oahumonthlyindicators sept 2011

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  • 8/3/2019 OahuMonthlyIndicators Sept 2011

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    Monthly IndicatorsA RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE HONOLULU BOARD OF REALTORS

    September 2011 Quick Facts

    + 4.0%Change in

    Closed Sales

    Single-Family Only

    + 19.0%

    Change in

    Closed Sales

    Condo Only

    + 11.9%

    Change in

    Closed Sales

    All Properties

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    12

    13Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

    Percent of List Price Received

    Housing Affordability Index

    Inventory of Homes for Sale

    Months Supply of Inventory

    Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity. Figures shown may be different than previously reported. Current as of October 6, 2011. All data from HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.

    Single-Family Market Overview

    Condo Market Overview

    Closed Sales

    Median Sales Price

    Average Sales Price

    New Listings

    Pending Sales

    Days On Market Until Sale

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    Single-Family Market OverviewKey market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures for Single-Family Homes Only.

    Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 9-2010 9-2011 + / YTD 2010 YTD 2011 + /

    - 8.8% 32 35 + 9.4%

    - 8.1%

    240 326 + 35.8% 2,390 2,391 + 0.0%

    3,895439 378 - 13.9% 4,237

    + 4.0% 2,252

    New Listings

    Pending Sales

    Closed Sales

    Days on Market Until Sale

    2,200 - 2.3%

    34 31

    273 284

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    66

    --

    -- --

    --

    --

    + 16.2%

    - 14.6%

    - 11.6%

    1,486

    5.9

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

    - 8.1% $598,000 $570,000

    - 0.4%+ 0.0% 95.5% 95.2%

    Months Supplyof Homes for Sale

    $690,628 - 17.5%

    95.2%

    Housing Affordability Index

    Inventory of Homes for Sale

    6.7

    74

    - 4.7%Median Sales Price

    Average Sales Price

    Percent of Original

    List Price Received

    $837,082

    95.2%

    64

    1,741

    74 + 12.5%

    --

    $718,358 $702,307 - 2.2%

    $620,000 $570,000

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

    9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011

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  • 8/3/2019 OahuMonthlyIndicators Sept 2011

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    Closed SalesA count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 245 - 15.5% 319 - 19.2%

    11-2010 248 - 3.9% 316 - 22.5%

    12-2010 312 + 14.7% 357 + 2.0%

    1-2011 200 + 11.7% 280 + 15.7%

    2-2011 186 + 5.1% 306 + 25.4%

    3-2011 255 0.0% 345 - 4.2%

    4-2011 233 - 18.2% 386 - 4.9%

    5-2011 254 - 11.5% 333 - 9.5%

    6-2011 250 - 15.3% 366 - 17.2%

    7-2011 255 - 5.6% 307 - 6.1%

    8-2011 283 + 22.5% 343 + 16.7%

    9-2011 284 + 4.0% 364 + 19.0%

    253

    354

    273

    306

    284

    364

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    1,868

    2,4212,252

    2,989

    2,200

    3,030

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Total 3,005 - 2.2% 4,022 - 2.9%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

    Single-Family Condo

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010

    Historical Closed Sales Activity Single-Family Condo

    +19.0%-13.6%+4.0%+7.9%

    Single-Family Condo+1.4%+23.5%-2.3%+20.6%

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    Median Sales PriceMedian price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 $592,500 - 2.0% $300,000 0.0%

    11-2010 $574,500 - 2.6% $312,000 + 0.5%

    12-2010 $585,000 + 5.4% $300,000 - 0.8%

    1-2011 $570,000 - 4.2% $290,000 - 3.0%

    2-2011 $570,000 - 1.0% $320,000 + 7.0%

    3-2011 $550,000 - 8.3% $315,000 + 1.6%

    4-2011 $585,000 + 3.5% $302,000 - 1.6%

    5-2011 $595,000 - 0.8% $289,500 - 5.1%

    6-2011 $570,000 - 2.1% $300,000 0.0%

    7-2011 $583,500 - 3.5% $277,000 - 7.7%

    8-2011 $555,000 - 13.5% $300,000 - 1.0%

    9-2011 $570,000 - 8.1% $316,500 - 4.1%

    $605,000

    $309,500

    $620,000

    $330,000

    $570,000

    $316,500

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    $575,000

    $305,000

    $598,000

    $305,000

    $570,000

    $302,500

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Median $575,000 - 2.5% $302,540 - 0.8%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

    Single-Family Condo

    $100,000

    $200,000

    $300,000

    $400,000

    $500,000

    $600,000

    $700,000

    1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010

    Historical Median Sales Price Single-Family Condo

    -4.1%+6.6%-8.1%+2.5%

    Single-Family Condo-0.8%0.0%-4.7%+4.0%

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    Average Sales PriceAverage sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 $671,512 - 8.6% $350,742 + 1.8%

