetlands;Schupp); generally not wetlands;

• ““ReservoirReservoir” – natural or artificial basin where ” – natural or artificial basin where outlet is controlled by control structure. outlet is controlled by control structure. Differentiated from rivers based on Tw of 14 Differentiated from rivers based on Tw of 14 days or more as determined based on a days or more as determined based on a summer “120 day Q10”;summer “120 day Q10”;

• Index period – summer (June – September);Index period – summer (June – September);

Page 5: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

6 – 17 m. deep20 – 140 ha

5 – 15 m deep25 – 160 ha

2.5 – 5 m deep45 – 283 ha

Minnesota’s Ecoregions & Reference Lakes:98% of MN lakes located in these 4 ecoregions;Reference lake monitoring began in 1985 - ~ 90 “minimally-impacted, representative lakes (candidates to consider for long-term or trend monitoring)WQ & morphometry varies among regions;

Page 6: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Basis for “Response” Basis for “Response” CriteriaCriteria

• Relationships among TP, chlorophyll-a, Relationships among TP, chlorophyll-a, Secchi, nuisance blooms & HOD;Secchi, nuisance blooms & HOD;

• User perception data from CLMP User perception data from CLMP observersobservers

• Regional patterns in lake trophic status, Regional patterns in lake trophic status, fishery composition; lake morphometry, fishery composition; lake morphometry, soils, land form & land use soils, land form & land use

Summer-mean TP vs Chl-a. Based on reference lakes

y = 1.16x - 0.76R2 = 0.73

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0Log TP ppb

Log

chl-a

ppb (32)

(10)

(32) (100)

(100)

Page 7: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental
Page 8: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Fish species vary relative to lake trophic status

Based on work of Dennis Schupp & paper by Schupp & Wilson 1993

Page 9: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Burntside Lake 8/29/1994

0

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0 5 10 15 20 25

Dep

th ft

.

TEMP C

DO

Kabekona Lake 8/16/1994

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90

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0 5 10 15 20 25

Dep

th ft

.

TEMP C

DO

Burntside KabekonaTP 10 12Chl 3 3Secchi 6.1 m 3.6 m

Lake Trout Lakes – consider:•Unique DO & temp. requirements – DO 6 or more, temp. 8-15 C preferred (12 C or less deemed suitable habitat, Siesennop 2000);•We Charted “optimal habitat”

Page 10: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

0

2

4

6

8

10

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

TSI

Num

ber o

f Spe

cies

Figure 1

TP =12 ppb

TP = 90 ppb

Number of Fish Species as a function of TSI (Schupp)

Page 11: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

TSI

Perc

ent P

isci

vore

s Gill nets

Trap nets

Percent Piscivores as a function of TSI (Schupp)

TP ~20-25 ppb

Page 12: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

TSI

Perc

ent o

f Lak

es

CarpLake trout

TP=12 ppb

Percent of lakes with lake trout or carp as a function of TSI (Schupp). Implies no lake trout lakes when TP > 15 ppb.

Page 13: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

0

20

40

60

80

100

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

TSI

Perc

ent o

f Lak

es

Northern Pike

LargemouthBass

% of lakes with NP or LMB as a function of TSI (Schupp). Distinct decline in % lakes w/ NP as TP >40-50 ppb

Page 14: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

0

4

8

12

16

20

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

TSI

kg p

er n

et

Northern pikeBlack bullhead

C

Northern pike & black bullhead as a function of TSI (Adapted from Schupp)

Argues for keeping TP < ~50 – 60 ppb where possible

Page 15: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Worked to identify thresholds for shallow lakes

Page 16: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Note: as TP increases above ~60-90 ppb, floating-leaf generally absent & 10 or fewer species present

West Central Shallow Lakes: # of submergent & floating-leaf species.

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10 32 40 60 90 90 90 120

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TP ppb

# of

spe

cies

Fremont

Floating-leaf

SAV

Pelican

Page 17: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

West-Central Shallow Lakes: # of submergent species & floating-leaf vs. mean Secchi

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

10 32 40 60 90 90 90 120 150 170 180 210 270 320

TP ppb

# sp

ecie

s

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

met

ers

# species Secchi meter

At Secchi < 1.0 m floating-leaf uncommon & generally < 10 species of submergents

Page 18: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Rooted plants vs. chl-a. Sorted by TP

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10 32 40 60 90 90 90 120 150 170 210 230 320 370

TP ppb

# ro

oted

pla

nts

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120

140

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180

200

chl-a

ppb

# plants Chl-a

As P increased above ~60-90 ppb floating-leaf plants disappeared, & increased risk of loss of plant diversity & algal dominance.

Page 19: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

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1) “55 lakes study” lakes from NLF, CHF & WCP regions (mid 1990s);

2) SW MN study focused on 22 shallow lakes, 6 with deep cores (2002);

3) West-central focused on shallow CHF lakes with a gradient in modern-day P and macrophytes; 6 deep cores (2003);

Page 20: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Diatom-inferred TP: Pre-European vs. Modern-day

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

NLF (n=20) CHF-Metro(n=20)

CHF-Rural(n=15)

CHF-Shallow

(n=5)

WCP - Deep(n=5)

WCP/NGP -Shallow

(n=6)

TP p

pb

Pre-E Modern

Page 21: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Northern Lakes & Forests ecoregion:

Generally low P, minimal change over time; predominately forested land use; P criteria noted

NLF Lakes TP Distributions.

