oahumonthlyindicators sept 2011
TRANSCRIPT
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Monthly IndicatorsA RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE HONOLULU BOARD OF REALTORS
September 2011 Quick Facts
+ 4.0%Change in
Closed Sales
Single-Family Only
+ 19.0%
Change in
Closed Sales
Condo Only
+ 11.9%
Change in
Closed Sales
All Properties
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Percent of List Price Received
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
Months Supply of Inventory
Data is refreshed regularly to capture changes in market activity. Figures shown may be different than previously reported. Current as of October 6, 2011. All data from HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing.
Single-Family Market Overview
Condo Market Overview
Closed Sales
Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
New Listings
Pending Sales
Days On Market Until Sale
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Single-Family Market OverviewKey market metrics for the current month and year-to-date figures for Single-Family Homes Only.
Key Metrics Historical Sparklines 9-2010 9-2011 + / YTD 2010 YTD 2011 + /
- 8.8% 32 35 + 9.4%
- 8.1%
240 326 + 35.8% 2,390 2,391 + 0.0%
3,895439 378 - 13.9% 4,237
+ 4.0% 2,252
New Listings
Pending Sales
Closed Sales
Days on Market Until Sale
2,200 - 2.3%
34 31
273 284
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
66
--
-- --
--
--
+ 16.2%
- 14.6%
- 11.6%
1,486
5.9
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2
- 8.1% $598,000 $570,000
- 0.4%+ 0.0% 95.5% 95.2%
Months Supplyof Homes for Sale
$690,628 - 17.5%
95.2%
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
6.7
74
- 4.7%Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
Percent of Original
List Price Received
$837,082
95.2%
64
1,741
74 + 12.5%
--
$718,358 $702,307 - 2.2%
$620,000 $570,000
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
9-2008 9-2009 9-2010 9-2011
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Closed SalesA count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 245 - 15.5% 319 - 19.2%
11-2010 248 - 3.9% 316 - 22.5%
12-2010 312 + 14.7% 357 + 2.0%
1-2011 200 + 11.7% 280 + 15.7%
2-2011 186 + 5.1% 306 + 25.4%
3-2011 255 0.0% 345 - 4.2%
4-2011 233 - 18.2% 386 - 4.9%
5-2011 254 - 11.5% 333 - 9.5%
6-2011 250 - 15.3% 366 - 17.2%
7-2011 255 - 5.6% 307 - 6.1%
8-2011 283 + 22.5% 343 + 16.7%
9-2011 284 + 4.0% 364 + 19.0%
253
354
273
306
284
364
September
201120102009 201120102009
1,868
2,4212,252
2,989
2,200
3,030
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Total 3,005 - 2.2% 4,022 - 2.9%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4
Single-Family Condo
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010
Historical Closed Sales Activity Single-Family Condo
+19.0%-13.6%+4.0%+7.9%
Single-Family Condo+1.4%+23.5%-2.3%+20.6%
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Median Sales PriceMedian price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 $592,500 - 2.0% $300,000 0.0%
11-2010 $574,500 - 2.6% $312,000 + 0.5%
12-2010 $585,000 + 5.4% $300,000 - 0.8%
1-2011 $570,000 - 4.2% $290,000 - 3.0%
2-2011 $570,000 - 1.0% $320,000 + 7.0%
3-2011 $550,000 - 8.3% $315,000 + 1.6%
4-2011 $585,000 + 3.5% $302,000 - 1.6%
5-2011 $595,000 - 0.8% $289,500 - 5.1%
6-2011 $570,000 - 2.1% $300,000 0.0%
7-2011 $583,500 - 3.5% $277,000 - 7.7%
8-2011 $555,000 - 13.5% $300,000 - 1.0%
9-2011 $570,000 - 8.1% $316,500 - 4.1%
$605,000
$309,500
$620,000
$330,000
$570,000
$316,500
September
201120102009 201120102009
$575,000
$305,000
$598,000
$305,000
$570,000
$302,500
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Median $575,000 - 2.5% $302,540 - 0.8%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5
Single-Family Condo
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010
Historical Median Sales Price Single-Family Condo
-4.1%+6.6%-8.1%+2.5%
Single-Family Condo-0.8%0.0%-4.7%+4.0%
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Average Sales PriceAverage sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 $671,512 - 8.6% $350,742 + 1.8%
11-2010 $699,299 + 3.3% $376,686 + 7.6%
12-2010 $708,973 + 4.2% $373,694 + 5.0%
1-2011 $699,019 + 2.6% $314,216 - 8.2%
2-2011 $695,600 + 1.5% $392,424 + 10.1%
3-2011 $692,976 + 0.8% $370,284 + 8.1%