    11-2010 $699,299 + 3.3% $376,686 + 7.6%

    12-2010 $708,973 + 4.2% $373,694 + 5.0%

    1-2011 $699,019 + 2.6% $314,216 - 8.2%

    2-2011 $695,600 + 1.5% $392,424 + 10.1%

    3-2011 $692,976 + 0.8% $370,284 + 8.1%

    4-2011 $716,664 + 13.6% $364,090 + 4.5%

    5-2011 $730,157 + 0.3% $340,877 - 8.0%

    6-2011 $644,582 - 5.3% $368,659 + 10.0%

    7-2011 $751,102 + 2.8% $340,631 - 5.7%

    8-2011 $700,278 - 12.1% $348,711 - 0.7%

    9-2011 $690,628 - 17.5% $369,685 - 7.7%

    $752,651

    $358,856

    $837,082

    $400,445

    $690,628

    $369,685

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    $685,797

    $347,886

    $718,358

    $355,742

    $702,307

    $357,669

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average $700,226 - 1.8% $360,003 + 1.7%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

    Single-Family Condo

    $100,000

    $200,000

    $300,000

    $400,000

    $500,000

    $600,000

    $700,000

    $800,000

    $900,000

    $1,000,000

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Average Sales Price Single-Family Condo

    - 7.7%+ 11.6%- 17.5%+ 11.2%

    Single-Family Condo+ 0.5%+ 2.3%- 2.2%+ 4.7%

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    New ListingsA count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 403 - 0.2% 513 - 5.9%

    11-2010 386 + 21.8% 476 + 0.8%

    12-2010 275 - 5.5% 422 + 5.0%

    1-2011 402 - 12.6% 601 + 5.4%

    2-2011 409 - 5.1% 579 - 1.7%

    3-2011 481 - 12.1% 628 - 12.2%

    4-2011 451 - 14.6% 553 - 18.7%

    5-2011 448 + 6.7% 583 + 14.5%

    6-2011 472 + 1.3% 590 - 7.2%

    7-2011 447 - 8.4% 518 - 19.8%

    8-2011 407 - 11.1% 579 - 8.5%

    9-2011 378 - 13.9% 535 - 6.5%

    388

    612

    439

    572

    378

    535

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    3,961

    5,406

    4,237

    5,550

    3,895

    5,166

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 4,959 - 5.5% 6,577 - 5.6%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

    Single-Family Condo

    0

    250

    500

    750

    1,000

    1,250

    1,500

    1,750

    2,000

    2,250

    1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010

    Historical New Listing Activity Single-Family Condo

    -6.5%-6.5%-13.9%+13.1%

    Single-Family Condo-6.9%+2.7%-8.1%+7.0%

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    Pending SalesA count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 281 + 9.8% 305 - 16.0%

    11-2010 220 - 3.1% 284 - 9.0%

    12-2010 203 + 4.1% 288 + 9.1%

    1-2011 234 + 4.9% 359 + 29.1%

    2-2011 229 - 3.0% 339 - 4.5%

    3-2011 259 - 17.0% 400 - 6.1%

    4-2011 235 - 28.1% 333 - 26.3%

    5-2011 257 + 7.5% 365 + 25.4%

    6-2011 292 + 17.7% 325 + 6.6%

    7-2011 270 + 0.7% 351 + 6.0%

    8-2011 289 - 2.7% 397 + 15.7%

    9-2011 326 + 35.8% 396 + 17.9%

    287

    425

    240

    336326

    396

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    2,160

    2,839

    2,390

    3,117

    2,391

    3,265

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 3,095 + 0.9% 4,142 + 2.1%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

    Single-Family Condo

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    1,800

    1-1997 1-1998 1-1999 1-2000 1-2001 1-2002 1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Pending Sales Activity Single-Family Condo

    +17.9%-20.9%+35.8%-16.4%

    Single-Family Condo+4.7%+9.8%+0.0%+10.6%

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    Days on Market Until SaleAverage number of days between when a property is first listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 35 - 32.7% 32 - 40.7%

    11-2010 40 - 9.1% 45 + 45.2%

    12-2010 38 + 19.0% 44 + 14.5%

    1-2011 38 - 12.8% 45 + 25.0%

    2-2011 56 + 47.4% 57 + 10.8%

    3-2011 38 + 13.4% 46 + 29.6%

    4-2011 34 + 30.8% 34 + 41.7%

    5-2011 31 + 14.8% 36 + 28.6%

    6-2011 30 - 6.3% 37 + 30.4%

    7-2011 34 - 10.5% 36 0.0%

    8-2011 31 - 11.4% 41 + 24.2%

    9-2011 31 - 8.8% 39 + 6.9%

    54

    44

    3436

    31

    39

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    52 53

    3231

    35

    40

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 35 0.0% 40 + 14.3%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

    Single-Family Condo

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    100

    1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010

    Historical Days on Market Until Sale Single-Family Condo

    +6.9%-17.2%-8.8%-37.0%

    Single-Family Condo

    +29.0%-41.5%+9.4%-38.5%

  • 8/3/2019 OahuMonthlyIndicators Sept 2011

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    Percent of Original List Price Received