0

10

20

30

40

50

Pre-E MPCA-Ref MPCA-Assess EPA-Assess

TP (p

pb)

25th50th75th

Page 22: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

North Central Hardwoods Forests ecoregion:

large range, distinct differences between shallow and deep lakes. , dramatic change for many lakes over time

CHF Ecoregion Lakes TP Distributions.

0

20

40

60

80

100

Pre-E (deep)

Pre-E(shallow)

MPCA-Ref MPCA-Assess

EPA-Assess

TP (p

pb)

25th50th75th

shallow

deep

Page 23: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Western Corn Belt Plains90% or more considered shallow, highly agricultural land use,

vast majority eutrophic -hypereutrophicWCP Ecoregion Lakes TP Distributions.

0

20

40

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80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Pre-E (deep)

Pre-E(shallow)

MPCA-Ref MPCA-Assess

EPA-Assess

TP (p

pb)

25th50th75th

234

deep

shallow

Page 24: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Rulemaking timeline for Lake Rulemaking timeline for Lake CriteriaCriteria

• Finish SONARs by end of MarchFinish SONARs by end of March• Compare our version of rule to Revisor's Compare our version of rule to Revisor's

version - complete by end of January.version - complete by end of January.• Submit rule to to Governor's Office and Submit rule to to Governor's Office and

Commissioner's Office AprilCommissioner's Office April• Publish in State Register, late AprilPublish in State Register, late April• Public hearings in May-June, 2007Public hearings in May-June, 2007• Close of hearing record in late AugustClose of hearing record in late August• ALJ report - probably at least 60 days ALJ report - probably at least 60 days

after record closes.after record closes.

Page 25: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Main Features & ApproachMain Features & ApproachDraft criteria (TP, chla, & Secchi) based on Draft criteria (TP, chla, & Secchi) based on

weight-of-evidence approach that considers:weight-of-evidence approach that considers:• Regional patterns in lake morphometry, water Regional patterns in lake morphometry, water

quality, & watershed characteristics. quality, & watershed characteristics. • Within-ecoregion distributions of TP, chl-a & Within-ecoregion distributions of TP, chl-a &

Secchi - reference & overall populations;Secchi - reference & overall populations;• Varying uses of lakes & differences among deep Varying uses of lakes & differences among deep

& shallow lakes; & shallow lakes; • Fishery (aquatic life) requirements; Fishery (aquatic life) requirements; • Shallow lakes - plant communities relative to P, Shallow lakes - plant communities relative to P,

chl-a, & Secchi;chl-a, & Secchi;• Use of sediment cores to re-affirm regional Use of sediment cores to re-affirm regional

patterns & estimate background;patterns & estimate background;• User perceptions; User perceptions;

Page 26: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

SummarySummary• Ecoregion-based TP criteria first developed in 1988;Ecoregion-based TP criteria first developed in 1988;• MPCA developed rules for 303(d) listing of nutrient-MPCA developed rules for 303(d) listing of nutrient-

impaired lakes (2002) – using the 1988 P criteria & impaired lakes (2002) – using the 1988 P criteria & corresponding chlorophyll-a & Secchi thresholds;corresponding chlorophyll-a & Secchi thresholds;

• Listing requires exceedance of causal plus one Listing requires exceedance of causal plus one response (will maintain this approach in standards);response (will maintain this approach in standards);

• Draft criteria are in WQ standards now being Draft criteria are in WQ standards now being promulgated;promulgated;

• Standards language reinforces need to protect high Standards language reinforces need to protect high quality lakes (non-degradation) and account for quality lakes (non-degradation) and account for naturally poor quality lakes;naturally poor quality lakes;

• Differentiate among shallow & deep lakes;Differentiate among shallow & deep lakes;• Allows for site-specific criteria for reservoirs & other Allows for site-specific criteria for reservoirs & other

cases where deemed necessary (have guidance)cases where deemed necessary (have guidance)

Page 27: Nutrient Criteria Development for Lakes: Minnesota’s Approach & Timeline Steve Heiskary, Research Scientist III Minnesota Pollution Control Agency Environmental

Track progress on adoption of lake standards Track progress on adoption of lake standards on our triennial review web page & Nutrient on our triennial review web page & Nutrient criteria-related reports on lake assessment criteria-related reports on lake assessment web pageweb pageMPCA HomeMPCA Home

Water -- RegulationsWater -- RegulationsProposed Water Quality Standards Proposed Water Quality Standards

Rule RevisionRule Revisionhttp://www.pca.state.mn.us/water/standards/rulehttp://www.pca.state.mn.us/water/standards/rulechange.htmlchange.html

Water -- Lakes -- Lake Water Quality Water -- Lakes -- Lake Water Quality Assessment Report: Developing Nutrient Assessment Report: Developing Nutrient CriteriaCriteria

http://www.pca.state.mn.us/water/http://www.pca.state.mn.us/water/lakequality.html#reportslakequality.html#reports

[email protected]@pca.state.mn.us651-296-7217651-296-7217