4-2011 $716,664 + 13.6% $364,090 + 4.5%
5-2011 $730,157 + 0.3% $340,877 - 8.0%
6-2011 $644,582 - 5.3% $368,659 + 10.0%
7-2011 $751,102 + 2.8% $340,631 - 5.7%
8-2011 $700,278 - 12.1% $348,711 - 0.7%
9-2011 $690,628 - 17.5% $369,685 - 7.7%
$752,651
$358,856
$837,082
$400,445
$690,628
$369,685
September
201120102009 201120102009
$685,797
$347,886
$718,358
$355,742
$702,307
$357,669
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Average $700,226 - 1.8% $360,003 + 1.7%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6
Single-Family Condo
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
$1,000,000
1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Average Sales Price Single-Family Condo
- 7.7%+ 11.6%- 17.5%+ 11.2%
Single-Family Condo+ 0.5%+ 2.3%- 2.2%+ 4.7%
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New ListingsA count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 403 - 0.2% 513 - 5.9%
11-2010 386 + 21.8% 476 + 0.8%
12-2010 275 - 5.5% 422 + 5.0%
1-2011 402 - 12.6% 601 + 5.4%
2-2011 409 - 5.1% 579 - 1.7%
3-2011 481 - 12.1% 628 - 12.2%
4-2011 451 - 14.6% 553 - 18.7%
5-2011 448 + 6.7% 583 + 14.5%
6-2011 472 + 1.3% 590 - 7.2%
7-2011 447 - 8.4% 518 - 19.8%
8-2011 407 - 11.1% 579 - 8.5%
9-2011 378 - 13.9% 535 - 6.5%
388
612
439
572
378
535
September
201120102009 201120102009
3,961
5,406
4,237
5,550
3,895
5,166
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Average 4,959 - 5.5% 6,577 - 5.6%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7
Single-Family Condo
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010
Historical New Listing Activity Single-Family Condo
-6.5%-6.5%-13.9%+13.1%
Single-Family Condo-6.9%+2.7%-8.1%+7.0%
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Pending SalesA count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 281 + 9.8% 305 - 16.0%
11-2010 220 - 3.1% 284 - 9.0%
12-2010 203 + 4.1% 288 + 9.1%
1-2011 234 + 4.9% 359 + 29.1%
2-2011 229 - 3.0% 339 - 4.5%
3-2011 259 - 17.0% 400 - 6.1%
4-2011 235 - 28.1% 333 - 26.3%
5-2011 257 + 7.5% 365 + 25.4%
6-2011 292 + 17.7% 325 + 6.6%
7-2011 270 + 0.7% 351 + 6.0%
8-2011 289 - 2.7% 397 + 15.7%
9-2011 326 + 35.8% 396 + 17.9%
287
425
240
336326
396
September
201120102009 201120102009
2,160
2,839
2,390
3,117
2,391
3,265
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Average 3,095 + 0.9% 4,142 + 2.1%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8
Single-Family Condo
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
1-1997 1-1998 1-1999 1-2000 1-2001 1-2002 1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Pending Sales Activity Single-Family Condo
+17.9%-20.9%+35.8%-16.4%
Single-Family Condo+4.7%+9.8%+0.0%+10.6%
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Days on Market Until SaleAverage number of days between when a property is first listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 35 - 32.7% 32 - 40.7%
11-2010 40 - 9.1% 45 + 45.2%
12-2010 38 + 19.0% 44 + 14.5%
1-2011 38 - 12.8% 45 + 25.0%
2-2011 56 + 47.4% 57 + 10.8%
3-2011 38 + 13.4% 46 + 29.6%
4-2011 34 + 30.8% 34 + 41.7%
5-2011 31 + 14.8% 36 + 28.6%
6-2011 30 - 6.3% 37 + 30.4%
7-2011 34 - 10.5% 36 0.0%
8-2011 31 - 11.4% 41 + 24.2%
9-2011 31 - 8.8% 39 + 6.9%
54
44
3436
31
39
September
201120102009 201120102009
52 53
3231
35
40
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Average 35 0.0% 40 + 14.3%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9
Single-Family Condo
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1-1990 1-1992 1-1994 1-1996 1-1998 1-2000 1-2002 1-2004 1-2006 1-2008 1-2010
Historical Days on Market Until Sale Single-Family Condo
+6.9%-17.2%-8.8%-37.0%
Single-Family Condo
+29.0%-41.5%+9.4%-38.5%
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Percent of Original List Price Received
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 94.4% + 0.6% 94.8% + 1.8%
11-2010 96.0% + 2.3% 95.2% + 0.8%
12-2010 95.5% - 0.3% 94.1% + 0.2%
1-2011 94.7% + 0.0% 94.3% - 0.6%
2-2011 94.4% - 1.2% 94.3% + 1.1%
3-2011 95.6% - 0.0% 94.3% - 0.2%
4-2011 94.8% - 1.2% 94.8% - 1.2%
5-2011 95.6% - 0.6% 95.8% + 0.5%
6-2011 95.5% - 0.0% 95.1% - 0.5%
7-2011 94.9% - 0.9% 94.6% - 0.3%
8-2011 95.4% + 0.5% 94.6% + 0.0%
9-2011 95.2% + 0.0% 94.2% - 1.1%
Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold
in a given month, not accounting for seller concessions.