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 94.4% + 0.6% 94.8% + 1.8%

    11-2010 96.0% + 2.3% 95.2% + 0.8%

    12-2010 95.5% - 0.3% 94.1% + 0.2%

    1-2011 94.7% + 0.0% 94.3% - 0.6%

    2-2011 94.4% - 1.2% 94.3% + 1.1%

    3-2011 95.6% - 0.0% 94.3% - 0.2%

    4-2011 94.8% - 1.2% 94.8% - 1.2%

    5-2011 95.6% - 0.6% 95.8% + 0.5%

    6-2011 95.5% - 0.0% 95.1% - 0.5%

    7-2011 94.9% - 0.9% 94.6% - 0.3%

    8-2011 95.4% + 0.5% 94.6% + 0.0%

    9-2011 95.2% + 0.0% 94.2% - 1.1%

    Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold

    in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.

    92.6% 93.7%95.2% 95.2%95.2% 94.2%

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    92.6% 92.2%95.5% 95.0%95.2% 94.7%

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 95.2% - 0.1% 94.7% - 0.0%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

    Single-Family Condo

    90.0%

    92.5%

    95.0%

    97.5%

    100.0%

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Percent of Original List Price Received Single-Family Condo

    -1.1%+1.6%+0.0%+2.8%

    Single-Family Condo

    -0.3%+3.1%-0.4%+3.2%

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    Housing Affordability Index

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 66 + 9.4% 123 + 6.9%

    11-2010 67 + 8.9% 124 + 5.4%

    12-2010 66 + 3.3% 122 + 8.9%

    1-2011 68 + 9.6% 126 + 8.0%

    2-2011 68 + 5.7% 119 - 1.5%

    3-2011 69 + 14.5% 119 + 3.9%

    4-2011 69 + 3.2% 121 + 8.0%

    5-2011 69 + 9.4% 125 + 13.4%

    6-2011 70 + 9.1% 127 + 6.7%

    7-2011 70 + 7.8% 128 + 11.8%

    8-2011 73 + 21.3% 131 + 6.7%

    9-2011 74 + 16.2% 131 + 11.2%

    This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120%

    of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates.A higher number means greater affordability.

    61

    113

    64

    114

    74

    126

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    64

    115

    66

    121

    74

    131

    Year to Date

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 69 125

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

    Single-Family Condo

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Housing Affordability Index Single-Family Condo

    +11.2%+0.4%+16.2%+4.2%

    Single-Family Condo

    +8.1%+6.0%+12.5%+2.9%

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    Inventory of Homes for SaleThe number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 1,722 + 0.6% 2,283 + 1.4%

    11-2010 1,688 + 1.7% 2,273 + 3.8%

    12-2010 1,658 + 5.5% 2,236 + 5.9%

    1-2011 1,480 + 2.6% 2,064 + 6.1%

    2-2011 1,466 - 5.1% 2,062 + 2.4%

    3-2011 1,484 - 6.8% 2,062 + 0.5%

    4-2011 1,519 - 7.5% 2,009 - 3.7%

    5-2011 1,553 - 6.3% 2,017 - 4.0%

    6-2011 1,588 - 7.0% 2,041 - 4.0%

    7-2011 1,552 - 10.1% 2,032 - 8.0%

    8-2011 1,570 - 11.7% 1,980 - 12.4%

    9-2011 1,486 - 14.6% 1,866 - 19.3%

    1,849

    2,360

    1,741

    2,311

    1,486

    1,866

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 1,564 - 5.1% 2,077 - 2.9%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

    Single-Family Condo

    1,000

    1,250

    1,500

    1,750

    2,000

    2,250

    2,500

    2,750

    3,000

    3,250

    1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale Single-Family Condo

    -19.3%-2.1%-14.6%-5.8%

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    Months Supply of InventoryThe inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

    Single-

    Family

    YoY

    Chg.Condo

    YoY

    Chg.

    10-2010 6.7 - 13.6% 6.8 - 13.7%

    11-2010 6.5 - 10.8% 6.8 - 6.5%

    12-2010 6.4 - 4.5% 6.8 - 1.4%

    1-2011 5.7 - 5.9% 6.2 + 0.3%

    2-2011 5.7 - 12.6% 6.1 - 3.7%

    3-2011 5.7 - 12.4% 6.1 - 2.5%

    4-2011 6.0 - 8.7% 6.0 - 2.4%

    5-2011 6.3 - 2.6% 6.2 + 3.7%

    6-2011 6.4 - 3.6% 6.1 + 1.7%

    7-2011 6.2 - 8.1% 6.1 - 3.8%

    8-2011 6.2 - 10.3% 5.9 - 9.4%

    9-2011 5.9 - 11.6% 5.5 - 18.0%

    8.6 8.6

    6.7 6.7

    5.95.5

    September

    201120102009 201120102009

    Average 6.2 - 8.8% 6.2 - 5.0%

    All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 13

    Single-Family Condo

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    10

    11

    1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011

    Historical Months Supply of Inventory Single-Family Condo

    -18.0%-21.8%-11.6%-22.2%