92.6% 93.7%95.2% 95.2%95.2% 94.2%
September
201120102009 201120102009
92.6% 92.2%95.5% 95.0%95.2% 94.7%
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Average 95.2% - 0.1% 94.7% - 0.0%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10
Single-Family Condo
90.0%
92.5%
95.0%
97.5%
100.0%
1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Percent of Original List Price Received Single-Family Condo
-1.1%+1.6%+0.0%+2.8%
Single-Family Condo
-0.3%+3.1%-0.4%+3.2%
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Housing Affordability Index
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 66 + 9.4% 123 + 6.9%
11-2010 67 + 8.9% 124 + 5.4%
12-2010 66 + 3.3% 122 + 8.9%
1-2011 68 + 9.6% 126 + 8.0%
2-2011 68 + 5.7% 119 - 1.5%
3-2011 69 + 14.5% 119 + 3.9%
4-2011 69 + 3.2% 121 + 8.0%
5-2011 69 + 9.4% 125 + 13.4%
6-2011 70 + 9.1% 127 + 6.7%
7-2011 70 + 7.8% 128 + 11.8%
8-2011 73 + 21.3% 131 + 6.7%
9-2011 74 + 16.2% 131 + 11.2%
This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120%
of what is necessary to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates.A higher number means greater affordability.
61
113
64
114
74
126
September
201120102009 201120102009
64
115
66
121
74
131
Year to Date
201120102009 201120102009
Average 69 125
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11
Single-Family Condo
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Housing Affordability Index Single-Family Condo
+11.2%+0.4%+16.2%+4.2%
Single-Family Condo
+8.1%+6.0%+12.5%+2.9%
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Inventory of Homes for SaleThe number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 1,722 + 0.6% 2,283 + 1.4%
11-2010 1,688 + 1.7% 2,273 + 3.8%
12-2010 1,658 + 5.5% 2,236 + 5.9%
1-2011 1,480 + 2.6% 2,064 + 6.1%
2-2011 1,466 - 5.1% 2,062 + 2.4%
3-2011 1,484 - 6.8% 2,062 + 0.5%
4-2011 1,519 - 7.5% 2,009 - 3.7%
5-2011 1,553 - 6.3% 2,017 - 4.0%
6-2011 1,588 - 7.0% 2,041 - 4.0%
7-2011 1,552 - 10.1% 2,032 - 8.0%
8-2011 1,570 - 11.7% 1,980 - 12.4%
9-2011 1,486 - 14.6% 1,866 - 19.3%
1,849
2,360
1,741
2,311
1,486
1,866
September
201120102009 201120102009
Average 1,564 - 5.1% 2,077 - 2.9%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12
Single-Family Condo
1,000
1,250
1,500
1,750
2,000
2,250
2,500
2,750
3,000
3,250
1-2003 1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale Single-Family Condo
-19.3%-2.1%-14.6%-5.8%
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Months Supply of InventoryThe inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.
Single-
Family
YoY
Chg.Condo
YoY
Chg.
10-2010 6.7 - 13.6% 6.8 - 13.7%
11-2010 6.5 - 10.8% 6.8 - 6.5%
12-2010 6.4 - 4.5% 6.8 - 1.4%
1-2011 5.7 - 5.9% 6.2 + 0.3%
2-2011 5.7 - 12.6% 6.1 - 3.7%
3-2011 5.7 - 12.4% 6.1 - 2.5%
4-2011 6.0 - 8.7% 6.0 - 2.4%
5-2011 6.3 - 2.6% 6.2 + 3.7%
6-2011 6.4 - 3.6% 6.1 + 1.7%
7-2011 6.2 - 8.1% 6.1 - 3.8%
8-2011 6.2 - 10.3% 5.9 - 9.4%
9-2011 5.9 - 11.6% 5.5 - 18.0%
8.6 8.6
6.7 6.7
5.95.5
September
201120102009 201120102009
Average 6.2 - 8.8% 6.2 - 5.0%
All data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 13
Single-Family Condo
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
1-2004 1-2005 1-2006 1-2007 1-2008 1-2009 1-2010 1-2011
Historical Months Supply of Inventory Single-Family Condo
-18.0%-21.8%-11.6%-22.2%